黄金走势分析 12月24日，四小时及更小周期图表显示，金价在突破关键整数关口后结构稳固，均线保持强势发散。小 时图呈现连阳上行后的高位整理，短线行情依托短期均线支撑，整体格局依然偏强。在趋势未发生实质 性逆转前，上方首要目标可看至4550一线附近，进一步可展望4600美元整数关口。下方重点关注4470一 线支撑。操作上以顺势回调多单为主，但需严格控制仓位并设置止损，以防范高位波动风险。建议回踩 4475-70进场多单 止损4463 目标4505。文章具有时效性，具体操作策略我会在盘中提示，及时关注。在 市场走势充满不确定性的情况下，投资者需保持灵活的操作策略，根据行情变化及时调整仓位，以降低 风险，实现收益最大化。 新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障 新浪声明：此消息系转载自新浪合作媒体，新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的，并不意味着赞同 其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作，风险自担。 黄金走势分析 12月24日，四小时及更小周期图表显示，金价在突破关键整数关口后结构稳固，均线保持强势发散。小 时图呈现连阳上行后的高位整理，短线行情依托短期均线支撑，整体格局依然偏强。在 ...

各位朋友，久违了。距离上一次写分析的发布，已悄然过去三个月。这段时间，市场风云变幻，金价屡创新高，我知道许多朋友都在等待我的声音。感谢你 们的耐心与不离不弃。这三个月，我翁富豪并未远离市场，而是选择沉入更深的水域。我走访了产业链上下游，与众多资深交易员和宏观经济学者进行了深 度交流，并对过去十年的黄金走势进行了系统性复盘。我发现，在狂热的市场表象之下，驱动价格的核心逻辑正在发生微妙而深刻的变化。 过往的分析，更多是基于技术面和短期事件的推演。而这三个月的沉淀，让我得以构建一个更宏大的分析框架——将全球货币体系的演变、地缘政治的长期 博弈以及产业供需的底层逻辑融为一体。今天，我带着这套全新的分析体系回归，希望能为各位提供一个超越日常波动的、更具穿透力的视角。接下来的文 章，我翁富豪将不再仅仅告诉您"买"或"卖"，而是与您一同探讨"为何而买"、"为何而卖"，以及"未来将走向何方"。市场不缺喧嚣，缺的是冷静的思考。很 高兴，我们又见面了。 本周黄金整体维持多头趋势的观点不变，在没有重大变化的前提下，应继续看涨。目前价格距前高4380仅一步之遥，在本周多头格局下，存在冲破前高并出 现较大涨幅的可能，因此维持看涨的核心 ...

本来周四SPDR增持4T，我认为大概率要出方向了，被周五这么一整，又重新回到之前震荡洗盘的区间 走势。 来源：老黄说交易 上周五黄金算是小刀拉屁股，开了眼了。 早盘震荡上行，突破前高4219.5，按照周五的预测，突破4219.5，上方空间打开，有望冲击4265一线。 欧美保持震荡上行，美盘公布的美国9月核心PCE物价指数为2.8%，小于预期2.9%，对黄金形成利多。 在数据公布前，黄金已经冲高到4245一线，数据公布后没有直接拉升，说明之前的上涨已经消化了部分 利多预期。 小幅回落4234止跌，向上冲击4259后，出现惊天一变，半个小时跌了近60美刀，重回4200。 幸幸苦苦涨一天，一夜回到解放前。 今日思路 特别声明：以上内容仅代表作者本人的观点或立场，不代表新浪财经头条的观点或立场。如因作品内 容、版权或其他问题需要与新浪财经头条联系的，请于上述内容发布后的30天内进行。 1. 黄金周五冲高回落，日线收倒锤头阴线，收线保护线附近，短期多空争夺依旧强烈。 2. 4小时周五冲击主升浪失败，形态上有一定双顶，不过周五属于最高位快速回落，黄金ETF减持 0.33T,也有洗盘成分。 3. 目前4小时布林带走平下方支 ...

【国际黄金，白银走势分析】 12月5日，从昨晚的数据来看明显利好黄金和白银，金价却来了个过山车，让很多人始料未及。上个月 私营部门还新增4.2万岗位，这个月不光没涨，反而少了3.2万人，里外里差了7万多，明眼人都能看出 来，11月美国就业市场是真顶不住了，开始快速恶化，不管从岗位数量还是收入来看，美国就业都是肉 眼可见的疲软。而且现在美联储降息的概率都冲到90%左右了，这个大环境是偏多的。 黄金从日线周期来看，黄金价格依旧运行在多头结构中，整体趋势维持在上升通道中轨—上轨之间震荡 上行。当前金价稳定在4200美元附近，多头仍占据主导。均线方面，短周期均线（5日、10日）继续向 上发散，显示买盘情绪保持强劲；20日均线提供下方中期支撑，并与上升趋势线形成共振。MACD指标 持续在零轴上方运行，红柱动能虽有收敛，但未见趋势反转迹象，显示行情更多处于高位整理而非顶部 结构。若金价继续站稳4180—4170美元区间，有望向4250美元乃至4280美元发起进一步测试；反之，一 旦跌破4180美元，多头将进入阶段性休整，下方或回探4150美元区域寻求新的买盘支撑。整体来看，多 头趋势未被破坏，短线仍倾向震荡偏强。 今日黄 ...

搜狐号@曾金策 ...

总体来看，当前美国资金市场的流动性压力已大幅缓解，整体处于可控状态。若未来资金市场重现类似 2019年9月的极端情况，预计美联储将通过正回购等货币政策工具向市场注入流动性，以稳定市场预 期。 此外，随着12月1日美联储停止缩表，资金市场的流动性状况有望进一步改善。 摘要今日周日（11月23日）休市，现货黄金震荡下行，跌幅约0.60%，现徘徊于每盎司4050美元附近。 前一日其剧烈震荡，最终收报4077.17美元/盎司，周四最高冲至4110.03美元，最低跌至4038.82美元，此 前因延迟发布的9月非农数据带来的涨幅已全部回吐。当前金价较10月历史高点低约7.00%，2025年已 涨55%。9月非农超预期增69000人，失业率升至4.4%创近年新高，且七八月数据下修。此报告成美联储 12月初利率决议前最后参考。 今日周日（11月23日）休市，现货黄金震荡下行，跌幅约0.60%，现徘徊于每盎司4050美元附近。前一 日其剧烈震荡，最终收报4077.17美元/盎司，周四最高冲至4110.03美元，最低跌至4038.82美元，此前因 延迟发布的9月非农数据带来的涨幅已全部回吐。当前金价较10月历史高点低约7.00% ...

Market Overview - Gold prices experienced a slight increase of approximately 0.23% to around $4181 per ounce, despite the resolution of two bearish factors: the U.S. government reopening and the trade truce [1] - The resilience of gold prices amidst a generally bullish market raises questions about potential bearish expectations in the analysis [1] - Technically, gold is in an extremely overbought state on the monthly chart, indicating a need for a prolonged period to correct this extreme condition [1] Short-term Trends - In the Asian and European trading sessions, gold maintained high volatility, reaching a peak near $4245 before a significant drop following hawkish comments from U.S. Federal Reserve officials [2] - The daily trading range for gold was nearly $100, with a closing bearish candle indicating a potential shift in market sentiment [2] - The critical support level to watch is the 5-day moving average around $4160; a drop below this level could signal a loss of bullish momentum [2] Technical Analysis - The 4-hour chart shows a recent upward movement, but the lack of extension suggests a potential consolidation phase [4] - The current market structure indicates a small-scale upward trend, with attention needed on the mid-band support; losing this support could lead to a bearish outlook [4] - The primary strategy remains focused on short positions, with recommendations to enter short trades between $4200 and $4230, targeting a decline to the $3880-$3600 range [4]

Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in gold prices, including a drop to around $4090 per ounce, are viewed as normal technical corrections following a significant rise, with expectations for gold to challenge the $4200 per ounce mark in the near future [1][2]. Price Movements - Gold prices have recently surged from $4000 to nearly $4150 per ounce, marking a $150 increase without significant pullbacks [2]. - The largest gold ETF held 1046.36 tons as of November 11, with an increase of 4.30 tons from the previous day and a net increase of 7.16 tons for the month [1]. Technical Analysis - A breakthrough and stabilization above $4150 per ounce could lead to a target of $4200 or higher [3]. - Current technical indicators show a bullish trend, with the daily price stabilizing above the BOLL channel midline and signs of short-term upward movement [3]. Market Influences - The potential for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December is seen as a positive factor for gold, especially in light of recent employment data indicating increased layoffs [2][4]. - Geopolitical risks are also identified as potential catalysts for bullish movements in gold prices [4].

Group 1 - The current gold price is fluctuating around $3972 per ounce, having dropped slightly after reaching a high of $3990.24, with a 1.2% increase on Wednesday [1] - Strong ADP employment data and ISM non-manufacturing PMI have cooled expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December, leading to a rise in the dollar index and U.S. Treasury yields [1] - The market is expected to remain volatile, with key focus on Federal Reserve officials' speeches and upcoming economic data releases [1] Group 2 - Gold is currently in a weak state, with a trading range identified between $3900 and $4050, and the market is awaiting the impact of non-farm payroll data [2] - Technical analysis indicates that gold's effective trading range is between $4020 and $3930, with key resistance at $3990 and support at $3955 [2] - Domestic gold prices have shown slight fluctuations, with Shanghai gold closing around 917 and accumulation gold at 911, suggesting a strategy of holding low positions or waiting for data impact [2]

Group 1 - International gold is currently trading around $3,945, with a slight increase of 0.21% as of the latest report, reaching a high of $3,949.19 and a low of $3,929.01 [1] - The market is expected to focus on the U.S. October ADP employment numbers and the ISM non-manufacturing PMI, with overall expectations being better than previous values, which could negatively impact gold prices [1] - Technical analysis indicates that gold prices may face selling pressure, with potential declines to $3,800 or even $3,700 unless there is a strong recovery above $4,100 [3][4] Group 2 - Ukraine plans to establish weapon export and joint production offices in Berlin and Copenhagen to raise funds for domestic weapon shortages [2] - The EU Commission has released its annual enlargement plan, highlighting significant progress for countries like Montenegro, Albania, Ukraine, Moldova, Serbia, North Macedonia, Bosnia, Turkey, and Georgia towards EU membership [2]