美联储威廉姆斯：除关税措施外，通胀率基本符合预期。 ...

美联储威廉姆斯：预计到今年年底失业率将升至约4.5%。关税将推动今年通胀率升至3%。 ...

美联储威廉姆斯：预计未来两年内通胀率将逐步下降至2%。 ...

将整体通胀率降回2%的过程基本完成。 欧洲央行首席经济学家Lane：服务业通胀距离目标仍有一段路要走。 ...

据报道，美联储官员哈马克表示，目前没有任何紧迫的理由降息；利率政策可能在相当长一段时间内保 持不变；实现通胀率达到2%的目标仍有一定距离。 ...

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve's Bostic predicts that the U.S. economic growth rate will slow to 1.1% this year [1] - Inflation rate is expected to rise to 2.9% [1]

欧洲央行行长拉加德：通胀率将持续稳定在约2%的水平。 ...

Core Economic Data - The U.S. Commerce Department will release the May Core PCE Price Index year-on-year at 20:30 on Friday, with a previous value of 2.5% and an expected value of 2.6%, indicating a small expected decline [1] - The Core PCE year-on-year data is a crucial reference for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy adjustments, and a significant drop in PCE data could lead to a resumption of interest rate cuts [1] - The May Core CPI year-on-year has been published at 2.8%, remaining unchanged from the previous value, indicating stability over three consecutive months [1] Federal Reserve Insights - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will deliver semiannual monetary policy reports to Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday, focusing on future interest rate changes, inflation trends, and the labor market [4] - If Powell's statements align with previous remarks, the impact on the dollar index may be minimal; however, unexpected comments could lead to significant volatility [4] - Powell's previous comments indicated that the Fed is patient regarding interest rate cuts, suggesting that such actions are not imminent [4] Oil Market Influence - The fluctuations in crude oil prices are expected to correlate with changes in PCE data; in May, U.S. crude oil prices increased by 4.43%, with a price range between $55 and $64, indicating limited volatility [1] ECB and Eurozone Outlook - ECB President Christine Lagarde will speak in Munich on Friday, likely not addressing interest rate paths or inflation due to the event's limited economic relevance [5] - Lagarde's previous remarks indicated a favorable position for the euro, and her upcoming speeches are expected to maintain an optimistic tone, potentially benefiting the euro [5]

Core Insights - The Federal Reserve's monetary policy report indicates that nominal wage growth is approaching a level consistent with a 2% inflation rate [1] Group 1 - The report highlights that nominal wage increases are aligning with the target inflation rate, suggesting a potential stabilization in the labor market [1] - It emphasizes the importance of wage growth in relation to inflation, which could influence future monetary policy decisions [1] - The findings may impact investor sentiment regarding economic growth and inflation expectations [1]

俄罗斯总统普京：今年通胀率已回归到个位数水平。 ...