Core Insights - JinkoSolar, in collaboration with third-party organizations such as the Certification Center and TÜV NORD Group, released the first industry white paper on TOPCon technology and the Tiger Neo 3.0 commercial solution [1] - The white paper includes testing data from over 10 extreme environment power plants globally, showcasing the performance advantages of TOPCon technology [1] - TOPCon solar cells can achieve a mass production efficiency of 26.5% through a design that incorporates a tunneling oxide layer and doped polycrystalline silicon layer [1] - Future advancements in TOPCon technology, leveraging invisible busbar technology and perovskite tandem technology, could potentially push theoretical efficiency beyond 32.5% [1] - The General Manager of JinkoSolar's Technical Service Center emphasized that TOPCon technology will be the market leader in the present and the next five years [1]

Group 1: Company Performance and Financials - The company reported a 40.34% year-on-year decline in revenue for 2024, primarily due to a 65.68% decrease in income from traditional pollution control equipment and significant losses in the solar cell sales business [10] - The new solar product business generated revenue of 644 million CNY, accounting for 31.35% of total revenue, indicating rapid growth and diversification of income sources [10] - The company plans to enhance internal management and cost control to improve profitability and stabilize revenue growth [10] Group 2: Production and Technology - The company has launched its first TOPCon solar cell project, utilizing the mainstream TOPCon technology, which improves conversion efficiency by 0.2% and reduces non-silicon manufacturing costs [3][9] - The production capacity of the Ningguo project is set at 18GW, which began operations in December 2023, contributing to the company's overall production capabilities [12] - The company holds 262 patents, including 60 invention patents, and has seen a 29.75% increase in R&D personnel, enhancing its innovation capacity [5][2] Group 3: Market Strategy and Future Outlook - The company is focusing on expanding its market presence both domestically and internationally, with plans to establish a solar cell project in Mexico [8][12] - The dual strategy of "solar matching + solar products" aims to drive growth by leveraging synergies between its environmental equipment and solar product businesses [9] - The company is committed to responding to national carbon neutrality policies and has developed CCUS technology for industrial applications, which is expected to contribute to future revenue growth [6][10] Group 4: Corporate Governance and ESG Initiatives - The board of directors includes specialized committees with independent directors making up over 50%, ensuring professional oversight of corporate governance [6] - The company is actively pursuing ESG initiatives, including a carbon capture project in collaboration with a cement company, to enhance its sustainability profile [5][6]

Core Viewpoint - Longi Green Energy has undergone significant management changes, with founder Li Zhenguo resigning from his positions as director, general manager, and legal representative, while Chairman Zhong Baoshan will take over as general manager and legal representative [1][6][7] Management Changes - Li Zhenguo will focus on research and technology management as the head of the Central Research Institute and Chief Technology Officer, while Zhong Baoshan's new role aims to enhance decision-making and execution efficiency [4][6][11] - The management restructuring is designed to optimize decision-making processes and ensure strategic goals are effectively implemented [6][13] Financial Performance - As of May 26, Longi Green Energy's stock price was 14.99 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of 113.6 billion yuan [3] - The company has faced significant losses in 2024, with a 61% and 39% year-on-year decline in the prices of its main products, silicon wafers and modules, respectively, leading to an asset impairment loss of 8.7 billion yuan [14] - In the first quarter of 2024, the company reported a net loss of 1.436 billion yuan, although this represented a reduction in losses compared to previous periods [14] Industry Context - The photovoltaic industry is currently experiencing a deep adjustment phase, with many manufacturers, including Longi Green Energy, facing ongoing losses [5][14] - Longi Green Energy is betting on BC (Back Contact) battery technology during this technological iteration phase, which poses challenges for the company's leadership [5][11] - The company anticipates that the photovoltaic market will enter a phase of moderate growth from 2025 to 2026, with demand expected to remain stable or slightly increase compared to the previous year [15] Governance Structure - The new board of directors will include several new members, including Li Zhenguo's daughter, Li Shuxuan, which is expected to enhance the company's governance and decision-making capabilities [8][9] - The restructuring of the board aims to broaden decision-making perspectives and provide diversified support in a complex competitive environment [9]

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is gradually transitioning from losses to breakeven and then to profitability, as indicated by the exit of some cross-industry photovoltaic companies from market competition [1] Company Performance - JinkoSolar reported a revenue of 92.47 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decline of 22.08%, and a net profit of 9.893 million yuan, down 98.67% year-on-year [1] - In Q1 2025, JinkoSolar's revenue and net profit fell by 40.03% and 218.20% year-on-year, respectively, marking a significant decline in profitability [1] - Despite the overall losses in the photovoltaic sector, JinkoSolar was one of the few companies to remain profitable in 2024, but it began to incur losses in Q4 2024, amounting to 1.116 billion yuan [3] Financial Comparison - In Q1 2025, JinkoSolar's revenue was 13.84 billion yuan with a net loss of 1.39 billion yuan, while its peers, JA Solar, Trina Solar, and LONGi Green Energy, showed signs of reduced losses [2][3] - The total revenue for the four major photovoltaic companies in Q1 2025 was 52.5 billion yuan, with a combined net loss of 5.784 billion yuan, indicating a 42.15% reduction in losses compared to the previous quarter [2] Market Dynamics - JinkoSolar's declining performance is attributed to a significant drop in component delivery prices and a decrease in high-priced overseas orders, leading to a gross margin drop from 15.7% in Q3 to 3.6% in Q4 2024 [3] - The company has faced challenges due to low prices across the photovoltaic supply chain and changes in overseas trade policies, which have pressured profit levels [3] Production and Capacity - JinkoSolar has shipped over 320 GW of photovoltaic modules globally, with a focus on N-type TOPCon technology, achieving an average efficiency of over 26.6% [4] - In Q1 2025, JinkoSolar's total shipment volume was 19,130 MW, a 12.68% decrease year-on-year, with expectations to increase shipments to 20-25 GW in Q2 2025 [4] Financial Health - As of March 2025, JinkoSolar's debt-to-asset ratio was 72.72%, with interest-bearing liabilities totaling 34.877 billion yuan, indicating significant short-term repayment pressure [5] - The company's operating cash flow decreased by 68.3% year-on-year to 7.867 billion yuan in 2024, and turned negative in Q1 2025, highlighting operational funding challenges [6] Strategic Expansion - JinkoSolar has aggressively expanded its production capacity, with plans for a 560 billion yuan investment in a comprehensive production base, but faced delays and financial challenges due to market conditions [7][8] - The company has experienced setbacks, including a fire incident that resulted in a loss exceeding 646 million yuan in Q1 2024, and ongoing funding issues that have delayed project progress [8] Industry Outlook - The TOPCon technology remains the mainstream in the photovoltaic sector, but there are concerns about its potential obsolescence as new technologies emerge [10]

证 券 研 究 报 告 晶科能源（688223）2024 年报及 2025 年一季报点评 推荐（维持） 组件出货量领跑行业，技术升级增强竞争优势 事项： 公司研究 评论： [主要财务指标 ReportFinancialIndex] | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 92,471 | 87,212 | 106,664 | 79,211 | | 同比增速(%) | -22.1% | -5.7% | 22.3% | -25.7% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 99 | 420 | 1,778 | 3,890 | | 同比增速(%) | -98.7% | 324.6% | 323.2% | 118.8% | | 每股盈利(元) | 0.01 | 0.04 | 0.18 | 0.39 | | 市盈率(倍) | 583 | 137 | 32 | 15 | | 市净率(倍) | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 资料来源：公司公告，华创证券预测 注：股价为 2025 年 5 月 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a target price of 7.11 CNY based on a projected PE of 40x for 2026 [4][8]. Core Views - The company leads the industry in module shipments, with a cumulative global shipment of over 300GW by the end of 2024, and a projected shipment of 20-25GW in Q2 2025 [8]. - The company is experiencing pressure on profitability due to low-price orders and the ramp-up of new production capacity, which has affected gross margins [8]. - The company is focusing on technology upgrades, with significant advancements in battery efficiency and the introduction of innovative solar module technologies [8]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 92,471 million CNY, a decrease of 22.1% year-on-year, with a net profit of 99 million CNY, down 98.7% year-on-year [4][8]. - The gross margin for 2024 is expected to be 7.34%, a decline of 6.7 percentage points compared to the previous year [8]. - The company anticipates a recovery in net profit, projecting 420 million CNY for 2025, with significant growth expected in subsequent years [4][8]. Market Position - The company has maintained its position as the global leader in solar module shipments, with a strong focus on expanding its energy storage business, targeting a shipment of 6GWh in 2025 [8]. - The company’s technological advancements include achieving an average efficiency of over 26.7% for battery production and introducing high-efficiency solar modules with power ratings exceeding 650W [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, with a target price of 17.1 CNY [2][5]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve steady growth in component shipments, with a target of 70-75 GW for 2025, while balancing volume and profitability [5]. - The company has faced significant challenges in 2024, with a revenue decline of 29.2% year-on-year, resulting in a net loss of 3.44 billion CNY [5]. - The report highlights the company's focus on technological advancements, including the development of high-efficiency N-type bifacial i-TOPCon batteries and perovskite/silicon tandem cells [5]. - The diversification of business operations, including energy storage and photovoltaic support structures, is seen as a strategy to enhance overall competitiveness [5]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 80.28 billion CNY, with a year-on-year decline of 29.2% [4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be -3.44 billion CNY in 2024, with a significant recovery anticipated in 2026 and 2027 [4]. - The company’s gross margin for 2024 is forecasted at 9.59%, down 6.26 percentage points year-on-year [5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be -1.58 CNY for 2024, improving to 0.85 CNY by 2026 [4]. Business Development - The company achieved over 70 GW in component shipments in 2024, with 64.5 GW exported, marking an 18% increase year-on-year [5]. - The energy storage segment shipped 4.3 GWh in 2024, with expectations for rapid growth in 2025 as the company expands its market reach [5]. - The company is establishing a smart tracking manufacturing facility in Saudi Arabia, aiming to secure a larger share of the global market [5].

Core Viewpoint - JinkoSolar, a leading photovoltaic module manufacturer, is facing significant operational and financial pressure, with a notable decline in revenue and profits in the first quarter of 2024, marking its first loss in nearly a decade [1][3][8]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2024, JinkoSolar's total shipment volume was 19,130 MW, a year-on-year decrease of 12.68% [1][7]. - The company reported revenue of approximately 13.8 billion yuan, down about 40% year-on-year [1][2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was a loss of 1.39 billion yuan, with a non-recurring net profit loss of 1.866 billion yuan [1][2]. - For the full year 2024, the company expects a net profit of 99 million yuan, but a non-recurring net profit loss exceeding 900 million yuan [1][2]. Debt and Financial Pressure - As of the end of Q1 2024, JinkoSolar's interest-bearing debt was approximately 34.877 billion yuan, an increase of 3.654 billion yuan from the beginning of the year [1][3]. - The company's financial expenses for Q1 2024 were 224 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of over 50% [1][3]. - The asset-liability ratio was 72.72% at the end of Q1 2024, indicating rising financial pressure [3]. Operational Challenges - JinkoSolar's cash flow from operations was negative 2.62 billion yuan in Q1 2024, a decline of 323.43% year-on-year [4][8]. - The company is seeking to list in Germany, which would make it the first photovoltaic company listed in A-shares, the U.S., and Germany [4]. Expansion and Market Position - JinkoSolar has been aggressively expanding, announcing a 56 billion yuan investment project to build a vertically integrated production base with a capacity of 56 GW [5][6]. - The company has maintained its position as a global leader in module shipments, with cumulative shipments exceeding 300 GW by the end of 2024 [5]. - JinkoSolar's N-type TOPCon module shipments accounted for 85% of its total shipments in 2024, positioning it as a key player in this technology [5][7]. Future Outlook - The company’s R&D investment in 2024 was 4.407 billion yuan, a decrease of approximately 36% year-on-year [8]. - The future of JinkoSolar remains uncertain, with market attention focused on its ability to navigate the current downturn and maintain cash flow while enhancing innovation and competitiveness [8].

Core Viewpoint - Longi Green Energy has faced significant challenges in 2024, reporting its worst losses in company history due to industry-wide price declines and operational missteps, but is now pivoting towards BC technology to recover in the coming years [1][3][4]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Longi Green Energy reported a revenue of 82.583 billion yuan, with a net loss of 8.618 billion yuan, marking a 100.25% year-on-year decrease in net profit [3][4]. - The company’s operating costs decreased to 76.440 billion yuan, a reduction of 27.54% compared to 2023, with management expenses down by 49.15% [4]. - The total number of employees was reduced by nearly half to 37,853 by the end of 2024, reflecting the company's cost-cutting measures [4]. Industry Context - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a significant downturn, with prices for polysilicon, silicon wafers, battery cells, and modules dropping approximately 39%, 50%, 30%, and 30% respectively in 2024 [3][4]. - A total of 110 A-share photovoltaic companies are projected to achieve a combined revenue of approximately 1.38 trillion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 17.96% [3]. Strategic Initiatives - Longi Green Energy is focusing on the BC technology, aiming for a production capacity of 35 GW by June 2025 and 50 GW by the end of the year, with a target of over 25% for BC component shipments in 2024 [5][6]. - The company has invested approximately 5 billion yuan in R&D in 2024, representing 6% of its revenue, and holds over 3,342 patents, including more than 400 related to BC technology [6][7]. Market Position and Future Outlook - The BC technology is gaining traction, with Longi Green Energy and other major players like Aiko Solar beginning to showcase BC components, indicating a maturation of the technology [7]. - The efficiency of Longi's HPBC 2.0 components has reached 24.8%, the highest in the industry, and the company anticipates that BC technology will achieve cost parity with TOPCon technology within a year [5][8].

Core Viewpoint - JinkoSolar's 2024 annual report reveals significant declines in revenue and profit, highlighting severe challenges in the photovoltaic industry in 2024 [1][4]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The total revenue for JinkoSolar in 2024 was 92.471 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 22.08% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was only 99 million yuan, a dramatic decline of 98.67% year-on-year [1]. - The non-recurring net profit showed a loss of 932 million yuan, a year-on-year drop of 113.50% [1]. - The company's gross profit margin for the year was only 7.79%, down 5.76 percentage points year-on-year [4]. - In the silicon wafer and battery segments, the gross profit margins were -27.24% and -23.41%, respectively, indicating significant losses in these areas [4]. Group 2: Industry Challenges - The decline in revenue and profit is attributed to low prices across the photovoltaic industry's supply chain and disruptions in demand due to changes in overseas trade policies [4]. - Despite an 18.28% year-on-year increase in module shipments to 92.87 GW, this growth did not translate into profit improvements [4]. Group 3: Technological Innovation and Global Expansion - JinkoSolar has made progress in technological innovation, with the average efficiency of mass-produced high-efficiency N-type TOPCon batteries exceeding 26.6% [5]. - The laboratory efficiency of perovskite tandem batteries based on N-type TOPCon has reached 34.22% [5]. - In terms of global expansion, nearly 70% of JinkoSolar's component sales in 2024 came from overseas markets, with significant growth in the Middle East and Southeast Asia [5]. - The company is collaborating with Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund and Vision Industries Company on a 10 GW high-efficiency battery and module project, expected to gradually commence production in the second half of 2026 [5]. Group 4: Future Outlook - JinkoSolar anticipates a 17% growth in global photovoltaic installations in 2025, with TOPCon technology expected to remain dominant in the market [6]. - The company plans to complete upgrades for over 40% of its production capacity by 2025, aiming to establish 40-50 GW of high-power TOPCon capacity by the end of the year [6]. - However, uncertainties regarding industry recovery, downward pressure on photovoltaic module prices, changes in overseas trade policies, and global economic conditions may significantly impact the company's performance [6].