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For Bitcoin Traders, Is a Fed Rate Cut Already Priced In?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-16 21:50
Bitcoin has typically performed well in a low interest rate environment, but the asset may not rise in the aftermath of a widely expected U.S. central bank interest rate slashing on Wednesday, say analysts, who believe markets have already priced in the cut.  The analysts say that traders will be looking more keenly at what Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell says in the press conference after the announcement.  "It does seem to be pretty priced in," Juan Leon, Bitwise's senior investment strategist, told D ...
There is value in the bond market at the end of the curve, says Wellington's Brij Khurana
CNBC Television· 2025-09-16 21:40
Well, joining me now is Bridge Corano, Wellington fixed income portfolio manager. Bridge, what do you expect to really move the bond market tomorrow. I mean, we assuming we get the quarter point everybody expects there's going to be a lot of contention among uh the Fed voters, possibly more than we've ever had.Yeah, no doubt. I mean, I think we are definitely going to get that 25 basis point cut. Um I think there will probably be three descents to your point asking for 50 basis points.What the market's real ...
Mortgage rates drop to 3-year low ahead of Fed meeting
CNBC· 2025-09-16 20:20
Group 1 - The current mortgage rate environment is similar to September 2024, with a significant chance of a Fed rate cut, which previously led to an increase in mortgage rates despite the cut [1] - The average rate on the 30-year fixed mortgage has decreased by 12 basis points to 6.13%, marking the lowest level since late 2022 [1] - Historical trends indicate that Fed rate cuts during recessionary periods tend to lower long-term rates, while cuts in non-recessionary environments do not have the same effect [3] Group 2 - Expectations are for at least a 25 basis point cut from the Fed, but this may not significantly impact long-term rates [3] - There is a possibility that the 10-year yield may sell off after the Fed announces the rate cut, as market behavior often involves buying on rumors and selling on news [4]
If a Dovish Fed Cuts Rates, These 3 Stocks Could Fly Like Birds
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-16 15:08
Market Reaction and Federal Reserve Impact - The stock market's reaction is heavily influenced by algorithms and Wall Street analysts, rather than solely by corporate earnings or Federal Reserve actions [1][2] - A potential rate cut by the Fed is expected to shift market conditions from "setup" to "buying" after the initial volatility following the announcement [2][3] - The market anticipates a rate cut with nearly 100% probability, leading to a "buy the rumor, sell the news" scenario [4] Interest Rates and Bond Market - The 10-year bond rate is nearing a significant drop below 4%, which would be the first time in over two years [5] - The behavior of the 10-year yield will significantly influence stock reactions, affecting consumer behavior and corporate borrowing capabilities [6] Stocks to Watch - **Caterpillar (CAT)**: Expected to benefit from lower rates as it provides financing to customers, potentially increasing business activity [7] - **JPMorgan Chase (JPM)**: Anticipated to gain from lower rates, although risks exist if the bond market reacts negatively [8][9] - **Microsoft (MSFT)**: While less directly impacted by Fed actions due to its strong credit rating, it could benefit from increased consumer spending if rates drop [10] Market Sentiment and Trading Behavior - Fed announcements have become critical events for traders, akin to major award shows, as they assess the potential impact on portfolios [11][12]
X @The Block
The Block· 2025-09-16 10:44
Bitcoin and Ethereum prices remain steady as traders brace for Fed rate cut https://t.co/AL2B4LhIdJ ...
Gold Hits Record as Investors Pile Into Fed Rate-Cut Bets
Barrons· 2025-09-16 09:01
LIVE S&P 500 Builds on Record High as Fed Rate Call Comes Under More Scrutiny Last Updated: 38 min ago Gold Hits Record as Investors Pile Into Fed Rate- Cut Bets By George Glover Gold was glistening again on Tuesday, climbing to yet another record high with investors certain the Federal Reserve is about to cut interest rates for the first time this year. Futures climbed 0.3% to just under $3,734 an ounce in early trading. The gains mean bullion is now up 41% for the year, surging amid a central-bank buying ...
X @Bitget
Bitget· 2025-09-16 06:46
Which coin could rip the hardest if we got a Fed rate cut on Wednesday? 🤔Comment below ⤵️ ...
黄金ETF持仓量报告解读(2025-9-16)美指和美债下挫 推升金价
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-16 04:25
Core Insights - The SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold ETF, reported a total holding of 976.81 tons of gold as of September 15, 2025, marking an increase of 2.01 tons from the previous trading day [4] - Gold prices surged, reaching a record high of 3685.62 USD/ounce during the trading session, closing at 3678.66 USD/ounce, up 35.71 USD or 0.98% [4] - The increase in gold ETF holdings coincided with a decline in the US dollar index and a significant drop in US Treasury yields, driven by heightened expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [4] Market Dynamics - The market anticipates a 100% probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates during its upcoming meeting on September 16-17, which would be the first cut in nine months [4] - Deutsche Bank forecasts that the Federal Reserve will reduce rates by 25 basis points in each of its remaining meetings this year, bringing the federal funds rate to a range of 3.50%-3.75% [4] - Economic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions are providing additional support for gold, leading to increased investment in gold ETFs, which have accumulated 279 tons of gold in the US market alone in 2025 [5] Technical Analysis - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates overbought conditions for gold, suggesting limited further upside in the short term [5] - If gold prices continue to rise, the next resistance levels are projected at 3700 USD and then 3750 USD [5] - Conversely, if gold prices decline and fall below the September 9 high of 3674 USD, the next support levels are at 3650 USD and then 3613 USD [5]
X @Joe Consorti ⚡️
Joe Consorti ⚡️· 2025-09-15 22:38
https://t.co/9jL7xVbwN4Joe Consorti ⚡️ (@JoeConsorti):Gold and the S&P 500 are hitting new highs.Bitcoin sits less than 8% from its own. With a Fed rate cut expected Wednesday plus October (its 2nd-best month) around the corner, $150K may not be far.When is it Bitcoin’s turn? Soon.[Presented by @JoinHorizon_] https://t.co/KXIZLZWw9g ...