Core Insights - BAD BEAT Investing, led by Quad 7 Capital, has been providing investment opportunities for nearly 12 years, focusing on both long and short trades [1] - The team is recognized for their February 2020 recommendation to sell everything and go short, maintaining an average position of 95% long and 5% short since May 2020 [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes short- and medium-term investments, income generation, special situations, and momentum trades [1] Group 1 - The company comprises a team of 7 analysts with diverse expertise in business, policy, economics, mathematics, game theory, and sciences [1] - BAD BEAT Investing aims to educate investors to become proficient traders through a comprehensive playbook, providing in-depth research with clear entry and exit targets [1] - The firm has a proven track record of success in its investment strategies [1] Group 2 - Benefits of BAD BEAT Investing include understanding market dynamics, executing well-researched trade ideas weekly, and access to multiple chat rooms [2] - Subscribers receive daily summaries of key analyst upgrades and downgrades, along with learning opportunities in basic options trading and access to extensive trading tools [2]

Casino stock Wynn Resorts Inc (NASDAQ:WYNN) is trading 1.9% lower at $88.83 at last check, starting off June on a sour note. The shares are eyeing their fourth-straight loss, extending a pullback from their May 15 five-month highs, and testing support at the $90 level today. Plus, if past is precedent, WYNN could be due for even more losses. Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White compiled a list of the 25 worst S&P 500 Index (SPX) stocks to own in June, going back a decade, and Wynn Resorts sto ...

Core Insights - UnitedHealth Group Inc (NYSE:UNH) has experienced a significant decline of 39.1% year-to-date in 2025, primarily due to rising medical costs and the unexpected departure of CEO Andrew Witty [1] - Despite the challenges, options trading activity remains robust, with a notable volume of both calls and puts in recent trading sessions [2] Options Trading Activity - Over the last 10 trading days, UnitedHealth recorded a total of 4,843,914 options, comprising 3,313,688 calls and 1,530,226 puts [2][3] - The most popular options contract was the weekly 5/23 300-strike call, indicating strong interest among traders [2] Stock Performance - UnitedHealth shares were last observed at $307.50, reflecting a 1.9% increase and marking a potential fourth consecutive daily gain [5] - The stock is attempting to recover from a significant dip to $269.13 on May 16, which was its lowest level since April 2020 [5] Volatility Metrics - The Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) for UnitedHealth ranks at 95 out of 100, suggesting that the stock typically exceeds options traders' annual volatility expectations [7]

Group 1 - BWX Technologies Inc (NYSE:BWXT) shares are currently supported at their March and July 2024 highs, breaking above resistance in the $110-$111 range [2] - All daily moving averages for BWXT are trending upwards, potentially providing a support level in case of a market pullback [2] - Short interest for BWXT has increased by 38.7% in the last two reporting periods, suggesting that a reversal of this pessimism could benefit the stock [3] Group 2 - Aggressive put sellers are active at the June 105-strike, while also purchasing June 120- and 130-strike calls, indicating bullish sentiment [3] - The Schaeffer's open interest ratio (SOIR) for BWXT is at 1.23, historically associated with price bottoms [3] - The Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) for BWXT is at 29%, ranking in the 26th percentile of its annual range, indicating low volatility expectations among options traders [4] Group 3 - The recommended call option for BWXT has a leverage ratio of 6.4, which could double with a 16% gain in the underlying stock [4]

Group 1 - Palantir Technologies Inc (NASDAQ:PLTR) is experiencing significant stock performance, currently up 6.4% to $130.17, with a notable increase of 72% in 2025, testing its record high of $133.49 from May 14 [1][2] - The company is being engaged by President Donald Trump to organize personal data across various government agencies, which is expected to enhance its government contract portfolio [1] - Despite the stock's gains, analysts remain cautious, with 17 out of 20 brokerages maintaining "hold" or worse ratings, indicating a potential shift in sentiment could benefit the stock [2] Group 2 - The options market shows a high level of put exposure among short-term traders, with a Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) of 9.99, ranking in the 85th percentile of its annual range [3] - Palantir's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) is at 55%, ranking in the 22nd percentile of its annual range, suggesting options are affordably priced [3] - The company has a Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) of 85 out of 100, indicating a history of exceeding option traders' volatility expectations over the past year [3]

Core Viewpoint - Nvidia (NVDA) reported earnings that exceeded sales expectations but fell short on earnings per share, with positive forward guidance leading to a stock price increase of approximately $7, reaching around $141.35 [1] Group 1: Positioning - The options market shows a significant amount of call gamma compared to put gamma, indicating bullish sentiment, with NVDA up nearly 22% over the past year and 1,477% over the last five years [3] - The majority of option positions are concentrated between $130 and $150, with $140 identified as the top gamma strike (TGS) and $145 and $150 as top call strikes (TCS) [5] - A close above $140 would strengthen the bullish outlook, while a close below could weaken it, with $145 and $150 seen as potential upside targets if $140 is maintained [6] Group 2: Flows - Following the earnings report, institutional trading was robust, with significant call buying (~$281 million in notional deltas) and put selling (~$100 million in notional deltas), indicating a bullish outlook [7] - 57% of the option flows are set to expire on Friday, suggesting a mix of short-term and longer-dated trades, with expectations for continued bullish activity into the following week [8][9] Group 3: Price Action - After the earnings release, NVDA's price action showed an upward trend, nearing the implied move of $9, currently around $141.37 [10] - The corrective price action observed on Thursday suggests potential for further upside, with the $140 TGS holding firm during initial attempts [12] Group 4: Trading Strategy - A long iron condor strategy was employed in anticipation of a strong market response post-earnings, with expectations for directional flows over the next 2-3 weeks leading up to the June options expiration [13] - If a strong close is achieved, there may be plans to add a bull call spread for the June expiration while reducing exposure to bear put spreads, as volatility was previously underpriced [14]

Core Insights - eBay Inc (NASDAQ:EBAY) stock is poised to close above its post-May options expiration week open interest balance at the 70-strike, potentially breaking out above a significant weekly wick resistance area, which would indicate a new 52-week high and strong technical momentum [2] Group 1: Stock Performance - eBay has experienced a 15% year-to-date gain and a 65% rally since the beginning of 2024, yet market sentiment remains cautious with only three analysts rating it a "buy" [4] - The stock's 50-day put/call volume ratio stands at 1.43, ranking in the 97th annual percentile, indicating significant negative sentiment that could reverse and support further price increases [4] Group 2: Short Interest and Options - Short interest in eBay has decreased by 6.3% over the last two weeks, with short interest representing 4.6% of the stock's float, suggesting that additional covering could maintain bullish control [5] - The recommended call option has a leverage ratio of 10.6, indicating that it will double with a 9.3% move in the underlying shares [5]

Core Viewpoint - Deckers Outdoor Corp (NYSE: DECK) has experienced a significant decline of 20.2%, trading at $100.67, after the company refrained from providing a full-year forecast due to economic uncertainty [1]. Financial Performance - Despite better-than-expected fiscal fourth-quarter results, Deckers has faced a series of price-target cuts and downgrades from analysts, with Keybanc lowering its rating to "sector weight" from "overweight" and Telsey Advisory downgrading to "market perform" from "outperform" [2]. - UBS, in contrast, raised its price target for Deckers to $169 [2]. Stock Performance - The current drop positions Deckers for its worst trading day since April 2012, with shares hitting a new 52-week low of $100.70 and reflecting a year-to-date deficit of 50.7% [3]. - Options trading has surged, with 46,000 calls and 29,000 puts traded, which is ten times the typical options volume for this period. The most active option is the weekly 5/30 102-strike call, with new positions being opened [3]. Volatility and Options - The stock's Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) is 97 out of 100, indicating that it has historically outperformed options traders' volatility expectations [4].

Group 1 - The core focus of Quad 7 Capital is to provide investment opportunities through their BAD BEAT Investing platform, emphasizing both long and short trades [1] - The team consists of 7 analysts with diverse expertise in business, policy, economics, mathematics, game theory, and sciences, aiming to educate investors on proficient trading [1] - Since May 2020, the company has maintained an average position of 95% long and 5% short, showcasing their strategic investment approach [1] Group 2 - BAD BEAT Investing offers various benefits, including weekly well-researched trade ideas, access to multiple chat rooms, and daily summaries of key analyst upgrades and downgrades [2] - The platform also provides education on basic options trading and extensive trading tools to enhance investor knowledge and skills [2]

Core Insights - The company, Quad 7 Capital, is known for its investment strategy called BAD BEAT Investing, which has been operational for nearly 12 years and emphasizes both long and short trades [1] - The team consists of 7 analysts with diverse expertise in various fields, including business, policy, economics, and game theory [1] - The investment approach focuses on short- and medium-term investments, income generation, special situations, and momentum trades, aiming to educate investors on becoming proficient traders [1] Summary of Benefits - BAD BEAT Investing offers a range of benefits, including understanding market dynamics, executing well-researched trade ideas weekly, and access to multiple chat rooms for discussions [2] - Members receive daily summaries of key analyst upgrades and downgrades, along with education on basic options trading and access to extensive trading tools [2]