Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints of the Report - The trading volume of the commodity options market increased slightly this week, with an average daily trading volume of 8.17 million lots and an average daily open interest of 7.17 million lots, showing week - on - week changes of +10.16% and +5.30% respectively. Investors are advised to focus on potential market opportunities in actively traded varieties [1][7]. - The underlying futures of commodity options showed mixed price movements. Some varieties with high weekly increases include nickel (+4.81%), glass (+2.84%), and soybeans No. 1 (+2.74%); those with high weekly decreases include lithium carbonate (-6.85%), silver (-6.74%), and tin (-4.62%) [2][14]. - Most commodity options' implied volatility increased weekly. For varieties with implied volatility at a historical high, investors should be wary of one - sided risks and consider short - volatility opportunities; for those at a historical low, buying options has a higher cost - performance ratio [2][14]. - The PCR of trading volume and open interest of different varieties reflects different market sentiment. Some varieties have a concentrated short - term bearish or bullish sentiment [2][14]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Commodity Options Market Activity - The average daily trading volume of the commodity options market this week was 8.17 million lots, and the average daily open interest was 7.17 million lots, with week - on - week changes of +10.16% and +5.30% respectively [1][7]. - The actively traded varieties in terms of daily average trading volume this week included silver (1.11 million lots), PTA (0.64 million lots), and p - xylene (0.64 million lots) [1][7]. - Five varieties had a trading volume increase of over 100%, with significant growth in p - xylene (+292%), pure benzene (+122%), and cotton (+107%) [1][7]. - Varieties with a significant decline in trading volume were pulp (-74%), rebar (-59%), and bitumen (-57%) [1][7]. - The varieties with high average daily open interest this week were glass (0.54 million lots), soda ash (0.48 million lots), and cotton (0.38 million lots). Ethylene glycol had a rapid week - on - week increase in open interest (+118%) [1][7]. 2. This Week's Main Data Review of Commodity Options 2.1 Underlying Price Movements - Varieties with high weekly increases included nickel (+4.81%), glass (+2.84%), and soybeans No. 1 (+2.74%) [2][14]. - Varieties with high weekly decreases included lithium carbonate (-6.85%), silver (-6.74%), and tin (-4.62%) [2][14]. 2.2 Market Volatility - Most commodity options' implied volatility increased weekly, and 45 varieties' current implied volatility was above the 50th percentile of the past year [2][14]. - Varieties with implied volatility at a historical high included silver, nickel, aluminum, copper, pulp, cotton, and plastic. Those at a historical low included iron ore and soybean oil [2][14]. 2.3 Options Market Sentiment - The trading volume PCR of lithium carbonate, tin, and apple was at a historical high, indicating a concentrated short - term bearish sentiment. The trading volume PCR of zinc, polypropylene, live pigs, cotton, and methanol was at a one - year low, indicating a concentrated bullish sentiment [2][14]. - The open interest PCR of lithium carbonate, silver, and p - xylene was at a historical high, while that of alumina, plastic, ethylene glycol, zinc, and aluminum was at a one - year low, reflecting different levels of bullish and bearish sentiment [2][14]. 3. Key Data Overview of Main Varieties - This chapter presents key data of main varieties, including trading volume, volatility, and options market sentiment indicators. Detailed data of more varieties can be found on the Dongzheng Fanwei official website (https://www.finoview.com.cn/) [19]. 3.1 Energy - Relevant data charts such as total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR of crude oil are provided [21][22]. 3.2 Chemicals - **PTA**: Data charts of total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided [27][33]. - **Caustic Soda**: Data charts of total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided [36][38]. - **Glass**: Data charts of total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided [43][44]. - **Soda Ash**: Data charts of total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided [49][51]. 3.3 Precious Metals - Data charts of total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR of silver are provided [58][59]. 3.4 Ferrous Metals - **Iron Ore**: Data charts of total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided [72][68]. - **Manganese Silicide**: Data charts of total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided [74][75]. 3.5 Non - Ferrous Metals - **Copper**: Data charts of total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided [81][87]. - **Aluminum**: Data charts of total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided [90][93]. 3.6 Agricultural Products - **Soybean Meal**: Data charts of total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided [97][100]. - **Palm Oil**: Data charts of total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided [103][104]. - **Cotton**: Data charts of total trading volume, volatility, open interest PCR, and trading volume PCR are provided [109][110].

投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 ITG国贸期货 | 1 2 2 2 3 | 国贸期货研究院 | 投资咨询号:Z0000116 | 2025/12/30 | 从业资格亏:F0251925 | 金融衍生品中心 李泽矩 | Time to Matutity T | Moneyness M = > | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 历史波动率 | 主 ...

波动率数据日报 永安期货期权总部 更新时间:2025/12/30 、隐含波动率指数、历史波动率及其价差走势图 1、金融期权隐含波动率指数反映截止上一交易日的30日隐波走势,商品期权隐含波动 率指数通过主力月平值期权上下两档隐波加权所得,反映主力合约的隐波变化趋势。2 隐波指数与历史波动率的差值,差值越大反映隐波相对历史波动率越高,差值越小代 表隐波相对历史波动率越低。 免费声明：本文所有内得均不符成改造仪、对文中信息的准明情和克题性不作任何保证，仅供学习交流。我受课模或作出的任何放受决策与平企司完美。就仅仅为我 公司所有、未来书面许可。任何扎格和个人不得以世同形式相談、提到发布。如引用、代度、规控班出处为水安和货公司、且不得进行存择原置的引用、量市和谐政。 隐波指教分位教与波动率价差分位费排名图 1、隐波分位数代表当前品种隐波在历史上的水平。分位教高代表当前稳波偏高。分位数低代表稳疲隔低。2、波动率价差书急按指数十历史皮 动率。 隐含波动率分位数排名 历史波动率分位数排名 PTA 42 6) 85 300E IF 100042 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 ore 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.1 0.1 0 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - This week (2025.12.21 - 2025.12.26), the trading volume of the commodity options market increased slightly, with an average daily trading volume of 8.43 million lots and an average daily open interest of 7.03 million lots, showing a week-on-week change of +22.16% and +8.84% respectively. Investors are advised to focus on potential market opportunities in actively traded varieties [1][7]. - The underlying futures of commodity options showed mixed price movements this week. Most commodity options' implied volatility increased on a weekly basis. The market sentiment for different varieties also varied, with some showing a concentrated expectation of price decline and others showing an expectation of price increase [2][16][17]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Commodity Options Market Activity - The average daily trading volume of actively - traded varieties this week included silver (1.52 million lots), PTA (0.69 million lots), and nickel (0.43 million lots). Five varieties had a trading - volume increase of over 100%, with significant growth in paraxylene (+461%), nickel (+196%), and rapeseed meal (+171%). Meanwhile, LPG (-79%), fuel oil (-79%), and soybeans No.1 (-71%) had obvious trading - volume declines. The varieties with high average daily open interest were glass (0.47 million lots), silver (0.45 million lots), and soda ash (0.45 million lots). Paraxylene (+282%) and PTA (+119%) had a relatively rapid week - on - week increase in open interest [1][7]. 3.2 This Week's Main Data Review of Commodity Options 3.2.1 Underlying Price Movements - The varieties with high weekly increases included silver (+14%), lithium carbonate (+5.34%), and PTA (+4.62%); the varieties with high weekly decreases included polysilicon (-2.14%) and Shanghai tin (-1.58%) [2][16]. 3.2.2 Market Volatility - Most commodity options' implied volatility increased on a weekly basis, with the current implied volatility of 42 varieties above the 50% percentile of the past year. The implied volatility of silver, nickel, lithium carbonate, paraxylene, and staple fiber increased by 22.06, 18.17, 11.59, 10.22, and 10.17 percentage points respectively. Varieties with implied volatility at a one - year high included silver, tin, nickel, aluminum, copper, and paraxylene; those with implied volatility at a one - year low included soybean oil [2][16]. 3.2.3 Options Market Sentiment - Currently, the trading - volume PCR of lithium carbonate and apples is at a historical high, indicating a short - term concentrated expectation of price decline in the market; the trading - volume PCR of live pigs, aluminum, rapeseed oil, corn, gold, and rubber is at a one - year low, indicating a concentrated expectation of price increase. The open - interest PCR of lithium carbonate, silver, paraxylene, and PTA is at a historical high, showing a high level of market sentiment for betting on price decline; the open - interest PCR of aluminum, ethylene glycol, zinc, and styrene is at a one - year low, indicating an accumulation of market sentiment for betting on price increase [2][17]. 3.3 Key Data Overview of Main Varieties - This chapter presents key data of main varieties, including trading volume, volatility, and options market sentiment indicators. More detailed data for more varieties can be found on the official website of Dongzheng Fanwei (https://www.finoview.com.cn/) [22]. 3.3.1 Energy - Relevant charts show the total trading volume, volatility, open - interest PCR, and trading - volume PCR of crude oil, but no specific data analysis in the text [23][24][27]. 3.3.2 Chemicals - **PTA**: Charts display the total trading volume, volatility, open - interest PCR, and trading - volume PCR, but no specific data analysis in the text [30][31][37]. - **Caustic Soda**: Similar to PTA, relevant data are presented in charts without specific text analysis [39][40][41]. - **Glass**: Charts show related data, and there is no specific text analysis [45][46][47]. - **Soda Ash**: Charts present relevant information, and no detailed text analysis [53][54][56]. 3.3.3 Precious Metals - Charts show the total trading volume, volatility, open - interest PCR, and trading - volume PCR of silver, with no specific text analysis [62][63][64]. 3.3.4 Ferrous Metals - **Iron Ore**: The total trading volume, volatility, open - interest PCR, and trading - volume PCR are presented in charts, and no detailed text analysis [70][71][72]. - **Silicomanganese**: Similar to iron ore, relevant data are shown in charts without specific text analysis [77][78][79]. 3.3.5 Non - ferrous Metals - **Copper**: Charts display the total trading volume, volatility, open - interest PCR, and trading - volume PCR, with no specific text analysis [85][86][90]. - **Aluminum**: Similar to copper, relevant data are presented in charts without detailed text analysis [92][93][95]. 3.3.6 Agricultural Products - **Soybean Meal**: The total trading volume, volatility, open - interest PCR, and trading - volume PCR are shown in charts, and no detailed text analysis [98][100][103]. - **Palm Oil**: Relevant data are presented in charts without specific text analysis [106][107][108]. - **Cotton**: Similar to the above, relevant data are shown in charts without detailed text analysis [114][115][117].

年度报告——商品期权 潮有暗涌，择舟而渡 报告日期： 2025 年 12 月 26 日 ★ 商品期权：市场逐步扩容，谱系趋于完善 2025 年，我国商品期权市场在前期高速发展后，步入精耕细作 的稳步扩容新阶段，全年共上市 8 个新品种，使得商品期权总 数从年初的 53 个增至 61 个，覆盖广度与产业深度均得到进一 步提升。同时期权市场成交活跃，重拾增长动能，全年成交量 创下历史新高，与金融期权市场容量差距进一步缩窄。 ★ 波动率：宏观及市场情绪抬升商品波动水平 商品期权标的期货市场呈现出典型的跌多涨少、宽幅震荡、板 块分化格局。商品市场的共振走势主要源于三大核心驱动，包 括美国关税政策反复、国内"反内卷"政策以及年末贵金属板块行 情，整体商品市场波动显著提升。 波动率交易建议关注历史波动率交易与隐含波动率交易的区 别，二者收益分别来源于 Gamma 与 Vega 维度。此外，期权隐 含波动率并非单一线性的结构，而是一个在行权价 和到期期 限 两个维度上动态变动的复杂曲面，这为投资者提供了波动率 期限套利与偏度套利的机会。 ★ 期权策略推荐 回顾 2025 年，宏观贸易政策剧烈调整、全球风险偏好的变化以 及国 ...

波动率数据日报 永安期货期权总部 更新时间:2025/12/26 、隐含波动率指数、历史波动率及其价差走势图 1、金融期权隐含波动率指数反映截止上一交易日的30日隐波走势,商品期权隐含波动 率指数通过主力月平值期权上下两档隐波加权所得,反映主力合约的隐波变化趋势。2 隐波指数与历史波动率的差值,差值越大反映隐波相对历史波动率越高,差值越小代 表隐波相对历史波动率越低。 隐波指教分位教与波动率价差分位费排名图 1、隐波分位数代表当前品种隐波在历史上的水平。分位数高代表当前稳波偏高。分位数低代表稳疲偏低。2、波动率价差书急按指数一切史皮 动率。 隐含波动率分位数排名 历史波动率分位数排名 en 6-15 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 ore 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 ■ 0 ora 1 免费声明：本文所有内得均不符成改造仪、对文中信息的准明情和克题性不作任何保证，仅供学习交流。我受课模或作出的任何放受决策与平企司完美。就仅仅为我 公司所有、未来书面许可。任何扎格和个人不得以世同形式相談、提到发布。如引用、代度、规控班出处为水安和货公司、且 ...

投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 ITG国贸期货 商品期权数据日报 | 金融衍生品中心 李泽矩 Time to Matutity T Moneyness M = > | | | 从业资格号:F0251925 | | | | 2025/12/25 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沖铝 22330 11% 0. 93% 21.04% 13% 12% 10% | PVC | 4781 | 1. 55% | 27. 55% | 31% | 23% | 20% | 20% | | 沪铜 2. 33% 96100 49. 97% 19% 16% 19% 15% | 甲醇 | 2172 | 0. 88% | 26. 88% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 19% | | 沪锌 23230 0. 93% 19.09% 15% 12% 12% 11% | 塑料 | 6408 | 1. 99% | 34.12% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 10% | | 沪金 1014. 68 0. 63% 35.79% ...

日度数据跟踪 2025 年 12 月 21 日 【商品期权日报 1222】商品期权成 交量 509 万张，PTA 期权 IV 上升 2.26% 重要事项：本报告版权归银河期货有限公司所有。未获得银河期货书面 授权，任何人不得对本报告进行任何形式的发布、复制。本报告的信息 均来源于公开资料，我公司对这些信息的准确性和完整性不作任何保证， 也不保证所包含的信息和建议不会发生任何变更。我们已力求报告内容 的客观、公正，但文中的观点、结论和建议仅供参考，报告中的信息或 意见并不构成交易建议，投资者据此做出的任何投资决策与本公司和作 者无关。 有关分析师承诺，见本报告最后部分。并请阅读报告最后一页的免责声 明。 分析师 谢怡伦 从业资格号：F03135587 投资咨询号：Z0021150 Tel：021-65789205 Email： xieyilun_qh@chinastock.com.cn 期 权 研 究 1 衍生品业务总部 | 一． | 行情速览 3 | | --- | --- | | 1.1. | 成交持仓量 3 | | 1.2. | 波动率 5 | | 二． | 品种研究 6 | | 2.1. | 豆粕期权 ...

周度报告——商品期权 商品期权周报：2025 年第 51 周 ★ 风险提示 模型风险、政策风险、末日轮极端行情 报告日期： 2025 年 12 月 21 日 ★ 商品期权市场活跃度 本周（2025.12.15-2025.12.19）商品期权市场成交小幅萎缩， 日均成交量为 691 万手，日均持仓量为 646 万手，环比变化 分别为-16.35%和-35.33%。分品种来看，本周日均成交活跃的 品种主要包括白银（108 万手）、PVC（34 万手）、玻璃（33 万手）。此外，本周共有 4 个品种成交增长超过 100%，成交 量增长较为显著的品种为对二甲苯（+256%）、沥青（+143%）、 镍（+125%）。与此同时，成交量下降较为明显的品种则有 菜油（-84%）、菜粕（-79%）、玉米淀粉（-64%）。从持仓 量数据来看，本周日均持仓量较高的品种为白银（50 万手）、 玻璃（36 万手）和纯碱（36 万手）。日均持仓量环比增长较 为迅速的品种为对二甲苯（+91%）、锡（+49%）。建议投 资者可重点关注交易活跃品种可能存在的市场机会。 ★ 商品期权主要数据点评 标的涨跌情况：本周商品期权标的期货涨跌互见。周度 ...

■ 张 敏 近日，中国证监会网站发布的信息显示，欧力士亚洲资产管理有限公司、伊斯投资证券股份公司、爱普 森资本管理有限公司等企业的合格境外投资者资格已获核准。 据笔者统计，年内已经有72家机构获批该资格。根据中国证监会发布的合格境外投资者名录，从2002年 至今，已有超900家境外机构获得这一资格。 合格境外投资者制度是我国资本市场最早施行的开放制度之一，自2002年推出以来，在扩大资本市场对 外开放方面发挥了积极作用。 当前，我国资本市场制度型开放正步入系统化加速阶段。10月份，中国证监会发布的《合格境外投资者 制度优化工作方案》提出"力争用两年左右的时间，推动落实优化合格境外投资者制度机制的改革举 措"，并明确了一系列旨在提升便利性与吸引力的具体改革举措。 制度型开放的积极效应，正通过资本市场的活跃度得到直观印证。数据显示，今年以来，截至12月16 日，外资机构调研A股上市公司超过1100家，重点关注高端制造、科技、数字经济等领域，这与中国经 济转型升级和产业结构优化的方向高度契合。 调研热度也转化为实际的资金流动。当前，境外长线资金持续稳步流入，用实际行动表达对中国资产的 信心。摩根士丹利披露的数据显示 ...