在全球光伏行业面临周期性挑战的背景下，一批掌握前沿技术的企业正通过创新驱动实现业绩突围。2025年上半年光伏企业财报显 示，尽管行业整体依然承压，绝大多数企业净利润同比下滑或亏损增加，但以隆基绿能、爱旭股份为代表的BC（背接触）技术路线企业却 实现亏损大幅收窄，展现出新质生产力在产业转型中的核心价值。 技术领先企业业绩逆势向好 财报数据显示，2025年上半年爱旭股份海外营业收入36.25亿元，毛利率为8.09%；2025年上半年，隆基绿能海外营业收入124.1亿元， 毛利率为4.77%，两家企业主要依赖于BC技术在海外的溢价能力得以减亏，相信随着国内反内卷态势的逐步转变，BC技术在国内的溢价能 力将得到进一步提升，将进一步修复企业利润率。 技术突破与产能结构优化协同发展 BC技术作为光伏新质生产力的代表，技术的持续突破和市场化应用，不仅为企业带来了业绩改善，也为整个行业提供了高质量发展新 路径，正推动行业从价格竞争向价值竞争转型。在反内卷的政策导向下，光伏行业正迎来从"规模扩张"向"质量提升"的战略转型。这一转 型的核心在于通过增大优质产能份额，鼓励科技创新，推动低效产能有效去化，最终实现行业高质量发展软着陆 ...

电力设备及新能源 2025 年 08 月 26 日 隆基绿能(601012.SH) 财务状况稳健，BC放量可期 推荐（维持） 股价：16.77 元 证券分析师 皮秀 投资咨询资格编号 S1060517070004 PIXIU809@pingan.com.cn 事项： 公司发布 2025 年半年报，上半年实现营收 328.13 亿元，同比减少 14.83%，归 母净利润-25.69 亿元，同比增长 50.88%，扣非后净利润-33.04 亿元，同比增长 37.38%。 平安观点： | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 129,498 | 82,582 | 69,937 | 79,404 | 92,276 | | YOY(%) | 0.4 | -36.2 | -15.3 | 13.5 | 16.2 | | 净利润(百万元) | 10,751 | -8,618 | -3,667 | 2,210 | 4,998 | | YOY(%) | -27.4 | -180.2 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights TCL Zhonghuan's stock performance and its strategic focus on BC technology in the photovoltaic industry [1] - As of August 25, 2025, TCL Zhonghuan's stock price was 8.53 yuan, with a trading volume of 1.0193 million hands and a transaction amount of 869 million yuan [1] - The company reported a revenue of 13.4 billion yuan and an operating cash flow of 1.1 billion yuan in the first half of 2025 [1] Group 2 - TCL Zhonghuan has three component production bases with a total capacity of approximately 24 GW, producing products including bifacial, half-cell, and BC technology [1] - The management indicated that BC technology has become a significant strategic direction, with plans to expand overseas production capacity [1] - The company is currently monitoring industry consolidation opportunities and has the financial capacity to participate in mergers and acquisitions [1] Group 3 - The industry has seen a recovery in silicon wafer prices during July and August, with recent increases in component bidding prices [1] - On the same day, the main funds experienced a net outflow of 101 million yuan, with a cumulative net outflow of 54.0941 million yuan over the past five trading days [2]

由于美国加码贸易保护政策，或对公司美国市场拓展及整体出货结构造成不利影响，我们下调电池组件 业务单价及毛利率假设，预计公司25-27 年归母净利为-30.08/69.59/80.24 亿元（较前值下降 40.33%/13.12%/10.99%）。 国内反内卷进展顺利，有望驱动产业链盈利修复，公司在手资金充足，BC量产加速推进，维持"买 入"评级。可比公司26 年Wind 一致预期均值20.75x，考虑到公司BC 产能处于爬坡阶段，降本提效有待 持续验证，我们给予公司26 年20.75xPE 估值（与可比公司平价），对应目标价19.09 元（前值16.96 元，对应25 年16xPE）。 风险提示：海外政策风险、下游需求不及预期、BC 技术发展不及预期等。 BC2.0 量产加速推进，预计25 年末产能占比超60%公司加速推进BC2.0 量产，先进产能稳步爬坡，电池 量产量率达97%，组件量产转换效率达24.8%。BC 技术市场渗透率提升，25H1 签单量快速增长，25H1 出货约4GW。公司加快先进产能建设，截至 25H1 末，BC2.0自有电池产能达24GW，陕西西咸新区、 铜川电池产能已逐步投产，渭北项目稳 ...

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is facing significant challenges due to falling market prices below cost levels, leading to a situation where companies are increasing output without corresponding revenue growth. Longi Green Energy has managed to reduce losses significantly through operational efficiency improvements and technological innovation, particularly with its differentiated BC technology [1][2]. Industry Overview - In the first half of 2025, the national photovoltaic installed capacity increased by 212.21 GW, a year-on-year growth of 107%. However, the manufacturing sector is under pressure, with battery and module production growth rates dropping below 15%, and some segments like polysilicon and wafers experiencing negative growth. The industry is characterized by structural overcapacity and homogeneous competition, leading to a vicious cycle of "expansion-price reduction-loss" [2]. - The industry is currently in a state of overall loss, with frequent occurrences of low-price bidding and misleading power ratings disrupting market order and hindering technological innovation and sustainable development [2]. Company Performance - Longi Green Energy achieved an operating revenue of 32.813 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, significantly reducing losses by 2.661 billion yuan compared to the previous year. This improvement is attributed to a substantial decrease in sales and management expenses, as well as a reduction in asset impairment losses [1]. - The company shipped approximately 4 GW of its second-generation BC modules globally, particularly excelling in high-value markets such as Europe and Asia-Pacific [2]. Technological Innovation - Longi's HPBC 2.0 technology has reached full-scale production, with module conversion efficiency at 24.8% and a stable yield above 97%. The HIBC module has achieved a production efficiency of 25.9%, breaking the 700W power threshold, making it the highest efficiency industrial photovoltaic product globally [4]. - The company has invested significantly in R&D, holding over 3,500 patents, including 480 related to BC technology, covering key areas such as passivated contact technology and metallization [2][4]. Cost Reduction and Efficiency Improvement - Longi has implemented management streamlining and process efficiency improvements, resulting in a significant reduction in sales and management expenses by 37% and 23%, respectively. The company has also focused on agile product development, reducing inventory turnover days by 26 days [6]. - The company has maintained a high safety margin in financial reserves, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 60.72% and a interest-bearing debt ratio of 21.45%, showcasing its financial health and resilience in navigating industry challenges [7]. Policy and Market Direction - Recent government discussions have emphasized the need to regulate low-price competition and promote product quality, indicating a shift from quantity growth to quality breakthroughs in the photovoltaic industry. Longi Green Energy, with its differentiated BC technology, is positioned as a strong supporter of high-quality development in the sector [7].

Core Insights - Longi Green Energy reported a revenue of 32.813 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 14.83% [1] - The company recorded a net profit attributable to shareholders of -2.569 billion yuan, although this represents a significant reduction in losses by 2.661 billion yuan compared to the same period last year [1] - The primary reason for the losses was the decline in prices of key products such as modules and silicon wafers [1] Group 1: Technology and Innovation - Longi Green Energy has strengthened its R&D efforts, achieving over 3,500 authorized patents, including 480 related to Back Contact (BC) technology [1] - The company has seen rapid development in BC technology, with approximately 4 GW of second-generation BC modules shipped globally, particularly excelling in high-value markets in Europe and Asia-Pacific [1] - The HPBC2.0 technology has achieved mass production with a module conversion efficiency of 24.8% and a stable yield of over 97% [2] Group 2: Production Capacity and Collaboration - The self-owned battery capacity for HPBC2.0 has reached 24 GW, with production gradually commencing in Shaanxi province [2] - Collaborative production capacities with partners such as Yingfa Derui and Pingmei Longi have started to be released [2] - Longi Green Energy is focused on building a BC technology ecosystem through a combination of industry collaboration, patent layout, and confidentiality protection [1]

Core Viewpoint - Longi Green Energy reported a significant reduction in losses for the first half of 2025, with a net profit loss of 2.569 billion yuan, an improvement of over 50% compared to the previous year's loss of 5.231 billion yuan, primarily due to operational efficiency and reduced asset impairment losses [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company achieved operating revenue of 32.813 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14.83% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was -2.569 billion yuan, showing a substantial reduction in losses compared to the previous year [1] Group 2: Technological Advancements - Longi Green Energy's BC technology has established a global reputation for being "efficient, aesthetically pleasing, and reliable," with HPBC 2.0 technology achieving a conversion efficiency of 24.8% and stable yield rates above 97% [2] - The HIBC components have reached a mass production efficiency of 25.9%, with power output exceeding 700W, making it the highest efficiency industrial photovoltaic product globally [2] - The company has over 3,500 authorized patents, including 480 related to BC technology, covering key areas such as passivated contact technology and metallization [2] Group 3: Industry Context - The photovoltaic industry is currently facing challenges due to price declines and a difficult operating environment, with a need for differentiation and technological innovation to overcome the "involution" phenomenon [1][3] - Recent policy signals indicate a shift towards quality breakthroughs in the photovoltaic sector, aiming to curb low-price competition and promote technological innovation [3]

Core Insights - Longi Green Energy reported a significant reduction in net loss for the first half of the year, achieving a net loss of 2.569 billion yuan, a decrease of 50.9% compared to the previous year's loss of 5.231 billion yuan [1][3] - The company's operating revenue decreased by 14.83% year-on-year to 32.813 billion yuan, reflecting the ongoing challenges in the photovoltaic industry [1][2] - The improvement in financial performance is attributed to a substantial reduction in sales and management expenses, as well as a significant decrease in asset impairment losses [3] Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of the year was 32.813 billion yuan, down from 38.529 billion yuan in the same period last year [2] - The net loss attributable to shareholders was 2.569 billion yuan, compared to a loss of 5.231 billion yuan in the previous year [2] - The net cash outflow from operating activities was 484 million yuan, a significant improvement from a net outflow of 6.413 billion yuan in the same period last year [3] Operational Efficiency - The company achieved a silicon wafer shipment of 52.08 GW, with external sales of 24.72 GW, and a battery module shipment of 41.85 GW [2] - Sales expenses decreased by 37% and management expenses decreased by 23%, indicating improved operational efficiency [3] - The company is focusing on the BC technology route, with HPBC2.0 product shipments reaching approximately 4 GW and a conversion efficiency of 24.8% [3] Market Expansion - Longi Green Energy has seen a significant increase in overseas silicon wafer sales, with a year-on-year growth of over 70% in markets such as Spain, Australia, and Romania [4] - The company is adapting to the complex international trade environment by adjusting its global layout and shifting focus to emerging markets to mitigate risks [4] - The penetration rate of Tai Rui silicon wafers in the export of N-type silicon wafers has reached 90% [4]

Core Viewpoint - Longi Green Energy is actively advancing in the BC technology sector, establishing partnerships within the industry chain to enhance ecosystem development and has launched a new subsidiary to expand its business footprint [1] Group 1: Company Developments - As of August 6, 2025, Longi Green Energy's stock price is 15.94 yuan, reflecting a 0.13% increase from the previous trading day, with a trading volume of 688 million yuan [1] - The company has made breakthroughs in BC battery technology and plans to increase its BC production capacity to 50 GW by the end of 2025 [1] - Longi Green Energy has emphasized its strategic layout for BC technology at the 2025 BC Eco-Innovation Summit and has formed collaborations with multiple industry chain enterprises [1] - The company has established a wholly-owned subsidiary, Alashan Right Banner Source Energy New Energy Co., Ltd., which will focus on solar and wind power technology services [1] Group 2: Financial Insights - On August 6, 2025, the net outflow of main funds was 13.91 million yuan, with a cumulative net outflow of 279 million yuan over the past five days [1]

Summary of Conference Call Industry or Company Involved - The conference call primarily discusses the photovoltaic (PV) industry, specifically focusing on the silicon and electronic materials sectors, as well as companies like Foster and Light Technology. Core Points and Arguments 1. **Industry Outlook**: The PV industry is expected to see healthier growth in the next two to three years, particularly in the context of domestic demand recovery and supply chain adjustments [1][2]. 2. **Silicon Pricing**: Recent pricing trends indicate an increase in the price of polysilicon from 42 RMB per kilogram to 44 RMB per kilogram, reflecting a positive market response [3][4]. 3. **Market Dynamics**: The overall average price remains stable around 44 RMB, with small orders dominating the market. The pricing situation is influenced by demand uncertainties but is expected to improve as domestic projects ramp up [4][5]. 4. **Supply Chain Adjustments**: The industry is experiencing a recovery in pricing, with expectations that future pricing will exceed the full cost line due to supply-side reforms and inventory management [5][6]. 5. **Performance of Major Companies**: Companies like Longzhiyuan are anticipated to gain market share due to improved operational efficiencies, with overall performance expected to improve as the industry recovers [7][8]. 6. **Profitability Pressures**: The profitability of upstream companies is under pressure due to declining prices of raw materials, which are falling faster than the prices of finished products [8][9]. 7. **Diversification Opportunities**: Companies are encouraged to explore new business opportunities beyond traditional PV operations, such as electronic materials and new energy vehicle sectors, to mitigate risks associated with the PV market [9][10]. Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - The discussion emphasizes the importance of monitoring the progress of supply-side reforms and the potential impact on pricing and profitability across the industry [5][6]. - There is a mention of ongoing discussions regarding storage and supply chain reforms, indicating that the industry is still in a transitional phase [5][6]. - The call highlights the significance of new business ventures for companies in the PV sector, suggesting that diversification could be a key strategy for future growth [9][10].