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燃料油早报-20250919
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-19 01:12
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints - This week, the cracking spread of Singapore 380cst high - sulfur fuel oil fluctuated, the near - month spread oscillated, the basis strengthened, the EW spread fluctuated at a high level, and the fluctuation of the near - month spread of domestic and foreign FU intensified due to delivery factors. The low - sulfur cracking spread weakened rapidly, the monthly spread weakened at an accelerated pace, the domestic and foreign spread of LU was compressed to $6 - 7 per ton, and the MF0.5 basis oscillated [3]. - Fundamentally, Singapore's residue decreased by 871,000 barrels, floating storage was slightly destocked, ARA residue inventory increased significantly, and EIA residue continued to accumulate. The high - sulfur peak season in the Middle East has passed. Due to the reshaping of logistics, the demand for high - sulfur marine fuel in Singapore provides support, and the EW spread has completed its repair. The domestic high - sulfur spread has risen again due to the impact of the delivery warehouse, and the short - term domestic and foreign spread has been repaired. This week, LU declined at an accelerated pace, and the basis of the external MF0.5 was weakly operating. Due to the support of the gasoline and diesel cracking spreads in Europe and the United States, the opportunity for the low - sulfur to high - sulfur spread to widen in the fourth quarter can be noted [4]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data - From September 12 to September 18, 2025, the price of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 decreased by $1.40, Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO swap M1 decreased by $7.12, Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 increased by $0.32, Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil swap M1 decreased by $2.33, Rotterdam VLSFO - Gasoil M1 decreased by $4.79, LGO - Brent M1 increased by $0.21, and Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 decreased by $5.72 [1]. Singapore Fuel Oil Swap Data - During the same period, the price of Singapore 380cst M1 decreased by $1.49, Singapore 180cst M1 decreased by $0.16, Singapore VLSFO M1 decreased by $3.48, Singapore GO M1 decreased by $1.17, Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 increased by $0.06, and Singapore VLSFO - Gasoil M1 increased by $5.17 [1]. Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data - From September 12 to September 18, 2025, the FOB price of 380cst decreased by $0.21, the FOB price of VLSFO decreased by $5.47, the 380 basis increased by $1.00, the high - sulfur domestic and foreign spread decreased by $0.1, and the low - sulfur domestic and foreign spread increased by $0.4 [2]. Domestic FU Data - During the same period, FU 01 decreased by 33, FU 05 decreased by 33, FU 09 decreased by 24, FU 01 - 05 remained unchanged, FU 05 - 09 decreased by 9, and FU 09 - 01 increased by 9 [2]. Domestic LU Data - From September 12 to September 18, 2025, LU 01 decreased by 47, LU 05 decreased by 37, LU 09 decreased by 28, LU 01 - 05 decreased by 10, LU 05 - 09 decreased by 9, and LU 09 - 01 increased by 19 [3].
燃料油早报-20250918
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-18 01:30
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - This week, the high-sulfur cracking of Singapore 380cst fluctuated, the near-month spread fluctuated, the basis strengthened, the EW spread fluctuated at a high level, and the internal and external spreads of FU near-month were more volatile due to delivery factors. The low-sulfur cracking weakened rapidly, the spread accelerated to weaken, the internal and external spread of LU was compressed to $6-7 per ton, and the MF0.5 basis fluctuated. From a fundamental perspective, Singapore's residue decreased by 871,000 barrels, floating storage decreased slightly, ARA residue inventory increased significantly, and EIA residue continued to accumulate. The high-sulfur peak season in the Middle East has passed. Due to the reshaping of logistics, the demand for high-sulfur marine fuel in Singapore provides support, and the EW spread has completed the repair. The internal and external spreads of domestic high-sulfur increased again due to the influence of the delivery warehouse, and the short-term internal and external spread was repaired. This week, LU accelerated its decline, and the external MF0.5 basis was weakly operating. Due to the support of gasoline and diesel cracking in Europe and the United States, the opportunity for the low-sulfur to high-sulfur spread to widen in the fourth quarter can be noted [3][4]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data - From September 11 - 17, 2025, the prices of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1, Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO swap M1, etc. showed certain fluctuations. For example, the price of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 changed from 375.09 to 384.75, with a change of -0.89 [1]. Singapore Fuel Oil Swap and Spot Data - From September 11 - 17, 2025, the prices of Singapore 380cst M1, Singapore 180cst M1, etc. also fluctuated. For instance, the price of Singapore 380cst M1 changed from 392.94 to 397.55. In the Singapore fuel oil spot market, the FOB 380cst price changed from 392.94 to 397.68, with a change of 4.47 [1][2]. Domestic FU and LU Data - From September 11 - 17, 2025, for domestic FU, the prices of FU 01, FU 05, and FU 09 all increased to varying degrees, such as FU 01 increasing from 2802 to 2831, with a change of 36. For domestic LU, the prices of LU 01 and LU 05 increased significantly, while LU 09 increased slightly. For example, LU 01 increased from 3364 to 3432, with a change of 64 [2][3].
燃料油早报-20250917
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-17 01:25
Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2) Core Viewpoints - This week, the cracking spread of Singapore 380cst high - sulfur fuel oil fluctuated, the near - month spread oscillated, the basis strengthened, the EW spread fluctuated at a high level, and the fluctuation of the near - month domestic and foreign spreads of FU intensified due to delivery factors. The low - sulfur cracking spread weakened rapidly, the month - to - month spread weakened at an accelerated pace, the domestic and foreign spreads of LU compressed to $6 - 7 per ton, and the basis of MF0.5 fluctuated [3]. - Fundamentally, Singapore's residue inventory decreased by 871,000 barrels, floating storage decreased slightly, ARA residue inventory increased significantly, and EIA residue inventory continued to accumulate. The high - sulfur peak season in the Middle East has passed. Due to the reshaping of logistics, the demand for high - sulfur marine fuel in Singapore provides support, and the EW spread has completed the repair. The domestic high - sulfur spread rose again due to the influence of the delivery warehouse, and the short - term domestic and foreign spread was repaired. This week, LU accelerated its decline, and the basis of the external MF0.5 was weak. Due to the support of gasoline and diesel cracking spreads in Europe and the United States, the opportunity for the spread between low - sulfur and high - sulfur fuel oil to widen in the fourth quarter can be concerned [4]. 3) Summary by Relevant Data Rotterdam Fuel Oil Data | Type | 2025/09/10 | 2025/09/11 | 2025/09/12 | 2025/09/15 | 2025/09/16 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O Swap M1 | 380.24 | 375.09 | 385.00 | 381.06 | 385.64 | 4.58 | | Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO Swap M1 | 435.80 | 429.32 | 438.60 | 435.93 | 443.49 | 7.56 | | Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 | - 7.03 | - 6.94 | - 6.46 | - 6.95 | - 7.14 | - 0.19 | | Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil Swap M1 | 669.77 | 654.97 | 666.83 | 671.73 | 686.03 | 14.30 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | - 233.97 | - 225.65 | - 228.23 | - 235.80 | - 242.54 | - 6.74 | | LGO - Brent M1 | 24.25 | 23.36 | 24.22 | 24.47 | 25.32 | 0.85 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 | 55.56 | 54.23 | 53.60 | 54.87 | 57.85 | 2.98 | [1] Singapore Fuel Oil Data | Type | 2025/09/10 | 2025/09/11 | 2025/09/12 | 2025/09/15 | 2025/09/16 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Singapore 380cst M1 | 395.14 | 392.94 | 385.68 | 392.66 | 392.01 | | Singapore 180cst M1 | 405.46 | 406.96 | 392.75 | 404.29 | 403.72 | | Singapore VLSFO M1 | 467.01 | 464.95 | 454.67 | 466.57 | 469.70 | | Singapore Gasoil M1 | 87.47 | 87.81 | 86.60 | 87.42 | 87.75 | | Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 | - 4.47 | - 5.01 | - 5.13 | - 4.97 | - 5.19 | | Singapore VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | - 180.27 | - 184.84 | - 186.17 | - 180.34 | - 179.65 | [1] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data | Type | 2025/09/10 | 2025/09/11 | 2025/09/12 | 2025/09/15 | 2025/09/16 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FOB 380cst | 396.90 | 392.94 | 385.11 | 392.42 | - | | FOB VLSFO | 466.00 | 463.14 | 453.23 | 468.08 | - | | 380 Basis | 0.35 | - 0.40 | - 0.75 | - 1.60 | - | | High - sulfur Domestic - Foreign Spread | 6.5 | - | - | 7.5 | - | | Low - sulfur Domestic - Foreign Spread | 5.7 | - | - | 7.5 | - | [2] Domestic FU Data | Type | 2025/09/10 | 2025/09/11 | 2025/09/12 | 2025/09/15 | 2025/09/16 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FU 01 | 2786 | 2802 | 2717 | 2799 | 2795 | - 4 | | FU 05 | 2741 | 2754 | 2693 | 2752 | 2751 | - 1 | | FU 09 | 2697 | 2702 | 2665 | 2702 | 2700 | - 2 | | FU 01 - 05 | 45 | 48 | 24 | 47 | 44 | - 3 | | FU 05 - 09 | 44 | 52 | 28 | 50 | 51 | 1 | | FU 09 - 01 | - 89 | - 100 | - 52 | - 97 | - 95 | 2 | [2] Domestic LU Data | Type | 2025/09/10 | 2025/09/11 | 2025/09/12 | 2025/09/15 | 2025/09/16 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | LU 01 | 3370 | 3364 | 3259 | 3349 | 3368 | 19 | | LU 05 | 3339 | 3333 | 3259 | 3325 | 3341 | 16 | | LU 09 | 3331 | 3321 | 3247 | 3321 | 3345 | 24 | | LU 01 - 05 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 24 | 27 | 3 | | LU 05 - 09 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 4 | - 4 | - 8 | | LU 09 - 01 | - 39 | - 43 | - 12 | - 28 | - 23 | 5 | [3]
燃料油早报-20250916
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-16 01:31
Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content found Core Views - This week, the high - sulfur cracking of Singapore 380cst oscillated, the near - month spread oscillated, the basis strengthened, the EW spread oscillated at a high level, and the fluctuation of the near - month of FU inside and outside was intensified due to delivery factors. The low - sulfur cracking weakened rapidly, the spread weakened at an accelerated pace, the LU inside - outside spread was compressed to 6 - 7 US dollars/ton, and the MF0.5 basis oscillated [3]. - Fundamentally, Singapore's residue decreased by 871,000 barrels, floating storage was slightly destocked, ARA residue inventory increased significantly, and EIA residue continued to accumulate. The high - sulfur peak season in the Middle East has passed. Due to the reshaping of logistics, the demand for high - sulfur marine fuel in Singapore is supported, and the EW spread repair is completed. The domestic high - sulfur spread has risen again due to the influence of the delivery warehouse, and the short - term inside - outside spread is repaired. This week, LU accelerated its decline, and the MF0.5 basis of the outer market was weakly operating. Due to the support of gasoline and diesel cracking in Europe and the United States, the opportunity for the low - sulfur to high - sulfur spread to widen in the fourth quarter can be concerned [4]. Summary by Directory Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data - From September 9 - 15, 2025, the price of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 changed by - 3.94, Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO swap M1 changed by - 2.67, Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 changed by - 0.49, Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil swap M1 changed by 4.90, Rotterdam VLSFO - Gasoil M1 changed by - 7.57, LGO - Brent M1 changed by 0.25, and Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 changed by 1.27 [1]. Singapore Fuel Oil Swap Data - From September 9 - 15, 2025, the price of Singapore 380cst M1 changed, Singapore 180cst M1 changed, Singapore VLSFO M1 changed, Singapore GO M1 changed, Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 changed, and Singapore VLSFO - Gasoil M1 changed [1]. Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data - From September 9 - 15, 2025, the FOB 380cst price changed by 7.31, FOB VLSFO price changed by 14.85, 380 basis changed by - 0.85, high - sulfur inside - outside spread and low - sulfur inside - outside spread had relevant data changes [2]. Domestic FU Data - From September 9 - 15, 2025, FU 01 changed by 82, FU 05 changed by 59, FU 09 changed by 37, FU 01 - 05 changed by 23, FU 05 - 09 changed by 22, and FU 09 - 01 changed by - 45 [2]. Domestic LU Data - From September 9 - 15, 2025, LU 01 changed by 90, LU 05 changed by 66, LU 09 changed by 74, LU 01 - 05 changed by 24, LU 05 - 09 changed by - 8, and LU 09 - 01 changed by - 16 [3].
燃料油早报-20250912
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-12 01:12
Report Summary Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - This week, the high-sulfur cracking of Singapore 380cst fluctuated weakly, the near-month spread continued to strengthen, the basis rebounded and then fluctuated, the EW spread continued to strengthen, and the FU internal and external spread was affected by the delivery warehouse. The low-sulfur cracking fluctuated, the monthly spread fluctuated weakly, and the LU internal and external spread fluctuated around 9 US dollars. The MF0.5 basis fluctuated [5]. - Fundamentally, Singapore's residual oil inventories increased significantly, floating storage decreased slightly, ARA residual oil inventories increased significantly, floating storage inventories increased significantly, and EIA residual oil decreased slightly. The global supply and demand of high-sulfur fuel oil weakened. Due to the reshaping of logistics, the demand for high-sulfur marine fuel in Singapore provided support, the EW spread repair was completed, and the domestic high-sulfur spot was still in excess. Be wary of overheated sentiment [6]. - This week, LU remained weak, and the external MF0.5 basis remained volatile. Due to the support of gasoline and diesel cracking in Europe and the United States, the opportunity of the low-sulfur to high-sulfur spread widening in the fourth quarter can be concerned [6]. Data Summary Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data | Index | Change from 2025/09/05 - 2025/09/11 | | --- | --- | | Rotterdam 3.5% HSFO Swap M1 | -3.05 | | Rotterdam 0.5% VLSFO Swap M1 | -6.29 | | Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 | 0.43 | | Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil Swap M1 | -14.80 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - GO M1 | 8.51 | | LGO - Brent M1 | -0.89 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 | -3.24 | [3] Singapore Fuel Oil Data | Index | Change from 2025/09/05 - 2025/09/11 | | --- | --- | | Singapore 380cst M1 | -6.62 | | Singapore 180cst M1 | -8.09 | | Singapore VLSFO M1 | -6.87 | | Singapore GO M1 | -1.33 | | Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 | -0.35 | | Singapore VLSFO - GO M1 | 2.97 | [3] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data | Index | Change from 2025/09/05 - 2025/09/11 | | --- | --- | | FOB 380cst | -3.96 | | FOB VLSFO | -2.86 | | 380 Basis | -0.75 | [4] Domestic FU Data | Index | Change from 2025/09/05 - 2025/09/11 | | --- | --- | | FU 01 | 16 | | FU 05 | 13 | | FU 09 | 5 | | FU 01 - 05 | 3 | | FU 05 - 09 | 8 | | FU 09 - 01 | -11 | [4] Domestic LU Data | Index | Change from 2025/09/05 - 2025/09/11 | | --- | --- | | LU 01 | -6 | | LU 05 | -6 | | LU 09 | -10 | | LU 01 - 05 | 0 | | LU 05 - 09 | 4 | | LU 09 - 01 | -4 | [5]
燃料油早报-20250911
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-11 01:13
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints - This week, the high - sulfur cracking of Singapore 380cst weakened in a fluctuating manner, the nearby monthly spread continued to strengthen, the basis fluctuated after a rebound, the EW spread continued to strengthen, and the FU internal - external spread was affected by the delivery warehouse. The low - sulfur cracking fluctuated, the monthly spread weakened in a fluctuating manner, and the LU internal - external spread fluctuated around 9 US dollars. The MF0.5 basis fluctuated [6]. - Fundamentally, Singapore's residual oil inventories increased significantly, floating storage decreased slightly, ARA residual oil inventories increased significantly, floating storage inventories increased significantly, and EIA residual oil decreased slightly. The global supply - demand of high - sulfur fuel oil weakened. Due to the reshaping of logistics, the demand for high - sulfur marine fuel in Singapore provided support, the EW spread repair was completed, and the domestic high - sulfur spot was still in excess. One should be vigilant against over - heating sentiment. This week, LU remained weak, the external MF0.5 basis remained volatile. Due to the support of European and American gasoline and diesel cracking, one can pay attention to the opportunity of the low - sulfur to high - sulfur spread widening in the fourth quarter [7]. 3. Summary by Relevant Data Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data | Type | 2025/09/04 | 2025/09/05 | 2025/09/08 | 2025/09/09 | 2025/09/10 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O Swap M1 | 376.87 | 366.78 | 372.49 | 379.86 | 382.27 | 2.41 | | Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO Swap M1 | 442.59 | 431.93 | 439.86 | 439.55 | 439.10 | - 0.45 | | Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 | - 7.25 | - 6.98 | - 7.20 | - 6.70 | - 6.95 | - 0.25 | | Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil Swap M1 | 665.68 | 651.05 | 662.46 | 670.83 | 670.27 | - 0.56 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | - 223.09 | - 219.12 | - 222.60 | - 231.28 | - 231.17 | 0.11 | | LGO - Brent M1 | 24.02 | 23.59 | 24.62 | 25.35 | 24.25 | - 1.10 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 | 65.72 | 65.15 | 67.37 | 59.69 | 56.83 | - 2.86 | [4] Singapore Fuel Oil Swap Data | Type | 2025/09/04 | 2025/09/05 | 2025/09/08 | 2025/09/09 | 2025/09/10 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Singapore 380cst M1 | 387.61 | 388.79 | 388.46 | 395.12 | 396.58 | 1.46 | | Singapore 180cst M1 | 398.86 | 398.59 | 397.67 | 399.61 | 406.58 | 6.97 | | Singapore VLSFO M1 | 475.19 | 471.33 | 468.78 | 471.70 | 468.91 | - 2.79 | | Singapore Gasoil M1 | 86.84 | 86.70 | 86.66 | 87.38 | 87.92 | 0.54 | | Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 | - 5.59 | - 5.05 | - 4.94 | - 4.25 | - 4.55 | - 0.30 | | Singapore VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | - 167.43 | - 170.25 | - 172.50 | - 174.91 | - 181.70 | - 6.79 | [4] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data | Type | 2025/09/04 | 2025/09/05 | 2025/09/08 | 2025/09/09 | 2025/09/10 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FOB 380cst | 387.09 | 388.16 | 388.92 | 396.64 | 396.90 | 0.26 | | FOB VLSFO | 474.28 | 468.87 | 468.99 | 469.80 | 466.00 | - 3.80 | | 380 Basis | - 1.00 | - 0.95 | - 0.50 | 0.25 | 0.35 | 0.10 | | High - sulfur Internal - external Spread | 6.0 | 7.3 | 8.0 | 6.4 | - | - | | Low - sulfur Internal - external Spread | 9.4 | 9.4 | 7.9 | 9.8 | - | - | [5] Domestic FU Data | Type | 2025/09/04 | 2025/09/05 | 2025/09/08 | 2025/09/09 | 2025/09/10 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FU 01 | 2760 | 2759 | 2767 | 2766 | 2786 | 20 | | FU 05 | 2721 | 2719 | 2721 | 2724 | 2741 | 17 | | FU 09 | 2694 | 2695 | 2679 | 2678 | 2697 | 19 | | FU 01 - 05 | 39 | 40 | 46 | 42 | 45 | 3 | | FU 05 - 09 | 27 | - | 42 | 46 | 44 | - 2 | | FU 09 - 01 | - 66 | - 64 | - 88 | - 88 | - 89 | - 1 | [5] Domestic LU Data | Type | 2025/09/04 | 2025/09/05 | 2025/09/08 | 2025/09/09 | 2025/09/10 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | LU 01 | 3395 | 3375 | 3385 | 3367 | 3370 | 3 | | LU 05 | 3359 | 3343 | 3347 | 3335 | 3339 | 4 | | LU 09 | 3341 | 3321 | 3344 | 3330 | 3331 | 1 | | LU 01 - 05 | 36 | 32 | 38 | 32 | 31 | - 1 | | LU 05 - 09 | 18 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 | | LU 09 - 01 | - 54 | - 54 | - 41 | - 37 | - 39 | - 2 | [6]
燃料油早报-20250904
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-04 01:07
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - This week, the high - sulfur cracking of Singapore 380cst fluctuated strongly, the near - month spread strengthened slightly, the basis rebounded, and the EW spread continued to rebound. Affected by the impact of US sanctions on the delivery warehouse, FU10 rose sharply and then fell. The low - sulfur cracking weakened, the spread fluctuated, the LU internal - external spread fluctuated around $10, and the MF0.5 basis began to rebound [3][4]. - Fundamentally, Singapore's residue inventory increased, floating storage decreased, ARA's residue inventory remained flat, floating storage inventory increased significantly, and EIA residue began to accumulate. The global supply - demand of high - sulfur fuel oil weakened. Due to the reshaping of logistics, the demand for high - sulfur marine fuel in Singapore provided support, and the EW spread was still being repaired. The domestic high - sulfur spot was still in excess, and over - heated sentiment should be vigilant. The new round of sanctions had a large potential impact on the domestic heavy crude oil supply, providing some support for the Asian fuel oil valuation [4]. - This week, LU maintained a volatile trend, and the external MF0.5 basis began to rebound. Opportunities for the spread between low - sulfur and high - sulfur fuel oil to widen in the fourth quarter could be focused on [4]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Fuel Oil Price Data - **Rotterdam Fuel Oil Data**: From August 28 to September 3, the prices of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 decreased by $8.64, Rotterdam 0.5% VLSFO swap M1 decreased by $8.39, and other price - related indicators also had corresponding changes [1]. - **Singapore Fuel Oil Data**: The prices of Singapore 380cst M1 and other related fuel oil products also changed during the same period. For example, from August 28 to September 3, the price of Singapore 380cst M1 decreased by $11.56, and the price of Singapore VLSFO M1 decreased by $11.75 [1][9]. - **Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data**: From August 28 to September 3, the FOB 380cst price decreased by $6.17, and the FOB VLSFO price decreased by $6.40 [2]. - **Domestic FU Data**: From August 28 to September 3, the price of FU 01 decreased by 7, the price of FU 05 decreased by 10, and the price of FU 09 decreased by 8 [2]. - **Domestic LU Data**: From August 28 to September 3, the price of LU 01 decreased by 17, the price of LU 05 decreased by 10, and the price of LU 09 increased by 13 [3].
燃料油早报-20250902
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-02 04:16
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - This week, the high - sulfur cracking of Singapore 380cst oscillated strongly, the near - month spread strengthened slightly, the basis rebounded, and the EW spread continued to rebound. Affected by the impact of US sanctions on delivery warehouses, FU10 soared and then declined. The low - sulfur cracking weakened, the spread oscillated, the LU internal - external spread fluctuated around 10 US dollars, and the MF0.5 basis began to rebound [4]. - Fundamentally, Singapore's residue inventory increased, floating storage decreased, ARA's residue inventory remained flat, floating storage inventory increased significantly, and EIA's residue began to accumulate. The global supply - demand of high - sulfur fuel oil weakened. Due to the reshaping of logistics, the demand for high - sulfur marine fuel in Singapore provided support, the EW spread was still being repaired, and the domestic high - sulfur spot was still in excess. Be vigilant against over - heating sentiment. The new round of sanctions has a large potential impact on the supply of heavy crude oil in China, providing some support for the valuation of Asian fuel oil. This week, LU maintained an oscillation, the external MF0.5 basis began to rebound, and the opportunity for the low - sulfur to high - sulfur spread to widen in the fourth quarter can be noted [5]. 3. Data Summaries Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data | Type | 2025/08/26 | 2025/09/01 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O Swap M1 | 383.86 | 388.11 | - 0.95 | | Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO Swap M1 | 452.63 | 456.37 | 0.00 | | Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 | - 6.45 | - 6.40 | - 0.26 | | Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil Swap M1 | 651.89 | 658.54 | 4.38 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | - 199.26 | - 202.17 | - 4.38 | | LGO - Brent M1 | 22.75 | 22.05 | - 0.10 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 | 68.77 | 68.26 | 0.95 | [2] Singapore Fuel Oil Swap Data | Type | 2025/08/26 | 2025/09/01 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Singapore 380cst M1 | 397.90 | 398.02 | - 3.14 | | Singapore 180cst M1 | 410.84 | 412.08 | - 4.08 | | Singapore VLSFO M1 | 487.99 | 482.37 | - 3.40 | | Singapore Gasoil M1 | 86.31 | 85.23 | - 0.71 | | Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 | - 5.01 | - 4.43 | 0.05 | | Singapore VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | - 150.70 | - 148.33 | 1.86 | [2] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data | Type | 2025/08/26 | 2025/09/01 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FOB 380cst | 396.25 | 397.89 | - 1.96 | | FOB VLSFO | 489.51 | 485.45 | - 2.60 | | 380 Basis | - 2.00 | - 0.40 | 0.70 | | High - sulfur Internal - external Spread | 4.1 | 6.0 | 3.6 | | Low - sulfur Internal - external Spread | 9.5 | 14.9 | 6.9 | [3] Domestic FU Data | Type | 2025/08/26 | 2025/09/01 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FU 01 | 2842 | 2824 | 12 | | FU 05 | 2799 | 2782 | 9 | | FU 09 | 2827 | 2737 | 2 | | FU 01 - 05 | 43 | 42 | 3 | | FU 05 - 09 | - 28 | 45 | 7 | | FU 09 - 01 | - 15 | - 87 | - 10 | [3] Domestic LU Data | Type | 2025/08/26 | 2025/09/01 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | LU 01 | 3488 | 3451 | - 28 | | LU 05 | 3451 | 3398 | - 37 | | LU 09 | 3460 | 3374 | 62 | | LU 01 - 05 | 37 | 53 | 9 | | LU 05 - 09 | - 9 | 24 | - 99 | | LU 09 - 01 | - 28 | - 77 | 90 | [4]
燃料油早报-20250901
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-01 04:15
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - This week, the high - sulfur cracking of Singapore 380cst fluctuated strongly, the near - month spread strengthened slightly, the basis rebounded, and the EW spread continued to rebound. Affected by the impact of US sanctions on the delivery warehouse, FU10 rose sharply and then fell. The low - sulfur cracking weakened, the spread fluctuated, the LU internal - external spread fluctuated at $10, and the MF0.5 basis began to rebound [3][4]. - Fundamentally, the residue inventory in Singapore increased, the floating storage decreased, the residue inventory in ARA remained flat, the floating storage inventory increased significantly, and the EIA residue began to accumulate. The global supply - demand of high - sulfur fuel oil weakened. Due to the reshaping of logistics, the demand for high - sulfur marine fuel in Singapore provided support, the EW spread was still being repaired, and the domestic high - sulfur spot was still in excess. Be vigilant against over - heating sentiment [4]. - The new round of sanctions has a relatively large potential impact on the domestic heavy crude oil supply, which provides a certain support for the Asian fuel oil valuation. This week, LU maintained a volatile trend, and the MF0.5 basis of the external market began to rebound. The opportunity for the spread between low - sulfur and high - sulfur fuel oil to widen in the fourth quarter can be concerned [4]. 3. Key Data Summaries Rotterdam Fuel Oil | Type | 2025/08/25 | 2025/08/29 | Change | | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | | Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O Swap M1 | 394.08 | 389.06 | - 3.68 | | Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO Swap M1 | 461.01 | 456.37 | - 1.46 | | Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 | - 6.05 | - 6.14 | - 0.28 | | Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil Swap M1 | 667.32 | 654.16 | - 1.73 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | - 206.31 | - 197.79 | 0.27 | | LGO - Brent M1 | 23.15 | 22.15 | - 0.70 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 | 66.93 | 67.31 | 2.22 | [1] Singapore Fuel Oil Swap | Type | 2025/08/25 | 2025/08/29 | Change | | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | | Singapore 380cst M1 | 399.93 | 401.16 | 5.62 | | Singapore 180cst M1 | 412.49 | 416.16 | 8.12 | | Singapore VLSFO M1 | 488.53 | 485.77 | - 1.59 | | Singapore Gasoil M1 | 86.39 | 85.94 | - 0.66 | | Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 | - 4.41 | - 4.48 | - 0.19 | | Singapore VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | - 150.76 | - 150.19 | 6.48 | [1] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot | Type | 2025/08/25 | 2025/08/29 | Change | | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | | FOB 380cst | 397.15 | 399.85 | 7.01 | | FOB VLSFO | 488.41 | 488.05 | - 3.15 | | 380 Basis | - 2.55 | - 1.10 | 0.15 | | High - sulfur Internal - External Spread | 4.5 | 2.4 | - 1.2 | | Low - sulfur Internal - External Spread | 10.6 | 8.0 | - 1.3 | [2] Domestic FU | Type | 2025/08/25 | 2025/08/29 | Change | | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | | FU 01 | 2831 | 2812 | - 19 | | FU 05 | 2790 | 2773 | - 23 | | FU 09 | 2845 | 2735 | - 25 | | FU 01 - 05 | 41 | 39 | - 4 | | FU 05 - 09 | - 55 | 38 | 48 | | FU 09 - 01 | 14 | - 77 | - 44 | [2] Domestic LU | Type | 2025/08/25 | 2025/08/29 | Change | | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | | LU 01 | 3491 | 3479 | - 18 | | LU 05 | 3449 | 3435 | - 24 | | LU 09 | 3403 | 3312 | - 98 | | LU 01 - 05 | 42 | 44 | 6 | | LU 05 - 09 | 46 | 123 | 122 | | LU 09 - 01 | - 88 | - 167 | - 116 | [3]
燃料油早报-20250825
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-08-25 03:09
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The provided content does not mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, the high - sulfur cracking of Singapore 380cst weakened, the near - month spread weakened (9 - 10 at 0.75 USD/ton, 10 - 11 at 3.25 USD/ton), the basis rebounded, and the EW spread continued to rebound. Affected by the new round of US sanctions on Iran (covering Dongjiakou and Yangshan Shengang), the near - month internal - external spread of FU fluctuated greatly, and the 09 contract once returned above par. [5][6] - The low - sulfur cracking weakened, the spread oscillated (9 - 10 at 2 USD/ton, 10 - 11 at 2.75 USD/ton), and the internal - external spread of LU strengthened slightly to 10 USD. [6] - Fundamentally, Singapore's land - based residue inventory continued to decline, floating storage inventory decreased significantly, and low - sulfur floating storage increased. The high - sulfur bunker volume in Singapore in July increased by 15% month - on - month and 10% year - on - year. [6] - The land - based inventory in Fujairah, Middle East decreased significantly, and floating storage decreased significantly. This week, Saudi Arabia's shipments decreased month - on - month, and UAE's shipments oscillated. [6] - US residue inventory increased slightly but remained at the lowest level in the same period of history, ARA ports decreased slightly, and floating storage increased slightly. [6] - The global supply - demand of high - sulfur fuel oil weakened. Due to the reshaping of logistics, the demand for high - sulfur marine fuel in Singapore provided support, and the EW spread was still recovering. There was still a large amount of FU delivery cargo, and attention should be paid to subsequent delivery changes. [6] - The new round of sanctions had a large potential impact on domestic heavy crude oil, providing a certain support for the valuation of Asian fuel oil. This week, LU remained weak, the basis of external MF0.5 oscillated at a low level, and the internal - external spread of LU oscillated. In the short term, opportunities for the expansion of high - sulfur 380 EW could still be concerned. [6] 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data - From August 18th to 22nd, 2025, the price of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 changed by 7.74, Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO swap M1 changed by 8.57, Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 changed by 0.41, Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil swap M1 changed by 11.52, Rotterdam VLSFO - G M1 changed by - 2.95, LGO - Brent M1 changed by 0.07, and Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 changed by 0.83. [3] Singapore Fuel Oil Swap Data - From August 18th to 22nd, 2025, the price of Singapore 380cst M1 changed by 2.60, Singapore 180cst M1 changed by 2.04, Singapore VLSFO M1 changed by 2.59, Singapore GO M1 changed by 0.94, Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 changed by 0.04, and Singapore VLSFO - GO M1 changed by - 4.37. [3] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data - From August 18th to 22nd, 2025, the FOB 380cst price changed by 2.46, FOB VLSFO price changed by 4.18, 380 basis changed by - 0.60, high - sulfur internal - external spread changed by 4.3, and low - sulfur internal - external spread changed by 3.7. [4] Domestic FU Data - From August 18th to 22nd, 2025, FU 01 changed by 33, FU 05 changed by 17, FU 09 changed by 38, FU 01 - 05 changed by 16, FU 05 - 09 changed by - 21, and FU 09 - 01 changed by 5. [4] Domestic LU Data - From August 18th to 22nd, 2025, LU 01 changed by 19, LU 05 changed by - 29, LU 09 changed by 12, LU 01 - 05 changed by 48, LU 05 - 09 changed by - 41, and LU 09 - 01 changed by - 7. [5]