Group 1: Gold Price Trends - Gold prices reached a historical high in Q2, with a more than 25% increase over the past six months, and spot gold was reported at $3342.80 per ounce as of July 4 [1] - Analysts predict that gold prices may face pressure in the second half of 2025 due to weakening demand and increasing supply, despite ongoing support from geopolitical risks, central bank purchases, and a weakening dollar [1][3] Group 2: Central Bank Gold Purchases - Central banks have been accumulating gold to hedge against inflation and diversify assets, with global central bank net gold purchases exceeding 1000 tons for the third consecutive year [2] - In the first four months of 2025, central banks net purchased 256 tons of gold, maintaining high demand levels [2] - China's gold reserves increased to approximately 2296.37 tons as of May 2025, marking a continuous increase for seven months [3] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Alternatives - The rising gold prices have led jewelers to diversify into platinum, which has seen a price increase of over 30% this year, reflecting strong demand in the jewelry market, particularly in China [4][5] - Analysts suggest that even a small shift in demand from gold jewelry to platinum could significantly increase the supply gap for platinum [6] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The gold sector has shown strong performance, with COMEX gold futures up 26.89% year-to-date, and several Hong Kong gold and jewelry stocks have surged over 100% [7] - Investors are advised to consider a long-term holding strategy for gold, as it may provide good returns despite short-term volatility [8]

瑞银调查显示，39%的受访者计划将他们在国内持有的黄金储备增加39%，这一比例高于2024年的 15%。 ...

【导读】日韩股市高开，现货黄金开盘下跌 中国基金报记者 李智 一起来看下日韩股市的最新市场情况及资讯。 日韩股市高开 6 月 30 日早间，日韩股市高开， 日经 225 指数涨超 1.6% ，达到去年 7 月中旬以来的最 高点位。 特朗普：美国与日本的汽车贸易不公平 美国总统特朗普周日表示，美国和日本之间的汽车贸易是不公平的。距离两国达成贸易协议 只剩一周多的时间，届时美国可能提高对日本商品的关税。 特朗普在周日播出的福克斯新闻采访中说道： " 我们把数以百万计日本的汽车运到美国，这 不公平。 "" 我向日本解释了这一点，他们表示理解。我们对日本存在巨大的贸易逆差，他们 也理解这一点。 " 特朗普在讲话中说， " 现在我们有石油，他们可以拿走很多石油，他们也 可以拿走很多其他东西。 " 根据日本经济产业省周一公布的数据，日本 5 月份工业产出增长 0.5% ，而 4 月份为下降 1.1% ，经济学家此前预期增幅为 3.5% 。这份官方数据显示，预计日本公司 6 月份产出将 增长 0.3%，7 月份将下降 0.7% 。 个股方面，奥林巴斯、软银集团、东京电力等涨幅居前。 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌幅 = | ...

Group 1: AI and Technology - The satellite internet and quantum technology sectors are showing positive performance, with companies in telecommunications, optical communications, and satellite internet expected to experience a new growth phase [1] - The demand for AI continues to grow, particularly as large enterprises like Oracle and Meta increase capital expenditures, indicating strong growth potential for optical modules as foundational components of computing clusters [1] - DeepSeek's next-generation R2 AI model development is facing challenges due to a shortage of Nvidia H20 processors in the Chinese market, impacting the training process of the model [3][2] - The reliance of top Chinese AI companies on American hardware is highlighted by the export restrictions, which poses a significant vulnerability despite DeepSeek's claims of lower resource investment compared to American firms like OpenAI [2] Group 2: Precious and Industrial Metals - The demand for gold remains strong due to U.S. fiscal issues and a weakening dollar credit system, with expectations for gold prices to continue rising [1] - The supply-demand gap for gold is expected to persist throughout the year, with a gradual improvement in fundamentals and a potential downward convergence of the gold-silver ratio, suggesting silver may enter a phase of catch-up [1] - The demand for energy metals is supported by the robust outlook for the electric vehicle and photovoltaic industries, although the supply side remains in an oversupply situation, keeping prices at the bottom range [1] - Economic growth significantly impacts the prices of non-ferrous metals, with manufacturing PMI new orders closely correlating with metal prices, while discrepancies in U.S. manufacturing orders and inventory data indicate potential price uncertainties [3] - Changes in overseas inventory are negatively correlated with metal prices, particularly for tin, copper, lead, and aluminum, suggesting significant impacts from inventory fluctuations [3]

日前，特朗普政府对美联储的不断批评叠加加剧的地缘政治风险，重新点燃了德国和意大利关于将黄金运回其国内的公众 辩论。 德国、意大利分别是全球第二和第三大黄金储备国 图源：外媒报道截图 此外，美国政府的不稳定言论也加剧了部分国家对存放在美国的黄金安全性的担忧，担心其可能受到政治干预。今年2月， 特朗普公开质疑是否有可能有黄金从美国最大黄金储备库的诺克斯堡失踪。 在德国，将黄金运回国内的提议，正获得左右两翼政党愈发广泛的支持。基社盟的著名前保守派议员Peter Gauweiler近期 就强调，德国央行在保护国家黄金储备时"绝不能走捷径"。 "我们需要解决过去十年，在海外存储黄金是否变得更加安全稳定的问题"，他补充称，"答案不言自明(是否定的)，因为地 缘政治风险已使世界变得更加不安全。" 据悉，欧洲纳税人协会近期也已致函德国和意大利的财政部及央行，敦促政策制定者重新审视依赖美联储作为其黄金托管 人的做法。"我们对特朗普干预美联储独立性深表担忧，"欧洲纳税人协会主席Michael Jäger表示。 Jäger指出，"我们的建议是将德国和意大利的黄金运回国内，以确保欧洲央行在任何时候都能对黄金拥有完全控制权。" 在意大 ...

周家办大事件速览 2 0 | 6月23日 2 5 | 星 期 一 1 家办热点 2 宏观关注 3 投资洞察 4 企业要闻 Short CL Billie Lankle 德勤：全球逾四成家族办公室加速数字化转型AI应用率达12% ● 瑞银:2029年中国将新增超500万名百万富翁 ● 央行宣布八项重磅金融开放举措 ● 金融监管总局、上海市联合发文支持上海国际金融中心建设 . 沪港两地共同签署《沪港国际金融中心协同发展行动方案》 . 央行将设立银行间市场交易报告库，设立数字人民币国际运营中心 . 证监会将推出进一步深化科创板改革的"1+6"政策措施 ● 全球央行持续看好黄金储备，95%受访央行预计未来12个月增持黄金 . 高盛再次唱多：全球资金回归中国看好中国"十巨头"股票 . 德勤：2025年上半年A股IPO数量和融资额同比均上升14% ● 中国证监会：允许合格境外投资者参与ETF期权交易 ● 1. 德勤：全球逾四成家族办公室加速数字化转型AI应用率达12% 根据德勤民营企业与私人客户服务发表的一份报告，全球家族办公室正在加快数字化转型，有43%家办正制定或推出技术战 略，重点关注安全性与风险控制，而17%将技 ...

最近，国际现货黄金价格"跌跌不休"。 中国外汇投资研究院研究总监李钢认为， 目前国际黄金价格处于3500美元遇阻承压回落调整阶段，长 期上涨趋势并未改变 ，预计年内突破3500美元概率较高。值得一提的是，中国、越南、印度等新兴市 场国家官方增持黄金也是金价维稳的关键。 欧洲中央银行近日发布的报告指出， 黄金供给的变化是未来金价走势的重要变量 。以往经验表明，黄 金供给曾对需求上升做出弹性反应，未来官方部门的黄金储备需求若进一步上升，可能会带动全球黄金 供给进一步增加。 国内各品牌金饰价格也随之波动， 金饰克价4天跌15元~19元不等 。其中，周生生足金饰品价格呈现出 5天4跌态势。6月15日-20日周生生足金饰品克单价分别为1038元、1037元、1024元、1023元、1023元、 1020元，6月20日较15日每克下跌18元。 此外，老庙黄金为1012元/克，较16日下跌19元/克；周大福为1020元/克，较16日下跌15元/克；老凤祥 为1018元/克，较16日下跌17元/克。 | EASIX | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 避险抗通胀,长期配黄金 | | | | ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content 2. Core Viewpoints - On June 18, the closing price of the coking coal 2509 contract was 790.5, down 0.57%, and the Mongolian 5 raw coal was reported at 701 on the spot side. The supply on the raw material side shows signs of marginal improvement, and the coking coal mine capacity utilization rate has declined for 5 consecutive weeks. Technically, the 4 - hour cycle K - line is between the 20 and 60 moving averages, and it should be treated as a volatile operation [2]. - On June 18, the closing price of the coke 2509 contract was 1375.0, up 0.62%, and the third round of coke price cuts was implemented on the spot side. In May, China's crude steel output was 8655000 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 6.9%. The supply on the raw material side shows signs of marginal improvement, and the molten iron output has declined from a high level. Technically, the 4 - hour cycle K - line is between the 20 and 60 moving averages, and it should be treated as a volatile operation [2]. 3. Summary According to Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - The closing price of the JM main contract was 790.5 yuan/ton, up 1.00 yuan; the closing price of the J main contract was 1375.0 yuan/ton, up 9.50 yuan. The JM futures contract positions were 700071.00 lots, down 6625.00 lots; the J futures contract positions were 56080.00 lots, up 839.00 lots [2]. - The net positions of the top 20 coking coal contracts were - 47200.00 lots, down 11166.00 lots; the net positions of the top 20 coke contracts were - 1525.00 lots, down 962.00 lots. The JM1 - 9 month contract spread was 25.00 yuan/ton, up 7.50 yuan; the J1 - 9 month contract spread was 28.00 yuan/ton, up 5.50 yuan [2]. - The coking coal warehouse receipts were 0.00, unchanged; the coke warehouse receipts were 90.00, unchanged [2]. 3.2 Spot Market - The price of Mongolian 5 raw coal at Ganqimaodu was 701.00 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of Tangshan quasi - first - grade metallurgical coke was 1445.00 yuan/ton, unchanged. The price of Russian main coking coal forward spot (CFR) was 110.00 US dollars/wet ton, down 6.50 US dollars; the price of Rizhao Port quasi - first - grade metallurgical coke was 1270.00 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - The price of Australian imported main coking coal at Jingtang Port was 1230.00 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of Shanxi - produced main coking coal at Jingtang Port was 1230.00 yuan/ton, unchanged. The price of medium - sulfur main coking coal in Lingshi, Jinzhong, Shanxi was 980.00 yuan/ton, unchanged; the ex - factory price of coking coal produced in Wuhai, Inner Mongolia was 980.00 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - The JM main contract basis was 189.50 yuan/ton, down 1.00 yuan; the J main contract basis was 70.00 yuan/ton, down 9.50 yuan [2]. 3.3 Upstream Situation - The raw coal inventory of 110 coal washing plants was 336.13 million tons, up 8.72 million tons; the clean coal inventory was 251.47 million tons, up 6.41 million tons. The operating rate of 110 coal washing plants was 57.36%, down 3.23 percentage points; the raw coal output was 40328.00 million tons, up 1397.40 million tons [2]. - The import volume of coal and lignite was 3604.00 million tons, down 179.00 million tons; the daily average output of raw coal from 523 coking coal mines was 187.80, down 2.10. The inventory of imported coking coal at 16 ports was 544.73 million tons, down 1.00 million tons; the inventory of coke at 18 ports was 258.69 million tons, down 8.16 million tons [2]. - The total inventory of coking coal of independent coking enterprises in the full sample was 798.07 million tons, down 20.85 million tons; the inventory of coke of independent coking enterprises in the full sample was 125.71 million tons, down 1.30 million tons. The coking coal inventory of 247 steel mills was 773.98 million tons, up 3.07 million tons; the coke inventory of 247 steel mills was 642.84 million tons, down 2.96 million tons [2]. - The available days of coking coal of independent coking enterprises in the full sample were 12.32 days, up 0.06 days; the available days of coke of 247 steel mills were 11.62 days, up 0.04 days [2]. 3.4 Industry Situation - The import volume of coking coal was 889.34 million tons, up 25.97 million tons; the export volume of coke and semi - coke was 68.00 million tons, up 13.00 million tons. The output of coking coal was 3926.16 million tons, down 235.31 million tons; the capacity utilization rate of independent coking enterprises was 73.96%, down 1.40 percentage points [2]. - The profit per ton of coke in independent coking plants was - 46.00 yuan/ton, down 27.00 yuan/ton; the output of coke was 4238.00 million tons, up 78.00 million tons [2]. 3.5 Downstream Situation - The blast furnace operating rate of 247 steel mills was 83.39%, down 0.15 percentage points; the blast furnace iron - making capacity utilization rate of 247 steel mills was 90.56%, down 0.07 percentage points. The crude steel output was 8655.00 million tons, up 53.10 million tons [2]. 3.6 Industry News - On June 17, Li Zhen, a member of the Party Committee and Deputy Director of the State - owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of the State Council, stated at the second special promotion meeting of the 2025 Deepening and Upgrading Action of State - owned Enterprise Reform that state - owned assets and enterprises should pay attention to planning guidance, systematically connect with the national key industrial development strategy, and scientifically formulate the "15th Five - Year Plan" for state - owned assets and enterprises [2]. - After Israel's sudden attack on Iran, some shipowners began to actively avoid the Strait of Hormuz, and freight rates soared by 24% [2]. - The European Commission proposed a legislative proposal that the EU will gradually phase out the direct or indirect import of pipeline natural gas (PNG) and liquefied natural gas (LNG) from Russia by the end of 2027 and completely stop importing Russian oil [2].

Group 1 - The latest international gold price is reported at $3,384.33 per ounce, with a slight decline of -0.08% [1] - COMEX gold is priced at $3,401.4 per ounce, reflecting a decrease of 0.16% [1] - The gold ETF (159937) has seen a minor increase of 0.04%, with a trading volume of 206 million yuan [1] Group 2 - According to the World Gold Council, nearly 43% of central banks plan to increase their gold reserves in the next year, indicating a growing interest in gold [3] - Over 95% of surveyed central banks believe that global central banks will continue to increase gold holdings in the next 12 months, marking the highest level since the survey began in 2019 [3] - The proportion of central banks actively managing gold reserves has risen from 37% in 2024 to 44% in 2025, primarily driven by the need to enhance returns and manage risks [4] Group 3 - The upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision is anticipated to maintain current rates, with market focus on policy statements and Powell's press conference [5] - If signals for a potential rate cut in September are confirmed, it may suppress the dollar and support an increase in gold prices [5] - The ongoing global geopolitical tensions and the trend of "de-dollarization" are encouraging central banks to increase their gold holdings [5] Group 4 - The gold ETF (159937) aligns closely with domestic gold prices and offers low entry barriers, low costs, and diverse trading options, supporting T+0 trading [5] - Long-term, gold's value is expected to rise with the scale of credit money, and it serves as a hedge against tail risks in asset portfolios [5] - Gold assets have historically performed well during both overheated and recessionary economic cycles, suggesting a potential for regular investment in gold ETFs [5]

江苏 Jiang Su 6月17日，市民正在江苏省五台山体育中心附近的体育用品商店内，选购球衣、球鞋等商品。随着"苏超"走红，相 关文创产品、体育用品销量明显增长。 陈俨 摄 视觉江苏网供图 国内 Domestic 为持续提升农村供水保障能力，今年国家再支持60个县域开展小型引调水项目建设，江苏省淮安市淮安区农 村供水管网建设工程、邳州市农村供水管网互通工程、盐城市大丰区农村供水输配水工程等3个小型引调水 项目成功入选。中央财政实行奖补结合机制，对每个选定项目补助8000万元，3个项目共补助2.4亿元，分两 年安排，近期已下达第一批中央补助1.21亿元。 6月17日，为引导金融与产业深度融合，破解工业软件企业"融资难、融资贵、融资慢"等问题， "2025科技 产业金融对接活动（工业软件方向）"在南京举行。北京证券交易所等国家级金融平台深度参与此次对接活 动，围绕企业融资需求开展精准对接，并特设"北交所上市要求解读"及企业经验分享环节，为成长型企业提 供资本规划与实操指导。 国家外汇管理局副局长、新闻发言人李斌表示，5月份，境内外汇供求总体平衡，外汇市场运行平稳。5月份 企业、个人等非银行部门跨境资金净流入33 ...