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【环球财经】市场消化最新宏观数据 美元指数30日小幅上涨
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-05-31 00:20
Group 1 - The US dollar strengthened against the euro, pound, and Swedish krona, while it weakened against the Swiss franc, yen, and Canadian dollar, with the dollar index rising by 0.05% to 99.328 [1] - The US international goods trade deficit for April was reported at $87.6 billion, significantly lower than the expected $143 billion and the revised $162.3 billion from March [1] - The US personal consumption expenditures price index increased by 0.1% month-on-month in April, matching market expectations, while the year-on-year increase was 2.1%, slightly below March's 2.3% [1] Group 2 - The German consumer price index for May rose by 0.1% month-on-month, below the expected 0.2% and April's 0.4%, with a year-on-year increase of 2.1% [1] - The likelihood of the European Central Bank lowering interest rates increased due to inflation data being close to the 2% target [1] - The Bank of England's external member Alan Taylor suggested that the central bank should consider lowering interest rates due to economic growth risks from the US-China trade war [2] Group 3 - Japan's consumer price index for May increased by 3.4% year-on-year, with the core index rising by 3.6%, and industrial production for April grew by 0.7%, exceeding the expected 0.1% [2] - The probability of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates by the end of the year is now estimated at 67% following the latest data [2] - Canada's GDP for March rose by 0.1%, and the annualized growth rate for the first quarter was reported at 2.2%, surpassing the expected 1.6% [2]
日本的核心通胀率可能在2026年初降至近1.5%
news flash· 2025-05-23 03:46
金十数据5月23日讯,瑞穗证券经济学家Ryosuke Katagi说,不包括波动较大的新鲜食品和能源价格在 内,日本消费者价格指数的涨幅可能会在2026年第一季度放缓至1.5%至2.0%之间。4月份所谓的核心 CPI同比上涨3.0%,而3月份的涨幅为2.9%。该指标被认为是衡量潜在通胀的指标。Katagi表示,尽管工 资上涨,但服务价格似乎没有加速上涨的迹象,而包括大米价格飙升在内的成本推动因素预计将有所缓 解。"从稳定实现2%通胀率的角度来看,它仍然缺乏力量,"他说。 日本的核心通胀率可能在2026年初降至近1.5% ...
英国4月份消费者价格指数同比上涨3.5%,预期上涨3.3%。
news flash· 2025-05-21 06:04
英国4月份消费者价格指数同比上涨3.5%,预期上涨3.3%。 ...
从单纯的刺激消费,转向提高居民收入
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-15 04:31
Group 1 - The article discusses the shift in policy focus from merely stimulating consumption to increasing residents' income, indicating a significant change in economic strategy [6][8] - It highlights that wages for management positions have been raised, with an increase from 11,000 yuan to 12,000 yuan per month, reflecting a broader trend of wage growth within the system [6] - The article notes that the minimum basic pension for rural residents will increase from 123 yuan to 143 yuan per month by 2025, impacting approximately 85 million rural insured elderly [6] Group 2 - The consumer price index (CPI) has shown a weak performance, with a year-on-year increase of only 0.2% in 2023, which is significantly below the target set for 2024 [8] - The article emphasizes that merely stimulating consumption through policies has proven insufficient to meet planned targets, leading to the decision to focus on directly increasing residents' income starting in 2025 [8][10] - It discusses the dual approach to increasing residents' income, which includes market-driven distribution led by enterprises and fiscal-driven social distribution, highlighting the importance of both strategies [10] Group 3 - The article raises concerns about the sustainability of economic growth, questioning whether GDP growth is genuinely beneficial or merely a result of increasing debt levels [11] - It suggests that the effectiveness of policies aimed at increasing residents' income will depend on the efficiency of the economy and the tools available for implementation [10][11] - The need for a fair social distribution system is emphasized as a key component of improving residents' income and overall economic health [10]
耶鲁大学预算实验室:美国平均关税水平仍为1934年来最高
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-05-14 05:16
Group 1 - The average tariff rate imposed by the U.S. on imported goods is currently at 17.8%, the highest level since 1934, according to the Yale Budget Lab [1] - This tariff rate has increased by 15.4 percentage points compared to the average effective tariff rate before Trump's second term [1] - The current tariff policy is expected to add $2,800 in costs for the average American household in the short term [1] Group 2 - In April, the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.2% month-on-month, which is below the market expectation of 0.3% [1] - The year-on-year CPI increase for April was 2.3%, slightly lower than both the market expectation and the March figure of 2.4% [1] - Economists suggest that the impact of tariffs will soon be reflected in consumer prices, indicating a potential rise in import prices [1][2]
5月9日电,巴西4月消费者价格指数环比上涨0.43%,预期增长0.42%。
news flash· 2025-05-09 12:02
智通财经5月9日电,巴西4月消费者价格指数环比上涨0.43%,预期增长0.42%。 ...
以色列统计局:三月份消费者价格指数月环比上涨0.5%,高于二月份的0.0%;三月份消费者价格指数同比上涨3.3%,低于二月份的3.4%。
news flash· 2025-04-15 15:36
以色列统计局:三月份消费者价格指数月环比上涨0.5%,高于二月份的0.0%;三月份消费者价格指数 同比上涨3.3%,低于二月份的3.4%。 ...
中国2025经济增长目标仍为5%左右
日经中文网· 2025-03-05 03:48
地方政府专项债券发行额度也将扩大,2025年定为4.4万亿元,比上年增加5000亿元。这些资金 重点用于投资建设、土地收储和收购存量商品房、消化地方政府拖欠企业账款等。推动其转化为 中低收入人群可负担住房,以改善房地产市场状况。 在金融政策方面,中国政府计划采取"适度宽松"的货币政策以支持经济增长,表示出在适当时机 下调存款准备金率和政策利率的方针。 中国全国人民代表大会召开(3月5日,目良友树 摄) 中国经济增长目标连续三年维持在"5%左右"。在美国特朗普政府加征关税等不利因素加剧的背景 下,中国政府计划扩大财政支出,以支撑经济增长。将赤字率提升至4.0%左右,高于2024年设 定的3.0%…… 第十四届全国人民代表大会第三次会议于3月5日上午在北京的人民大会堂开幕。国务院总理李强 在政府工作报告中宣布,2025年实际经济增长率目标仍定为"5%左右",连续三年维持这一水平。 在美国特朗普政府加征关税等不利因素加剧的背景下,中国政府计划扩大财政支出,以支撑经济 增长。为此,将发行5000亿元国债,向国有大型银行注入公共资金,以防范房地产市场长期低迷 带来的金融风险。 李强在报告中表示将实施积极的财政政策,扩大 ...