每经AI快讯，10月10日消息，美国10月一年期通胀率预期初值为4.6%，预估4.7%，前值4.7%。 ...

10 月 09 日美联储公布货币政策会议纪要（02:00）欧洲央行公布 9 月货币政策会议纪要（19:30）美联 储主席鲍威尔在美联储理事会主办的一场社区银行会议上做开场讲话（预先录制）（20:30）美国至 10 月 4 日当周初请失业金人数(万人)（20:30）美联储理事鲍曼发表讲话（20:35） 上周回顾美国 9 月 ADP 就业人数 -3.2 万人，为 2023 年 3 月来最大降幅，预期 5 万人，前值 5.4 万人。 交易员提高对年内美联储进一步降息两次的押注。受美国政府停摆影响，美国 9 月非农就业报告暂未公 布。日本银行货币政策会议摘要称两名委员提议加息。中国 9 月官方制造业 PMI 升至 49.8%。加央行 会议纪要：通胀风险有所减弱政策重心转向应对经济疲软。 本周重点事件 & 指标 10 月 06 日 OpenAI 将在旧金山举行 2025 开发者大会 10 月 08 日新西兰联储公布利率决议（09:00）美联储理事巴尔发表讲话（21:30） 来源：市场资讯 （来源：吴说） 编译：GaryMa 吴说区块链 摘要 吴说本周宏观指标与分析：上周受美国政府停摆影响，美国 9 月非农就业报告暂未公 ...

每经AI快讯，9月26日消息，美国9月一年期通胀率预期终值为4.7%，预估4.8%，前值4.8%。 ...

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve lowered the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 4.25%, aligning with market expectations, with a previous rate of 4.50% [2] - Most Federal Reserve officials anticipate at least three more rate cuts by the end of the year, with only one official advocating for a 50 basis point cut [2] - The Bank of England maintained its interest rate at 4%, consistent with market expectations, while the Bank of Japan kept its benchmark rate unchanged at 0.5% for the fifth consecutive time [2] Group 2 - Upcoming key events include the release of manufacturing PMI for multiple countries on September 23, initial jobless claims for the week ending September 20, and the final value of Q2 real GDP and core PCE price index on September 25 [3] - On September 26, the U.S. will release the year-on-year core PCE price index for August, along with the final consumer sentiment index from the University of Michigan for September [3] - Several Federal Reserve officials, including Bowman and Williams, are scheduled to speak on monetary policy and economic outlook on September 26 [3]

每经AI快讯，9月12日消息，美国9月一年期通胀率预期初值为4.8%，预估4.7%，前值4.8%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The expectation for interest rate cuts has been reinforced, and any adjustments or pullbacks in gold prices may present buying opportunities for bullish investors [1]. Group 1: Gold Price Movements - On September 11, gold opened at $3641.64, reached a high of $3648.89, then fell to a low of $3613.45 before closing at $3633.75, with a daily fluctuation of $35.44 and a decline of $7.89, or 0.22% [3]. - The overall bullish trend for gold remains intact despite recent fluctuations, with strong support from various moving averages [3][5]. - The gold price is expected to test resistance levels at $3650, with potential upward movement towards new highs if these levels are breached [9]. Group 2: Market Influences - The U.S. dollar index is showing a downward trend, which may support gold prices in the short term [5]. - Upcoming economic indicators, such as the U.S. inflation rate and consumer confidence index, are anticipated to influence gold prices, with expectations of a decline in inflation and weakened consumer confidence being favorable for gold [5]. - Historical trends indicate that gold prices have been on an upward trajectory since last year, with potential targets of $3700 and $3770 in the near future [7]. Group 3: Silver Price Movements - Silver prices are also showing potential for recovery, with support levels at $41.35 and $41.20, and resistance levels at $41.80 and $42.00 [9].

Market Insights - The U.S. Senate is set to vote on the nomination of Milan to the Federal Reserve next Monday, with a procedural vote first, followed by a confirmation vote if approved [1] - The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 2.9% year-on-year in August, up from 2.7% in July, while the core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased by 3.1% [1] - Initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending September 6 were recorded at 263,000, indicating potential increases in layoffs amid a slowdown in hiring [1] European Central Bank and Monetary Policy - The European Central Bank (ECB) decided to keep the three key interest rates unchanged, with economic growth forecasts for the Eurozone adjusted to 1.2% for 2025, up from 0.9% [2] - The Bank of Japan is accelerating plans to reduce its substantial ETF holdings, which could involve a gradual market entry of assets worth 37 trillion yen [2] - The Turkish Central Bank significantly cut its one-week repo rate from 43% to 40.5%, exceeding investor expectations by 200 basis points [2] Energy Market Dynamics - The International Energy Agency (IEA) has raised its global oil supply growth forecast for this year by 200,000 barrels per day to 2.7 million barrels per day, while slightly increasing demand growth expectations to 740,000 barrels per day [3] - OPEC maintained its global oil demand growth forecasts for this year and next at 1.29 million barrels per day and 1.38 million barrels per day, respectively [3] Global Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 617.08 points to close at 46,108.00, a gain of 1.36%; the S&P 500 increased by 55.43 points to 6,587.47, up 0.85%; and the Nasdaq Composite climbed by 157.01 points to 22,043.07, a rise of 0.72% [4] Commodity Prices - COMEX gold futures fell by 0.23% to $3,673.40 per ounce, while silver futures rose by 1.12% to $42.07 per ounce [5] - Light crude oil futures for October delivery decreased by $1.30 to $62.37 per barrel, a drop of 2.04%; Brent crude oil futures for November delivery fell by $1.12 to $66.37 per barrel, down 1.66% [5] - The U.S. dollar index declined by 0.26% to 97.529, with various currency exchange rates showing fluctuations against the dollar [5]

每经AI快讯，8月29日，美国8月一年期通胀率预期终值为4.8%，预估5%，前值4.9%。 ...

Market Performance - On August 15, US stock indices showed mixed performance, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising by 0.08%, while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 indices fell by 0.40% and 0.29% respectively [4] - The large tech stocks experienced varied movements, with the US Tech Giants Index declining by 0.34%. META briefly rose nearly 2%, reaching a market capitalization of $2 trillion, but closed at $1.9726 trillion [6] - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index increased by 0.74%, with notable gains from companies like Xunlei, which surged over 26% [6] Commodity Market - In the commodity market, spot gold prices rose by 0.01%, while international crude oil prices fell [2] - As of August 15, the price of light crude oil futures for September delivery dropped by $1.16 to $62.80 per barrel, a decline of 1.81% [8] Consumer Confidence and Retail Sales - The preliminary consumer confidence index from the University of Michigan for August was reported at 58.6, marking a decline from previous values [6] - US retail sales for July increased by 0.5%, aligning with expectations, while core retail sales also grew by 0.3% [7]

Group 1 - The initial value of the one-year inflation rate expectation in the United States for August is 4.9%, which is higher than the expected 4.4% and the previous value of 4.5% [1]