| 张银 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0018397 zhangyin023941@gtjas.com | | --- | | 目录 | | 1. 市场综述 3 | | 2. 市场数据 6 | | 2.1 市场概览 6 | | 2.2 玉米期权 7 | | 2.3 豆粕期权 7 | | 2.4 菜粕期权 8 | | 2.5 棕榈油期权 8 | | 2.6 豆油期权 9 | | 2.7 菜籽油期权 9 | | 2.8 花生期权 10 | | 2.9 黄大豆 1 号期权 10 | | 2.10 黄大豆 2 号期权 11 | | 2.11 乙二醇期权 11 | | 2.12 苯乙烯期权 12 | | 2.13 白糖期权 12 | | 2.14 棉花期权 13 | | 2.15 PTA 期权 13 | | 2.16 PX 期权 14 | | 2.17 烧碱期权 14 | | 2.18 橡胶期权 15 | | 2.19 BR 橡胶期权 15 | | 2.20 聚乙烯期权 16 | | 2.21 聚丙烯期权 16 | | 2.22 甲醇期权 17 | | 2.23 液化石油气期权 17 | | 2.24 PVC 期权 18 | ...

周度报告——商品期权 商品期权周报：2026 年第 8 周 期权市场情绪：当前沥青、白银、合成橡胶、玻璃成交量 PCR 位于历史高位，市场短期集中博弈下跌预期；烧碱、LPG 成 交量 PCR 处于近一年低位，市场集中博弈上涨预期；沥青、 合成橡胶、纸浆、PVC 持仓量 PCR 位于历史高位，市场对 下跌的博弈情绪已积累至较高水平；而棕榈油、菜油、白银、 黄金、多晶硅、铁矿石等持仓量 PCR 位于近一年低位，市场 对看涨的博弈情绪积累。 ★ 风险提示 模型风险、政策风险、末日轮极端行情 报告日期： 2026 年 2 月 23 日 ★ 商品期权市场活跃度 节前最后一周（2026.02.09-2026.02.13）商品期权市场成交活 跃度继续下滑，日均成交量为 663 万手，日均持仓量为 821 万手，环比变化分别为-22.34%和-11.72%。分品种来看，日均 成交活跃的品种主要包括白银（83 万手）、PTA（60 万手）、 玻璃（34 万手）。此外，成交量增长较为显著的品种为豆一 （+214%）、镍（+100%）。与此同时，成交量下降较为明 显的品种则有多晶硅（-94%）、燃油（-89%）、工业硅（-88%） ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Not provided in the content 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Overview - The report presents the trading volume and open interest data of the commodity options market, including the overall market and different sectors such as agriculture, energy and chemicals, black metals, precious metals, and non - ferrous metals and new energy. The overall trading volume of the market this week was 6,628,465.8, a decrease of 0.95% from last week, and the open interest was 7,083,253, a decrease of 0.24% from last week. Among them, the trading volume of agricultural products increased by 0.48%, while the trading volume of other sectors decreased to varying degrees [5]. 3.2 Market Data 3.2.1 Market Overview - The report provides the quantitative data of commodity options, including the at - the - money volatility, 60 - day quantile, skew, and 60 - day skew quantile of various options. For example, the at - the - money volatility of corn options is 8.65%, and the 60 - day quantile is 13.33% [15]. 3.2.2 - 3.2.61 Various Option Data - For each type of option (such as corn options, soybean meal options, etc.), the report details the closing price, trading volume, open interest, volume PCR, open interest PCR, at - the - money volatility, HV - 10 days, HV - 20 days, and skew of the main and secondary contracts. For example, for corn options, the total trading volume of the main contract this week was 145,658, an increase of 48,066 from last week, and the volume PCR was 0.4574, a decrease of 0.0707 from last week [17].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the given content. 2. Core View of the Report No information provided in the given content. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Option Quotes - Urea and synthetic rubber had the highest daily price increases among call and put options, with 55.56% and 86.88% respectively [1]. - Other notable increases included 52.40% for soybeans (call) and 34.23% for ferrosilicon (put) [1]. Option Positions - Glass had the largest daily change in call option positions at 21,671, while glass also had a significant change in put option positions at 15,422 [2]. - Other significant changes included 11,392 for soda ash (call) and 12,690 for soybeans (put) [2]. Option Position Put - Call Ratio (PCR) - Apple had the highest position PCR at 1.838, while soda ash had the lowest at 0.2721 [5]. Option Volume Put - Call Ratio (PCR) - Ferrosilicon had the highest volume PCR at 1.4399, while ethylene glycol had the lowest at 0.2174 [6]. Daily Selections - For call options, soybeans (a2605 - C - 4750) had a trend degree of 53 and a put - call ratio of 1.03 with 64 days remaining [7]. - For put options, ferrosilicon (SF605P5200) had a trend degree of - 55 and a put - call ratio of 0.95 with 60 days remaining [7]. Near - Expiry Options - For call options, casting aluminum alloy (ad2603C22200) needed a 0.64% increase in the underlying price to break even and a 1.03% increase for the option to double, with 1 day remaining [8][9]. - For put options, silver (ag2603P21100) needed a 2.83% decrease in the underlying price to break even and a 5.53% decrease for the option to double, with 1 day remaining [9][10].

Group 1: Option Market Quotes - The daily price changes of call options for various commodities are as follows: asphalt 88.61%, corn starch 59.32%, liquefied petroleum gas 34.88%, p - xylene 21.31%, alumina 15.97%, corn 15.71%, fuel oil 14.54%, methanol 11.73%, short - fiber 9.96%, PTA 9.63% [1] - The daily price changes of put options for various commodities are as follows: caustic soda 90.67%, log 79.07%, palladium 47.03%, platinum 35.39%, tin 33.04%, nickel 31.24%, silver 27.03%, copper 22.04%, rebar 19.59%, coking coal 18.08% [1] Group 2: Option Positions - The daily changes in call option positions for various commodities are as follows: methanol 42,604, caustic soda 19,694, glass 17,313, soda ash 15,825, silver 13,395, asphalt 6,713, rapeseed meal 5,885, coking coal 5,587, soybean meal 4,790, ethylene glycol 3,320 [2] - The daily changes in put option positions for various commodities are as follows: PTA 8,361, methanol 6,189, alumina 4,191, cotton 3,781, caustic soda 2,834, styrene 2,239, rebar 1,355, silicomanganese 1,351, rapeseed meal 1,264, crude oil 1,103 [2] Group 3: Option Position Put - Call Ratio (PCR) - High - position PCR varieties: apple (1.6057), offset - printing paper (1.192), propylene (1.1382), bottle chips (1.0699), short - fiber (1.0328), cast aluminum alloy (1.0007), synthetic rubber (0.9576), iron ore (0.9511), lithium carbonate (0.9433), soybean No. 2 (0.8643) [5] - Low - position PCR varieties: caustic soda (0.2383), alumina (0.2431), live pigs (0.2615), soda ash (0.2619), red dates (0.2978), ethylene glycol (0.3744), methanol (0.3936), coking coal (0.3943), lead (0.3956), log (0.4008) [5] Group 4: Option Trading Volume Put - Call Ratio (PCR) - High - trading - volume PCR varieties: propylene (1.4211), silver (1.3878), nickel (1.2476), iron ore (1.1227), industrial silicon (1.0666), polysilicon (1.011), copper (0.9758), lithium carbonate (0.9645), zinc (0.9487), aluminum (0.9379) [6] - Low - trading - volume PCR varieties: alumina (0.1701), ethylene glycol (0.1962), red dates (0.2064), coking coal (0.2945), corn (0.3587), ferrosilicon (0.364), corn starch (0.3642), methanol (0.3754), silicomanganese (0.389), asphalt (0.4081) [6] Group 5: Daily Selections - Call options: alumina (ao2605C2900, trend degree 45, put - call ratio 0.24, remaining days 77), crude oil (sc2604C470, trend degree 37, put - call ratio 0.54, remaining days 35), sugar (SR605C5300, trend degree 35, put - call ratio 0.49, remaining days 66), asphalt (bu2604C3550, trend degree 23, put - call ratio 0.49, remaining days 47), apple (AP605C9900, trend degree 23, put - call ratio 1.61, remaining days 49), silicomanganese (SM605C5900, trend degree 21, put - call ratio 0.47, remaining days 66), glass (FG605C1140, trend degree 19, put - call ratio 0.41, remaining days 66), PVC (v2605 - C - 5100, trend degree 19, put - call ratio 0.46, remaining days 70) [7] - Put options: ethylene glycol (eg2605 - P - 3550, trend degree - 55, put - call ratio 0.37, remaining days 70), lead (pb2604P16000, trend degree - 55, put - call ratio 0.4, remaining days 47), iron ore (i2605 - P - 740, trend degree - 55, put - call ratio 0.95, remaining days 70), rebar (rb2605P3050, trend degree - 55, put - call ratio 0.44, remaining days 77), pulp (sp2605P4950, trend degree - 53, put - call ratio 0.86, remaining days 77), industrial silicon (si2605 - P - 8300, trend degree - 53, put - call ratio 0.49, remaining days 61), silver (ag2604P18500, trend degree - 53, put - call ratio 0.83, remaining days 47), caustic soda (SH605P2040, trend degree - 53, put - call ratio 0.24, remaining days 66) [7] Group 6: Near - Expiry Options - Call options: cotton (CF603C14800, remaining days 3, option closing price 42.0, break - even point 14845.0, break - even increase 1.26%, option doubling point 14890.0, doubling increase 1.57%), glass (FG603C1000, remaining days 3, option closing price 11.5, break - even point 1012.5, break - even increase 1.76%, option doubling point 1025.0, doubling increase 3.02%), etc. [8] - Put options: cotton (CF603P14600, remaining days 3, option closing price 67.0, break - even point 14530.0, break - even decrease - 0.89%, option doubling point 14460.0, doubling decrease - 1.36%), glass (FG603P990, remaining days 3, option closing price 9.5, break - even point 979.5, break - even decrease - 1.56%, option doubling point 969.0, doubling decrease - 2.61%), etc. [9]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - No information provided 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Option Quotes - The daily percentage changes of call options for fuel oil, asphalt, and short - fiber are 97.27%, 46.67%, and 43.38% respectively. The daily percentage changes of put options for offset printing paper, lead, and corn are 12.24%, 6.80%, and 6.25% respectively [1] Option Positions - The daily changes in call option positions for methanol, PTA, and fuel oil are 33565, 16765, and 12896 respectively. The daily changes in put option positions for PTA, glass, and soda ash are 32223, 24052, and 12483 respectively [2] Option Position Put - Call Ratio (PCR) - High - position PCR varieties include apple (1.5705), propylene (1.1986), and offset printing paper (1.1185). Low - position PCR varieties include alumina (0.2203), live pigs (0.2572), and soda ash (0.2926) [5] Option Volume Put - Call Ratio (PCR) - High - volume PCR varieties include apple (1.5386), iron ore (1.3131), and palladium (1.2957). Low - volume PCR varieties include alumina (0.2083), natural rubber (0.2091), and red dates (0.2174) [6] Daily Selections - Call option selections include PVC, soda ash, and alumina with trend degrees of 55, 49, and 49 respectively. Put option selections include lead, eggs, and lithium carbonate with trend degrees of - 55, - 55, and - 47 respectively [7] Near - Expiration Options - For call options of near - expiration options, such as lithium carbonate, the option closing price is 2430.0, the underlying settlement price is 148020.0, and the break - even underlying price and its increase rate are 152436.0 and 2.98% respectively. For put options, such as lithium carbonate, the option closing price is 4100.0, the underlying settlement price is 148020.0, and the break - even underlying price and its decrease rate are 143894.0 and - 2.79% respectively [8]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Report's Core View - The report presents a comprehensive daily update on commodity options, covering various sectors including agriculture, energy and chemicals, black commodities, and metals. It provides detailed data on futures and options markets, including closing prices, price changes, trading volumes, open interest, and option - related metrics such as PCR and volatility [1][5][9][11] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Agricultural Products 3.1.1 Futures Market - Corn (c2603) closed at 2267 with a 6 - point increase, while soybean meal (m2605) closed at 2727 with a 23 - point decrease. Other products like rapeseed meal, palm oil, etc., also showed different price movements and changes in trading volume and open interest [1] 3.1.2 Options Market - For example, the trading volume of corn options decreased, and the PCR (Put - Call Ratio) also changed. Similar trends were observed in other agricultural product options [3] 3.1.3 Option Quantification Indicators - The at - the - money volatility, remaining trading days, and other indicators of each agricultural product option were presented, such as the at - the - money volatility of corn being 9.6% with a - 0.03% change [4] 3.2 Energy and Chemicals 3.2.1 Futures Market - PTA (ta2605) closed at 5150 with a 58 - point increase, and ethylene glycol (eg2605) closed at 3767 with no change. Different energy and chemical products had various price changes, trading volume, and open - interest variations [5] 3.2.2 Options Market - The trading volume and PCR of options for each energy and chemical product changed. For instance, the trading volume of PTA options decreased significantly [6][7] 3.2.3 Option Quantification Indicators - Indicators like at - the - money volatility and its change, and 60 - day quantiles were provided for each energy and chemical product option. For example, the at - the - money volatility of PTA was 24.56% with a - 2.15% change [8] 3.3 Black Commodities 3.3.1 Futures Market - Iron ore (i2605) closed at 777.5 with a 5.5 - point decrease, and coking coal (jm2605) closed at 1167 with a 26 - point increase. Each black commodity had its own price movement, trading volume, and open - interest change [9] 3.3.2 Options Market - The trading volume and PCR of black commodity options showed different trends. For example, the trading volume of iron ore options increased [9] 3.3.3 Option Quantification Indicators - At - the - money volatility and related indicators of black commodity options were presented. For example, the at - the - money volatility of iron ore was 20.11% with a 1.14% change [10] 3.4 Metals 3.4.1 Futures Market - Gold (au2604) closed at 1093.78 with an 85.18 - point increase, and silver (ag2604) closed at 21446 with a 3386 - point decrease. Different metals had different price movements, trading volume, and open - interest changes [11] 3.4.2 Options Market - The trading volume and PCR of metal options changed. For example, the trading volume of gold options decreased [12] 3.4.3 Option Quantification Indicators - At - the - money volatility and other indicators of metal options were provided. For example, the at - the - money volatility of gold was 38.56% [13]

1. Market Overview - The total trading volume of the commodity options market this week was 8,927,530.8, up 0.4% from last week, and the total open interest was 9,142,747, up 0.02% [5]. - The trading volume of agricultural products options was 1,480,074.0, up 0.58%, and the open interest was 3,149,035, up 0.04% [5]. - The trading volume of energy and chemical options was 4,184,971.8, up 0.89%, and the open interest was 3,674,765, up 0.15% [5]. - The trading volume of black options was 340,558.0, down 0.65%, and the open interest was 738,944, up 0.12% [5]. - The trading volume of precious metal options was 812,581.6, down 0.97%, and the open interest was 334,994, down 0.37% [5]. - The trading volume of non - ferrous and new energy options was 2,109,345.4, up 0.42%, and the open interest was 1,245,009, down 0.21% [5]. 2. Market Data 2.1 Market Overview - The report provides the implied volatility, 60 - day quantile, skew, and 60 - day skew quantile of the at - the - money options for various commodities such as corn, soybean meal, and methanol [15]. 2.2 - 2.61 Specific Commodity Options - For each of the 61 types of commodity options (e.g., corn options, soybean meal options), the report details the closing price, price change, remaining trading days of the main and secondary contracts, as well as the trading volume, open interest, volume PCR, open interest PCR, at - the - money volatility, 10 - day historical volatility (HV - 10), 20 - day historical volatility (HV - 20), and skew. For example, in corn options, the main contract's closing price was 2271, down 29, with 14 remaining trading days [16].

财政部、税务总局发布《关于出口业务增值税和消费税政策的公告》、《关于增值税法施行后增值税优惠政策衔接事项的公告》、《关于增值税征税具体范 围有关事项的公告》，对出口货物和跨境销售服务、无形资产适用增值税和消费税退（免）税、免税或者征税政策等有关事项做出说明。（新华财经） 2026年春运将于2月2日开启，至3月13日结束，为期40天。这是有着9天"超长"春节假期的春运，返乡探亲与旅游出行需求叠加释放，预计春运期间全社会跨 区域人员流动量将达到95亿人次，创下历史新高。其中，自驾出行仍将是主体方式，占比约八成。铁路、民航客运量预计分别达到5.4亿人次和9500万人 次，整体规模和单日客流峰值均有望超过历史同期水平。 1月份我国制造业PMI为49.3% 农副食品加工、铁路船舶航空航天设备等行业产需释放较快 财政部、税务总局发布公告明确增值税应税交易销售额计算口径 2026年春运2月2日开启预计春运期间全社会跨区域人员流动量将达到95亿人次 国家统计局服务业调查中心、中国物流与采购联合会31日发布数据显示，1月份，制造业采购经理指数（PMI）为49.3%，比上月下降0.8个百分点。1月份， 生产指数为50.6%，高于 ...

顺期货运 沪铝棉花齐获商品期权榜首 份看涨期权大涨400%! | 期货品种 | 数据涨幅 | | 对应标的 | 标的涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沪铝2603购27400 | | 400.0% | 沪铝2603 | 5.75% | | 棉花2603购16200 | | 400.0% | 棉花2603 | 2.90% | | 棉花2603购16000 | | 400.0% | 棉花2603 | 2.90% | | 沪铝2603购26000 | | 395.4% | 沪铝2603 | 5.75% | | 沪铝2603购26200 | | 382.8% | 沪铝2603 | 5.75% | | 沪铝2603购25000 | | 256.0% | 沪铝2603 | 5.75% | | 沪铝2603购24800 | | 248.4% | 沪铝2603 | 5.75% | 【400%！沪铝 + 棉花期权同步暴涨，资金分流 + 波动率飙升引爆双重红利】 商品期权市场多点开花，沪铝与棉花合约携手领涨，头部合约涨幅清一色突破 400%，基本金属与农产品板块联动上演杠杆盛宴，交易 ...