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金融期权波动率日报-20250626
An Xin Qi Huo· 2025-06-26 13:03
Report Information - Report Date: June 26, 2025 [1] - Analyst: Fan Lijun from Guotou Futures Core Data Summary 50ETF - **Price and Volatility**: On June 24 - 26, 2025, the price ranged from 2.792 to 2.832. 5HV, 10HV, and 20HV showed fluctuations, with 5HV reaching 12.17% on June 25. The implied volatility (IV) also changed, with the monthly IV reaching 15.07% on June 25 [2]. - **Historical Volatility Cone**: The maximum historical volatility of 5 - day HV in the past 12 months was 88%, and the minimum was 2% [7]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index of the main contract month was 91.48 on June 26 [9]. Shanghai 300ETF - **Price and Volatility**: From June 24 - 26, 2025, the price varied between 3.936 and 4.001. 5HV, 10HV, and 20HV had changes, with 5HV reaching 14.81% on June 25. The monthly IV was 14.85% on June 25 [11]. - **Historical Volatility Cone**: The maximum historical volatility of 5 - day HV in the past 12 months was 110%, and the minimum was 1% [18]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index of the main contract month was 91.48 on June 26 [17]. Shenzhen 300ETF - **Price and Volatility**: During June 24 - 26, 2025, the price was between 4.059 and 4.126. 5HV, 10HV, and 20HV fluctuated, with 5HV reaching 14.83% on June 25. The monthly IV was 15.70% on June 25 [21]. - **Historical Volatility Cone**: The maximum historical volatility of 5 - day HV in the past 12 months was 111%, and the minimum was 1% [29]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index of the main contract month was 90.04 on June 26 [27]. Shanghai CSI 500ETF - **Price and Volatility**: From June 23 - 25, 2025, the price ranged from 5.712 to 5.913. 5HV, 10HV, and 20HV changed, with 5HV reaching 20.36% on June 25. The monthly IV was 16.74% on June 25 [31]. - **Historical Volatility Cone**: The maximum historical volatility of 5 - day HV in the past 12 months was 102%, and the minimum was 5% [38]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index of the main contract month was 90.75 on June 25 [37]. Shenzhen CSI 500ETF - **Price and Volatility**: On June 24 - 26, 2025, the price was between 2.320 and 2.361. 5HV, 10HV, and 20HV fluctuated, with 5HV reaching 19.69% on June 25. The monthly IV was 18.99% on June 25 [40]. - **Historical Volatility Cone**: The maximum historical volatility of 5 - day HV in the past 12 months was 434%, and the minimum was 5% [49]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index of the main contract month was 91.14 on June 26 [47]. GEM ETF - **Price and Volatility**: From June 24 - 26, 2025, the price varied from 2.044 to 2.109. 5HV, 10HV, and 20HV changed, with 5HV reaching 30.91% on June 25. The monthly IV was 24.91% on June 25 [52]. - **Historical Volatility Cone**: The maximum historical volatility of 5 - day HV in the past 12 months was 253%, and the minimum was 4% [59]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index of the main contract month was 86.99 on June 26 [58]. Shenzhen 100ETF - **Price and Volatility**: During June 24 - 26, 2025, the price was between 2.680 and 2.732. 5HV, 10HV, and 20HV fluctuated, with 5HV reaching 18.89% on June 25. The monthly IV was 18.83% on June 25 [63]. - **Historical Volatility Cone**: The maximum historical volatility of 5 - day HV in the past 12 months was 134%, and the minimum was 4% [70]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index of the main contract month was 98.36 on June 26 [69]. Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF - **Price and Volatility**: From June 24 - 26, 2025, the price ranged from 1.029 to 1.048. 5HV, 10HV, and 20HV changed, with 5HV reaching 18.72% on June 26. The monthly IV was 20.49% on June 26 [72]. - **Historical Volatility Cone**: The maximum historical volatility of 5 - day HV in the past 12 months was 222%, and the minimum was 5% [80]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index of the main contract month was 80.28 on June 26 [78]. Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF E Fund - **Price and Volatility**: On June 24 - 26, 2025, the price was between 1.003 and 1.022. 5HV, 10HV, and 20HV fluctuated, with 5HV reaching 18.87% on June 26. The monthly IV was 20.97% on June 26 [86]. - **Historical Volatility Cone**: The maximum historical volatility of 5 - day HV in the past 12 months was 219%, and the minimum was 4% [90]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index of the main contract month was 79.72 on June 26 [88]. 300 Index - **Price and Volatility**: From June 24 - 26, 2025, the price ranged from 3904.034 to 3960.066. 5HV, 10HV, and 20HV changed, with 5HV reaching 14.19% on June 25. The monthly IV was 17.09% on June 25 [93]. - **Historical Volatility Cone**: The maximum historical volatility of 5 - day HV in the past 12 months was 99%, and the minimum was 1% [94]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index of the main contract month was 85.71 on June 26 [94]. 1000 Index - **Price and Volatility**: On June 24 - 26, 2025, the price was between 6194.666 and 6276.163. 5HV, 10HV, and 20HV fluctuated, with 5HV reaching 23.05% on June 25. The monthly IV was 19.27% on June 25 [95]. - **Historical Volatility Cone**: The maximum historical volatility of 5 - day HV in the past 12 months was 128%, and the minimum was 8% [104]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index of the main contract month was 91.75 on June 26 [103]. SSE 50 Index - **Price and Volatility**: From June 24 - 26, 2025, the price ranged from 2715.922 to 2747.728. 5HV, 10HV, and 20HV changed, with 5HV reaching 11.06% on June 25. The monthly IV was 14.56% on June 25 [105]. - **Historical Volatility Cone**: The maximum historical volatility of 5 - day HV in the past 12 months was 80%, and the minimum was 2% [110]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index of the main contract month was 85.47 on June 26 [109].
波动率数据日报-20250625
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-06-25 02:35
Group 1: Implied Volatility Index and Historical Volatility - The financial option implied volatility index reflects the 30 - day implied volatility trend as of the previous trading day, and the commodity option implied volatility index is obtained by weighting the implied volatilities of the two - strike options above and below the at - the - money option of the main contract, reflecting the implied volatility change trend of the main contract [3] - The difference between the implied volatility index and historical volatility indicates the relative level of implied volatility to historical volatility. A larger difference means a higher implied volatility relative to historical volatility, and a smaller difference means a lower implied volatility relative to historical volatility [3] Group 2: Implied Volatility and Historical Volatility Charts - There are multiple charts showing the implied volatility (IV), historical volatility (HV), and their differences (IV - HV) for various financial and commodity options, including 300股指, 50ETF, 1000股指, 500ETF, corn, sugar, cotton, rubber, PTA, crude oil, aluminum, methanol, iron ore, Chinese options, PVC, rebar, urea, palm oil, zinc, and others [4][5][6] Group 3: Implied Volatility and Historical Volatility Quantiles - The implied volatility quantile represents the current implied volatility level of a variety in history. A high quantile means the current implied volatility is high, and a low quantile means the current implied volatility is low. The volatility spread is the difference between the implied volatility index and historical volatility [18] - The implied and historical volatility quantile rankings are provided for different options. For example, PTA has an implied volatility quantile of 0.71 and a historical volatility quantile of 0.84, while 300股指 has an implied volatility quantile of 0.07 and a historical volatility quantile of 0.01 [20]
股指期权数据日报-20250620
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-06-20 07:19
投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 IIG 国贸期 x 据日报 主能介于品中心 =: F0251925 2025/6/20 数据来源: Wind,国贸期货研究院 | | 行情回顾 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数 收盘价 | 张肤帽(%) | | | 成交额(亿元) | | 成交里(亿) | | | 上证50 2665. 5197 | -0.54 | | | 640. 21 | | 37. 65 | | | 沪深300 3843. 0912 | -0.82 | | | 2348. 40 | | 130. 28 | | | 中证1000 6048. 2243 | -1.42 | | | 2708. 27 | | 212. 22 | | | | 中金所股指期权成交情况 | | | | | | | | 期权成交里 指数 | 认沽期权 | 认购期权 | 日成交里 | 期权持仓里 | 认购期权 | 认洁期权 | 持仓里 | | (万张) | 成交堂 | 成交堂 | PCR | (万张) | 持仓里 | 持创 ...
股指期权数据日报-20250619
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-06-19 11:27
投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 ITG国贸期 图据日报 主能介于品中心 =: F0251925 2025/6/19 费据来源: Wind,国贸期货研究院 | | 行情回顾 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数 | 收盘价 | | 张肤帽(%) | | 成交额(亿元) | | 成交里(亿) | | | 上证50 | 2679. 9218 | | -0.15 | | 621. 34 | | 36. 67 | | | 沪深300 | 3874. 9708 | | 0.12 | | 2305. 54 | | 127.53 | | | 中证1000 | 6135. 3858 | | -0.10 | | 2564. 64 | | 204. 11 | | | | 中金所股指期权成交情况 | | | | | | | | | 指数 | 期权成交望 | 认购期权 | 认沽期权 | 日成交里 | 期权持仓里 | 认购期权 | 认沽期权 | 持仓堂 | | | (万张) | 成交堂 | 成交里 | PCR ...
波动率日报-20250618
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-06-18 07:55
Group 1: Definitions - Financial option implied volatility index reflects the 30 - day implied volatility (IV) trend as of the previous trading day. Commodity option implied volatility index is obtained by weighting the IVs of the two strike prices above and below the at - the - money option of the main contract month, reflecting the IV change trend of the main contract [3] - The difference between the IV index and historical volatility (HV) indicates the relative level of IV to HV. A larger difference means IV is relatively higher than HV, and a smaller difference means IV is relatively lower [3] Group 2: Implied Volatility and Historical Volatility Charts - Charts show the IV, HV, and IV - HV differences of various products including 300 index, 50ETF, 1000 index, 500ETF, cotton, sugar, rubber, PTA, crude oil, methanol, iron ore, copper, PVC, rebar, urea, gasoline, aluminum, zinc, etc. from different time periods [4][6][7][8] Group 3: Implied Volatility and Historical Volatility Quantiles - Implied volatility quantiles represent the current IV level of a product in history. High quantiles mean current IV is high, and low quantiles mean current IV is low. Volatility spread is the difference between IV and HV [19] - The implied volatility quantiles of different products are provided, such as PTA (0.85), PVC (0.72), etc. [21]
股指期权数据日报-20250618
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-06-18 07:55
投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 IIG 国贸期 权数据日报 主能介于品中心 =: F0251925 2025/6/18 数据来源: Wind,国贸期货研究院 | | 行情回顾 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数 | 收盘价 张肤帽(%) | | | 成交额(亿元) | | 成交堂(亿) | | | 上证50 | 2683. 9528 -0. 04 | | | 635. 17 | | 33.12 | | | 沪至300 | 3870. 3786 -0. 09 | | | 2204. 00 | | 122. 34 | | | 中证1000 | 6141. 4684 -0.10 | | | 2608. 74 | | 208. 43 | | | | 中金所股指期权成交情况 | | | | | | | | 指数 | 期权成交望 认沽期权 | 认购期权 | 日成交里 | 期权持仓里 | 认购期权 | 认沽期权 | 持仓里 | | | (万张) 成交里 | 成交里 | PCR | (万5k) | 持仓里 | ...
玉米期价小幅下跌,期权隐波大幅上升豆粕期价小幅波动,期权隐波急剧上升
An Liang Qi Huo· 2025-06-16 11:14
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - Corn futures prices declined slightly, with the futures main contract C2507 closing at 2359 yuan/ton. Corn option trading volume was 114,451 lots, open interest was 412,397 lots, and the trading volume PCR was 0.644. The option weighted implied volatility was 11.67%, and the 30 - day historical volatility was 7.70%. The option implied volatility increased significantly [3]. - Soybean meal futures prices fluctuated slightly, with the futures main contract M2509 closing at 3045 yuan/ton. Soybean meal option trading volume was 344,631 lots, open interest was 1,035,482 lots, and the trading volume PCR was 0.966. The option weighted implied volatility was 22.12%, and the 30 - day historical volatility was 10.81%. The option implied volatility increased sharply [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Data Statistics - For the corn main contract C2507, the closing price was 2359 yuan/ton, with a decline of 19 yuan and a decline rate of 0.80%. The trading volume was 409,117 lots, an increase of 19,798 lots, and the open interest was 637,414 lots, a decrease of 64,999 lots [5]. - For the soybean meal main contract M2509, the closing price was 3045 yuan/ton, with an increase of 4 yuan and an increase rate of 0.13%. The trading volume was 1,422,022 lots, an increase of 254,197 lots, and the open interest was 2,305,935 lots, a decrease of 12,086 lots [5]. 3.2 Option Market Data Statistics - For corn options, the trading volume was 114,451 lots, an increase of 13,129 lots. The trading volume PCR was 0.644, a decrease of 0.025. The open interest was 412,397 lots, a decrease of 195 lots, and the open interest PCR was 0.818, a decrease of 0.001 [9]. - For soybean meal options, the trading volume was 344,631 lots, an increase of 34,379 lots. The trading volume PCR was 0.966, an increase of 0.032. The open interest was 1,035,482 lots, an increase of 5,011 lots, and the open interest PCR was 0.711, a decrease of 0.012 [9]. 3.3 Option Volatility Situation - For corn options, the option weighted implied volatility was 11.67%, an increase of 1.73 percentage points with a change rate of 17.43%. The 30 - day historical volatility was 7.70%, and the 30 - day volatility quantile was 0.04 [18]. - For soybean meal options, the option weighted implied volatility was 22.12%, an increase of 4.83 percentage points with a change rate of 27.91%. The 30 - day historical volatility was 10.81%, and the 30 - day volatility quantile was 0.00 [18].
永安期货波动率数据日报-20250612
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-06-12 08:20
永安期货期权总部 更新时间: 2025/6/12 70 40 橡胶 IV IIV-HV 徽胶 HV 30 60 20 50 10 40 0 30 10 20 20 10 30 40 0 2023/12/16 2024/12/16 2021/12/16 2022/12/16 2019/12/16 2020/12/16 100 40 IV-HV差 -- PTA IV PTA HV 80 30 60 20 40 10 20 o 0 10 2022/12/16 202 4/12/16 2020/12/16 2021/12/16 2023/12/16 2019/12/16 20 20 40 30 60 40 120 40 IV-HV套 原油 IV 逍 HV 30 100 20 20 10 0 10 -20 20 30 40 02 5/2/1 02 5/4/1 (24/12/1 02 2/4/ 22 /12/ 23 40 铝IV 铝 HV HVE 48 30 43 20 33 TO 33 0 -10 20 30 40 2023/7/6 2020/7/6 2021/7/6 2022/7/6 2024/7/6 - in IV ...
永安期货波动率数据日报-20250611
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-06-11 08:13
Group 1: Implied Volatility Index and Historical Volatility - The financial option implied volatility index reflects the 30 - day implied volatility (IV) trend as of the previous trading day, and the commodity option implied volatility index is weighted by the IV of the two - strike options above and below the at - the - money option of the main contract, reflecting the IV change trend of the main contract [3] - The difference between the IV index and historical volatility (HV) indicates the relative level of IV to HV. A larger difference means higher IV relative to HV, and a smaller difference means lower IV relative to HV [3] Group 2: Volatility Graphs - There are multiple graphs showing the IV, HV, and IV - HV differences of various financial and commodity options, including 300 - stock index, 50ETF, 1000 - stock index, 500ETF, etc., as well as commodity options like soybean meal, corn, etc. [4][5][6] Group 3: Implied Volatility and Historical Volatility Quantiles - The implied volatility quantile represents the current level of a variety's IV in history. A high quantile means the current IV is high, and a low quantile means the current IV is low. The volatility spread is the difference between the IV index and historical volatility [17] - The implied volatility quantiles of different varieties are provided, such as PTA (0.63), PVC (0.73), methanol (0.42), etc. [19]
永安期货波动率数据日报-20250609
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-06-09 12:26
Group 1: Implied Volatility Index and Historical Volatility - The financial option implied volatility index reflects the 30 - day implied volatility trend as of the previous trading day, and the commodity option implied volatility index is obtained by weighting the implied volatilities of the two - strike options above and below the at - the - money option of the main contract month, reflecting the implied volatility change trend of the main contract [3] - The difference between the implied volatility index and historical volatility indicates the relative level of implied volatility compared to historical volatility. A larger difference means higher implied volatility relative to historical volatility, and a smaller difference means lower implied volatility relative to historical volatility [3] Group 2: Volatility Graphs - There are multiple graphs showing the implied volatility (IV), historical volatility (HV), and the difference between them (IV - HV) for various financial and commodity options, including stock index options (such as 300股指, 1000股指), ETF options (such as 50ETF, 500ETF), and commodity options (such as soybeans, corn, cotton, etc.) [4][5][6] Group 3: Implied Volatility and Volatility Spread Quantiles - Implied volatility quantiles represent the current implied volatility level of a variety in history. A high quantile means high current implied volatility, and a low quantile means low implied volatility [17] - Volatility spread refers to the difference between the implied volatility index and historical volatility [17] - The implied volatility quantile rankings are provided for different varieties, such as PVC with a quantile of 0.70, methanol with 0.43, etc. [19]