Group 1 - The Federal Reserve is in the process of selecting a new chair, with candidates including Michelle Bowman, Philip Jefferson, and Lori Logan among others [1][2] - President Trump is expected to announce the final decision on the new chair in the fall, following interviews conducted by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessenette [1][3] - The nomination of Stephen Milan to fill a vacancy on the Federal Reserve Board is pending Senate confirmation, which has led to a more measured approach in selecting the new chair [1][4] Group 2 - The next Federal Reserve policy meeting is scheduled for September 16-17, and the future chair's options may be more limited than usual [3][4] - Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller have expressed differing opinions on interest rates, advocating for a 25 basis point cut during the last Federal Open Market Committee meeting [4][5] - Philip Jefferson is noted as a potential first Black chair of the Federal Reserve, and he has supported the decision to maintain stable interest rates this year [5]

Core Points - Trump is expected to announce the new Federal Reserve Chair soon, with a decision on the candidates to be made this weekend [1][4] - The potential candidates have been narrowed down to four, excluding Treasury Secretary Scott Pruitt [2][3] - The leading candidates include Kevin Hassett and Kevin Warsh, with Christopher Waller likely being the third candidate [5][6] Candidate Analysis - Kevin Hassett is currently Trump's economic advisor and has a strong understanding of Trump's economic policies [5] - Kevin Warsh, a former Fed governor, is known for his moderate hawkish stance and has a reputation on Wall Street [5][7] - Christopher Waller recently voted against a policy and supports interest rate cuts, aligning with Trump's preference for looser monetary policy [6][7] Additional Candidates - The identity of the fourth candidate remains undisclosed, but James Fishback has expressed interest in the position [4][8] - There are indications of another candidate being discussed, as noted by Jim Bianco, a macro analyst [8][12] Implications of Appointments - Trump's decision on the successor to Adriana Kugler is significant, as it may influence future monetary policy discussions [15] - The new appointee could potentially be positioned to succeed Jerome Powell, whose term ends in May next year [15]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential candidates for the next Federal Reserve Chairman as indicated by Trump's recent statements, highlighting a narrowed list of four candidates and the implications of upcoming appointments on monetary policy [1][2][3]. Candidate Analysis - Trump has narrowed down the candidates for the next Fed Chair to four, excluding Scott Bessent, with Kevin Warsh and Kevin Hassett being the leading candidates [2][4]. - Warsh, a former Fed governor, is recognized for his moderate hawkish stance and experience during the financial crisis, while Hassett is currently Trump's economic advisor and familiar with his economic policies [5]. - Christopher Waller, a current Fed governor, is likely to be the third candidate, aligning with Trump's preference for a more accommodative monetary policy [6][8]. - The identity of the fourth candidate remains undisclosed, but James Fishback, CEO of Azoria, has expressed interest in the position [9][12]. Implications of Appointments - Trump's decision on the successor to Fed Governor Adriana Kugler is expected to influence short-term monetary policy and could serve as a precursor to the next Fed Chair selection [3][21]. - The new appointee's term lasts until January, but they may be positioned to influence policy discussions leading up to Powell's term expiration in May [21][22]. - Trump suggested that selecting a candidate who could lead the Fed directly would allow for immediate influence on policy debates [22]. Candidate Odds - Current betting odds show Warsh leading with a 29% chance, followed closely by an undisclosed candidate at 28%, Hassett at 22%, Waller at 15%, and Bessent at 1% [19].

Group 1 - The core candidates for the next Federal Reserve Chair have been narrowed down to four, excluding Treasury Secretary Scott Pruitt [1] - The two leading candidates are Kevin Warsh, a former Fed governor, and Kevin Hassett, the current economic advisor to Trump [2] - A potential third candidate is Christopher Waller, a current Fed governor, who has expressed support for interest rate cuts [2][10] Group 2 - The identity of the fourth candidate remains undisclosed, but James Fishback, CEO of Azoria, has expressed interest in the position [3] - Fishback has previously worked as an advisor in the government and is seeking to provide relevant information for consideration [3] - There is speculation about another candidate not yet discussed, as indicated by Jim Bianco, a macro analyst [3] Group 3 - Current betting odds show Warsh leading with a 29% chance, followed closely by the undisclosed candidate at 28%, while Hassett has risen to 22% and Waller to 15% [7] - Trump's upcoming decision on the successor to Adriana Kugler is significant, as it may influence future policy discussions [10] - The new appointee could potentially be a candidate to succeed Jerome Powell, whose term ends in May next year [10]

Group 1 - The core focus of the news is the potential candidates for the next Federal Reserve Chair, narrowed down by Trump to four individuals, excluding Treasury Secretary Scott Bessenet [1] - The two leading candidates mentioned are Kevin Warsh, a former Fed governor, and Kevin Hassett, currently serving as Trump's economic advisor [2] - A third candidate likely to be considered is current Fed governor Christopher Waller, who has expressed views aligning with Trump's preference for looser monetary policy [2][10] Group 2 - The identity of a fourth candidate remains undisclosed, but James Fishback, CEO of Azoria, has expressed interest in the position [3] - Polling data indicates that Warsh has a 29% chance of being selected, with an undisclosed candidate at 28%, Hassett at 22%, Waller at 15%, and Bessenet at 1% [7] - Trump's upcoming decision on the successor to Fed governor Adriana Kugler is significant, as it may influence future policy discussions and potentially set the stage for the next Fed Chair [10]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. Treasury Secretary, Janet Yellen, believes that regional banks have strong candidates for the position of Federal Reserve Chair [1] Group 1 - The statement highlights the competitive landscape for the Federal Reserve Chair position, particularly among regional banks [1]

Core Viewpoint - Hassett is emerging as a leading candidate for the next Federal Reserve Chair, supported by various favorable factors amid Trump's consideration for a more aligned leadership [1] Group 1 - Hassett's background includes serving as the Director of the National Economic Council and being a key economic advisor during Trump's first term, which gives him a unique advantage over other candidates [1] - He has maintained a strong relationship with Trump for nearly a decade, making him one of the few advisors who has earned the President's trust [1] - Hassett has experience in both government roles and the private sector, having worked for a private equity firm founded by Trump's son-in-law Kushner after his government service [1] Group 2 - During the 2024 presidential campaign, Hassett provided economic policy advice to Trump, further solidifying his role as a trusted advisor [1] - He is recognized as a disciplined spokesperson who is adept at handling media, a quality that Trump values in his senior appointees [1] - The main challenge for Hassett will be to demonstrate to the market that he can maintain sufficient independence as Fed Chair while being a loyal supporter of Trump, in order to uphold the credibility of the Federal Reserve [1]

Core Viewpoint - The chances of White House National Economic Council Director Hassett becoming the next Federal Reserve Chair have increased, but the selection process by Trump remains uncertain [1] Group 1 - Hassett's potential candidacy for the Federal Reserve Chair is gaining traction [1] - The process for selecting the next Federal Reserve Chair by Trump is still subject to variability [1]

两位名叫"凯文"的共和党人，目前正成为角逐下任美联储主席的最大热门。 据素有"新美联储通讯社"之称的Nick Timiraos援引知情人士透露，这两位"凯文"分别是：现 任美国国家经济顾问委员会主任凯文·哈塞特和前美联储理事凯文·沃什。 其中，之前呼声还并不算高的哈塞特，如今正逐渐成为美联储下任主席的有力竞争者。他的崛 起甚至已经开始威胁到了凯文·沃什的地位。 沃什曾是该职位的早期热门人选，自从八年前特朗普未选择他而选择鲍威尔以来，沃什一直在 暗暗谋求此位。不过，一些与总统关系密切的人士担心，不属于特朗普核心圈子的沃什，可能 不会轻易支持降息。 Timiraos对此撰文形容称，瑞正在发生的事情似乎具有典型的特朗普风格：让两个雄心勃勃的 男人在一场高风险竞赛中争夺他的认可，这与特朗普曾在真人秀节目《学徒》中推崇的董事会 博弈如出一辙…… 注：红线代表哈塞特当选概率 哈塞特正异军突起？ 据知情人士透露，哈塞特在6月份已至少两次与特朗普会面讨论美联储职位的问题。这些讨论 标志着哈塞特的转变，他之前曾告诉盟友自己对此不感兴趣，但现在却表示如果被邀请，他会 接受这份工作。 现年63岁的哈塞特是一位书卷气十足的博士经济学 ...

Group 1 - Current Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is facing pressure from President Trump, who is considering nominating a successor to weaken Powell's influence before his term ends in May 2024 [1] - Two Republican candidates named "Kevin" are competing for the next Federal Reserve Chair position, with Kevin Hassett emerging as a strong contender against Kevin Warsh [1][3] - Hassett has shifted his stance and is now open to accepting the Federal Reserve Chair position, having met with Trump multiple times in June [3] Group 2 - Hassett has become a vocal critic of Powell, accusing him of making decisions based on partisan bias rather than economic data [3] - Warsh, who has been a candidate for the position for years, is also actively seeking meetings to discuss the role, indicating his continued interest [3][4] - Warsh is attempting to pivot from his previous support for hawkish monetary policy to a more collaborative approach with Treasury Secretary Mnuchin [4] Group 3 - Warsh's connections in the financial elite and his media presence may give him an edge over Hassett, who has been more aligned with Trump's inner circle [5] - Treasury Secretary Mnuchin is in a unique position to influence the selection of the next Federal Reserve Chair, as Trump has expressed interest in having him take on both roles [5]