通胀上行风险
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欧洲央行执委施纳贝尔:关税在短期内可能具有反通胀作用,但在中期会带来上行风险。
news flash· 2025-05-20 06:46
欧洲央行执委施纳贝尔:关税在短期内可能具有反通胀作用,但在中期会带来上行风险。 ...
澳洲联储:住房通胀也在缓解,通胀上行风险尚未显现。
news flash· 2025-05-20 04:43
Core Viewpoint - The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) indicates that housing inflation is easing, and there are no evident upward risks to inflation at this time [1] Group 1 - The RBA notes a reduction in housing inflation, suggesting a potential stabilization in the housing market [1] - Current economic indicators do not show significant upward risks for inflation, which may influence future monetary policy decisions [1] - The easing of housing inflation could lead to a more favorable environment for consumers and businesses alike [1]
英国央行首席经济学家皮尔:我仍然担心英国的价格和工资设定已经发生了结构性变化。我确实担心通胀上行的风险。
news flash· 2025-05-13 09:32
英国央行首席经济学家皮尔:我仍然担心英国的价格和工资设定已经发生了结构性变化。我确实担心通 胀上行的风险。 ...
美联储理事库格勒:特别关注通胀的上行风险以及就业的下行风险。
news flash· 2025-04-22 22:12
Core Insights - The Federal Reserve Governor, Christopher Waller, is particularly focused on the upward risks of inflation and the downward risks of employment [1] Group 1 - The emphasis on inflation risks indicates a potential concern for rising prices, which could impact monetary policy decisions [1] - The mention of employment risks suggests that there may be challenges in the labor market that could affect economic stability [1]
现货黄金一度涨超3500美元创历史新高 分析称黄金处震荡上行趋势但需警惕风险
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-22 09:36
Core Viewpoint - The international gold market is currently experiencing strong performance, with gold prices reaching historical highs due to various supporting factors such as market demand for safe-haven assets and rising inflation risks [1][2]. Group 1: Gold Price Trends - As of April 22, COMEX gold futures were priced at $3460.9 per ounce, up 1.04% for the day, with a peak of $3509.9 per ounce [1]. - Spot gold prices reached $3452.140 per ounce, increasing by 0.83%, and also hit a historical high of $3500.120 per ounce [1]. - Domestic gold jewelry prices have surpassed 1050 RMB per gram, with specific brands like Chow Sang Sang and Chow Tai Fook pricing their gold products at 1080 RMB and 1082 RMB per gram, respectively [1]. Group 2: Factors Supporting Gold Prices - Continued market demand for safe-haven assets due to uncertainties in global trade and geopolitical risks, particularly related to the U.S. and regions like Ukraine and the Middle East [2]. - Rising inflation risks, exacerbated by unexpected tariffs and a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve, which raises concerns about "stagflation" in the U.S. economy [2]. - Strong willingness among global central banks to increase gold reserves as a strategic asset allocation in response to U.S. debt imbalances and the impact of de-globalization on the safety of dollar assets [2]. - Ongoing credit risks associated with the U.S. dollar, driven by fluctuating tariff policies and weak economic data, leading to a systemic trust crisis in dollar assets and supporting gold prices [2]. - Increased inflow of speculative and allocation funds into the gold market, with notable growth in gold ETFs and futures, pushing prices higher [2]. Group 3: Potential Risks - A significant rebound in U.S. inflation due to the Trump administration's policies could limit the Federal Reserve's ability to lower interest rates, potentially putting pressure on gold prices [3].