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广发期货《金融》日报-20250626
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-06-26 01:36
| 股指期货价差日报 | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 叶倩宁 | Z0016628 | 2025年6月26日 | 品种 | 历史1年分位数 | 全历史分位数 | 成新值 | 较前一日变化 | | | | | | | | | | 价元 | -37.27 | 11.40% | 14.37 | 8.10% | F期前份集 | | | | | | | | | | | | H期现价差 | -25.13 | 8.79 | 9.00% | 4.40% | 期现价差 | IC期现价差 | -28.35 | 11.08 | 44.60% | 43.10% | -156.56 | 43.10 | IM期现价差 | 20.00% | 4.20% | | 次月-崇月 | 3.20 | 36.10% | -10.00 | 29.90% | 李月-崇月 | - ...
广发期货《金融》日报-20250625
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-06-25 05:40
| 股指期货价差日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | | | | | | | 2025年6月25日 | | | | 叶倩宁 | Z0016628 | | 价差 | 品种 | 服新值 | 较前一日变化 | 历史1年分位数 | 全历史分位数 | | | F期现价差 | -51.63 | 8.87 | 6.50% | 4.70% | | 期现价差 | H期现价差 | -33.92 | -1.95 | 2.40% | 1.20% | | | IC期现价差 | -39.44 | 8.93 | 27.40% | 30.20% | | | IM期现价差 | -199.67 | 27.36 | 15.00% | 1.80% | | | 次月-当月 | -13.20 | 1.80 | 23.30% | 31.00% | | | 季月-当月 | -19.80 | 6.20 | 36.00% | 40.20% | | | 远月-当月 | -50.40 | 3.20 | 41.30% | 35.70% | | ...
《金融》日报-20250624
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-06-24 03:04
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Reports - The reports present a comprehensive analysis of various futures markets including stock index futures, treasury bond futures, precious metal futures, and shipping industry futures on June 24, 2025. They cover aspects such as price differences, basis, yields, exchange rates, and fundamental data, providing investors with a multi - dimensional view of market conditions [1][2][5][8]. 3. Summaries by Related Catalogs Stock Index Futures - **Price Differences**: The report provides the price differences of various contracts such as IF, IH, IC, and IM, including spot - futures price differences, inter - period price differences, and cross - variety ratios. For example, the IF spot - futures price difference is - 60.50, with a change of 12.54 compared to the previous day [1]. - **Historical Percentiles**: It also shows the historical 1 - year and full - history percentiles of these price differences, which can help investors understand the relative position of current price differences in history [1]. Treasury Bond Futures - **Basis and IRR**: The basis and implied repo rate (IRR) of TS, TF, T, and TL are presented. For instance, the TS basis is 1.8674, with a change of - 0.0681 compared to the previous day, and the IRR percentile is 43.20% [2]. - **Inter - period and Cross - variety Price Differences**: Inter - period price differences and cross - variety price differences are also provided, such as the TS inter - period price difference between the next quarter and the current quarter is - 0.2380 [2]. Precious Metal Futures - **Prices and Changes**: The domestic and foreign futures closing prices, spot prices, basis, and ratios of gold and silver are reported. For example, the AU2508 contract closed at 781.30 yuan/gram on June 23, with a gain of 0.35% [5]. - **Yields and Exchange Rates**: The yields of US Treasury bonds and exchange rates such as the US dollar index and offshore RMB exchange rate are also included, which can affect the prices of precious metals [5]. Shipping Industry Futures - **Spot Quotes**: The spot quotes of shipping companies such as MAERSK, CMA, and MSC are provided, along with the changes in shipping rates. For example, the MAERSK shipping rate decreased by 3.31% from June 23 to June 24 [8]. - **Index and Futures Prices**: The settlement price indices of shipping routes and the prices of shipping futures contracts are reported, as well as the basis of the main contract [8]. - **Fundamental Data**: Data on global container运力 supply, port - related indicators, overseas economic indicators, and OECD leading indicators are presented, which can help analyze the fundamentals of the shipping industry [9]. Data and Information - **Overseas Data**: Economic indicators such as the US first - quarter current account and June consumer confidence index are provided [11]. - **Domestic Data**: Economic indicators and events related to black and non - ferrous metals, energy chemicals, and special commodities in the domestic market are reported, such as port inventories of iron ore and manganese ore [11].
《金融》日报-20250623
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-06-23 01:43
| 股指期货价差日报 | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Z0016628 | 叶倩宁 | 2025年6月23日 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 品种 | 最新值 | 较前一日变化 | 历史1年分位数 | 全历史分位数 | 价差 | F期现价差 | -73.04 | -70.35 | 1.60% | 2.40% | | | | | | | H期现价差 | -32.00 | 1.60% | -38.32 | 0.60% | 期现价差 | IC期现价差 | -51.11 | -52.08 | 17.60% | 18.80% | IM期到价差 | 1.20% | -211.79 | -213.97 | 5.00% | | -44.80 | 5.80% | 次月-景月 | -2.80 | 0.40% | -75.60 ...
广发期货《金融》日报-20250619
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-06-19 02:25
| 股指期货价差日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 [2011] 1292号 | | | | | | | 2025年6月19日 | | | | 叶倩宁 | Z0016628 | | 价差 | 品种 | 服新值 | 较前一日变化 | 历史1年分位数 | 全历史分位数 | | | F期现价差 | -2.77 | -0.99 | 59.8096 | 53.20% | | 期现价差 | H期现价差 | -2.52 | 0.63 | 42.20% | 45.60% | | | IC期现价差 | -7.87 | -5.36 | 81.90% | 72.30% | | | IM期现价差 | -11.19 | 0.28 | 90.00% | 63.40% | | | 次月-当月 | -41.00 | 0.00 | 1.20% | 6.70% | | | 季月-崇月 | -70.60 | -1.20 | 10.6096 | 14.30% | | | 远月-当月 | -99.20 | 2.00 | 17.20% | 19.00% ...
《金融》日报-20250618
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-06-18 01:25
| 股指期货价差日报 | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Z0016628 | 叶倩宁 | 2025年6月18日 | 品种 | 最新值 | 历史1年分位数 | 全历史分位数 | | | | | | | | | | | 机关 | 较前一日变化 | 2.22 | IF期现价差 | -1.78 | 65.90% | 55.90% | | | | | | | | | | | H期现价差 | 3.46 | 38.90% | 42.70% | -3.15 | 期现价差 | 89.30% | 81.10% | IC期现价差 | -2.51 | 9.10 | -11.47 | IM期现价差 | 8.59 | 90.00% | 62.70% | | 1.20% | 次月-崇月 | -41.00 | 0.00 | 6.70% | 11.80% | 委員-录 ...
广发期货《金融》日报-20250616
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-06-16 08:39
Group 1: Stock Index Futures Spread Daily Report Core View - Presents the latest values, changes from the previous day, and historical percentiles of various stock index futures spreads and cross - variety ratios [1] Summary by Directory - **Futures - Spot Spread**: IF is - 7.78 (41.80% 1 - year, 40.00% all - time), IH is - 11.23 (- 2.16 change, 25.40% 1 - year, 19.50% all - time), IC is - 11.24 (8.69 change, 77.00% 1 - year, 67.00% all - time), IM is - 21.81 (13.61 change, 90.00% 1 - year, 48.30% all - time) [1] - **Inter - Delivery Spread**: For different contracts like next - month vs. current - month, season - month vs. current - month, far - month vs. current - month, values and changes are provided for IF, IH, IC, and IM [1] - **Cross - Variety Ratio**: Such as CSI 500/CSI 300 = 1.4855 (- 0.0046 change, 60.20% 1 - year, 41.10% all - time), IC/IF = 1.4856 (- 0.0027 change, 64.70% 1 - year, 59.30% all - time), etc. [1] Group 2: Treasury Bond Futures Spread Daily Report Core View - Shows the latest values, changes from the previous trading day, and percentiles since listing of various treasury bond futures spreads and basis [4] Summary by Directory - **Basis**: TS basis has an IRR of 1.7719 (- 0.0506 change, 33.90% percentile), TF basis has an IRR of 1.8376 (- 0.0358 change, 51.80% percentile), etc. [4] - **Inter - Delivery Spread**: For different contracts like current - season vs. next - season, values and changes are provided for TS, TF, T, and TL [4] - **Cross - Variety Spread**: Such as TS - TF = - 3.7110 (- 0.0300 change, 2.00% percentile), TF - T = - 2.8450 (0.0250 change, 1.40% percentile), etc. [4] Group 3: Precious Metals Spot - Futures Daily Report Core View - Provides information on domestic and foreign futures closing prices, spot prices, basis, price ratios, interest rates, exchange rates, inventory, and positions of precious metals [7] Summary by Directory - **Futures Closing Prices**: Domestic AU2508 contract is 794.36 yuan/g (1.17% increase), AG2508 contract is 8791 yuan/kg (- 0.32% decrease); foreign COMEX gold is 3452.60 dollars/ounce (1.36% increase), COMEX silver is 36.37 dollars/ounce (- 0.11% decrease) [7] - **Spot Prices**: London gold is 3433.35 dollars/ounce (1.40% increase), London silver is 36.29 dollars/ounce (- 0.13% decrease), etc. [7] - **Basis**: Gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract is - 3.50 (1.30 change, 12.40% 1 - year percentile), silver TD - Shanghai silver main contract is 2 (- 49 previous, 91.10% 1 - year percentile) [7] - **Price Ratios**: COMEX gold/silver is 94.93 (1.37 change, 1.47% increase), Shanghai Futures Exchange gold/silver is 90.36 (1.33 change, 1.49% increase) [7] - **Interest Rates and Exchange Rates**: 10 - year US Treasury yield is 4.41% (1.1% increase), 2 - year US Treasury yield is 3.96% (1.5% increase), etc. [7] - **Inventory and Positions**: Shanghai Futures Exchange gold inventory is 18177 kg (1.85% increase), COMEX silver inventory is 498460011 (0.05% increase), etc. [7] Group 4: Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Daily Report Core View - Displays spot quotes, index changes, futures prices, basis, and fundamental data of the container shipping industry [11][12] Summary by Directory - **Spot Quotes**: Shanghai - Europe future 6 - week freight rates for MAERSK is 2796 dollars/FEU (- 2.03% decrease), CMA is 3857 dollars/FEU (1.88% increase), etc. [12] - **Index Changes**: SCFIS (European route) is 1622.81 points (29.53% increase), SCFI comprehensive index is 2088.24 (- 6.79% decrease) [11] - **Futures Prices and Basis**: EC2602 is 1472.8 (2.07% increase), EC2508 (main contract) is 2068.0 (4.20% increase), basis (main contract) is - 315.1 (374.1 change, - 54.28% change) [11] - **Fundamental Data**: Global container shipping capacity supply is 3247.12 million TEU (0.00% change), Shanghai port on - time rate is 42.50 (46.45% increase), etc. [11] Group 5: Trading Calendar Core View - Lists overseas and domestic data and information sources and corresponding economic indicators or financial events [13] Summary by Directory - **Overseas Data/Info**: In the agricultural product sector, includes Brazil Secex weekly report, USDA crop growth and export inspection in the US, NOPA soybean crushing [13] - **Domestic Data/Info**: For macro data, includes 70 - city housing price report, national economic operation press conference, etc.; for different commodities like iron ore, black and non - ferrous metals, energy chemicals, etc., specific data such as shipments, inventories are provided [13]
广发期货《金融》日报-20250612
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-06-12 01:55
| 股指期货价差日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | | | | | | | 2025年6月12日 | | | | 叶倩宁 | Z0016628 | | 价差 | 品种 | 最新值 | 较前一日变化 | 历史1年分位数 | 全历史分位数 | | | F期现价差 | -15.83 | 8.64 | 29.90% | 26.60% | | 期现价差 | H期现价差 | -9.74 | 6.66 | 26.60% | 23.10% | | | IC期现价差 | -31.75 | 8.05 | 38.10% | 39.20% | | | IM期现价差 | -42.51 | 5.38 | 90.00% | 29.00% | | | 次月-当月 | -39.40 | -2.60 | 2.80% | 7.40% | | | 季月-当月 | -66.60 | 0.60 | 13.10% | 16.30% | | | 远月-当月 | -93.00 | 2.80 | 16.80% | 20.50% | | ...
《金融》日报-20250611
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-06-11 02:08
o eo 2025-05-09 2025-01-09 2025-03-09 2025-04-09 2025 - TS00-TS01 — TS00-TS02 — TS01-TS02 TL跨期价差 -0. AH 2025-04-09 2025-05-09 2025-01-09 2025-02-09 2025-03-09 | 股指期货价差日报 | | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 Z0016628 叶倩宁 | | 价差 品种 最新值 较前一日变化 历史1年分位数 | | F期现价差 -24.47 -7.02 25.00% 17.40% | | 期现价差 IC期现价差 -39.79 -0.54 30.20% | | 26.20% | | 次月-当月 -36.80 -1.20 6.50% 8.80% | | 李月-崇月 -67.20 -1.80 12.70% 16.00% 元月-当月 -95.80 2.00 15.90% 19.70% | | IF跨期价差 李月-次月 -30.40 -0.60 14.30% 21.50% | | 元月-次月 -59.00 3.20 33.10% 26 ...
《金融》日报-20250606
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-06-06 02:25
1.基差=CTD净价(中债估值)-期货结算价(主力合约)*转换因子 7 2.上市以来百分位数:基差部分指IRR自期货合约上市以来最新值的百分位数,其余均为价差最新值的百分位数 3.价差依据期货主力合约收盘价计算得出 | 股指期货价差日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | | | | | | | Z0016628 2025年6月6日 | | | | 叶倩宁 | | | 价差 较前一日变化 历史1年分位数 | 品种 | 最新值 | | | 全历史分位数 | | F期现价差 | | -25.56 | 0.79 | 23.70% | 16.60% | | 期现价差 | H期现价差 | -18.13 | -0.90 | 16.30% | 10.00% | | IC期现价差 | | -46.37 | 3.84 | 21.70% | 23.10% | | IM期现价差 | | -65.41 | 3.76 | 80.00% | 16.30% | | 次月-当月 | | -38.80 | 0.40 | 3 ...