黄金走势分析
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Mhmarkets迈汇:黄金震荡走势分析
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-03 08:12
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that despite recent fluctuations, gold prices are expected to maintain a solid long-term support, with a psychological barrier at $3900 per ounce [1][2][3] - Gold opened at $4104.84 per ounce, briefly peaked at $4110, then fell to a low of $3978 before rebounding [1] - The market is experiencing profit-taking and mixed risk sentiment, leading to volatility around the $4000 mark [1][2] Group 2 - Professional analysts have a neutral stance on the gold market, while retail investors are becoming bullish due to gold's strong performance [2] - Some analysts predict potential short-term pullbacks, while others emphasize gold's long-term fundamentals amid inflation pressures and economic uncertainties [2] - Key economic indicators to watch include the US ISM manufacturing and services PMI data, ADP private sector employment data, and the Bank of England's policy decision [2] Group 3 - Overall, gold has stabilized around the $4000 level despite multiple pullbacks, with a long-term upward trend anticipated as market uncertainties are digested [3] - Short-term fluctuations provide good trading opportunities, and investors are advised to remain flexible in their operations [3]
曾金策11月3日:黄金,金价,独家解析及操作建议,黄金走势,及解套咨询,黄金,黄金还会涨吗,黄金最新布局
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-02 16:01
Group 1 - The article discusses the current trends in the international gold market, highlighting the fluctuations in prices and trading volumes [1] - It mentions the technical analysis of gold prices, particularly focusing on the 4-hour chart and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicators [1] - The analysis suggests potential trading opportunities based on the observed patterns in the gold market [1]
张德盛:11.1下周黄金看涨还是跌?积存金价格走势分析预测
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-01 13:20
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant increase in global gold demand in Q3, driven by factors such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, U.S. government shutdown, and geopolitical tensions, with historical records being set [3] - The announcement of nuclear tests by U.S. President Trump, the first since 1992, adds strong support for gold prices [3] - The article notes a shift in market dynamics, with gold prices testing key resistance levels and showing signs of volatility, indicating a potential for further price fluctuations [4] Group 2 - Current resistance levels for gold are identified at 4046, with support seen at 3990, and critical mid-term support at 3920-15 [4] - The article suggests that breaking below the 3915-20 range could open up further downside potential, targeting the 3885-90 area [4] - Domestic gold markets, particularly Shanghai gold, have shown strong movements, with recommendations for buying at lower levels and targeting higher prices in the near term [4]
江沐洋:10.29黄金超跌反弹是修正还是反转,黄金走势操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 16:12
Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in gold prices indicate a typical "high-level digestion phase" rather than a simple collapse, with current prices around $3940, down approximately 10% from the historical high of $4381.29 reached last week [1]. Group 1: Market Trends - Gold prices experienced a decline of nearly 1.3% on Tuesday, with a low point of $3886, marking a three-week low [2]. - The market is currently facing a conflict between rising risk appetite leading to a withdrawal of safe-haven funds and long-term factors such as the Federal Reserve's impending interest rate cuts, cooling employment, and slowing economic momentum, which continue to support gold prices [1]. Group 2: Technical Analysis - The current downward trend in gold prices is not yet over, with a potential target for adjustment around $3800, which aligns with the lower boundary of the daily range [2]. - Key resistance levels to watch in the short term are at $3972 and $4004, with a focus on maintaining short positions below $3960 [4]. - The 10-week moving average at $3830 may provide strong support before the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision [2].
江沐洋:10.26金价反弹短期仍看跌,下周黄金走势操作思路
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-25 23:49
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that gold prices experienced a rebound after weaker-than-expected U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, but overall, the market is in a downtrend, ending a nine-week rally [1] - The expectation of a 25 basis point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve during the upcoming monetary policy meeting on October 29-30 is reinforced by the weak inflation data [1] - Market sentiment has improved due to hopes of easing U.S.-China trade tensions, with confirmation that President Trump will meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping during the APEC summit on October 30 [1] Group 2 - Technically, gold shows initial signs of consolidation after a strong rebound, with a bearish short-term outlook as prices are currently below the 21, 50, and 100-period simple moving averages (SMA) on the 4-hour chart [1] - The wave structure indicates an ABC corrective pattern, with the current phase likely to unfold into a C-wave downward after confirming the high point of the B-wave [1] - On the 1-hour chart, gold is in a bottom consolidation phase after forming a double top at 4380, with resistance levels identified at 4160-4185 and support at around 4004 [3]
石顺金:10.12黄金本周高位回落后震荡,下周黄金走势分析思路
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-12 15:52
Group 1 - The recent strength of the US dollar continues despite expectations of a rate cut, as no other currency has emerged to surpass the dollar's dominance, indicating that while the dollar's position is challenged, it remains robust [1] - Global demand for US Treasuries and the dollar has increased due to economic instability in Europe, particularly in France, and currency depreciation in Japan, leading to a favorable outlook for US debt holdings [1] - The policies implemented aim to maintain the strength of the US dollar amidst global economic fluctuations [1] Group 2 - Gold prices opened at 3893 and rose to 4058 by Thursday, followed by a pullback to 3943, indicating strong upward momentum despite fluctuations [2] - The daily chart shows a potential high engulfing pattern, making the closing price critical for determining future price movements, whether it will continue to decline or rebound [2] - Current resistance levels for gold are between 4040 and 4050, while support levels are between 3900 and 3920, suggesting a range-bound trading environment [4]
张德盛:9.15今日黄金还会涨吗?积存金行情预测买卖操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 02:20
Group 1 - The current spot gold price is around $3637 per ounce, showing a slight decline, with a previous peak of $3674 earlier in the week [2] - The international gold price saw a minor increase of 0.26%, closing at $3643.21 per ounce, driven by signals of a weak U.S. labor market, reinforcing expectations for the Federal Reserve's first rate cut of the year [2] - Analysts remain generally bullish on gold, with expectations of a high-level consolidation this week, particularly on Monday and Tuesday, before potential volatility around the Federal Reserve's rate decision on Wednesday and Thursday [2][3] Group 2 - From a technical perspective, gold has shown a lack of clear directional movement since peaking at $3675, with alternating daily closes indicating a consolidation phase under a bullish trend [3] - Key support levels for gold are identified at $3600 and $3500, with a breach of $3600 potentially indicating a shift in market strength [3] - The domestic gold market is also experiencing high-level consolidation, with support levels at 830 for Shanghai gold and 820 for accumulated gold, suggesting potential rebounds if these levels hold [3]
香港第一金:9月4日现货黄金创历史新高3577美元上演“高台跳水”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-04 09:33
Core Viewpoint - The analysis indicates a slowdown in employment demand in the U.S. due to increased policy uncertainty, particularly regarding tariff policies, which may lead to a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in the coming years [1][2]. Economic Analysis - U.S. job openings fell to 7.181 million in July, marking a near 10-month low, reflecting a trend of companies pausing hiring plans amid uncertain policies [1]. - The Federal Reserve has room to lower short-term interest rates, with a neutral federal funds rate estimated around 3%, suggesting potential rate cuts in the future [1]. - Market concerns persist regarding the impact of tariffs on inflation, which may take months to fully manifest [2]. Trade and Tariff Implications - President Trump indicated that if U.S. courts rule against his global tariff policy, trade agreements with the EU, Japan, and South Korea could be nullified, emphasizing tariffs as a negotiation tool [2]. - The global largest gold ETF saw a reduction in holdings by 6.3 tons, bringing the total to 984.26 tons, indicating market reactions to these economic conditions [2]. Technical Analysis of Gold - Gold prices have risen over $260 from a support level of $3,310 per ounce, signaling a strong bullish trend, with normal pullbacks expected [3]. - Short-term support for gold is identified at $2,508 per ounce, with potential for further price fluctuations as the market approaches key trading sessions [3]. - The gold price is expected to enter a wide range of fluctuations, with $3,577 per ounce as a potential high and $3,310 per ounce as a low, indicating a narrowing trading range before a breakout [3]. Trading Strategies - Current trading strategies suggest a bearish outlook if gold rebounds to $3,550, with a target of $3,510, and a bullish outlook if it retraces to $3,510, targeting $3,448 [5].
張晶霖:回调次数太多不敢多?8.26现货黄金走势分析及操作建议!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-26 11:47
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes that trading success is fundamentally rooted in mindset, which influences both emotional responses to market fluctuations and long-term planning [1] - The article suggests that without a stable mindset, even the most accurate analysis and well-structured strategies can become ineffective [1] Group 2 - On August 26, the US dollar index was around 98.40, while spot gold was approximately $3375 per ounce [3] - The US is expected to release the preliminary data for July durable goods orders, with a forecasted month-on-month decline of 4.0% [3] - President Trump decided to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook due to allegations of falsifying mortgage application documents, which led to a significant drop in the dollar index and a rise in gold prices by nearly $35 [3] Group 3 - Technical analysis indicates that gold prices are trading above all moving averages, with the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) around 3348.20 showing a lack of directional strength [6] - The 100-day moving average has lost some bullish momentum, while technical indicators are hovering around the midline, suggesting ongoing consolidation [6] - The 4-hour chart shows that after a moderate correction, technical indicators are regaining upward momentum, with a bullish 20-period SMA accelerating upwards and nearing a breakout above the 200-period SMA around 3350 [6] Group 4 - Suggested trading strategies for gold include buying near 3365 with a stop loss at 3354 and targets at 3383 and 3392, while selling near 3391 with a stop loss at 3400 and a target at 3368 [7] - The article notes that the morning price action validated previous strategies, indicating a potential for upward movement in the afternoon session [7]
黄金上涨走势短线将终结,黄金有望破位下跌至3000点关口!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-22 08:00
Core Viewpoint - The financial market is characterized by volatility, with both bullish and bearish sentiments present, but ultimately, a singular direction will emerge [1]. Group 1: A-Shares Market - The A-share Shanghai Composite Index is nearing the 3800-point mark, with stocks that have not been purchased seemingly rising, while those that have been bought remain stagnant [1]. - Investors who switched stocks in June are experiencing stagnation, leading to frustration and a sense of helplessness [1]. Group 2: Gold Market Analysis - Gold has been trading at high levels since reaching a historical peak of 3499 on April 22, with several pullbacks, the most significant being to around 3120 [4]. - Over a four-month period, gold has experienced multiple downward trends, but each low point has been higher than the previous one, indicating a potential upward trend despite recent stagnation [5]. - The weekly chart shows that gold has struggled to break the 3499 level for months, and without central bank purchases, it is advised to avoid chasing gold positions [8]. - A critical support level for gold is identified at 3380; if this level is breached, a significant downward trend may ensue [8].