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Airline Stocks Cheer Delta's Upbeat Report
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-07-10 19:56
Group 1: Delta Air Lines Inc - Delta Air Lines Inc's stock increased by 12.4%, trading at $56.99, following a top-line beat for Q2 [1] - CEO Ed Bastian indicated that bookings have stabilized after a period of lower demand in spring, and the profit outlook for 2025 has been reinstated [1] - The positive report has had a significant impact on the airline sector as a whole [1] Group 2: American Airlines Group Inc - American Airlines Group Inc's stock rose by 14%, trading at $13.13, reaching its highest level since early March [2] - Despite being down 25% year-to-date, the stock is now 51% above its multi-year low of $8.50 recorded on April 4 [2] - The 200-day moving average is currently acting as a resistance level for the stock's rally [2] Group 3: Options Activity - American Airlines Group Inc saw a surge in call options trading, with 286,000 contracts changing hands, four times the average intraday volume [3] - The most popular call option was the weekly 7/11 12.50-strike call, along with the July 13 call in the standard expiration series [3] Group 4: United Airlines Holdings Inc - United Airlines Holdings Inc's stock increased by 14.2%, trading at $91.57, approaching its highest close since March 4 [5] - The stock is only down 6.5% in 2025 but has risen 92.4% year-over-year, with today's trading surpassing the 160-day moving average [5] - There were 78,000 UAL calls traded, quadrupling the average intraday volume, with the weekly 7/11 87-strike call being the most popular [5] Group 5: Airline Sector Trends - Airline stocks, including Delta, American, and United, are showing a pattern of movement together, indicating a sector-wide trend [6] - These companies have high Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard readings of 99, 93, and 96 out of 100, suggesting they have exceeded options traders' volatility expectations in the past year [6]
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in FMX Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-07-07 21:11
Company Overview - Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. (FMX) is currently experiencing significant attention in the options market, particularly with the July 18, 2025 $90 Call option showing high implied volatility, indicating potential for a major price movement [1][3] Implied Volatility Insights - Implied volatility reflects market expectations for future stock movement, with high levels suggesting anticipation of a significant price change or an upcoming event that could trigger a rally or sell-off [2] Analyst Sentiment - The company holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) within the Beverages - Soft drinks industry, which is positioned in the bottom 40% of the Zacks Industry Rank. Over the past 60 days, no analysts have raised earnings estimates for the current quarter, while some have lowered their estimates, resulting in a decrease of the Zacks Consensus Estimate from $1.12 to $1.07 per share [3] Trading Strategy Implications - The current high implied volatility may indicate a developing trading opportunity. Options traders often seek to sell premium on options with high implied volatility, aiming to benefit from the decay of the option's value if the underlying stock does not move as much as anticipated [4]
Options Bears Cheer Another Tesla Stock Setback
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-07-07 18:24
Group 1: Company Performance - Tesla Inc (TSLA) is currently down 7.3%, trading at $292.16, and facing a year-to-date deficit of 27.6% [1][5] - Despite the current decline, TSLA shares are up 17.2% year-over-year [5] - The stock is testing its 80-day moving average, indicating potential volatility in the near term [5] Group 2: Analyst Ratings and Market Sentiment - William Blair downgraded TSLA to "market perform," which may influence investor sentiment [1] - Out of 41 brokerages covering TSLA, 16 maintain "buy" or better ratings, which could be a headwind if more analysts downgrade their ratings [5] Group 3: Options Activity - TSLA has seen significant options activity, with 14,175,441 calls and 11,807,911 puts exchanged in the last 10 sessions, making it the second-most active stock after Nvidia [2][3] - The most popular options contracts during this period were the weekly 6/27 320-strike put and the 330 call [2] Group 4: Volatility and Market Metrics - TSLA's 10-day put/call volume ratio ranks in the 78th percentile of annual readings, indicating growing popularity of puts [7] - The Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) for TSLA is at 48%, ranking in the 5th percentile of its annual range, suggesting lower-than-usual volatility expectations [8] - The Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) is at 83 out of 100, indicating that TSLA has tended to exceed volatility expectations over the past year [9]
CAVA Group Stock Climbs on Brand-New Bull Note
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-07-02 14:52
Group 1 - CAVA Group Inc's stock rose 3.3% to $85.06 after KeyBanc initiated coverage with an "overweight" rating and a $100 price target, highlighting the company's potential to dominate the Mediterranean food market without direct competitors [1] - Despite the positive outlook, CAVA's shares are down 24.6% year-to-date, struggling to recover from losses incurred in February [1] - The stock is currently facing pressure from moving averages between the 40-day and 100-day trendlines [1] Group 2 - Options trading activity for CAVA has surged, with 23,000 calls exchanged, which is four times the average intraday volume, compared to only 2,228 puts [2] - The most popular options are the weekly 7/3 86-strike call and the 7/11 90-strike call, with new positions being opened for both [2] - The stock's 50-day call/put volume ratio stands at 2.78, ranking higher than 91% of readings from the past year, indicating a strong bullish sentiment [3] Group 3 - Short interest in CAVA represents 10% of the available float, suggesting a significant number of investors are betting against the stock [3] - It would take approximately three days for short sellers to cover their positions based on CAVA's average trading pace [3]
Tesla Stock in Trump Crosshairs Once More
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-07-01 14:37
Group 1 - Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock is down 4.1% to $294.81, with a significant sales drop of over 60% in Sweden and Denmark [1] - Year-to-date, TSLA shares have decreased by 26.7% and are currently testing their 80-day moving average, a level that has only been breached once in the last two months [2] - Options traders are increasingly leaning towards puts, with TSLA's 10-day put/call volume ratio in the 71st percentile of annual readings, indicating bearish sentiment [3] Group 2 - The stock's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) is at 54%, ranking in the 12th percentile of its annual range, suggesting lower-than-usual volatility expectations among options players [4] - The Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) for TSLA is 85 out of 100, indicating that the stock has tended to exceed volatility expectations over the past year [4]
Walt Disney Stock Hits 2-Year High on Upgrade
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-06-30 15:04
Group 1 - Walt Disney Co's stock increased by 1.6% to $123.61 after Jefferies upgraded its rating to "buy" and raised the price target to $144 from $100, citing potential revenue from two new cruise ships exceeding $1 billion and limited risk of park slowdown in late 2025 [1] - The stock reached a two-year high of $124.69 and is on track for its sixth consecutive daily gain, building on a 24.3% increase in May, the best monthly performance since January 2023, and a 9.3% rise in June, with a total increase of 24.4% over the last 12 months [2] - Short-term options traders are exhibiting more bearish sentiment than usual, as indicated by the stock's Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio ranking in the 84th percentile over the past year, suggesting that an unwinding of this pessimism could provide additional support for the shares [3] Group 2 - Options for Walt Disney Co are currently priced affordably, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 18% in the 1st percentile of its annual range, indicating low volatility expectations among options traders [4] - The Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) score of 97 out of 100 suggests that Disney has historically experienced larger-than-expected price swings, indicating potential for significant movement in the stock price [4]
UnitedHealth: Pivotal Changes Underway
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-29 07:27
Group 1 - The core focus of Quad 7 Capital is to provide investment opportunities through their BAD BEAT Investing platform, emphasizing both long and short trades with a proven track record of success [1] - Quad 7 Capital has maintained an average position of 95% long and 5% short since May 2020, showcasing their strategic approach to market conditions [1] - The team consists of seven analysts with diverse expertise in business, policy, economics, mathematics, game theory, and sciences, enhancing their research capabilities [1] Group 2 - BAD BEAT Investing offers various benefits, including weekly well-researched trade ideas, access to four chat rooms, and daily summaries of key analyst upgrades and downgrades [2] - The platform also provides educational resources for learning basic options trading and extensive trading tools to assist investors [2] - The goal of BAD BEAT Investing is to teach investors to become proficient traders while saving them time through high-quality research and clear entry and exit targets [1][2]
McCormick: Spice Up Your Port, We See It Heading Higher
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-26 21:23
Group 1 - The core focus of Quad 7 Capital is to provide investment opportunities through their BAD BEAT Investing platform, emphasizing both long and short trades with a proven track record of success [1] - The team consists of 7 analysts with diverse expertise in business, policy, economics, mathematics, game theory, and sciences, aiming to educate investors on proficient trading [1] - Since May 2020, the company has maintained an average position of 95% long and 5% short, showcasing their strategic approach to market conditions [1] Group 2 - BAD BEAT Investing offers various benefits, including weekly well-researched trade ideas, access to 4 chat rooms, and daily summaries of key analyst upgrades and downgrades [2] - The platform also provides educational resources for basic options trading and extensive trading tools to enhance investor knowledge and execution [2]
Chip Stock Hits 2025 Peak Before Reversing Gains
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-06-26 14:58
Core Viewpoint - Micron Technology Inc's stock is experiencing a decline despite beating fiscal third-quarter earnings and revenue expectations, with significant price-target increases from analysts [1][2]. Group 1: Earnings and Stock Performance - Micron's stock is down 1.7%, trading at $125.06, despite a strong earnings report [1]. - The stock reached a year-to-date peak of $129.85 before reversing gains, indicating volatility in its price movement [3]. - Year-to-date, shares have gained 50.8%, suggesting strong overall performance despite recent declines [3]. Group 2: Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - A total of 26 out of 30 analysts have a "buy" or better rating on Micron, reflecting positive sentiment in the market [2]. - The 12-month consensus price objective for Micron is $137.40, which represents a 7.7% premium over the current stock price [2]. Group 3: Options Trading Activity - Options trading volume is significantly higher than usual, with 139,000 calls and 97,000 puts exchanged, indicating increased investor interest [4]. - The most active option is the weekly 6/27 130-strike call, where new positions are being opened [4]. - Micron's stock has a high Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) score of 96 out of 100, indicating it has historically delivered larger-than-expected price swings [4].
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Holley Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-06-25 14:41
Company Overview - Holley Inc. (HLLY) is experiencing significant attention from investors due to high implied volatility in its options market, particularly the Aug 15, 2025 $7.50 Call option [1] - The company currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) in the Automotive - Original Equipment industry, which ranks in the top 29% of the Zacks Industry Rank [3] Analyst Insights - Over the past 60 days, there has been a mixed sentiment among analysts regarding Holley's earnings estimates; one analyst has increased estimates while five have decreased them, resulting in a consensus estimate drop from 11 cents to 10 cents per share for the current quarter [3] Options Market Dynamics - The high implied volatility suggests that options traders are anticipating a significant price movement for Holley shares, which could indicate an upcoming event that may lead to a substantial rally or sell-off [2][4] - Seasoned options traders often seek to sell premium on options with high implied volatility, aiming to benefit from the decay of the option's value if the underlying stock does not move as much as expected [4]