十五五规划
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杨伟民建言“十五五”:五大战略任务需实现重大突破
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-27 06:02
Core Viewpoint - The 2025 China Wealth Management Forum emphasizes the importance of achieving breakthroughs in five strategic tasks during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period to build a financial power [1] Economic Growth - Maintaining economic growth within a reasonable range is the top priority for the "14th Five-Year Plan," crucial for achieving significant progress in socialist modernization [3][12] - The target for reasonable growth is approximately 4.5% for both actual and nominal GDP, aligning with the goal of reaching the per capita GDP of a moderately developed country by 2035 [3][12] - The nominal growth is projected to be lower than actual growth in 2023, 2024, and 2025, leading to weaker growth in urban residents' income, corporate profits, and fiscal revenue, exacerbating insufficient domestic demand [3][12] Macro Control - The focus of macroeconomic control during the early phase of the "14th Five-Year Plan" must shift to promoting price recovery, as opposed to merely preventing price increases [4][13] - The overall tone of macroeconomic policy is to promote stable economic growth and reasonable price recovery, with monetary policy aimed at supporting this recovery [4][13] Development of New Productive Forces - The development of new productive forces is essential for the advancement of China's modern industrial system and is key to winning in the context of global changes and technological revolutions [5][14] - The focus during the "14th Five-Year Plan" should be on digitalization and low-carbon technologies, aiming for breakthroughs in critical and frontier technologies [5][14] Modern Industrial System - A modern industrial system must maintain a reasonable proportion of manufacturing, ensuring that the manufacturing sector's share of GDP remains stable and does not decline too rapidly [6][15] - Lessons from early industrialized countries indicate that a decline in manufacturing share can lead to vulnerabilities, such as falling into the middle-income trap [6][15] Consumer Spending - Increasing the resident consumption rate is identified as a core driver for economic growth, with a need to generate an additional 35 trillion yuan in total demand during the "14th Five-Year Plan" if growth is to be maintained at 4.5% [8][17] - The contribution of imports and exports to economic growth is expected to decline, necessitating a shift towards expanding domestic demand [8][17] Distribution Structure - Optimizing the distribution system is crucial for promoting common prosperity and increasing the consumption rate, which is vital for maintaining economic growth within a reasonable range [9][18] - Policies should focus on improving income distribution, raising minimum wage standards, and enhancing the income of low-income groups to ensure that disposable income grows faster than economic growth [9][18]
杨伟民:化解供强需弱主要矛盾的症结在于分配
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-27 05:11
Core Viewpoint - The key issue in resolving the contradiction between strong supply and weak demand during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period lies in distribution, necessitating significant breakthroughs in optimizing the distribution structure [2] Group 1: Distribution and Economic Growth - The supply structure is a function of the demand structure, which in turn is a function of the income structure; a low proportion of resident income in national income leads to low consumption rates [2] - Optimizing the distribution structure is crucial for comprehensive development and common prosperity, as well as for increasing the resident consumption rate and maintaining economic growth within a reasonable range [2] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" suggests implementing a plan to increase income for urban and rural residents, effectively raising the income of low-income groups and steadily expanding the middle-income group [3] Group 2: Policy Recommendations - Policies should gradually shift from stimulating consumption to adjusting income distribution, including raising minimum wage standards and increasing ordinary employees' wages [3] - The focus of redistribution should be on enhancing the income of low-income groups through increased taxation, social security, and transfer payments, aiming for a faster growth rate of per capita disposable income than economic growth [3] Group 3: Economic Growth Targets - Economic growth should maintain an average annual growth rate of 4.17% from 2025 to 2035, with a target of achieving per capita GDP at the level of moderately developed countries by 2035 [3] - The expected growth rate for the "14th Five-Year Plan" period is around 4.5%, while the "15th Five-Year Plan" period is projected at 4%, leading to an average of approximately 4.2% over the decade [4] Group 4: Challenges and Considerations - The nominal growth rate must remain above 4.5%, as nominal growth has been lower than actual growth since 2023, with a negative GDP deflator index [4] - The growth of urban resident income, corporate profits, and fiscal revenue has been lower than economic growth, exacerbating the issue of insufficient domestic demand [4] - The macroeconomic regulation during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period must prioritize promoting price recovery as a key objective [4]
尚福林:攻克结构性和机制性挑战,加快建设金融强国
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-27 05:06
"我们也要清醒认识到,'十五五'时期金融发展仍将面临一些结构性和机制性挑战。"他认为,比如,社 会资金配置结构不平衡问题仍有待解决,低利率、低息差时代到来也增大了资产配置难度,传统的融资 和风控模式与新经济新业态的现实需求不够适配,民营、小微企业融资难、融资贵仍不同程度存在;直 接融资占比有待提高,资本市场投资和融资功能的协调性有待进一步增强,基础性制度仍需完善;高水 平双向开放要求更高,跨境风险传染渠道更加多元、更加复杂;金融科技的新业态、新技术带来的新型 风险对金融监管提出更高要求。这些问题是"十五五"时期金融改革发展的重点,也是建设金融强国必须 攻克的难关。 尚福林表示,迈向"十五五",加快建设金融强国,是质的有效提升和量的合理增长有机统一,是综合 性、系统性、引领性的跃升。"十五五"规划建议阐明了其核心内涵:第一,更加聚焦金融服务实体经济 的根本宗旨,努力做好金融"五篇大文章";第二,持续深化金融体制改革,加快完善中国特色现代金融 体系;第三,更好统筹发展和安全,筑牢金融稳定防线;第四,稳步推进高水平开放,提升全球金融治 理话语权。 12月27日,中国财富管理50人论坛2025年会在京举办。中国财富管 ...
杨伟民:化解供强需弱主要矛盾的症结在于分配
和讯· 2025-12-27 04:47
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes that resolving the supply-demand imbalance during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period hinges on optimizing the distribution structure, which is crucial for enhancing residents' disposable income and sustaining economic growth within a reasonable range [2][4] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" suggests implementing a rural and urban resident income increase plan aimed at effectively raising the income of low-income groups and steadily expanding the middle-income group, while also addressing excessive incomes and illegal earnings to promote an olive-shaped distribution pattern [2][4] - The article highlights that policies should not only focus on expanding demand and optimizing supply but also on improving distribution, creating a cohesive system of supply, demand, and distribution policies to foster a consumption-driven economic development model [2][3] Group 2 - It is proposed that consumption-stimulating policies should gradually shift towards income distribution adjustment policies, including raising minimum wage standards and enhancing ordinary employees' wages, while increasing the intensity of tax, social security, and transfer payments to boost low-income groups' income [3][4] - Economic growth is expected to maintain an average annual growth rate of 4.17% from 2025 to 2035, with a target of 4.5% during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period and 4% during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, leading to an average of approximately 4.2% over the decade [5][6] - The article stresses the importance of nominal growth remaining above 4.5%, as since 2023, nominal growth in China has been lower than actual growth, which has exacerbated the imbalance between supply and demand and contributed to insufficient domestic demand [5][6]
【学习贯彻省委十四届九次全会精神】确保“十五五”开好局起好步——论学习贯彻省委十四届九次全会精神
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-27 01:15
【学习贯彻省委十四届九次全会精神】 确保"十五五"开好局起好步 ——论学习贯彻省委十四届九次全会精神 甘肃日报评论员 "十五五"时期是我国基本实现社会主义现代化夯实基础、全面发力的关键时期,也是甘肃发展追赶进位 的关键阶段。省委经济工作会议深入分析当前形势,对做好明年经济工作提出明确要求。全省上下要牢 牢把握高质量发展这个首要任务,着眼扩大内需、优化供给、做优增量、盘活存量,着眼防范化解重点 领域风险,着眼稳就业、稳企业、稳市场、稳预期,深入实施"五强"行动,加快推进新型工业化、新型 城镇化、农业农村现代化,加速推进数字经济和实体经济深度融合,加力打造"七地一屏一通道",因地 制宜发展新质生产力,推动经济实现质的有效提升和量的合理增长,更好统筹发展和安全,保持社会和 谐稳定,实现"十五五"良好开局。 经济工作千头万绪,必须抓住关键,明确主攻方向,做到纲举目张。要加力培育壮大产业,以科技创新 引领产业创新,扎实推进传统产业转型升级、新兴产业发展壮大、未来产业前瞻布局,大力发展现代寒 旱特色农业,加快推动服务业扩能提质。要加力强化内需拉动,抢抓政策机遇扩大投资,深入挖掘服务 消费、数字消费、文旅消费等潜力,开展平 ...
北京丰台发布“十五五”规划建议 将全力建设首都功能拓展区
Zhong Guo Jing Ying Bao· 2025-12-27 00:20
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the development blueprint for Fengtai District in Beijing, emphasizing the "Five Transformations" and the focus on "rural urbanization, urban modernization, and all-domain scenario innovation" as key directions for the next five years [1][2]. Group 1: Five Transformations - Fengtai's development is characterized by five transformations: from basic security to taking on responsibilities, from a transportation hub to a value hub, from distinct sectors to integrated urban-rural development, from localized focus to overall collaboration, and from implementation to innovation leadership [2][3]. Group 2: Development Paths - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes three major development paths: - Rural urbanization aims to address development imbalances and promote comprehensive rural revitalization [2]. - Urban modernization focuses on enhancing urban functions and integrating industry with urban development [2]. - All-domain scenario innovation seeks to create a comprehensive innovation ecosystem to support the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region's modernization [2]. Group 3: Construction of Five Key Areas - The plan outlines the construction of five key areas: - Capital Function Expansion Area, focusing on enhancing the capital's core functions [3]. - Regional Collaboration Pioneer Area, leveraging transportation advantages to drive economic growth [3]. - Industry-City Integration Innovation Area, promoting a modern industrial system [3]. - Garden City Characteristic Area, emphasizing ecological harmony and urban quality [3]. - All-Age Friendly Vitality Area, aimed at enhancing public welfare and community well-being [3]. Group 4: Key Initiatives - Fengtai District will focus on eight key initiatives, including: - Integrating urban functions with industrial layout [4]. - Deepening the fusion of technological and industrial innovation [4]. - Stimulating effective investment and consumption [4]. - Expanding access to education, healthcare, and elder care services [5]. - Creating an international business environment [5]. - Promoting urban renewal alongside rural revitalization [5]. - Enhancing ecological protection while showcasing cultural heritage [5]. - Strengthening collaborative governance for safety and stability [5].
王晓晖在内江市资阳市调研时强调 推动经济实现量质齐升稳中有进 确保“十五五”开好局起好步
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-27 00:10
格隆汇12月27日|据四川日报,12月25日至26日,四川省委书记、省人大常委会主任王晓晖前往内江 市、资阳市调研。王晓晖指出,内江和资阳西连成都、东接重庆,区位优势独特,要抢抓"十五五"时期 国家重大战略和省委发展战略实施机遇,用好加快成渝地区中部崛起的支持政策,在服务融入成渝"双 核"、培育发展特色产业上下更大功夫,进一步做大经济总量、提升发展质量,努力为全省发展大局多 作贡献。 ...
全省政协系统进一步全面深化改革反映社情民意信息工作暨市州政协主席座谈会召开
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-26 21:01
公保扎西指出,一年来,省政协围绕全省中心大局履职尽责,把助力实现"十四五"圆满收官和"十五 五"良好开局作为着力重点,坚持不懈用习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想凝心铸魂,扎实开展深入 贯彻中央八项规定精神学习教育,着力强化全面从严治党引领保障作用,成功举办庆祝青海省政协成立 70周年系列活动,紧扣现代化新青海建设大局议政建言,始终高举大团结大联合旗帜,积极践行人民政 协为人民理念,持续加强政协履职能力建设,为现代化新青海建设作出重要贡献,交出了一份沉甸甸的 年度履职答卷。 公保扎西强调,全省政协要把学习贯彻中共二十届四中全会和中共青海省委十四届十次全会精神作为重 大政治任务抓紧抓实,把学习成效体现到政协履职实践之中,把智慧和力量凝聚到全省发展大局上来, 为推动全会精神落地见效贡献政协力量。要把聚焦推进中国式现代化献计出力、助推"十五五"规划实施 作为履职主线,科学谋划明年协商议政工作。要坚持以改革创新破解发展难题,持续推进政协工作制度 化、规范化、程序化建设。要以高度的政治自觉做好政协新闻宣传工作,展现政协工作时代风采。要畅 通联系群众桥梁纽带,抓紧抓好抓实社情民意信息工作。要坚持高标准、严要求,做好省政协十 ...
21评论丨发挥引导基金带动作用,激活创新链条
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-26 19:59
Core Viewpoint - The establishment of the National Venture Capital Guidance Fund marks a strategic initiative to support the construction of a modern industrial system and foster an autonomous innovation capital chain amid increasing international technological competition [1][2]. Group 1: Strategic Significance - The National Venture Capital Guidance Fund aims to inject confidence into the market by signaling long-term governmental support for innovation and entrepreneurship [2]. - It addresses market failures by providing initial funding for high-risk, long-cycle original technology projects, filling the gap left by market capital [2]. - The fund is designed to create an innovation network that promotes collaboration among various market entities, facilitating the flow of capital, knowledge, and management experience [2]. Group 2: Regional Fund Structure - The simultaneous establishment of three regional funds in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, the Yangtze River Delta, and the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area represents a strategic allocation of resources based on national priorities [2][3]. - Each region specializes in different aspects of innovation: Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei focuses on original innovation, the Yangtze River Delta excels in engineering and industrialization, and the Greater Bay Area is known for application and business model innovation [3]. - This structured approach aims to shorten the time it takes for technological achievements to transition from laboratories to market applications, contributing to the establishment of a unified national market [3]. Group 3: Long-term Investment and Risk Sharing - The 14th Five-Year Plan emphasizes the importance of building a modern industrial system and outlines strategic areas for future investment, including quantum technology and biomanufacturing, which require long-term funding and risk-sharing mechanisms [4][5]. - The National Venture Capital Guidance Fund is positioned as a key vehicle for this risk-sharing mechanism, particularly in critical technology sectors facing external pressures [5]. - The fund seeks to explore innovative institutional reforms to balance the acceptance of failure with the prevention of moral hazards, ensuring that investment decisions respect professional judgments while meeting policy objectives [5].
“国之大事”澎湃“中国力量”
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-26 16:58
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the synchronization of "top-level design" and "grassroots practice" in achieving the goals set by the "14th Five-Year Plan," which focuses on high-quality development and building a strong domestic market [4] - The achievements highlighted include advancements in intelligent production lines, increased job opportunities, and enhanced consumer choices, making "Chinese-style modernization" a tangible reality [4] - The narrative captures both the hard power represented by advanced military equipment and the soft sentiments of historical remembrance and peace, showcasing the duality of China's strength [4] Group 2 - The concept of "breakthrough" and "inclusive growth" is increasingly evident, with innovations like DeepSeek making top-tier AI accessible to small and medium enterprises and the general public [4] - The construction of the Hainan Free Trade Port is noted for transforming reform dividends into benefits for people's livelihoods, reflecting a commitment to societal welfare [4] - The focus on technological and institutional innovation as core development models enhances China's confidence and resilience in the global landscape [4]