Group 1 - The US July PPI year-on-year rate is 3.3%, significantly exceeding the market expectation of 2.5% and marking the highest level since February [1] - The US July PPI month-on-month rate recorded a 0.9% increase, the largest since June 2022 [1] - The number of initial jobless claims in the US for the week ending August 9 is 224,000, slightly below the expected 228,000 [1] Group 2 - Binance co-founder He Yi has been selected as a global leader by Fortune, co-owning the venture capital arm YZi Labs and holding at least 10% of Binance's parent company [1] - US Treasury Secretary Bessent stated that Bitcoin reserves are valued between $15 billion and $20 billion, and there will be no purchases of cryptocurrency reserves [2] - Bessent indicated a potential for a series of interest rate cuts, starting with a 25 basis point reduction [2] Group 3 - Tron founder Justin Sun has filed a lawsuit against Bloomberg in Delaware, claiming the disclosure of his crypto assets violates previous confidentiality agreements [2] - The Guizhou provincial government has refuted rumors regarding a former official allegedly mining 327 Bitcoins, clarifying that the case is unrelated to Bitcoin [3]

潘森宏观：初请数据下降或掩盖就业市场真实疲态 这并不意味着就业市场正面临急剧恶化，但他指出，持续申领失业金人数居高不下，说明劳动力市场正 在缓慢但持续地走弱。 金十数据7月24日讯，尽管上周美国初请失业金人数继续下降，但潘森宏观的Oliver Allen指出，劳动力 市场的疲软程度可能被这一数据所掩盖。他特别提到，夏季汽车工厂的维护性停产干扰了初请数据的季 节性调整，使得目前的失业申请数据难以准确反映真实情况。"我们不建议根据初请人数降至4月以来最 低这一点，就断言劳动力市场已无隐忧，"艾伦写道。 ...

Core Viewpoint - US Treasury yields have slightly increased, while initial jobless claims show a decline [1] Group 1 - The increase in US Treasury yields indicates a potential shift in investor sentiment towards riskier assets [1] - Initial jobless claims have decreased, suggesting a strengthening labor market and potential economic growth [1]

Core Viewpoint - The number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending July 19 was reported at 217,000, which is lower than the expected 226,000 and the previous value of 221,000 [1] Summary by Category - **Employment Data** - Initial jobless claims decreased to 217,000, indicating a stronger labor market than anticipated [1] - The figure is a decline from the previous week's claims of 221,000, suggesting a positive trend in employment stability [1] - The expectation for the week was set at 226,000, showing that the actual claims were significantly lower than forecasts [1]

美国至7月19日当周初请失业金人数、加拿大5月零售销售月率将于十分钟后公布。 ...

Group 1 - Tesla is scheduled to release its earnings report after the US stock market closes on July 24, 2025 [1] - The Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Philip Lowe will deliver a speech at 11:05 AM [1] - The European Central Bank will announce its interest rate decision at 8:15 PM [1] Group 2 - Various PMI data will be released, including Germany's manufacturing PMI at 3:30 PM and the Eurozone's manufacturing PMI at 4:00 PM [1][1] - The UK will also release its manufacturing and services PMI data at 4:30 PM [1] - The US will report initial jobless claims for the week ending July 19 at 8:30 PM [1]

This Week's Key Focus - On July 21 at 09:15, the People's Bank of China is expected to announce that the 1-year LPR remains at 3.00% and the 5-year LPR at 3.50% [2][4] - On July 24 at 20:15, the European Central Bank will announce its interest rate decision, with an expected unchanged benchmark rate [2][15] - On July 25 at 20:30, the US Department of Commerce will release the preliminary value of June's durable goods orders [2] - On July 27 at 09:30, China's National Bureau of Statistics will announce June's industrial enterprise profits, with the previous value showing a 9.1% year-on-year decline and a 1.1% cumulative decline from January to May [2][19] - Other factors such as domestic macro - policy changes, international trade and tariff wars, international geopolitical situations, and speeches by US President Trump and Fed officials may impact the futures market [2] This Week's Hotspot Preview July 21 - At 10:00, the State Council Information Office will hold a press conference on the achievements of building a transportation powerhouse during the '14th Five - Year Plan' [3] July 22 - At 15:00, the State Council Information Office will hold a press conference on the first - half 2025 foreign exchange revenue and expenditure data [5] - At 20:30, Fed Chair Powell will give a welcome speech at a regulatory meeting, a rare 'live speech during the quiet period' [8] July 23 - At 22:00, the EU Statistics Bureau will release the preliminary value of the eurozone's July consumer confidence index, expected to be - 14.5 [9] - At 22:00, the US National Association of Realtors will announce June's existing home sales, with an expected annualized total of 4 million households and an annualized monthly rate of - 0.7%. Lower values may suppress non - ferrous metal futures prices [10] - At 22:30, the EIA will announce the change in US crude oil inventories for the week ending July 18. A continued decline may boost crude oil and related commodity futures [11] July 24 - At 9:30, the National Bureau of Statistics will announce the mid - July market prices of important production materials [12] - At 16:00, S&P Global will release the preliminary value of the eurozone's July SPGI manufacturing PMI, expected to be 49.8. A slight increase may slightly boost non - ferrous metal futures prices [13] - At 20:15, the European Central Bank will announce its interest rate decision, followed by a press conference by President Lagarde at 20:45 [15] - At 20:30, the US Department of Labor will announce the number of initial jobless claims for the week ending July 19, expected to be 215,000. A slight decrease may slightly boost non - gold and non - silver industrial product futures but suppress gold and silver futures [14] - At 21:45, S&P Global will release the preliminary value of the US July SPGI manufacturing PMI, expected to be 53.5. A slight increase may slightly boost non - ferrous metal futures prices [16] - At 22:00, the US Department of Commerce will announce June's new home sales, with an expected seasonally adjusted annualized total of 650,000 households and an annualized monthly rate of 4.3%. Higher values may boost non - ferrous metal futures prices but suppress gold and silver futures prices [17] July 25 - At 20:30, the US Department of Commerce will announce the preliminary monthly rate of June's durable goods orders, expected to be - 11%. A significant decrease may suppress non - ferrous metal futures but boost gold and silver futures [18] July 27 - At 09:30, China's National Bureau of Statistics will announce June's industrial enterprise profits [19]

Core Viewpoint - The sentiment in the market shifted as U.S. Treasury yields turned from rising to falling after deeper analysis of newly released economic data, indicating a complex economic outlook despite initial positive indicators [1] Group 1: Economic Data Analysis - Initial jobless claims decreased, and retail sales exceeded expectations, initially leading to an increase in Treasury yields, suggesting strong economic resilience [1] - However, the decrease in jobless claims was influenced by a smaller-than-usual summer shutdown in auto factories, indicating potential underlying weaknesses [1] - Retail sales growth may not be as robust as it appears, with future trends showing risks of weakness according to economic analysts [1]

美国至7月12日当周初请失业金人数 22.1万人，预期23.5万人，前值由22.7万人修正为22.8万人。 ...

来源：市场资讯 编译：GaryMa 吴说区块链 摘要 吴说本周宏观指标与分析：上周美联储会议纪要重申谨慎政策立场，市场预期 7 月降息概率渺茫。本周 可重点关注美国 6 月通胀数据 CPI & PPI、 美联储经济状况褐皮书以及美联储官员讲话等。 上周回顾美联储公布 6 月货币政策会议纪要，美联储审议了近期金融市场和经济形势。会议指出，尽管 近几个月通胀有所缓解，但仍高于 2% 的长期目标，且短期通胀预期偏高。与会者认为经济增长稳健， 失业率维持在低位，消费与投资数据总体稳定，但贸易政策不确定性、地缘政治风险和关税上调带来的 潜在影响仍构成主要风险。美国至 7 月 5 日当周初请失业金人数 22.7 万人，预期 23.5 万人，前值由 23.3 万人修正为 23.2 万人。中国外汇储备规模为 33174 亿美元，较 5 月末上升 322 亿美元，升幅为 0.98%。中国 6 月 CPI 同比上涨 0.1%。 本周重点事件 & 指标 7 月 14 日 美国总统特朗普计划就俄罗斯问题发表"重大声明" 7 月 15 日中国第二季度 GDP 年率（10:00）美国 6 月未季调 CPI 年率（20:30） 7 月 1 ...