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大越期货燃料油早报-20260227
Da Yue Qi Huo· 2026-02-27 02:23
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - The downstream marine fuel demand showed seasonal strength before the Spring Festival holiday, but the marine fuel bunkering activities were mostly sluggish during the holiday. After the holiday, the downstream marine fuel bunkering activities will gradually regain momentum. Affected by the holiday, the sales volume of marine fuels in Singapore in February will decline significantly [3]. - The spot prices of Singapore high - sulfur and low - sulfur fuel oils are at par with the futures prices [3]. - Singapore's fuel oil inventory in the week of February 25 was 23.879 million barrels, a decrease of 2.77 million barrels, which is favorable [3]. - The price is above the 20 - day line, and the 20 - day line is upward, which is favorable [3]. - The main positions of high - sulfur and low - sulfur fuel oils are short positions. The short positions of high - sulfur are decreasing and low - sulfur are increasing, which is unfavorable [3]. - Overnight, the oil price fluctuated greatly around the Iran - US negotiation process, and fuel oil fluctuated sharply with crude oil. After the Spring Festival holiday, the Asian low - sulfur fuel oil market strengthened, while the Asian high - sulfur fuel oil market continued to be under pressure due to sufficient supply in Singapore recently. Overall, it fluctuates with crude oil. FU2605 is expected to operate in the range of 2900 - 2950, and LU2605 in the range of 3420 - 3470 [3]. - The market is driven by the resonance of supply affected by geopolitical risks and neutral demand [4]. Summary by Directory 1. Daily Tips - The previous price of the FU main contract futures was 2934, the current price is 2989, with a rise of 55 and an increase rate of 1.87%. The previous price of the LU main contract futures was 3464, the current price is 3465, with a rise of 1 and an increase rate of 0.03%. The previous FU basis was 18, the current is - 1, with a decrease of 18.55 and a decrease rate of - 102.78%. The previous LU basis was 29, the current is - 2, with a decrease of 31 and a decrease rate of - 106% [5]. - The previous price of Zhoushan high - sulfur fuel oil was 500.00, the current price is 505.00, with a rise of 5.00 and an increase rate of 1.00%. The previous price of Zhoushan low - sulfur fuel oil was 505.00, the current price is 514.00, with a rise of 9.00 and an increase rate of 1.78%. The previous price of Singapore high - sulfur fuel oil was 419.99, the current price is 424.38, with a rise of 4.39 and an increase rate of 1.05%. The previous price of Singapore low - sulfur fuel oil was 493.50, the current price is 493.33, with a decrease of 0.17 and a decrease rate of - 0.03%. The previous price of Middle - East high - sulfur fuel oil was 388.86, the current price is 393.17, with a rise of 4.31 and an increase rate of 1.11%. The previous price of Singapore diesel was 671.50, the current price is 670.12, with a decrease of 1.38 and a decrease rate of - 0.21% [6]. 2. Multi - Short Concerns - Bullish factors include the turmoil in Iran and the issuance of China's import quotas. Bearish factors include the unproven optimistic demand and the pressure on upstream crude oil [4]. 3. Fundamental Data - The fundamentals of fuel oil are affected by seasonal demand, and the sales volume in February will decline significantly due to the Spring Festival holiday. The basis shows that the spot is at par with the futures. The inventory decrease is favorable, the price trend is favorable, but the main positions being short are unfavorable [3]. 5. Spread Data - A chart of the high - low sulfur futures spread is provided, but specific data is not further elaborated [10]. Inventory Data - Singapore's fuel oil inventory on December 17, 2025, was 22.559 million barrels, with an increase of 0.14 million barrels; on December 24, 2025, it was 21.789 million barrels, with a decrease of 0.77 million barrels; on December 31, 2025, it was 22.659 million barrels, with an increase of 0.87 million barrels; on January 7, 2026, it was 22.709 million barrels, with an increase of 0.05 million barrels; on January 14, 2026, it was 22.909 million barrels, with an increase of 0.2 million barrels; on January 21, 2026, it was 23.529 million barrels, with an increase of 0.62 million barrels; on January 28, 2026, it was 24.579 million barrels, with an increase of 1.05 million barrels; on February 4, 2026, it was 25.529 million barrels, with an increase of 0.95 million barrels; on February 11, 2026, it was 26.379 million barrels, with an increase of 0.85 million barrels; on February 18, 2026, it was 26.649 million barrels, with an increase of 0.27 million barrels; on February 25, 2026, it was 23.879 million barrels, with a decrease of 2.77 million barrels [8].
燃料油早报-20260203
Yong An Qi Huo· 2026-02-03 01:37
Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2) Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, the near - term of Singapore 380cst continued to strengthen, reaching a five - year high year - on - year. The crack spread increased and then fluctuated. Short - term arbitrage logistics tightened, and Singapore residue inventory decreased significantly. [3] - The low - sulfur crack spread of MF0.5 declined, reaching a historical low year - on - year, and the monthly spread was at a historical low for the same period. [3] - In terms of inventory, Singapore fuel oil inventory decreased significantly, EIA residue inventory continued to decline, ARA residue inventory increased, and Fujairah inventory accumulation accelerated. [4] - Under the new situation in Venezuela, heavy - oil logistics tilted towards the United States. Canadian heavy oil was seeking new buyers, and the price of Merey crude oil increased. Recently, the situation in Iran and arbitrage logistics affected 380. High - sulfur spot tightened, the crack spread rebounded, and high - sulfur had the strongest driving force in oil products in the short term. The low - sulfur external market remained weak. [4] 3) Summary by Relevant Catalogs Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data - From January 27, 2026, to February 2, 2026, the price of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 decreased by 18.54, Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO swap M1 decreased by 18.54, Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 increased by 1.24, Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil swap M1 decreased by 68.27, Rotterdam VLSFO - Gasoil M1 increased by 49.73, LGO - Brent M1 decreased by 3.82, and Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 remained unchanged. [1] Singapore Fuel Oil Swap Data - From January 27, 2026, to February 2, 2026, the price of Singapore 380cst M1 decreased, Singapore 180cst M1 decreased, Singapore VLSFO M1 decreased, Singapore Gasoil M1 decreased, Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 changed, and Singapore VLSFO - Gasoil M1 changed. [1] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data - From January 27, 2026, to February 2, 2026, FOB 380cst decreased by 12.53, FOB VLSFO decreased by 15.56, the 380 basis increased by 4.35, the high - sulfur internal - external price difference decreased by 3.0, and the low - sulfur internal - external price difference decreased by 4.9. [2] Domestic FU Data - From January 27, 2026, to February 2, 2026, FU 01 decreased by 109, FU 05 decreased by 134, FU 09 decreased by 122, FU 01 - 05 increased by 25, FU 05 - 09 decreased by 12, and FU 09 - 01 decreased by 13. [2] Domestic LU Data - From January 27, 2026, to February 2, 2026, LU 01 decreased by 184, LU 05 decreased by 139, LU 09 decreased by 149, LU 01 - 05 decreased by 45, LU 05 - 09 increased by 10, and LU 09 - 01 increased by 35. [3]
燃料油早报-20260130
Yong An Qi Huo· 2026-01-30 00:57
Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - This week, the near - month of Singapore 380cst strengthened significantly, with both cracking and monthly spreads strengthening. Short - term arbitrage logistics tightened to a 6 - month low, and Singapore residue oil inventory dropped significantly to a 13 - week low. The 0.5 low - sulfur cracking strengthened on Friday compared to the previous week, at a historically low level year - on - year, and the monthly spread was at a low level for the same period in history. In terms of inventory, EIA residue oil had a slight de - stocking, ARA residue oil had inventory accumulation, and Fujairah had a slight inventory accumulation. Under the new situation in Venezuela, heavy - oil logistics are tilted towards the United States, Canadian heavy oil is seeking new buyers, the price of Merey crude oil has risen, and trading is light. Recently, the Iranian situation and arbitrage logistics have affected 380, the high - sulfur spot has tightened, the cracking has rebounded, and in the short term, high - sulfur has the strongest driving force among oil products, while the low - sulfur external market remains weak [3][4] Data Summary Rotterdam Fuel Oil Data - The prices of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1, 0.5% VLS FO swap M1, 10ppm Gasoil swap M1, etc. from January 23 to January 29, 2026, are presented, with price changes of 13.39, 12.57, 23.95 respectively during this period [1] Singapore Fuel Oil Data - The prices of Singapore 380cst M1, 180cst M1, VLSFO M1, GO M1, etc. from January 23 to January 29, 2026, are shown, with price changes of 21.91, 14.11, 16.24 respectively during this period [1] - The FOB prices of Singapore 380cst and VLSFO, 380 basis, high - sulfur internal - external price difference, and low - sulfur internal - external price difference from January 23 to January 29, 2026, are provided, with changes of 14.86, 10.09, 1.25, 8.1, 3.2 respectively during this period [2] Domestic FU Data - The prices of domestic FU 01, FU 05, FU 09, and their spreads from January 23 to January 29, 2026, are given, with price changes of 66, 80, 74 respectively during this period [2] Domestic LU Data - The prices of domestic LU 01, LU 05, LU 09, and their spreads from January 23 to January 29, 2026, are presented, with price changes of 50, 79, 63 respectively during this period [3]
燃料油早报-20260129
Yong An Qi Huo· 2026-01-29 10:21
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints - This week, the near - month of Singapore 380cst strengthened significantly, with both cracking and contango strengthening. Short - term arbitrage logistics tightened to a 6 - month low, and Singapore residue inventory dropped significantly to a 13 - week low. The 0.5 low - sulfur cracking strengthened on Friday compared to the previous week, at a historically low level year - on - year, and the contango was also at a low level for the same period in history. In terms of inventory, EIA residue had a slight de - stocking, ARA residue had inventory accumulation, and Fujairah had a slight inventory accumulation. Under the new situation in Venezuela, heavy - oil logistics are tilted towards the United States, Canadian heavy oil is seeking new buyers, the quotation of Merey crude oil has risen but the trading volume is light. Recently, the Iranian situation and arbitrage logistics have affected 380, the high - sulfur spot market has tightened, and the cracking has rebounded. In the short term, high - sulfur has the strongest driving force among oil products, while the low - sulfur external market remains weak [3][4] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Rotterdam Fuel Oil Data - The prices of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1, 0.5% VLS FO swap M1, 10ppm Gasoil swap M1, etc. changed from January 22 to January 28. For example, the price of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 increased by 12.00, and the price of 0.5% VLS FO swap M1 increased by 7.68 [1] Singapore Fuel Oil Data - The prices of Singapore 380cst M1, 180cst M1, VLSFO M1, etc. changed from January 22 to January 28. For example, the price of Singapore 380cst M1 increased from 373.02 to 405.12. In the Singapore fuel oil spot market, the FOB 380cst price increased by 14.58, and the FOB VLSFO price increased by 8.38 from January 22 to January 28 [1][2] Domestic FU and LU Data - For domestic FU, from January 22 to January 28, the prices of FU 01, FU 05, and FU 09 increased by 56, 81, and 69 respectively. For domestic LU, from January 22 to January 28, the prices of LU 01, LU 05, and LU 09 all increased by 70 [2][3]
能源化工燃料油、低硫燃料油周度报告-20260118
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2026-01-18 07:44
1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided regarding the report industry investment rating in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The prices of fuel oil and low - sulfur fuel oil have recently shown large fluctuations, with the price trend reversing frequently. For high - sulfur fuel oil, Saudi Arabia and Iraq's exports remain high, Venezuelan heavy oil is gradually resuming supply to the US Gulf, and the geopolitical conflict in Iran has subsided. However, Russian high - sulfur exports are showing a downward trend, providing some support to the downside. For low - sulfur fuel oil, although the Al Zour refinery will gradually resume production and Japan's exports are increasing, there are still positive factors. Some Brazilian exports are decreasing, the Dangote refinery's maintenance will end in January, and European refineries are expected to process more heavy components, limiting low - sulfur exports. In the short term, the low - sulfur market has a bottom support and is unlikely to weaken significantly [4]. - The valuation range for FU is 2400 - 2590, and for LU is 2900 - 3150 [4]. - Strategies include: 1) For single - side trading, fuel oil prices are in a high - volatility environment in the short term, and the price direction is unclear. 2) For inter - period trading, the month - spread structures of FU and LU have returned to backwardation, and may return to contango after the geopolitical issues cool down. 3) For inter - variety trading, the crack spreads of FU and LU have reached short - term lows, and the LU - FU spread will enter a short - term oscillation [4]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Supply - The report presents data on the capacity utilization rates of Chinese refineries (including overall, independent, and major refineries), global refinery maintenance (including hydrocracking, FCC, coking, and CDU units), and domestic refinery fuel oil production and commercial volume [6][10][17]. 3.2 Demand It shows domestic and international fuel oil demand data, such as the sales volume of fuel oil for ship supply in Singapore, the apparent consumption of fuel oil in China, and the actual consumption of marine fuel oil in China [23][24][26]. 3.3 Inventory The report provides data on global fuel oil spot inventories, including heavy oil inventories in Singapore, heavy distillate inventories in Fujairah, fuel oil inventories in European ARA, and residual fuel oil inventories in the US [28]. 3.4 Price and Spread - **Regional Spot FOB Prices**: It includes spot FOB prices in the Asia - Pacific region (Singapore and Fujairah for 3.5% and 0.5% fuel oil), European region (North - West Europe for 3.5% and 1% fuel oil), and the US (US Gulf and New York Harbor for high - sulfur and low - sulfur fuel oil) [32][35][36]. - **Paper and Derivative Prices**: It shows prices of various fuel oil swaps, such as Singapore 380 bunker swaps, North - West Europe high - sulfur and low - sulfur swaps, and Singapore low - sulfur fuel oil swaps [37][38]. - **Fuel Oil Spot Spreads**: It presents the high - low sulfur spread and viscosity spread in Singapore [44]. - **Global Fuel Oil Crack Spreads**: It includes crack spreads in Singapore (high - sulfur and low - sulfur) and North - West Europe (3.5% and 1%) [47][49][51]. - **Global Fuel Oil Paper Month Spreads**: It shows month spreads in Singapore and North - West Europe for high - sulfur and low - sulfur fuel oil [57][58][59]. 3.5 Import and Export - **Domestic Fuel Oil Import and Export Data**: It shows the import and export quantities of fuel oil (excluding biodiesel) in China [62][64]. - **Global High - Sulfur Fuel Oil Import and Export Data**: It presents the weekly changes in global high - sulfur fuel oil import and export quantities by region [65]. - **Global Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil Import and Export Data**: It shows the weekly changes in global low - sulfur fuel oil import and export quantities by region [67]. 3.6 Futures Market Indicators and Internal - External Spreads - The prices of fuel oil in the Asia - Pacific region have fluctuated greatly this week, and the Zhoushan market has followed the same trend. The impact of geopolitical issues on the spot price of the outer market has gradually diminished, and the spread between domestic futures prices and overseas spot prices has gradually been repaired as the number of warehouse receipts decreases. In the short term, as the geopolitical events cool down and the number of warehouse receipts of FU and LU decreases, the spreads between FU, LU and the Singapore market are expected to increase [70]. - The report also provides data on spot and futures internal - external spreads, including 380 spot, 0.5% spot, FU main contract, FU continuous - one, LU continuous, LU continuous - one, and LU continuous - two against the Singapore market [71]. 3.7 FU and LU Position and Volume Changes The report shows the trading volume and open interest data of fuel oil main contract, low - sulfur fuel oil continuous, and their corresponding first - month contracts [84][91][95]. 3.8 FU and LU Warehouse Receipt Quantity Changes The report presents the quantity change data of FU and LU warehouse receipts [97][98].
燃料油早报-20260115
Yong An Qi Huo· 2026-01-15 02:02
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - Before the holiday, the 380 cracking spread fluctuated, and it weakened slightly after the holiday. The 380 monthly spread rebounded from the low point but remained weak year - on - year. The high - sulfur cracking spread in Europe weakened, and the monthly spread oscillated at a low level. The 0.5% cracking spread in Singapore oscillated at a historical low, with the structure turning to C at a historical low and the basis oscillating at a historical low [3]. - In terms of inventory, there was a significant build - up of residual fuel oil in Singapore, a significant drawdown of high - sulfur floating storage, a slight build - up of residual fuel oil in ARA, a drawdown of residual fuel oil in Fujairah, a drawdown of high - sulfur floating storage, and a slight build - up of residual fuel oil in EIA. The recent conflict escalation in Venezuela has a short - term positive and long - term negative impact on heavy crude oil. Attention should be paid to the duration of logistics interruption. The arrival premium of Merey crude oil at the end of December remained around - 12. The high - sulfur spot market remained loose, and attention should be paid to the boost brought by the premium of heavy raw materials. The low - sulfur market maintained a weak oscillation pattern [10]. 3. Data Summaries Rotterdam Fuel Oil - The prices of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1, Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO swap M1, Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1, Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil swap M1, Rotterdam VLSFO - Gasoil M1, LGO - Brent M1, and Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 from 2026/01/08 to 2026/01/14 showed different changes. For example, the price of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 decreased by 1.20, while Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 increased by 0.42 [1]. Singapore Fuel Oil - The prices of Singapore 380cst M1, Singapore 180cst M1, Singapore VLSFO M1, Singapore Gasoil M1, Singapore 380cst - Brent M1, and Singapore VLSFO - Gasoil M1 changed from 2026/01/08 to 2026/01/14. For instance, the price of Singapore 380cst M1 increased by 16.62 from 2026/01/13 to 2026/01/14 [1][9]. Singapore Fuel Oil Spot - The FOB 380cst, FOB VLSFO, 380 basis, high - sulfur domestic - foreign price difference, and low - sulfur domestic - foreign price difference of Singapore fuel oil spot had changes from 2026/01/08 to 2026/01/14. The high - sulfur domestic - foreign price difference decreased by 0.4, and the low - sulfur domestic - foreign price difference increased by 0.2 [2]. Domestic FU - The prices of FU 01, FU 05, FU 09, FU 01 - 05, FU 05 - 09, and FU 09 - 01 in the domestic market changed from 2026/01/08 to 2026/01/14. For example, the price of FU 01 increased by 62 [2]. Domestic LU - The prices of LU 01, LU 05, LU 09, LU 01 - 05, LU 05 - 09, and LU 09 - 01 in the domestic market changed from 2026/01/08 to 2026/01/14. The price of LU 01 increased by 47 [3].
燃料油早报-20251229
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-12-29 01:05
Report Industry Investment Rating - The report is bearish on the fuel oil market [3][8] Core观点 - This week, the 380 cracking spread weakened, the month spread oscillated at a low level, the basis oscillated at a low level, the high - sulfur cracking spread in Europe weakened, and the high - sulfur EW continued to strengthen. The 0.5% cracking spread in Singapore oscillated at a low level, the month spread oscillated at a historical low level, and the 5GO recovered as diesel weakened. In terms of inventory, Singapore's residual oil inventory increased, the high - sulfur floating storage decreased, the residual oil inventory in Fujairah decreased, the high - sulfur floating storage decreased significantly, the high - sulfur floating storage in Europe decreased slightly, and the high - sulfur floating storage in the US increased slightly. The low - sulfur floating storage in Singapore decreased, and the low - sulfur floating storage in Europe increased. Global residual oil entered the off - season for inventory accumulation. The external market cracking spread should pay attention to crude oil fluctuations, and there is no improvement in the spot market. The low - sulfur valuation is low but there is no driving force [3][8] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data - From December 22 to 26, 2025, the price of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 decreased by 5.21, the price of Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO swap M1 decreased by 4.19, the Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 increased by 0.21, the Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil swap M1 decreased by 7.25, the Rotterdam VLSFO - GO M1 increased by 3.06, and the Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 increased by 1.02 [1] Singapore Fuel Oil Swap Data - From December 22 to 26, 2025, the price of Singapore 380cst M1 increased by 0.57, the price of Singapore 180cst M1 increased by 0.32, the price of Singapore VLSFO M1 increased by 1.22, the price of Singapore GO M1 decreased by 0.15, the Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 increased by 0.20, and the Singapore VLSFO - GO M1 increased by 2.33 [1] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data - From December 22 to 26, 2025, the FOB 380cst price and FOB VLSFO price data have no clear overall change trend, the 380 basis decreased from - 2.80 to - 1.60, and the high - sulfur and low - sulfur internal and external price difference data are incomplete [2] Domestic FU Data - From December 22 to 26, 2025, FU 01 increased by 27, FU 05 increased by 3, FU 09 increased by 2, FU 01 - 05 increased by 24, FU 05 - 09 increased by 1, and FU 09 - 01 decreased by 25 [2] Domestic LU Data - From December 22 to 26, 2025, LU 01 increased by 141, LU 05 decreased by 2, LU 09 increased by 1, LU 01 - 05 increased by 143, LU 05 - 09 decreased by 3, and LU 09 - 01 decreased by 140 [3]
燃料油早报-20251209
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-12-09 01:46
Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2) Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, the high - sulfur cracking in Singapore oscillated, the monthly spread ran at a historical low, strengthened slightly on Friday, the basis weakened and then strengthened slightly on Friday. The HSFO cracking in Europe oscillated and weakened, and the EW oscillated. The 0.5% cracking in Singapore weakened, with the monthly spread and basis oscillating at low levels [3]. - In terms of inventory, there was a slight increase in Singapore residue, a slight decrease in high - sulfur floating storage, a slight increase in ARA residue, a significant increase in Fujairah residue, a decrease in high - sulfur floating storage, and a slight increase in EIA residue [3][4]. - With the strengthening expectation of Russia - Ukraine peace talks, the cracking of gasoline and diesel in the external market continued to decline this week, and the price difference between low - sulfur and diesel continued to rebound [4]. - After the fire at the Al Zour refinery on October 21 and its subsequent shutdown, the external low - sulfur market faces support, but the short - term strengthening space is limited. The global heavy oil has entered the off - season for inventory accumulation. The external cracking is subject to crude oil fluctuations, and there is no improvement on the spot side. FU01 should be treated bearishly. The low - sulfur valuation is low but lacks a driving force [4]. 3) Summary by Related Catalogs Fuel Oil Price Data - **Rotterdam**: From December 2 to December 8, 2025, the price of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 increased from 348.23 to 349.63, with a change of 0.82; the price of Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO swap M1 increased from 390.52 to 393.57, with a change of 1.90; other price indicators also had corresponding changes [1]. - **Singapore**: The price of Singapore 380cst M1 increased from 349.17 to 351.64, with a change of 2.60; the price of Singapore 180cst M1 increased from 356.17 to 359.58, with a change of 3.79; other price indicators also changed [1]. - **Singapore Fuel Oil Spot**: From December 2 to December 8, 2025, the FOB 380cst price increased from 337.62 to 343.53, with a change of 2.71; the FOB VLSFO price increased from 423.98 to 425.03, with a change of 3.30; other indicators also had corresponding changes [2]. - **Domestic FU**: The price of FU 01 increased from 2469 to 2508, with a change of 53; the price of FU 05 increased from 2532 to 2573, with a change of 48; other price indicators also changed [2]. - **Domestic LU**: The price of LU 01 increased from 3030 to 3071, with a change of 53; the price of LU 05 increased from 3053 to 3091, with a change of 54; other price indicators also changed [3]
燃料油早报-20251208
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-12-08 01:34
Group 1: Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. Group 2: Core Viewpoints - This week, the high - sulfur crack in Singapore fluctuated, the monthly spread ran at a historical low, strengthened slightly on Friday, the basis weakened and then strengthened slightly on Friday. The European HSFO crack fluctuated weakly and the EW spread fluctuated. The 0.5% crack in Singapore weakened, the monthly spread and basis fluctuated at a low level. In terms of inventory, Singapore residue oil had a slight inventory build - up, high - sulfur floating storage had a slight inventory draw - down, ARA residue oil had a slight inventory build - up, Fujairah residue oil had a significant inventory build - up, high - sulfur floating storage had an inventory draw - down, and EIA residue oil had a slight inventory build - up. With the increasing expectation of Russia - Ukraine peace talks, the crack spreads of gasoline and diesel in the external market continued to fall this week, and the price difference between low - sulfur fuel oil and diesel continued to rebound. After the Al Zour refinery shut - down due to a fire on October 21st, the external low - sulfur fuel oil was supported, but the short - term upside space was limited. The global heavy - oil market entered the off - season with inventory build - up, the external crack spreads were affected by crude oil price fluctuations, and there was no improvement in the spot market. FU01 should be treated bearishly. The valuation of low - sulfur fuel oil was low, but there was no driving force [5][6]. Group 3: Data Summary Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data | Type | 2025/12/01 | 2025/12/02 | 2025/12/03 | 2025/12/04 | 2025/12/05 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 | 352.55 | 348.23 | 348.42 | 347.85 | 348.81 | 0.96 | | Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO swap M1 | 394.14 | 390.52 | 390.01 | 388.30 | 391.67 | 3.37 | | Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 | - 7.12 | - 7.51 | - 7.90 | - 8.06 | - 8.45 | - 0.39 | | Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil swap M1 | 645.54 | 645.64 | 632.71 | 632.46 | 648.64 | 16.18 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | - 251.40 | - 255.12 | - 242.70 | - 244.16 | - 256.97 | - 12.81 | | LGO - Brent M1 | 25.52 | 26.31 | 24.34 | 23.85 | 25.44 | 1.59 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 | 41.59 | 42.29 | 41.59 | 40.45 | 42.86 | 2.41 | [3] Singapore Fuel Oil Swap Data | Type | 2025/12/01 | 2025/12/02 | 2025/12/03 | 2025/12/04 | 2025/12/05 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Singapore 380cst M1 | 350.01 | 349.17 | 345.72 | 343.12 | 349.04 | 5.92 | | Singapore 180cst M1 | 358.26 | 356.17 | 350.42 | 350.87 | 355.79 | 4.92 | | Singapore VLSFO M1 | 425.66 | 424.47 | 419.63 | 418.98 | 421.83 | 2.85 | | Singapore Gasoil M1 | 85.73 | 84.91 | 83.93 | 83.91 | 84.31 | 0.40 | | Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 | - 7.95 | - 7.76 | - 7.87 | - 8.37 | - 7.76 | 0.61 | | Singapore VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | - 208.74 | - 203.86 | - 201.45 | - 201.95 | - 202.06 | - 0.11 | [3] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data | Type | 2025/12/01 | 2025/12/02 | 2025/12/03 | 2025/12/04 | 2025/12/05 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FOB 380cst | 338.62 | 337.62 | 334.01 | 334.75 | - | - | | FOB VLSFO | 425.18 | 423.98 | 418.67 | 418.44 | - | - | | 380 basis | - 7.00 | - 8.10 | - 7.15 | - 5.70 | - | - | | High - sulfur domestic - foreign price difference | 6.1 | - 1.2 | - 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | - 0.3 | | Low - sulfur domestic - foreign price difference | 1.2 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 5.1 | 2.3 | [4] Domestic FU Data | Type | 2025/12/01 | 2025/12/02 | 2025/12/03 | 2025/12/04 | 2025/12/05 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FU 01 | 2495 | 2469 | 2437 | 2442 | 2455 | 13 | | FU 05 | 2552 | 2532 | 2499 | 2505 | 2525 | 20 | | FU 09 | 2527 | 2504 | 2468 | 2476 | 2490 | 14 | | FU 01 - 05 | - 57 | - 63 | - 62 | - 63 | - 70 | - 7 | | FU 05 - 09 | 25 | 28 | 31 | 29 | 35 | 6 | | FU 09 - 01 | 32 | 35 | 31 | 34 | 35 | 1 | [4] Domestic LU Data | Type | 2025/12/01 | 2025/12/02 | 2025/12/03 | 2025/12/04 | 2025/12/05 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | LU 01 | 3049 | 3030 | 3010 | 3009 | 3018 | 9 | | LU 05 | 3068 | 3053 | 3021 | 3029 | 3037 | 8 | | LU 09 | 3095 | 3086 | 3060 | 3062 | 3062 | 0 | | LU 01 - 05 | - 19 | - 23 | - 11 | - 20 | - 19 | 1 | | LU 05 - 09 | - 27 | - 33 | - 39 | - 33 | - 25 | 8 | | LU 09 - 01 | 46 | 56 | 50 | 53 | 44 | - 9 | [5]
燃料油早报-20251117
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-11-17 01:32
Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2) Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, the high - sulfur crack in Singapore oscillated, the monthly spread strengthened slightly, the basis weakened, the HSFO crack in Europe declined, and the EW strengthened. The 0.5% crack in Singapore rebounded, the monthly spread oscillated, and the basis oscillated at a low level. [3] - In terms of inventory, Singapore's residue oil had a slight de - stocking, ARA's residue oil had inventory accumulation, Fujeirah's residue oil had inventory accumulation, and EIA's residue oil inventory remained flat. [3] - The spread between high - and low - sulfur in the outer market rebounded. Singapore's high - sulfur was supported by EW and refinery purchases, but the spot basis weakened rapidly. It is in a short - term oscillating pattern, and the short - term downward space for low - sulfur is limited. [3][4] 3) Summary by Relevant Data Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data | Product | 2025/11/10 - 2025/11/14 Change | | --- | --- | | Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O Swap M1 | +4.64 [1] | | Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO Swap M1 | +8.27 [1] | | Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 | - 0.45 [1] | | Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil Swap M1 | +22.41 [1] | | Rotterdam VLSFO - G O M1 | - 14.14 [1] | | LGO - Brent M1 | +1.34 [1] | | Rotterdam VLSFO - H SFO M1 | +3.63 [1] | Singapore Fuel Oil Swap Data | Product | 2025/11/10 - 2025/11/14 Change | | --- | --- | | Singapore 380cst M1 | +4.77 [1] | | Singapore 180cst M1 | +5.78 [1] | | Singapore VLSFO M1 | +6.41 [1] | | Singapore GO M1 | +0.69 [1] | | Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 | - 0.24 [1] | | Singapore VLSFO - G O M1 | +1.30 [1] | Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data | Product | 2025/11/10 - 2025/11/14 Change | | --- | --- | | FOB 380cst | +5.06 [2] | | FOB VLSFO | +6.84 [2] | | 380 Basis | +0.03 [2] | | High - sulfur Domestic - Foreign Spread | +1.8 [2] | | Low - sulfur Domestic - Foreign Spread | +1.6 [2] | Domestic FU Data | Product | 2025/11/10 - 2025/11/14 Change | | --- | --- | | FU 01 | +27 [2] | | FU 05 | +28 [2] | | FU 09 | +25 [2] | | FU 01 - 05 | - 1 [2] | | FU 05 - 09 | +3 [2] | | FU 09 - 01 | - 2 [2] | Domestic LU Data | Product | 2025/11/10 - 2025/11/14 Change | | --- | --- | | LU 01 | +76 [3] | | LU 05 | +53 [3] | | LU 09 | +46 [3] | | LU 01 - 05 | +23 [3] | | LU 05 - 09 | +7 [3] | | LU 09 - 01 | - 30 [3] |