Market Overview - US stock futures showed a significant decline with Dow Jones futures down 0.83%, S&P 500 futures down 0.88%, and Nasdaq 100 futures down 1.09% due to the market being closed for a holiday [1] - Major European stock indices also fell, with the Euro Stoxx 50 down 1.72%, FTSE 100 down 0.39%, CAC 40 down 1.78%, DAX 30 down 1.34%, and FTSE MIB down 1.32% [1] Precious Metals - Gold prices reached a historical high, with spot gold rising by 2% to $4690.88 per ounce, currently reported at $4675.76 per ounce [3] - Silver prices also surged over 5%, reaching $94.726 per ounce, currently reported at $94.479 per ounce [4] Economic Concerns - Economists warned that if President Trump quickly advances new tariff threats, the UK could face a recession risk, with GDP projected to decline by 0.3% to 0.75% [6] - The World Bank estimated that if tariffs are raised to 25% starting in June, the UK economy could suffer a loss of £21.6 billion [6] - Current quarterly growth for the UK economy is only 0.2% to 0.3%, and a sudden shock could trigger a recession [6] Federal Reserve Developments - Federal Reserve Chairman Powell is set to attend a Supreme Court hearing regarding the potential dismissal of Fed Governor Cook, marking an unusual public statement of support [6] - The Supreme Court is reviewing whether President Trump has the authority to dismiss Cook, who was appointed by former President Biden [6] - According to CME FedWatch, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in January is 5%, with a 95% chance of maintaining current rates; by March, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut rises to 20.7% [7]

热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 美东时间1月19日星期一，美股因假期休市，但美股期指跌势明显。其中，道琼斯指数期货跌0.83%， 标普500指数期货跌0.88%，纳斯达克100指数期货跌1.09%。 欧洲主要股指集体下跌，欧洲斯托克50指数跌1.72%，英国富时100指数跌0．39%，法国CAC40指数跌 1.78%，德国DAX30指数跌1．34%，富时意大利MIB指数跌1.32%。 黄金和白银价格双双触及历史新高 特朗普对欧洲的关税威胁等因素引发避险需求，黄金和白银价格双双触及历史新高。 现货黄金一度上涨2%，达到4690．88美元/盎司，现报4675.76美元/盎司。 现货白银涨超5%，达到94.726美元/盎司，现报94.479美元/盎司。 来源：中国基金报 大家好，一起来关注昨夜今晨的海外股市市场情况。 有经济学家警告称，如果美国总统特朗普迅速推进新的关税威胁，英国将面临经济衰退风险。据凯投宏 观测算，英国GDP将下降0.3%至0.75%。 凯投宏观英国首席经济学家保罗·戴尔斯表示："目前英国经济每季度仅增长0.2%至0.3%，若冲击一次性 到来，可能引发经济衰退。" ...

Core Viewpoint - Gold and silver prices have reached historical highs due to increased demand for safe-haven assets triggered by tariff threats from President Trump and other factors [5]. Group 1: Market Performance - On January 19, 2023, U.S. stock markets were closed for a holiday, but futures indicated a downward trend, with the Dow Jones futures down 0.83%, S&P 500 futures down 0.88%, and Nasdaq 100 futures down 1.09% [2]. - European stock indices also experienced declines, with the Euro Stoxx 50 down 1.72%, FTSE 100 down 0.39%, CAC 40 down 1.78%, DAX 30 down 1.34%, and FTSE MIB down 1.32% [2]. Group 2: Precious Metals Prices - Spot gold prices surged by 2% to reach $4,690.88 per ounce, currently reported at $4,675.76 per ounce [6]. - Spot silver prices increased by over 5%, reaching $94.726 per ounce, currently reported at $94.479 per ounce [8]. Group 3: Economic Implications - Economists warn that if President Trump rapidly advances new tariff threats, the UK could face a recession risk, with GDP potentially declining by 0.3% to 0.75% [10]. - According to the World Bank, if tariffs are raised to 25% starting in June, the UK economy could suffer a loss of £21.6 billion [11]. - The Chief Economist at Capital Economics, Paul Dales, noted that the UK economy is currently growing at only 0.2% to 0.3% per quarter, and a sudden shock could trigger a recession [12]. Group 4: Federal Reserve Developments - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is set to attend a Supreme Court hearing regarding the potential dismissal of Fed Governor Cook by President Trump, marking a rare public statement of support for Cook [13]. - Powell previously indicated that the Trump administration had issued subpoenas to the Fed and threatened criminal charges, which he described as a pretext to force significant interest rate cuts [13]. - According to CME's FedWatch, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in January is 5%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 95% [13].

Core Viewpoint - The European Union (EU) will hold an emergency summit on the 22nd in Brussels to discuss U.S. President Trump's announcement of tariffs on European countries opposing the acquisition of Greenland and to evaluate potential countermeasures by the EU [1] Group 1 - The EU's spokesperson, Olov Gill, stated that communication and engagement between the EU and the U.S. regarding the tariff threats are ongoing at "various levels" [1] - The EU is conducting intensive consultations among member states regarding possible response measures to the tariff threats [1] - The EU is committed to making "every necessary effort" to protect its own interests in light of the situation [1]

【环球时报记者 倪浩 环球时报驻法国、德国特约记者 董铭 青木】在美国总统特朗普就格陵兰岛问题向 欧洲多国发出关税威胁后，欧盟及相关国家正"紧急备战"，研究应对方案。据路透社报道，欧盟各国常 驻代表18日在布鲁塞尔举行了一场长达3小时的紧急会议，就应对美国可能实施的新一轮关税措施达成 广泛共识：一方面继续通过外交渠道劝阻美方，另一方面为美方可能实施的关税措施提前制定反制方 案。 路透社援引欧盟方面的说法称，欧盟各国领导人计划于1月22日在布鲁塞尔召开紧急峰会，重点讨论对 策。其中一项方案是恢复此前暂停的对美关税措施，对价值约930亿欧元的美国进口商品加征关税。该 措施此前被暂停6个月，若重启，最早可于2月6日生效。另一方案则是启用欧盟已通过但从未使用过 的"反胁迫工具"，该工具可能涉及限制公共采购、投资或服务贸易准入。 【环球时报记者 倪浩 环球时报驻法国、德国特约记者 董铭 青木】在美国总统特朗普就格陵兰岛问题向 欧洲多国发出关税威胁后，欧盟及相关国家正"紧急备战"，研究应对方案。据路透社报道，欧盟各国常 驻代表18日在布鲁塞尔举行了一场长达3小时的紧急会议，就应对美国可能实施的新一轮关税措施达成 广泛共识 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles revolves around the European Union's urgent response to potential new tariffs imposed by the United States regarding Greenland, with a consensus on preparing countermeasures while seeking diplomatic solutions [1][2]. - The EU is considering reinstating previously suspended tariffs on approximately €93 billion worth of U.S. imports, with the earliest implementation date being February 6 [1]. - There is a division among EU member states regarding the use of the "anti-coercion tool," with more support for imposing tariffs compared to activating this tool [1]. Group 2 - France advocates for a stronger stance against U.S. tariff threats, emphasizing the need for a unified EU response and considering the use of the "anti-coercion tool" [2]. - Germany's government expresses readiness to implement effective countermeasures, including retaliatory tariffs, in response to what they describe as U.S. "extortion" [2]. - The UK Prime Minister calls for a calm approach to the escalating tensions, stressing that the future of Greenland should be determined by its people and Denmark [2]. Group 3 - U.S. Treasury Secretary remains firm on the Greenland issue, asserting that Europe is too weak to ensure its own security, which has drawn criticism from European officials [3]. - Norway's Prime Minister confirms receiving a message from Trump, indicating a shift in U.S. stance regarding Greenland, which may impact international relations [3]. - The Prime Minister of Greenland asserts that the territory will not yield to pressure and emphasizes the importance of dialogue and respect for international law [3].

新华财经布鲁塞尔1月19日电（记者丁英华张馨文）欧盟委员会发言人奥洛夫·吉尔19日表示，欧盟将于 22日在比利时布鲁塞尔召开紧急峰会，讨论美国总统特朗普宣布向反对美得到格陵兰岛的欧洲国家加征 关税等问题，并评估欧盟可能采取的反制措施。 吉尔说，针对特朗普关税威胁，欧盟与美国的接触与沟通仍在"各个层级"持续进行。欧盟内部也在就可 能的应对措施同成员国进行密集磋商。欧盟将"尽一切必要努力"维护自身利益。 吉尔表示，欧盟的首要任务是"接触而非升级"。但他说，如果美国实施上述关税，"欧盟拥有可动用的 工具，并准备作出回应"。 （文章来源：新华社） ...

另据路透社、美国哥伦比亚广播公司（CBS）等媒体报道，格陵兰岛民众当地时间17日举行抗议美 国"夺岛"企图的活动，尼尔森现身抗议活动。 综合多家外媒报道，尼 尔森当地时间17日现身抗议美国"夺岛"企图的活动。图源：外媒报道视频截图 特朗普为"夺岛"发出关税威胁，格陵兰岛自治政府总理发声 报道称，尼尔森当天在社交平台上发帖，就其他国家的支持表示欢迎。"美方最新发表的言论，包括关 税威胁，不会改变我们的立场。"尼尔森补充称，"我们在对话、尊重和国际法方面立场坚定。" 据法新社报道，在美国总统特朗普为控制格陵兰岛而发出关税威胁之际，丹麦自治领地格陵兰岛自治政 府总理延斯-弗雷德里克·尼尔森19日作出最新表态。 近日，美国关于控制格陵兰岛的企图引发多方不满。此外，特朗普17日还宣布，美国将对丹麦、挪威、 瑞典、法国、德国、英国、荷兰和芬兰的输美商品采取有关关税措施，直到相关方就美国"全面、彻底 购买格陵兰岛"达成协议。法国、英国等多个欧洲国家对美方这一决定表示不满。 ...

【环球网快讯】据法新社报道，在美国总统特朗普为控制格陵兰岛而发出关税威胁之际，丹麦自治领地 格陵兰岛自治政府总理延斯-弗雷德里克·尼尔森19日作出最新表态。 报道称，尼尔森当天在社交平台上发帖，就其他国家的支持表示欢迎。"美方最新发表的言论，包括关 税威胁，不会改变我们的立场。"尼尔森补充称，"我们在对话、尊重和国际法方面立场坚定。" 另据路透社、美国哥伦比亚广播公司（CBS）等媒体报道，格陵兰岛民众当地时间17日举行抗议美 国"夺岛"企图的活动，尼尔森现身抗议活动。 近日，美国关于控制格陵兰岛的企图引发多方不满。此外，特朗普17日还宣布，美国将对丹麦、挪威、 瑞典、法国、德国、英国、荷兰和芬兰的输美商品采取有关关税措施，直到相关方就美国"全面、彻底 购买格陵兰岛"达成协议。法国、英国等多个欧洲国家对美方这一决定表示不满。 ...

美国誓要拿下格陵兰岛，谁敢阻拦就要被加税，特朗普威胁话音刚落，德军麻利儿的撤了。 暂缓对伊朗的动武行动后，美国总统特朗普又将目光转回到了格陵兰岛身上，准备清除一切障碍。 就在1月17日，特朗普一声令下，将反对美国收购格陵兰岛的几个欧洲国家，一股脑列入了惩罚名单， 英法德丹麦等国通通被加征了10%的关税。 这还不算完，若是还敢跟美国对着干，特朗普还将对他们继续提高关税，至少到25%。 可以说，特朗普现在是"软硬兼施"，一边跟格陵兰岛方面谈判，甚至准备动用"钞能力"，完成收购；一边对欧洲重拳出击，祭出关税大棒，旨在打消他们为 格陵兰岛出头的念头。 德 国经济高度依赖出口，美国一直是其重要市场，可近几年受美国关税打压，德国对美出口早已元气大伤。数据显示，2025年前三季度德国对美出口同比 下降近8%，汽车、化工、机械制造这三大支柱产业首当其冲，汽车及零部件出口降幅更是高达15%，机械和化工产品也下滑近10%，出口规模直接回落到 2022年以前的水平。更要命的是，美国对钢铁、铝制品加征的50%高额关税，让德国机械企业的出口成本飙升，本就受能源价格高企困扰的化工行业，更是 雪上加霜。 关税大棒：特朗普的"万能威慑武器" ...