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医药生物行业行业研究:黄金及铜有色股份带动医药BD交易大涨
市场憧憬中美元首通电,港股大盘全周先跌后升,恒生指数全周上升 2.2%,收报 23,792 点。恒生科指全周上升 2.2%,收 报 5,286 点。恒指公司上周五季检生效,使大市成交金额增加至 2,356 亿港元,但全周日均成交也按周下跌 7.6%至 2,039 亿港元,显示大多投资者仍在观望中。港股通全周净流入 149 亿港元,风格继续偏好高分红。板块上,材料及医疗保健行 业分类指数上分别升大升 5.6%及 4.1%,前者受到黄金及铜有色股份带动,后者则受惠于市场对中国创新药 BD 交易的预 期。全球市场风险偏好上升有助于港股表现,但当前估值已大幅修复,AH 溢价指数偏低,整体大盘以偏震荡为主。由于 部分焦点板块升幅已较大,较易有获利了结的倾向,预计未来一周港股难有明确主线,更多以板块轮动为主。 中美元首上周通话,双方同意团队继续落实好日内瓦共识,尽快举行新一轮会谈。我们认为消息有助于纾缓中美双边紧 张气氛,减少不确定性,促进港股情绪进一步修复。不过,中美双方在关税税率、高端芯片的进口、市场改革、产业补 贴、芬太尼等多方面仍存在较多分歧,预计中美能够达成共识的进度较缓慢且反复。 上周个别年内升幅凌厉的"新消 ...
港股震荡走低,恒生科技指数跌幅扩大至1%
news flash· 2025-06-06 02:38
港股震荡走低,恒生科技指数跌幅扩大至1%,恒生指数跌超0.5%。 ...
刘刚:“对等关税”后的全球市场2025下半年投资机会前瞻
2025-05-30 16:09
Summary of Conference Call Minutes Industry or Company Involved - Focus on the global market impact of the "reciprocal tariff" policy Core Points and Arguments - The recent tariff reduction from 145% to 10% exceeded expectations, alleviating short-term market concerns, but medium to long-term risks related to trade restrictions need monitoring, particularly around key dates in July and August [1][2] - The U.S. effective tax rate has decreased to 16-17%, indicating a significant shift in market dynamics [2] - The performance of U.S. stocks, particularly in the tech sector, has rebounded quickly, suggesting that previous recession fears may have been overstated [4] - The current market is characterized by limited upward momentum and constrained downside potential, indicating a state of indecision [2] - The liquidity shock is viewed as an occasional event that presents buying opportunities, with central bank interventions typically proving effective [4] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - The recommendation to focus on sectors with strong end-demand and technology innovation, while also capitalizing on short-term trading opportunities in Hong Kong stocks [1] - The expectation that the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation rate will decline to 3.5-4% by year-end, with the Federal Reserve potentially lowering rates 1-2 times in Q4 [4] - The suggestion to wait for U.S. Treasury yields to rise to 4.8-5% before making long positions, as the current yield of 4.5% is deemed unattractive [5][8] - The impact of tariff adjustments on China's market is projected to reduce GDP influence from 3% to 1-1.5%, with Hong Kong's earnings being less affected than A-shares [7][9] - Recommendations for gold investment strategies include dollar-cost averaging or grid trading, given the high levels of market congestion [6][9]
午后!中国股市,突传重磅!
券商中国· 2025-05-30 07:12
空头氛围往往酝酿着赚钱机会! 一些需要重视的现象。今天虽然A股和港股全线调整,但午后市场突然多了许多多头的声音。首先,摩根士丹 利最近将中资股评级由"减持"升至"与大市同步"。特朗普政策倾向推低美元,历史上当美元下跌,反映外资情 绪的港股会更受惠。 与此同时,知名市场人士洪灏也表示,他观察到香港监管局的基础货币余额大幅的飙升。最近这几天,香港隔 夜的利率Hibor已经被砸到0左右了,从4砸到0了,发生在短短几个月时间,非常的惊人。这个显示的,就是 资金不断地涌入香港市场。 全球投资咨询公司剑桥联合公司 (Cambridge Associates) 表示,全球投资者正在重新评估其以美国为主的投资 组合,并关注中国香港和中国内地被低估的股票,以在地缘政治紧张局势中"提供防御"。全球资金流入中国股 市的"涓涓细流"或将汇成"洪流"。 大摩意外唱多 摩根士丹利的策略向来具有风向标意义。今日午后,格隆汇的消息指出,摩根士丹利最近将中资股评级由"减 持"升至"与大市同步"。 该公司董事总经理王滢表示,关税战仍有多项不明朗因素,所以暂未拟再上调评级,看好中资科技股,相信板 块内的企业创新能力强,而且会是国际领先的公司,前景 ...
港股收盘,恒指收跌0.53%,恒生科技指数收跌0.15%,快手(01024.HK)绩后收涨5.95%。
news flash· 2025-05-28 08:11
港股收盘,恒指收跌0.53%,恒生科技指数收跌0.15%,快手(01024.HK)绩后收涨5.95%。 ...
巴菲特:人生有些篇章,藏着你一生的好运
聪明投资者· 2025-05-25 01:56
Core Viewpoint - Warren Buffett will not take the main stage at the upcoming shareholder meeting, as confirmed by his daughter Susan, indicating a shift in leadership dynamics at Berkshire Hathaway [1] Group 1: Shareholder Meeting Arrangements - Susan Buffett mentioned that if health permits, Warren Buffett will sit in the front row with other board members and executives during the next shareholder meeting [1] - Greg Abel revealed that the announcement regarding the shareholder meeting's new arrangements was made due to numerous inquiries from suppliers and stakeholders about the future direction of the meeting [1] - The 2026 Berkshire Hathaway shareholder meeting is scheduled for May 2, with a Q&A session planned for that morning, and further details will be released in early next year alongside the annual report [1] Group 2: Emotional Impact - Susan noted that many attendees were emotional during Warren Buffett's last address at the shareholder meeting, highlighting the memorable atmosphere of the event [1]
5月23日电,港股冲高回落,恒生科技指数转跌,此前一度涨超1%,恒指涨幅收窄至0.2%。
news flash· 2025-05-23 06:11
智通财经5月23日电,港股冲高回落,恒生科技指数转跌,此前一度涨超1%,恒指涨幅收窄至0.2%。 ...
港股午评:恒生指数跌0.55% 恒生科技指数跌0.66%
news flash· 2025-05-22 04:04
无需港股通,A股账户就能T+0买港股>> 港股午间收盘,恒生指数跌0.55%,恒生科技指数跌0.66%。小鹏汽车涨超7%,哔哩哔哩、宁德时代 (300750)跌超2%。 ...
郑眼看盘丨消息平淡,A股持续盘整
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-05-21 10:24
汇市方面,本周美元连续碎步下跌。美债也显著下跌,收益率全线上升,其中30年期美债收益率已升至 5%以上。人民币汇率周三显著回升。 美元及美债的下跌原因错综复杂,目前投资者对美元资产已产生些回避情绪。此外,黄金的上涨及周三 A股黄金股的上涨也部分与此密切相关。黄金上涨另一原因,应该是中国最新公布的4月份黄金进口环 比猛增73%至127.5公吨。 需要指出的是,在以往多数时候,美债收益率走高对美元易构成利好,但这次例外。美国6月份就将有 大约6万亿美元的政府债券到期,美国政府自然会希望以较低成本"发新偿旧"。故在此特定时期,美债 收益率的走高并不会支撑美元,反而会带来压力。 后市方面,个人觉得暂时还没有特别重大的因素能够打破A股的平衡格局。操作方面,建议投资者继续 以持股为主,轻仓者应可寻机加仓。 每经记者|郑步春 每经编辑|肖芮冬 周三A股窄幅震荡,各股指涨跌大多比较细微。消息面整体较平淡,A股盘面也显得较沉闷。全A总成 交额为12144亿元,与周二的12113亿元相差无几。截至收盘,上证综指涨0.21%至3387.57点。其余主要 股指涨跌互现,涨跌幅均极小。 值得一提的是,北证50指数虽然只涨了0.39%, ...