责任编辑：王许宁 上周，美国初请失业金人数降至今年最低水平之一，突显了假期期间该数据的波动性。美国劳工部周三 公布的数据显示，截至12月27日当周，初请失业金人数减少1.6万人，至19.9万人，低于经济学家预计的 22万人。最近的数据一直不稳定，这是假期期间的典型情况。最新统计周期涵盖了圣诞节，以及新设立 的12月24日和26日联邦假日。此外，续请失业金人数在前一周下降至187万人。 上周，美国初请失业金人数降至今年最低水平之一，突显了假期期间该数据的波动性。美国劳工部周三 公布的数据显示，截至12月27日当周，初请失业金人数减少1.6万人，至19.9万人，低于经济学家预计的 22万人。最近的数据一直不稳定，这是假期期间的典型情况。最新统计周期涵盖了圣诞节，以及新设立 的12月24日和26日联邦假日。此外，续请失业金人数在前一周下降至187万人。 责任编辑：王许宁 ...

格隆汇12月31日｜美国上周初请失业金人数持续回落，录得19.9万人，低于市场普遍预期。有分析师表 示，假期期间的初请失业金人数波动较大，而且会受到季节性大幅修正的影响，因此很难作为编制指数 的依据。 ...

Initial jobless claims fell by 16,000 to 199,000 in the week ended Dec. 27, the Labor Department said Wednesday.  It is the third straight weekly decline. ...

摘要今日周四(12月25日)因圣诞节休市。现货黄金盘中触及4526.15美元历史新高后小幅回落，可能形成 看跌收盘反转顶部形态，但因圣诞假期临近，此次回落或为投资者获利了结。美元指数小幅回升，对金 价涨势影响有限，逢低买盘持续。 今日周四(12月25日)因圣诞节休市。现货黄金盘中触及4526.15美元历史新高后小幅回落，可能形成看跌 收盘反转顶部形态，但因圣诞假期临近，此次回落或为投资者获利了结。美元指数小幅回升，对金价涨 势影响有限，逢低买盘持续。 美国国债收益率几无变动，交易员观望。黄金突破4500美元非孤立现象，避险需求等支撑涨势。目前市 场缺乏利空催化剂，买方主导。分析师认为，央行购金步伐放缓是涨势唯一威胁，若维持当前水平，预 计2026年底金价达5000美元。 美国劳工部最新数据显示，截至12月20日当周，季调后初请失业金人数录得21.4万人，环比减少1万 人，连续两周下降且低于市场预期的22.4万人，四周移动平均值同步降至21.675万人，短期新裁员压力 有所缓解。 【最新国际黄金行情解析】 黄金白盘先涨后跌，于4500关口震荡。晚盘因明日停盘，或震荡收尾，4小时现墓碑线，短期难续单边 行情，预计 ...

美国至12月20日当周初请失业金人数21.4万人，预期22.4万人，前值22.4万人。 （文章来源：新华财经） ...

12月22日 中国公布12月LPR 美国公布11月耐用品订单月率初值 点评：北京时间12月23日21:30，美国商务部将公布美国11月耐用品订单初值。预期美国11月耐用品订 单月率初值为-1.4%，前值为0.5%。如果美国11月耐用品订单月率初值低于前值，将抑制有色金属、原 油及相关商品期货价格上涨，但是将轻度有助于黄金、白银、铂、钯期货价格上涨。 美国公布11月工业产出 点评：北京时间12月23日22:15，美联储将公布美国11月工业产出。预期美国11月工业产出月率为 0.1%，前值为0.1%。 美国公布12月谘商会消费者信心指数 点评：北京时间12月23日23:00，美国将公布美国12月谘商会消费者信心指数。预期美国12月谘商会消 费者信心指数为91.7，前值为88.7。如果美国12月谘商会消费者信心指数高于前值，将抑制黄金、白 银、铂、钯期货价格上涨，但是将有助于有色金属、原油及相关商品期货价格上涨。 12月24日 点评：12月22日9:00，中国人民银行授权全国银行间同业拆借中心公布2025年12月22日贷款市场报价利 率（LPR）。预期1年期LPR为3.00%，与前值持平；预期5年期以上LPR为3. ...

Well, better late than never is a good way to put it, Lisa, because the news is pretty good on a two month basis. Remember, we didn't get October CPI and we're not going to get much out of that 2.7% for the year over year move in CPI. That is down from 3% in September.The last release we got the core CPI on a year over year basis falls from 3% to 2.6%. So good news on inflation. Meanwhile, good news on the job front with initial jobless claims falling to 224,000 from 237,000 revised the week prior.On a cont ...

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve has lowered interest rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%, with some dissent among members regarding the decision, while also announcing the restart of reserve management purchases [2] Group 1: Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve's new interest rate is set at 3.75%, down from the previous 4.00% [2] - There were three dissenting votes during the meeting, with two members opposing the rate cut and one advocating for a larger cut of 50 basis points [2] - The latest Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) indicates that 6 out of 19 officials do not support the rate cut, and the median path for 2026 remains unchanged [2] Group 2: Economic Indicators - Initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending December 6 were reported at 236,000, higher than the expected 220,000 [2] - The U.S. trade deficit for September was revised to $59.3 billion, which is narrower than the expected $63.3 billion, marking the smallest deficit since June 2020 [2] - China's CPI for November increased by 0.7% year-on-year, the highest since March 2024, while the M2 money supply growth was reported at 8%, below the market expectation of 8.2% [2] Group 3: Upcoming Events - Key upcoming events include the Bank of England's interest rate decision on December 18, the European Central Bank's deposit rate announcement, and the U.S. November CPI and non-farm payroll data release on December 18 [3]

Core Viewpoint - International gold prices are experiencing a rebound, indicating a strengthened bullish sentiment and potential for further upward movement, with targets set at $4,380 or higher [1][5]. Price Movement Summary - On December 11, gold opened at $4,224.45 per ounce, reached a high of $4,285.66, and closed at $4,279.56, marking a daily increase of $55.11 or 1.3% [1]. - The daily trading range was $81.35, with a low of $4,204.31 [1]. Influencing Factors - The increase in gold prices is supported by buying pressure and a significant rise in initial jobless claims in the U.S., which marked the largest weekly increase since the pandemic [3]. - The continued decline of the U.S. dollar index has also contributed to the strengthening of gold prices, alongside robust demand for silver [3]. Market Outlook - On December 12, gold opened weakly due to profit-taking but still showed bullish demand, with expectations of a continued decline in the dollar index [3]. - Upcoming economic data releases, including the November non-farm payrolls and CPI, are anticipated to influence gold prices positively or maintain high volatility [5]. Technical Analysis - Monthly charts indicate a strong rebound in November, dispelling bearish patterns and enhancing the outlook for new highs [7]. - Weekly charts show that gold is maintaining momentum above the 5-10 week moving averages, suggesting a bullish trend [7]. - Daily charts indicate that gold has broken through recent resistance levels, with expectations to target $4,320 and $4,380 in the near term [9]. Support and Resistance Levels - Key support levels for gold are identified at $4,260 and $4,245, while resistance levels are at $4,310 and $4,340 [9]. - For silver, support is noted at $62.50 and $61.65, with resistance at $64.30 and $64.90 [9].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints The report provides a weekly hot - spot preview from December 1 - 7, 2025, including the expected data of various economic indicators and their potential impacts on the futures market [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog This Week's Key Focus - On December 1 at 09:45, Markit will release China's November SPGI manufacturing PMI [2]. - On December 4 at 21:30, the US Department of Labor will announce the initial jobless claims for the week ending November 29 [2]. - On December 5 at 23:00, the US Department of Commerce will release the US September PCE price index [2]. - On December 7 at 16:00, the People's Bank of China will announce November foreign exchange reserves and gold reserves [2]. This Week's Hot - Spot Preview December 1 - China's November SPGI manufacturing PMI: Expected to be 51.1 (previous 50.9). A slight increase may help industrial and stock index futures rise and suppress treasury bond futures [2]. - US November ISM manufacturing PMI: Expected to be 48.5 (previous 48.7). A slight decrease may suppress non - ferrous metals, crude oil and related futures, but help gold and silver futures [3]. December 2 - Eurozone November CPI initial value: Expected harmonized CPI annual rate - unadjusted initial value is 2.1% (same as previous) [4]. - Eurozone October unemployment rate: Expected to be 6.3% (same as previous) [7]. December 3 - China's November SPGI services PMI and composite PMI: Expected services PMI is 51.9 (previous 52.6), composite PMI is 51.5 (previous 51.8). A slight decrease may suppress stock index and commodity futures, but help treasury bond futures [8]. - US November ADP employment change: Expected new employment is 55,000 (previous 42,000). An increase may help non - ferrous metals, crude oil and related commodity futures, but suppress gold and silver futures [9]. - US September industrial production monthly rate: Expected to be 0 (previous 0.1%) [10]. - US November ISM non - manufacturing PMI: Expected to be 53.5 (previous 52.4). A slight increase may suppress gold and silver futures [11]. - US EIA crude oil inventory change for the week ending November 28: A continued increase may suppress crude oil and related commodity futures [12]. December 4 - November下旬 prices of important production materials in the circulation field: The National Bureau of Statistics will release prices of 9 categories and 50 products [13]. - Eurozone October retail sales: Previous monthly rate was - 0.1%, annual rate was 1.0% [14]. - US initial jobless claims for the week ending November 29: Expected to be 212,000 (previous 216,000). A slight decrease may suppress gold and silver futures and help other industrial futures [15]. December 5 - US September factory orders monthly rate: Previous was 1.4% [16]. - US September PCE price index: Expected annual rate is 2.7% (same as previous), core annual rate is 2.9% (same as previous), core monthly rate is 0.3% (previous 0.2%). Specific changes may strengthen the market's expectation of a 25 - basis - point interest rate cut by the Fed in December [17]. - US September personal expenditure monthly rate: Expected to be 0.4% (previous 0.6%) [18]. - US September personal income monthly rate: Expected to be 0.4% (same as previous) [19]. - US December University of Michigan consumer confidence index initial value: Expected to be 52 (previous 51). An increase may help non - ferrous metals, crude oil and related commodity futures, but suppress gold and silver futures [20]. December 7 - China's November foreign exchange reserves: Previous was $3343 billion, gold reserves were 74.09 million ounces [21].