玉米期权
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商品期权赋能实体经济高质量发展
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-11-24 08:34
11月21日,由大商所、徽商期货联合主办,安徽证券期货业协会支持的"DCE·产业行"——商品期权赋 能安徽实体经济高质量发展活动在安徽合肥成功举行。本次活动聚焦商品期权服务实体经济的实践与创 新,吸引了50余名产业企业代表和期货从业人员参与。 据期货日报记者了解,大商所自2017年3月31日推出国内首个商品期权——豆粕期权以来,持续丰富品 种体系、优化合约规则。 期权策略实现精准风险管理 活动中,厦门建发股份农产品集团期货部总经理刘涛进行了题为"商品期权在农产品风险管理中的运 用"的经验分享,详细阐述了企业在期权策略应用方面的具体案例。 刘涛介绍,贸易商可以通过单腿买入看跌期权保护库存。2020年6月1日,某玉米贸易商持有库存且已有 150元/吨浮盈,担心未来价格回调,但又不愿错过上涨机会。企业以30元/吨的权利金买入执行价为 2050元/吨、期限为2个月的看跌期权。到期时,若玉米期货价格跌至1800元/吨,期权端盈利220元/吨, 有效对冲现货损失;若价格上涨,仅损失权利金,仍可享受现货价格上涨收益。 "含权贸易是期权利用方面的一个创新。"上海徽丰实业衍生品部负责人卢仕峰介绍,在塑化产业链中, 上游企业可以 ...
农产品期权:农产品期权策略早报-20251124
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-11-24 02:27
农产品期权 2025-11-24 农产品期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号:F3047321 | 交易咨询号:Z0015541 | 邮箱:lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号:F03138607 | 电话:0755-23375252 | 邮箱:huangkh@wkqh.cn | | 李仁君 | 产业服务 | 从业资格号:F03090207 | 交易咨询号:Z0016947 | 邮箱:lirj@wkqh.cn | 农产品期权策略早报概要:油料油脂类农产品偏弱震荡,油脂类,农副产品维持震荡行情,软商品白糖小幅震荡, 棉花弱势盘整,谷物类玉米和淀粉弱势窄幅盘整。 策略上:构建卖方为主的期权组合策略以及现货套保或备兑策略增强收益。 表1:标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | ( ...
农产品期权:农产品期权策略早报-20251120
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-11-20 01:43
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The agricultural product options market shows a mixed trend, with oilseeds and oils showing a weak and volatile pattern, while agricultural by - products and soft commodities like sugar and cotton maintain a volatile or weak - consolidation trend [2]. - For investment strategies, it is recommended to construct option portfolio strategies mainly as sellers, along with spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - Multiple agricultural product futures show price changes. For example, the price of soybean No.1 (A2601) is 4,128, down 23 (-0.55%); soybean No.2 (B2601) is 3,742, down 15 (-0.40%); etc. [3]. 3.2 Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - Different option varieties have different volume and open - interest PCR values. For instance, the volume PCR of soybean No.1 is 0.48, and the open - interest PCR is 1.16 [4]. 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - Each option variety has corresponding pressure and support levels. For example, the pressure point of soybean No.1 is 4,200, and the support point is 4,050 [5]. 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - Implied volatility varies among different option varieties. For example, the implied volatility of soybean No.1 is 11.405 (at - the - money implied volatility) [6]. 3.5 Option Strategies and Recommendations 3.5.1 Oilseeds and Oils Options - **Soybean No.1**: The fundamentals show that Brazilian soybean planting progress is slow, and the market has formed a pattern of oversold rebound. Option - related factors indicate that the implied volatility is below the historical average, and the open - interest PCR is below 0.70. Strategies include constructing a neutral short - call + short - put option combination strategy and a long - collar strategy for spot hedging [7]. - **Soybean Meal**: The fundamentals show changes in trading volume, delivery volume, basis, and inventory. The market shows a pattern of oversold rebound. Option - related factors indicate that the implied volatility is below the historical average, and the open - interest PCR is below 0.60. Strategies include constructing a neutral short - call + short - put option combination strategy and a long - collar strategy for spot hedging [9]. - **Palm Oil**: The fundamentals show that the spot basis of oils has increased slightly, and the total inventory is decreasing. The market shows a pattern of low - level consolidation. Option - related factors indicate that the implied volatility is below the historical average, and the open - interest PCR is above 1.00. Strategies include constructing a short - biased short - call + short - put option combination strategy and a long - collar strategy for spot hedging [9]. - **Peanuts**: The fundamentals show that the price of peanut oil is stable, and the peanut market is affected by factors such as farmers' reluctance to sell. The market shows a pattern of weak consolidation under bearish pressure. Option - related factors indicate that the implied volatility is at a relatively high historical level, and the open - interest PCR is below 0.60. Strategies include a long - collar strategy for spot hedging [10]. 3.5.2 Agricultural By - products Options - **Pigs**: The fundamentals show that the spot price of pigs has decreased, and the market shows a pattern of weak bearish decline. Option - related factors indicate that the implied volatility is above the historical average, and the open - interest PCR is below 0.50. Strategies include constructing a short - biased short - call + short - put option combination strategy and a long - covered strategy [10]. - **Eggs**: The fundamentals show changes in the inventory of laying hens. The market shows a pattern of rebound and slight consolidation under pressure. Option - related factors indicate that the implied volatility is at a relatively high level, and the open - interest PCR is below 0.60. Strategies include constructing a neutral short - call + short - put option combination strategy [11]. - **Apples**: The fundamentals show that the apple storage is nearing completion, and the inventory is lower than in previous years. The market shows a pattern of continuous rebound and high - level consolidation under pressure. Option - related factors indicate that the implied volatility is above the historical average, and the open - interest PCR is above 0.90. Strategies include constructing a long - biased short - call + short - put option combination strategy and a long - collar strategy for spot hedging [11]. - **Jujubes**: The fundamentals show that the purchase price of jujubes in different regions has changed, and the market shows a pattern of weak bearish decline. Option - related factors indicate that the implied volatility has risen rapidly to above the historical average, and the open - interest PCR is below 0.50. Strategies include constructing a short - biased short - strangle option combination strategy and a long - covered hedging strategy [12]. 3.5.3 Soft Commodities Options - **Sugar**: The fundamentals show an increase in sugar production in Brazil's central - southern region and India's sugar export policy. The market shows a pattern of weak bearish decline. Option - related factors indicate that the implied volatility is at a relatively low historical level, and the open - interest PCR is around 0.60. Strategies include constructing a short - biased short - call + short - put option combination strategy and a long - collar strategy for spot hedging [12]. - **Cotton**: The fundamentals show the progress of cotton picking, delivery, processing, and sales. The market shows a short - term weak pattern. Option - related factors indicate that the implied volatility is at a relatively low level, and the open - interest PCR is below 1.00. Strategies include constructing a short - biased short - call + short - put option combination strategy and a long - covered strategy [13]. 3.5.4 Grains Options - **Corn**: The fundamentals show an increase in the national average price of corn. The market shows a pattern of weak rebound under pressure. Option - related factors indicate that the implied volatility is at a relatively low historical level, and the open - interest PCR is below 0.60. Strategies include constructing a neutral short - call + short - put option combination strategy [13].
产量失真、需求成谜,玉米市场啥时候能建库存?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-19 15:08
(来源:每日粮油) 以粮油仓储贸易企业为例,目前全国粮食标准仓房完好仓容超过7.3亿吨,比"十三五"时期末增加5800 万吨,如果加上这几年民间资本建立的粮仓数量,该数据预计至少仍有30%以上的增长。 来源:每日粮油 关注每日粮油,了解全球市场最新动态。 近年来,随着全球国际形势的变化,各国在对包括粮食、原油、稀土、镍等大宗原料商品市场的争夺愈 加激烈,并传导至下游生产贸易企业层面,跨国性商品贸易集团的合并重组也愈加快速,在此期间,代 表我国走向世界粮食市场的中粮国际也快速成长为全球粮商巨头。 但由于此前中国在国际商品市场的失败案例,从2003年的第一次大豆危机,再到原油宝、中航油套保巨 亏等案例,让不少投资者对国际大宗商品交易工具——期货市场仍心有余悸。 在最近一次的内部讨论中,每日粮油就期货对粮食产业的风险规避问题也进行了简单的交流,特别是针 对当前国内玉米市场面临产量、需求不确定性,实体企业该如何利用期货工具避险? 据悉,今年玉米市场走势较为复杂,部分网友认为今年黄淮地区遭遇历史罕见的持续阴雨天气,无论对 玉米的品质和产量都构成了极大的影响,且造成大面积的小麦冬播延迟,加上玉米价格已经跌至近10年 的低 ...
农产品期权:农产品期权策略早报-20251119
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-11-19 02:12
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The agricultural product options market shows different trends. Oilseed and oil - related agricultural products are in a weak and volatile state, while fats, agricultural by - products maintain a volatile market. Soft commodities like sugar have a slight fluctuation, cotton is in a weak consolidation, and grains such as corn and starch are in a weak and narrow - range consolidation. It is recommended to construct option portfolio strategies mainly based on sellers, as well as spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - Various agricultural product futures have different price movements. For example, the latest price of soybean No.1 (A2601) is 4,148, down 29 (- 0.69%); palm oil (P2601) is 8,846, up 158 (1.82%). There are also differences in trading volume and open interest changes among different varieties [3] 3.2 Option Factor - Quantity and Position PCR - The PCR indicators of different agricultural product options vary. For instance, the trading volume PCR of soybean No.1 is 0.33 (down 0.08), and the open interest PCR is 1.08 (unchanged). These indicators are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the underlying market [4] 3.3 Option Factor - Pressure and Support Levels - From the perspective of the maximum open interest of call and put options, the pressure and support levels of different agricultural product options are determined. For example, the pressure level of soybean No.1 is 4200 and the support level is 4050 [5] 3.4 Option Factor - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility of different agricultural product options shows different characteristics. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of soybean No.1 is 11.745, and the weighted implied volatility is 13.39 (up 0.31). The implied - historical volatility difference is - 0.39 [6] 3.5 Strategies and Recommendations for Different Options 3.5.1 Oilseed and Oil Options - **Soybean No.1**: Fundamentally, the CNF premium of Brazilian soybeans in February 2026 has a slight weekly decline, and the planting progress is slow. The option implied volatility is below the historical average, and the open interest PCR is below 0.70. It is recommended to construct a neutral short - call + short - put option combination strategy and a long - collar strategy for spot hedging [7] - **Soybean Meal**: The daily average trading volume and delivery volume of soybean meal in mainstream oil mills have changed. The option implied volatility is below the historical average, and the open interest PCR is below 0.60. It is recommended to construct a neutral short - call + short - put option combination strategy and a long - collar strategy for spot hedging [9] - **Palm Oil**: The spot basis of oils has a slight increase, and the total inventory is decreasing. The option implied volatility is below the historical average, and the open interest PCR is above 1.00. It is recommended to construct a short - biased short - call + short - put option combination strategy and a long - collar strategy for spot hedging [9] - **Peanut**: The price of peanut oil is stable. The option implied volatility is at a relatively high historical level, and the open interest PCR is below 0.60. It is recommended to use a long - collar strategy for spot hedging [10] 3.5.2 Agricultural By - product Options - **Pig**: The spot price of pigs has decreased. The option implied volatility is above the historical average, and the open interest PCR is below 0.50. It is recommended to construct a short - biased short - call + short - put option combination strategy and a covered call strategy for spot [10] - **Egg**: The inventory of laying hens has changed. The option implied volatility is at a relatively high level, and the open interest PCR is below 0.60. It is recommended to construct a neutral short - call + short - put option combination strategy [11] - **Apple**: The apple storage is less than the same period in previous years. The option implied volatility is above the historical average, and the open interest PCR is above 0.90. It is recommended to construct a long - biased short - call + short - put option combination strategy and a long - collar strategy for spot hedging [11] - **Jujube**: The acquisition price of jujube has changed. The option implied volatility has rapidly risen above the historical average, and the open interest PCR is below 0.50. It is recommended to construct a short - biased short - strangle option combination strategy and a covered call strategy for spot hedging [12] 3.5.3 Soft Commodity Options - **Sugar**: The sugar production in the central - southern region of Brazil has increased, and India has allowed sugar exports. The option implied volatility is at a relatively low historical level, and the open interest PCR is around 0.60. It is recommended to construct a short - biased short - call + short - put option combination strategy and a long - collar strategy for spot hedging [12] - **Cotton**: The progress of cotton picking, delivery, and processing has changed. The option implied volatility is at a relatively low level, and the open interest PCR is below 1.00. It is recommended to construct a short - biased short - call + short - put option combination strategy and a covered call strategy for spot [13] 3.5.4 Grain Options - **Corn**: The average price of corn has increased. The option implied volatility is at a relatively low historical level, and the open interest PCR is below 0.60. It is recommended to construct a neutral short - call + short - put option combination strategy [13]
西南期货联合国家级生猪大数据中心成功举办“健康发展•期现联动”饲料产业交流会
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-11-17 05:58
交流会以"实操赋能、精准对接"为核心,聚焦饲料(玉米、豆粕)期货及期权的核心功能与企业实操场 景,通过"理论讲解+案例分析+互动答疑"的形式,解析衍生品工具的核心功能与企业实操场景,助力 参会企业掌握利用期货期权对冲价格波动风险、稳定经营成本的实操逻辑。 以本次交流会为契机,西南期货与国家级生猪大数据中心将进一步深化战略合作,联合搭建专业化产融 合作平台,构建"数据赋能+金融护航+产业升级"三位一体的风险对冲服务体系,以数字化工具破解产 业痛点、以金融创新对冲市场风险,切实赋能生猪全链条转型升级,为区域畜牧产业高质量发展注入期 货动能。 2025年11月12日,西南期货联合国家级生猪大数据中心在"中国畜牧科技城"——重庆荣昌成功举办"健 康发展•期现联动"荣昌饲料产业交流会。荣昌区金融事务中心、荣昌区畜牧发展中心、荣昌区高新区管 委会等政府机构,及重庆铁骑力士牧业科技有限公司、重庆汇光饲料有限公司、重庆海大饲料有限公 司、正大康地(重庆)生物科技有限公司、重庆安佑饲料有限公司等饲料相关企业参会,共话饲料产业 期现融合发展新路径。 荣昌区人民政府副区长夏定文出席交流会并致辞。他表示,西南期货作为深耕金融衍生品服 ...
波动率数据日报-20251114
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-11-14 10:40
Group 1: Implied Volatility Index and Volatility Spread - The financial option implied volatility index reflects the 30 - day implied volatility (IV) trend as of the previous trading day, and the commodity option implied volatility index is obtained by weighting the IV of the two - strike options above and below the at - the - money option of the main contract, reflecting the IV change trend of the main contract [2] - The difference between the IV index and historical volatility (HV) indicates the relative level of IV to HV. A larger difference means IV is relatively higher than HV, and a smaller difference means IV is relatively lower [2] Group 2: Implied Volatility and Historical Volatility Charts - There are charts showing the IV, HV, and IV - HV differences for various financial and commodity options, including stock - index options (300 index, 1000 index, 50ETF, 500ETF), precious metals (silver, gold), agricultural products (soybean meal, corn, sugar, cotton), energy and chemicals (PTA, methanol, rubber), base metals (copper, aluminum, zinc, PVC), and others (urea, rapeseed meal, palm oil) [3][5] Group 3: Quantile Ranking of Volatility Index and Volatility Spread - The implied volatility quantile represents the current level of a variety's implied volatility in history. A high quantile means the current IV is high, and a low quantile means the current IV is low [6] - The volatility spread is the difference between the implied volatility index and historical volatility [6] - There are rankings of historical volatility quantiles and implied volatility quantiles for different varieties such as 300 index, 50ETF, PTA, etc. [7]
农产品期权策略早报:农产品期权策略早报概要:油料油脂类农产品偏弱震荡,油脂类,农副产品维持震荡行情,软商品白糖小幅震荡,棉花弱势盘整,谷物类玉米和淀粉弱势窄幅盘整。策略上:构建卖方为主的期权组合策略以及现货套保或备兑策略增强收益。-20251111
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-11-11 01:53
Group 1: Report Summary - The agricultural products option market shows a mixed trend, with oilseeds and oils, and agricultural by - products in a weak or stable oscillation. Soft commodities like sugar and cotton also display a similar pattern, and grains such as corn and starch are in a narrow - range weak oscillation [2]. - It is recommended to construct option portfolio strategies mainly as sellers, along with spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2]. Group 2: Futures Market Overview - Various agricultural product futures show different price changes. For example, the latest price of soybean No.1 (A2601) is 4,138, up 24 with a 0.58% increase; soybean meal (M2601) is 3,051, unchanged; and palm oil (P2601) is 8,708, up 38 with a 0.44% increase [3]. Group 3: Option Factor - Quantity and Position PCR - The PCR indicators of different agricultural product options vary. For instance, the volume PCR of soybean No.1 is 0.53, down 0.29; the position PCR is 1.19, down 0.00. These indicators help describe the strength of the option - underlying market and potential turning points [4]. Group 4: Option Factor - Pressure and Support Levels - Each agricultural product option has its own pressure and support levels. For example, the pressure point of soybean No.1 is 4,200 and the support point is 4,050; the pressure point of soybean meal is 3,100 and the support point is also 3,100 [5]. Group 5: Option Factor - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility of different agricultural product options shows different trends. For example, the weighted implied volatility of soybean No.1 is 12.18, down 0.52; that of soybean meal is 15.09, up 0.17 [6]. Group 6: Option Strategies and Recommendations Oilseeds and Oils Options - **Soybean No.1**: The fundamentals are affected by factors such as the decline of Brazilian soybean CNF premium and the slowdown of planting progress. The market shows a rebound after a decline. It is recommended to construct a neutral - selling call + put option combination strategy and a long - collar strategy for spot hedging [7]. - **Soybean Meal**: The fundamentals are related to factors like daily trading volume and inventory changes. The market shows a rebound after a decline. Similar to soybean No.1, a neutral - selling call + put option combination strategy and a long - collar strategy for spot hedging are recommended [9]. - **Palm Oil**: The fundamentals are influenced by Malaysian production and inventory. The market is in a low - level consolidation. It is recommended to construct a short - biased selling call + put option combination strategy and a long - collar strategy for spot hedging [9]. - **Peanut**: The fundamentals are in a contradictory state of high - quality resource support and loose supply - demand. The market is in a weak downward trend. A long - collar strategy for spot hedging is recommended [10]. Agricultural By - products Options - **Pig**: The fundamentals are related to the increase in pig slaughter and inventory. The market is in a weak downward trend. A bear - spread strategy of put options, a short - biased selling call + put option combination strategy, and a covered strategy for spot are recommended [10]. - **Egg**: The fundamentals are characterized by high supply and weak demand. The market shows a rebound after a decline. A neutral - selling call + put option combination strategy is recommended [11]. - **Apple**: The fundamentals are affected by factors such as reduced production and low inventory. The market is in a rising and oscillating state. A long - biased selling call + put option combination strategy and a long - collar strategy for spot hedging are recommended [11]. - **Jujube**: The fundamentals are related to stable prices and sufficient supply. The market is in a weak downward trend. A short - biased wide - straddle option combination strategy and a covered strategy for spot hedging are recommended [12]. Soft Commodities Options - **Sugar**: The fundamentals are affected by the weak external sugar market. The market is in a weak downward state. A short - biased selling call + put option combination strategy and a long - collar strategy for spot hedging are recommended [12]. - **Cotton**: The fundamentals are related to the end of cotton harvesting and increasing supply. The market is in a short - term weak state. A short - biased selling call + put option combination strategy and a covered strategy for spot are recommended [13]. Grains Options - **Corn**: The fundamentals are influenced by factors such as price declines and supply - demand imbalance. The market shows a rebound after a decline. A neutral - selling call + put option combination strategy is recommended [13].
玉米期货月报-20251110
Guo Jin Qi Huo· 2025-11-10 08:39
Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Core Viewpoints - In October 2025, the domestic corn market showed a "rising first, then falling" oscillating trend. At the beginning of the month, due to continuous rainy weather, the harvest and listing progress of new - season corn was slower than expected, with tight market supply supporting the price. In the middle and late - month, as the weather cleared, the supply pressure emerged as new grain volume increased and downstream demand was cautious. The overall price center shifted down compared to September [3]. Summary by Directory 1. Futures Market 1.1 Contract Price Analysis - The opening price of the corn futures c2601 contract in October was 2,118 yuan/ton, with a maximum of 2,152 yuan/ton and a minimum of 2,094 yuan/ton. As of October 31, the closing price was 2,130 yuan/ton, the same as the previous month's closing price. The position was 931,100 lots, and the trading volume was 7,567,700 lots [4]. 1.2 Variety Market Analysis - In the monthly corn futures market, prices rose more than they fell. The total position was 1,772,414 lots, and the trading volume was 13,721,901 lots [8]. 1.3 Associated Market Analysis - In October, the trading volume of corn options was 2,203,616 lots, the total position was 233,188 lots, with a decrease of 130,217 lots. The total number of exercises in the month was 57,481 [10]. 2. Spot Market 2.1 Basis Data - The basis in domestic corn - producing areas first strengthened and then weakened. In the first half - month, continuous rainy weather led to tight spot supply and a strong spot price, while the futures price was relatively weak. In the second half - month, as the weather cleared, new grain volume increased, the spot price fell, and the basis narrowed [11]. 2.2 Registered Warehouse Receipts - The total number of corn futures warehouse receipts first remained stable and then increased, but the overall level was at a historical low. The low level in October supported the futures market, but the end - of - month increase indicated that spot pressure was being transmitted to the futures market [12]. 3. Influencing Factors 3.1 Industry Information - The National Bureau of Statistics and relevant institutions released the 2025/26 corn production forecast. Concerns about new - grain quality emerged due to rainy weather. Relevant institutions such as Sinograin signaled to enter the market for purchases. Imported grains continued to arrive at ports, affecting domestic prices. Market attention focused on the start - up of drying towers and farmers' selling attitudes, and logistics costs affected the grain circulation pattern [13][14]. 3.2 Technical Analysis - The corn futures c2601 contract showed a "bottom - hunting and rebounding" trend. After the National Day, the price fell to a new low due to supply pressure. In the middle and late - month, it bottomed out and rebounded as it fell below the planting cost and with policy support. The MACD indicator showed declining downward momentum and accumulating upward momentum [15]. 4. Market Outlook - Northeast and North China are about to enter the peak period of new - season corn listing. Farmers' selling willingness will be the key to the spot price. Downstream demand is weak, and it's difficult to drive price increases independently. In the short - term, the price of the corn C2601 contract is expected to oscillate and bottom out, with a possible narrowing of the fluctuation range. Future attention should be paid to farmers' selling attitudes, policy - based purchases, and the impact of weather on logistics [18].
农产品期权策略早报:农产品期权-20251110
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-11-10 02:24
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The agricultural product options market shows different trends. Oilseeds and oils are in a weak and volatile state, while agricultural by - products and soft commodities like sugar are in a volatile or slightly volatile situation, and grains such as corn and starch are in a weak and narrow - range consolidation. - It is recommended to construct option portfolio strategies mainly based on sellers, as well as spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns. [2] 3. Summary According to Related Catalogs 3.1. Futures Market Overview - Various agricultural product futures show different price changes. For example, the latest price of soybean No.1 (A2601) is 4,118, down 7 with a decline rate of - 0.17%. The trading volume and open interest also have corresponding changes. [3] 3.2. Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - The volume and open interest PCR of different agricultural product options are presented. For instance, the volume PCR of soybean No.1 is 0.81 with a change of 0.26, and the open interest PCR is 1.19 with a change of 0.04. These indicators are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the market. [4] 3.3. Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure and support levels of different agricultural product options are given. For example, the pressure level of soybean No.1 is 4,200 and the support level is 4,050. These levels are determined from the strike prices with the largest open interest of call and put options. [5] 3.4. Option Factors - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility of different agricultural product options is analyzed. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of soybean No.1 is 11.7, the weighted implied volatility is 12.70 with a change of - 0.00, and the difference between implied and historical volatility is - 0.21. [6] 3.5. Option Strategies and Recommendations 3.5.1. Oilseeds and Oils Options - **Soybean No.1**: - Fundamental analysis shows that the CNF premium of Brazilian soybeans in January 2026 decreased week - on - week, while the import cost increased, and the crushing profit decreased. The planting progress of Brazilian soybeans slowed down, which has a slightly positive impact. - The option strategy includes constructing a neutral call + put option combination strategy to obtain time value and a long collar strategy for spot hedging. [7] - **Soybean Meal**: - The average daily trading volume and delivery volume of soybean meal decreased week - on - week, and the basis increased slightly. - Option strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging. [9] - **Palm Oil**: - The production and rainfall in Malaysia are favorable, and the inventory at the end of the year is expected to be at a relatively high historical level. - Option strategies include constructing a short - biased call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging. [9] - **Peanut**: - The peanut market is in a contradiction between the support of high - quality resources and the overall loose supply - demand situation. - The option strategy is to construct a long collar strategy for spot hedging. [10] 3.5.2. Agricultural By - products Options - **Pig**: - The production and inventory of pigs in the first three quarters of 2025 increased. - Option strategies include constructing a bear spread strategy for call options, a short - biased call + put option combination strategy, and a covered call strategy for spot. [10] - **Egg**: - The egg market has a pattern of high supply and weak demand. - Option strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option combination strategy. [11] - **Apple**: - The apple production decreased this year, and the cold - storage inventory is expected to be low. - Option strategies include constructing a long - biased call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging. [11] - **Jujube**: - The jujube market price is stable, and the supply is sufficient. - Option strategies include constructing a short - biased wide - straddle option combination strategy and a covered call strategy for spot hedging. [12] 3.5.3. Soft Commodities Options - **Sugar**: - The weak external sugar market restricts the rebound of Zhengzhou sugar, but the expected decline in sugar production in southern Brazil may have a certain restrictive effect on the decline. - Option strategies include constructing a short - biased call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging. [12] - **Cotton**: - The new cotton supply is increasing, which exerts pressure on cotton prices. - Option strategies include constructing a short - biased call + put option combination strategy and a covered call strategy for spot hedging. [13] 3.5.4. Grains Options - **Corn**: - The purchase price of corn by domestic processing enterprises decreased, and the market supply exceeded demand. - Option strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option combination strategy. [13]