Economic Growth - China's Q3 GDP grew by 4.8% year-on-year, lower than the previous value of 5.2% [2] - China's GDP for the first three quarters totaled 1015036 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 5.2% at constant prices [1] Industrial Production & Retail Sales - China's industrial added value above designated size in September increased by 6.5% year-on-year, exceeding the expected 5.0% [2] - China's total retail sales of consumer goods in September increased by 3.0% year-on-year, aligning with expectations [2] Employment & Income - China's surveyed urban unemployment rate in September was 5.2%, lower than the expected 5.3% [2] - The national per capita disposable income of residents in the first three quarters was 32509 CNY, a nominal increase of 5.1% year-on-year and an actual increase of 5.2% after deducting price factors [1] - The average weekly working hours for employees of enterprises nationwide was 48.6 hours [1] Fixed Asset Investment - China's fixed asset investment in urban areas from January to September increased by -0.5% year-on-year, lower than the expected 0.1% [2]

Macroeconomic Indicators - China's Q3 GDP annual rate is 48%, previously 52% [1] - September's industrial added value above designated size increased by 65% year-on-year, expected 50% [2] - September's total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 30% year-on-year, expected 30% [2] - September's surveyed urban unemployment rate is 52%, expected 53% [2] - Fixed asset investment in urban areas from January to September increased by -05% year-on-year, expected 01% [2]

China to Release 2025 Q3 GDP, Other Key Data: Follow Live News, Updates https://t.co/93Muqo34Mf ...

Geopolitical & Economic Perspective - China is viewed as a re-ascending power, historically holding the world's largest GDP for 70% of the years between 1500 and now [1] - China's capital allocation system is described as both rigid and flexible, with central control dictating priorities [2] Governance & Planning - Xi Jinping and his inner circle are directly involved in drafting China's 5-year business plan [3] - The 5-year plan is cascaded from the central group to the Politburo, then to provinces and prefectures for implementation [3][4] Strategic Investment & Innovation - In 2006 and 2007, prioritizing EVs led to a cascading system of venture capitalists operating against a national priority, incentivized for success [4] - This system of incentivized venture capital against national priorities has resulted in the creation of companies like BYD and Xiaomi [5]

Gross public debt as a share of GDP in advanced economies stands close to an all-time high and there is little political appetite for belt-tightening. The consequences will be profound https://t.co/iTrrMlUJpq ...

Core Insights - India's economy has surpassed $4.19 trillion, officially becoming the world's fourth-largest economy, overtaking Japan [1] - Prior to 2000, India was ranked outside the top 10 in global GDP, but has rapidly ascended the ranks since 2017, surpassing several established economies [1] Economic Growth - The significant growth trajectory of India's economy is highlighted by its rise from a lower-ranking position to the fourth-largest in just eight years [1] - The transition reflects India's successful economic strategies and reforms that have contributed to its rapid development [1]

Welcome back to Money Movers. Something has changed in Europe. According to our next guest, forecasting European indices to see a 12 to 16% gain in 2026.Joining us to break down this bull case is Deutsche Bank Research head of European equity strategy and head of cross asset strategy, Max Suier. It's good to see you. Welcome back.What's changed in Europe. >> I think plenty of things have changed actually. So, very short term maybe.Let's start with that, right. Sure. >> Earning season we think is going to be ...

Treasury is moving this morning on these comments from Fed Governor Chris Waller, who uh casts a little doubt on further rate cuts after October. It's a subtle thing, but let's go through it. He says the Fed should reduce 25 base points in October.No question about that. Beyond that, he says he needs to see how you reconcile this issue of strong GDP on the one hand and a soft labor market on the other hand. He has said something has to give here and that's going to determine what he does beyond October.the ...

Group 1 - The Fed is expected to reduce rates by 25 basis points in October, but further cuts depend on the reconciliation of strong GDP and a soft labor market [1][2] - Fed Governor Chris Waller expresses caution about rekindling inflationary pressures and emphasizes the need for a balanced approach [2][3] - If the labor market weakens further and inflation remains controlled, the Fed may consider additional cuts of 100 to 125 basis points to reach a neutral rate [3][4] Group 2 - Waller highlights a prevalent "no hire, no fire" stance among companies, indicating potential job losses as businesses reassess their workforce needs [5][6] - The impact of AI on the labor market is significant, with expectations of job losses occurring before any job gains, suggesting a shift in employment dynamics [5][6]

格隆汇10月16日｜美联储理事沃勒：如果宽松的金融条件将引发经济繁荣，那么这种迹象本应出现在劳 动力市场；但到目前为止，并未出现。我的工作与劳动力市场有关，而目前情况并不乐观。如果美联储 继续下调政策利率，抵押贷款应会面临下行压力。许多人工智能支出涉及行业重新配置。我们的估计 是，剔除关税后的通胀率约为2.5%。似乎没有什么迹象表明通胀会大幅上升。来自各方的数据都在讲 述就业市场疲软的故事。美联储褐皮书并未显示形势一片大好。今年年底GDP可能走弱。对人工智能的 担忧在于，这是否是劳动力需求的结构性变化，而美联储的周期性工具无法应对。 来源：格隆汇APP ...