Core Viewpoint - Construction Bank's key operating indicators stabilized and improved in the first half of 2025, with a slight increase in operating income but a decrease in net profit [2] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Construction Bank achieved operating income of 394.273 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.15% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 162.076 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.37% [2] - The bank has distributed over 1.3 trillion yuan in dividends since its listing and plans to maintain a 30% dividend payout ratio for the mid-year distribution in 2025 [2] Group 2: Loan Allocation - Construction Bank's loan growth was steady and balanced, with significant advantages in the retail loan market, including personal housing loans, personal consumption loans, and credit card loans [4] - As of the end of June, the bank's technology loan balance was 5.15 trillion yuan, up 16.81% from the end of the previous year; strategic emerging industry loans were 3.39 trillion yuan; green loans were 5.72 trillion yuan, up 14.88%; and digital economy core industry loans were 852.377 billion yuan, up 13.44% [4] - The bank actively supported national key regional strategies, with rapid loan growth in key areas such as Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, the Yangtze River Delta, the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, and Chengdu-Chongqing [4] Group 3: Interest Margin Outlook - The bank's CFO noted a 45 basis point decline in asset yield due to the impact of last year's LPR reduction and this year's interest rate cuts [8] - The deposit interest rate decreased by 32 basis points, and the overall liability interest rate fell by 34 basis points [8] - The bank expects the decline in net interest margin to gradually narrow due to the lagging effects of interest rate adjustments [8] Group 4: Risk Management - As of June 2025, the non-performing loan ratio was 1.33%, a decrease of 0.01 percentage points from the end of the previous year, while the ratio of special mention loans was 1.81%, down 0.08 percentage points [10] - The bank's provision coverage ratio improved to 239.40%, up 5.8 percentage points from the end of the previous year, indicating strong risk mitigation capabilities [10] - The bank is focused on managing risks in the real estate sector while ensuring reasonable financing needs are met [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has shown an improvement in revenue growth and capital strength, with a reported operating income of 329 billion and a year-on-year growth of 3.8% for the first half of 2025 [2][3] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is 117.6 billion, reflecting a slight decline of 0.9% year-on-year, but the decline has narrowed compared to the first quarter [3] - The weighted average return on equity (ROE) stands at 9.11%, down by 0.47 percentage points year-on-year [2] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - The company's revenue and pre-provision operating profit (PPOP) growth rates for the first half of the year are 3.8% and 0.4%, respectively, showing an improvement from the first quarter [3] - Non-interest income has significantly increased by 26.4%, contributing to 34.7% of total revenue, which is a 6.2 percentage point increase from the previous year [3][7] Asset and Loan Growth - As of the end of the second quarter, the company's interest-earning assets and loans have grown by 8.7% and 9.1% year-on-year, respectively, with a notable increase in loan issuance in key sectors [3][4] - The company has focused on lending to strategic emerging industries, private enterprises, and green loans, with significant growth rates in these areas [4] Liability and Deposit Growth - The growth rate of interest-bearing liabilities has improved, with retail and corporate deposits increasing by 8.4% and 8.2% year-on-year, respectively [5] - The proportion of deposits to interest-bearing liabilities is 78.6%, slightly down from the previous quarter [5] Interest Margin and Non-Interest Income - The net interest margin is reported at 1.26%, a decrease of 3 basis points from the first quarter, but the company expects resilience in the margin due to effective cost control [6] - Non-interest income has shown robust growth, with significant contributions from fees, commissions, and other non-interest revenues [7] Asset Quality and Capital Adequacy - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio has decreased to 1.24%, indicating improved asset quality [8] - The company has successfully completed a capital increase of 165 billion, enhancing its capital adequacy ratios significantly [8] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025-2027 is set at 0.76, 0.79, and 0.81 yuan, respectively, with the current stock price corresponding to a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.68, 0.63, and 0.59 [9][10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A-shares and H-shares of Postal Savings Bank, with current prices at 6.04 CNY and 5.41 HKD respectively [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights an increase in non-interest income contribution, with total revenue and net profit growth observed in the first half of 2025. Total revenue reached 179.4 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 1.5%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 49.2 billion CNY, up 0.9% year-on-year [3][4]. Revenue and Profitability - Revenue growth improved sequentially, with non-interest income's share rising to 22.5%. The year-on-year growth rates for revenue, pre-provision operating profit (PPOP), and net profit attributable to shareholders were 1.5%, 14.6%, and 0.9% respectively, showing improvements from the first quarter [4]. - Interest income decreased by 2.7% year-on-year, while non-interest income grew by 19.1%, indicating a shift towards more diversified income sources [4][9]. Loan and Asset Management - As of the end of Q2, the bank's interest-earning assets and loans grew by 10.7% and 10.1% year-on-year, respectively, with a notable increase in loan issuance [5]. - The loan structure showed significant growth in corporate loans, particularly in sectors like water conservancy and public facilities, which accounted for 19.1% of the total increase [6]. Liability and Deposit Management - The growth rate of interest-bearing liabilities increased to 10.6%, with total deposits growing by 8.4% year-on-year. The bank has optimized its deposit management strategy to enhance low-cost funding [7]. Interest Margin and Cost Management - The net interest margin slightly narrowed to 1.7%, with asset yields declining due to lower interest rates on new loans and existing loan repricing [8]. - The bank's proactive cost management strategies have led to a reduction in funding costs, benefiting from lower deposit rates [8]. Non-Interest Income Growth - Non-interest income saw a substantial increase of 19.1% year-on-year, driven by growth in fees and commissions as well as other non-interest income sources [9]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remained low at 0.92%, with a slight increase from the previous quarter. The bank's asset quality indicators, including the NPL generation rate, showed stability [10][29]. Capital Adequacy - The bank successfully completed a 130 billion CNY A-share placement, enhancing its capital base. As of Q2, the core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio improved to 10.52% [11]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The report maintains earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025-2027 at 0.74, 0.75, and 0.78 CNY, with corresponding price-to-book (PB) ratios for A-shares at 0.79, 0.74, and 0.70 [12][33].

Core Viewpoint - Construction Bank's mid-year performance shows positive growth in both operating income and pre-provision profit, driven by strategic measures to enhance financial supply and risk management [1][5]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Non-interest income reached 107.56 billion yuan, an increase of 17.66 billion yuan, or 19.64%, year-on-year, accounting for 27.28% of total operating income [5]. - The net interest margin for the first half was 1.40%, down 0.14 percentage points from the same period last year, with expectations for a gradual narrowing of the decline in future quarters [3]. - Average annual cost rate of deposits decreased by 32 basis points compared to the same period last year, indicating effective cost management [3]. Group 2: Strategic Measures - The bank implemented four key measures: enhancing balanced development capabilities, accelerating the cultivation of new growth drivers, improving comprehensive cost management, and solidifying risk control foundations [1]. - The bank is focusing on optimizing asset allocation by controlling low-yield assets and increasing investments in higher-yield loans and bonds [3]. Group 3: Loan Growth and Market Strategy - The introduction of personal consumption loan interest subsidy policies is expected to lower borrowing costs and stimulate growth in personal and service industry loans [4]. - Infrastructure-related loans grew faster than the average for corporate loans, with a 0.23 percentage point increase year-on-year, supported by national key projects and special bond usage [4]. - The bank's second-hand housing loan issuance ranked first in the industry, with a year-on-year increase of over 20%, contributing significantly to overall loan growth [6].

Core Viewpoint - The six major banks reported a total operating income of 1.81 trillion yuan for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.05%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 0.13% to 682.52 billion yuan [1][3]. Financial Performance - All six banks achieved positive growth in operating income, but net profit showed a mixed trend with three banks experiencing declines [1][3]. - The operating income of the six banks was 1.81 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 2.05%, while the net profit totaled 682.52 billion yuan, down 0.13% from the previous year [3][6]. - China Bank led in revenue growth with an increase of 3.76%, reaching 329 billion yuan, driven by a significant rise of 26.43% in non-interest income [3][6]. Revenue Structure - The revenue structure of the six banks has shifted, with non-interest income increasing its share [3][6]. - The non-interest income of China Bank reached 114.19 billion yuan, accounting for 34.71% of total revenue, up 6.23 percentage points year-on-year [3][6]. Profitability - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) reported a net profit of 168.10 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.40%, while Agricultural Bank of China saw a profit increase of 2.66% to 139.51 billion yuan [6][7]. - The net profit of the six banks showed a decline for ICBC, China Construction Bank, and China Bank, while Agricultural Bank, Postal Savings Bank, and Bank of Communications reported slight increases [6][7]. Asset Quality - The asset quality of the six banks remained stable, with non-performing loan ratios at low levels [16][17]. - Postal Savings Bank had the lowest non-performing loan ratio at 0.92%, despite a slight increase [17]. Net Interest Margin - The net interest margin for the six banks decreased, with Postal Savings Bank at 1.70%, down 21 basis points year-on-year [19][20]. - The net interest margin for China Bank was 1.26%, reflecting an 18 basis point decline, attributed to factors such as the continuous decline in LPR and adjustments in mortgage rates [19][20].

Core Viewpoint - The six major banks reported a total operating income of 1.81 trillion yuan for the first half of 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 2.05%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 0.13% to 682.52 billion yuan, indicating a mixed performance among the banks [1][3]. Revenue Summary - All six banks achieved positive growth in operating income, with China Bank leading at 329 billion yuan, a 3.76% increase year-on-year. Non-interest income significantly contributed to this growth, rising by 26.43% [3][4]. - The operating income for each bank is as follows: - Industrial and Commercial Bank: 409.08 billion yuan (1.80% growth) - China Construction Bank: 385.91 billion yuan (2.95% growth) - Agricultural Bank: 369.79 billion yuan (0.70% growth) - China Bank: 329.00 billion yuan (3.76% growth) - Postal Savings Bank: 179.45 billion yuan (1.50% growth) - Bank of Communications: 133.50 billion yuan (0.72% growth) [4][5]. Net Profit Summary - The net profit attributable to shareholders showed a "three increase, three decrease" pattern: - Industrial and Commercial Bank: 168.10 billion yuan (-1.40%) - China Construction Bank: 162.08 billion yuan (-1.37%) - Agricultural Bank: 139.51 billion yuan (+2.66%) - China Bank: 117.59 billion yuan (-0.85%) - Postal Savings Bank: 49.23 billion yuan (+0.85%) - Bank of Communications: 46.02 billion yuan (+1.61%) [6][7]. Asset and Loan Growth - The total assets of the six major banks continued to expand, with Industrial and Commercial Bank leading at 52.32 trillion yuan. The growth rates for total assets were as follows: - China Construction Bank: 9.52% - Agricultural Bank: 8.37% - Industrial and Commercial Bank: 7.16% - Postal Savings Bank: 6.47% [10][11]. - The loan growth rates for the six banks were: - Industrial and Commercial Bank: 6.40% - Agricultural Bank: 7.30% - China Bank: 7.72% - China Construction Bank: 6.20% - Postal Savings Bank: 6.99% - Bank of Communications: 5.18% [15]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratios remained low across the banks, with the following figures: - Industrial and Commercial Bank: 1.33% - China Construction Bank: 1.33% - Agricultural Bank: 1.28% - China Bank: 1.24% - Postal Savings Bank: 0.92% (lowest among the six banks) [16]. Net Interest Margin - The net interest margin for the six banks showed a decline, with Postal Savings Bank at 1.70% (down 21 basis points), China Bank at 1.26% (down 18 basis points), and Industrial and Commercial Bank at 1.30% (down 13 basis points) [18][19].

Core Insights - The six major state-owned banks in China reported steady improvement in asset quality and strong profitability in the first half of the year, with a total asset scale reaching 214.02 trillion yuan, marking a significant year-on-year growth [1][4] - The banks announced a total cash dividend of over 204.6 billion yuan for the mid-2025 period, reflecting their robust financial performance [1][16] Asset Quality and Growth - All six banks achieved year-on-year growth in total assets, with Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) surpassing 50 trillion yuan in total assets for the first time, while Agricultural Bank of China and China Construction Bank followed with 46.86 trillion yuan and 44.43 trillion yuan respectively [2][4] - The average non-performing loan (NPL) ratio for the six banks was 1.23%, which is 0.26 percentage points lower than the industry average, indicating a strong role in financial stability [5][6] Revenue and Profitability - The total operating income for the six banks reached 1.83 trillion yuan, with all banks reporting year-on-year growth in revenue, reversing the declining trend from the previous year [7][8] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the six banks totaled 682.52 billion yuan, averaging 37.71 billion yuan per day, with ICBC, China Construction Bank, and Agricultural Bank of China each exceeding 100 billion yuan in net profit [9][10] Net Interest Margin - The net interest margin (NIM) continued to narrow across the banks, but the pace of decline has slowed, with expectations for stabilization in the second half of the year [11][14] - Postal Savings Bank had the highest NIM at 1.70%, despite experiencing the largest decline of 0.21 percentage points [12][15] Dividend Distribution - The dividend distribution plans for the six banks included significant payouts, with ICBC proposing a cash dividend of 503.96 billion yuan, followed by Agricultural Bank with 418.23 billion yuan [16]

Core Viewpoint - Agricultural Bank of China expresses confidence in its operational performance for the second half of the year, highlighting stable growth in financial performance, asset quality, and business development in the first half of 2025 [2][3]. Financial Performance - The bank achieved a net profit of 139.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.66%, and operating income of 369.8 billion yuan, up 0.85% year-on-year [3]. - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio stood at 1.28%, down 2 basis points from the beginning of the year, while the overdue loan ratio remained low at 1.22% [3]. Asset Quality - The bank reported a stable asset quality, with a focus on managing risks in the real estate sector and local government debt [4]. - The NPL ratio for real estate loans decreased by 0.05 percentage points since the beginning of the year, indicating effective risk management [4]. - The overall risk in retail loans is controllable, with slight increases in personal and inclusive loan NPL ratios aligning with industry trends [4]. Business Development - The bank's loan growth was robust, with an increase of 1.82 trillion yuan, a growth rate of 7.3%, and a notable 9.3% growth in county loans [4]. - Total customer deposits increased by 2.6 trillion yuan, with personal deposits growing by 7.8%, reflecting a strong deposit base [4]. Focus on "Three Rural Issues" - The bank emphasized its commitment to serving the "three rural issues" (agriculture, rural areas, and farmers), with rural loans surpassing 10 trillion yuan, accounting for 40.9% of domestic loans [6][7]. - The "惠农e贷" product saw a balance of 1.79 trillion yuan, with a growth rate of 19.9% [6]. Strategic Outlook - The bank plans to maintain strategic focus and respond to external uncertainties by enhancing revenue and managing risks effectively [8][9]. - It aims to balance growth in scale and pricing, cost and revenue, as well as risk and profitability to ensure sustainable development [9][10]. Net Interest Margin - The bank anticipates a stabilization in net interest margin in the second half of the year, despite downward pressure on loan interest rates due to LPR declines [10].

Core Viewpoint - Shanghai Bank reported a steady performance in the first half of 2025, with revenue and net profit showing modest growth, while maintaining a stable asset quality and optimizing funding costs [1][4]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 27.34 billion yuan in 1H25, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.2%, with a slight acceleration from 1Q25 [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 13.23 billion yuan, up 2.0% year-on-year, although the growth rate decreased by 0.3 percentage points compared to 1Q25 [1] - Net interest margin stood at 1.15%, down 4 basis points year-on-year, but the decline was less severe than the 17 basis points drop in 2024 [1][4] Income Sources - Net interest income reached 16.45 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.7%, driven by steady scale expansion [2] - Non-interest income showed mixed results, with net commission and fee income declining by 6.0% to 2.06 billion yuan, while net other non-interest income grew by 12.1% to 8.83 billion yuan [2] - The company faced a 16.26% increase in income tax expenses, which negatively impacted overall performance [2] Loan and Asset Quality - As of the end of 1H25, the loan balance was 1.437 trillion yuan, up 0.9% year-on-year, with corporate loans driving growth [3] - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remained stable at 1.18%, with a slight improvement in corporate loan quality [4] - Retail loans saw a net decrease of 24.4 billion yuan, reflecting a cautious approach to risk management [3] Cost Management - The company successfully optimized its funding costs, with the cost of interest-bearing liabilities decreasing by 40 basis points to 1.76% [4] - The yield on interest-earning assets fell by 50 basis points to 2.91%, influenced by lower LPR rates and weak loan demand [4] Shareholder Returns - The company announced a cash dividend of 0.30 yuan per share, with a payout ratio of 32.22%, an increase from 31.22% in 2024 [5] - The bank's strategic positioning in key regions and solid operational foundation are expected to support continued stable performance [5]

Core Viewpoint - Hangzhou Bank released its 25H1 semi-annual report, showing revenue, PPOP, and net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 3.9%, 4.7%, and 16.7% year-on-year, with changes from 25Q1 being +1.7pct, +1.7pct, and -0.6pct respectively [1] Highlights - Credit scale steadily expanded, with interest-earning assets and loans growing by 12.7% and 12.0% year-on-year, maintaining double-digit growth. Corporate loans provided the main increment, while retail loan scale continued to shrink. Corporate loans increased by 17.5% year-on-year, with infrastructure, manufacturing, and leasing services contributing significantly [2] - Non-interest income maintained double-digit growth, with net fee income increasing by 10.8% year-on-year, benefiting from increases in custody, wealth management, and domestic letter of credit settlement fees. The bank actively promoted wealth management business, with the scale of Hangzhou Bank's wealth management products exceeding 510 billion yuan, a 17% increase from the end of the previous year [2] - Asset quality remained excellent, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.76%, unchanged from the end of 25Q1, and a provision coverage ratio of 521%, down 9.18pct from 25Q1. The estimated non-performing loan net generation rate for 25H1 was 0.66%, a slight increase of 3bp year-on-year [3] - Successful conversion of convertible bonds strengthened capital, with the core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio at 9.74% at the end of 25Q2, an increase of 0.73pct from 25Q1. This was mainly due to the successful redemption of convertible bonds and an increase in other comprehensive income [3] Concerns - Net interest margin narrowed to 1.35%, down 6bp from 24A, with asset yield and liability cost rates decreasing by 48bp and 34bp respectively. As deposits become more liquid and high-interest deposits mature, it is expected that the cost of liabilities will improve, supporting the net interest margin [3] - Investment income may be affected by market fluctuations, with investment income and fair value changes accounting for 32% of total profit in 25H1. Given increased volatility in the bond market, attention should be paid to the impact of bond market investments on performance [3] Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendation - The company is expected to achieve net profit growth rates of 14.9% and 12.8% for 25 and 26 years, with EPS of 2.60 and 2.94 yuan per share respectively. The current stock price corresponds to PE ratios of 6.11X and 5.39X for 25 and 26 years, and PB ratios of 0.83X and 0.74X respectively. Considering the historical PB valuation center and fundamental conditions, a reasonable value of 18.93 yuan per share is suggested, maintaining a "buy" rating [4]