"我知道我要选择谁。"当地时间11月30日，美国总统特朗普向媒体表示，他已经决定了下一任美联储主 席的人选。据彭博社报道，特朗普当天并未透露这一人选的名字，但明确表示，希望自己提名的人能够 降低利率。 哈塞特曾表示，如果被邀请，他会接受这一职位。但分析人士警告称，他可能难以团结美联储的利率决 策委员会，且更容易受到来自特朗普方面的压力。 现任美联储主席鲍威尔的任期将于2026年5月结束。此前，鲍威尔多次拒绝特朗普的降息要求，遭到后 者批评。特朗普曾几度威胁"辞退"鲍威尔，对市场造成负面冲击。 责任编辑：郭建 美国财政部长贝森特上周表示，特朗普可能会在12月25日圣诞节假期前宣布提名的人选。不过，美媒指 出，无论特朗普选择谁担任美联储主席，都需要再经参议院确认。 美媒认为，美国白宫经济顾问哈塞特是热门人选，他的经济观点与特朗普高度一致，包括认为需要进一 步降低利率。此前，美媒披露的热门候选人还包括美联储前理事沃什、现任美联储理事沃勒、美联储负 责监管事务的副主席鲍曼和贝莱德高管里克·里德等。 ...

Core Points - A federal appeals court ruled that President Donald Trump cannot fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook before the central bank's policy committee votes on interest rates [1][2] - The ruling allows Cook to participate in a crucial two-day meeting starting Tuesday morning [2] Summary by Sections - **Court Ruling**: The U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit issued a ruling that prevents Trump's attorneys from pausing a lower-court decision that barred Cook's firing while her lawsuit is ongoing [2] - **Impact on Federal Reserve**: Cook's ability to participate in the upcoming policy committee meeting is significant as it may influence decisions regarding interest rate adjustments [2]

Group 1: Employment Data - The U.S. added 22,000 jobs in August, with unemployment rising slightly to 4.3%, indicating a slowing economy [1] - The latest jobs figures were lower than economists' expectations, with July's figures revised up by 6,000 to 79,000 jobs added, while June's figures were revised down from 14,000 to a loss of 13,000, marking the first month of job loss since December 2020 [2] - Jobs in the movie and music industry fell by 7,600 to 401,000, while broadcasting jobs dropped by 300 to 333,700 [3] Group 2: Sector Performance - The largest job gains in August were in health care and social assistance, while employment in the federal government continued to decline [3] - There were drops in mining, quarrying, oil and gas extraction, and wholesale trade, with manufacturing jobs declining by 12,000, totaling a loss of 78,000 for the year [3] Group 3: Wage Trends - Average hourly earnings rose by 10 cents to $36.53, with hourly wages increasing by 3.7% over the past 12 months [4] Group 4: Federal Reserve Implications - The slowing economy is putting pressure on the Federal Reserve to consider lowering interest rates, as indicated by Chairman Jerome Powell [4]

Group 1 - Peter Navarro, a White House trade advisor, suggests that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is leaning towards the idea that he should not maintain interest rates at current levels due to President Trump's tariffs [1] - Navarro indicates that the restructuring of the board and the changing views of its members have increased pressure on Powell [2] - Trump has expressed his intention to appoint Stephen Miran to the board, which would align with two other dissenting members against Powell's stance on interest rate cuts [2] Group 2 - Trump has criticized Powell for being a "lame duck" and has expressed a desire to have a board majority that supports significant interest rate cuts [2] - Trump has threatened to fire Powell and is considering legal action against him for his management of the Federal Reserve [3] - Democratic leaders have condemned Trump's actions as an attempt to illegally influence the Federal Reserve, warning of potential permanent damage to the economy [3]

Group 1 - The core issue revolves around the succession of the Federal Reserve Chair, with former St. Louis Fed President Bullard indicating his willingness to advance the process in discussions with Treasury Secretary Mnuchin [1] - President Trump is critical of current Fed Chair Powell and seeks a successor who aligns with his policy views, particularly in favor of interest rate cuts to stimulate economic growth [3] - A candidate list is being compiled by Mnuchin, featuring financial elites including Bullard, NEC Director Hassett, former Fed Governor Warsh, current Fed Governor Waller, and former Bush economic advisor Summers, each with unique policy perspectives [3] Group 2 - Bullard supports lowering interest rates, arguing that tariffs do not directly cause inflation but may slow economic growth, suggesting that the Fed may adjust its monetary policy accordingly [4] - He emphasizes flexibility in monetary policy, advocating for different approaches based on economic conditions, such as raising rates during inflationary periods and potentially lowering them in times of economic downturn [5] - The future direction of the Fed's monetary policy and the selection of the new chair will remain a focal point for global financial markets [5]

Core Viewpoint - Trump has stated that Jerome Powell is "too late" and must now lower interest rates, suggesting a significant lawsuit against the Federal Reserve Chairman [1] Group 1 - Trump is advocating for a reduction in interest rates by the Federal Reserve, indicating a shift in monetary policy is necessary [1] - The suggestion of a major lawsuit against Powell highlights the increasing tensions between political figures and the Federal Reserve's decisions [1]

Core Viewpoint - President Trump has narrowed down the candidates for the next Federal Reserve Chair to four individuals, with Treasury Secretary Mnuchin voluntarily withdrawing from consideration [1] Group 1 - Treasury Secretary Mnuchin declined the opportunity to become the Federal Reserve Chair, preferring to continue his role as Treasury Secretary [1] - The candidates under consideration include White House Economic Council Director Hassett and former Federal Reserve Governor Warsh, both of whom support lowering interest rates [1] - Trump described Hassett and Warsh as "very good candidates" for the position [1]

Core Viewpoint - The resignation of Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler creates a significant vacancy within the Federal Reserve, potentially impacting future appointments and the timeline for the succession of current Chairman Jerome Powell [1] Group 1: Resignation Details - Adriana Kugler announced her resignation from the Federal Reserve Board, effective August 8, ahead of her term's original end date of January 31, 2026 [1] - Following her departure, Kugler will return to Georgetown University as a professor [1] Group 2: Implications for Federal Reserve Leadership - Kugler's early exit may disrupt the timeline surrounding the succession process for Chairman Jerome Powell, whose term ends in May next year [1] - President Trump has previously indicated intentions to dismiss Powell, advocating for significantly lower interest rates [1] - Trump has the authority to nominate a new Federal Reserve Governor to fill Kugler's vacancy, with speculation that he may choose a potential future chairman for this position [1]

Core Viewpoint - Trump has called for the Federal Reserve, led by Jerome Powell, to significantly lower interest rates, suggesting that if rates are not reduced, the Federal Reserve Board should take over management responsibilities [1] Group 1 - Trump emphasizes the necessity for a "substantial" interest rate cut by Powell [1] - The statement implies a potential shift in the management of the Federal Reserve if current policies do not change [1]

Core Viewpoint - The South African Reserve Bank has indicated an opportunity to lock in low inflation and pave the way for interest rate reductions [1] Group 1 - The central bank's statement suggests a favorable economic environment for controlling inflation [1] - The potential for lowering interest rates could stimulate economic growth and investment [1]