证券研究报告|金融工程专题报告 5月建议关注 科创人工智能ETF华宝、养老ETF、券商ETF等产品 资料来源：Wind，华西证券研究所 2 ——华宝指数产品配置月报202505 张立宁 SAC NO：S1120520070006 杨国平 SAC NO：S1120520070002 2025年5月6日 请仔细阅读在本报告尾部的重要法律声明 1 华宝基金在指数产品领域布局丰富 华宝基金旗下指数产品布局丰富，从目前已成立产品来看，基本覆盖了A股大中小盘指 数、主要的行业及主题指数、跨境指数、SmartBeta指数，为投资者提供了丰富的选择 品种。 | | JE FRIDES | 创业板 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 科创芯片 | | | | | | | | | 人工智能 | | | | | | | 标普A股红利 | 科创AI | | | | | | | 中证信创 | 绿色能源 | | | | | | | 国证治理 | 农牧渔 | | | | | | | 中证800地产 | 养老产业 | | | | | | | 深创100 | 有色 ...

Core Viewpoint - Sichuan Changhong (600839) experienced a significant increase of 7.05% on May 6, closing at 11.24 yuan, with a trading volume of 4.0658 million shares and a total transaction value of 4.456 billion yuan [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - The stock's turnover rate was 8.81%, indicating active trading [1] - The net inflow of main funds was 412 million yuan, accounting for 9.25% of the total transaction value [1] - Retail investors saw a net outflow of 254 million yuan, representing 5.69% of the total transaction value [1] Group 2: Financing and Margin Trading - In the past five days, the net inflow of financing was 77.44 million yuan, leading to an increase in financing balance [1] - The net inflow of securities lending was 22,100 shares, resulting in an increase in securities lending balance [1] Group 3: Fund Holdings - The top ten public funds holding Sichuan Changhong include 35 funds in total, with the largest being the Southern CSI 500 ETF, holding 47.4598 million shares [1] - The Southern CSI 500 ETF has a scale of 94.872 billion yuan and a recent net value of 5.6288, which increased by 0.48% on April 30 [1] - The fund manager, Luo Wenjie, has managed several products with significant returns, including the Southern CSI 500 ETF and Southern CSI 300 ETF, with returns of 87.7% and 100.74% respectively since their inception [1]

Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 1.798 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.41% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 215 million yuan, up 108.34% year-on-year; the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 191 million yuan, an increase of 75.09% [5] - Cumulative cash dividends and share repurchases will total 517 million yuan, accounting for 88.61% of the cumulative net profit attributable to shareholders [8] Market Strategy - The company plans to enhance its domestic market presence by increasing investment in brand promotion and optimizing sales teams [2][10] - The company aims to expand into emerging markets, particularly in Southeast Asia and South America, while maintaining a focus on the European market [10] Industry Outlook - The pet hygiene care products market is expected to grow significantly, driven by increasing consumer demand and the industry's overall expansion [3][4] - The U.S. pet industry is projected to reach $151.9 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 3.33% [3] - The Japanese pet market is expected to reach 1.9026 trillion yen in 2024, growing by 2.13% from the previous year [3] Financial Structure and Risk Management - The company maintains a low debt leverage and sufficient cash flow, providing a strong financial foundation for market expansion and risk management [2] - The company employs foreign exchange hedging to mitigate currency fluctuation risks [2] Sales and Marketing Expenses - In 2024, sales expenses amounted to 31.6028 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16.72% [2] - The increase in sales expenses is attributed to participation in major pet exhibitions and enhanced domestic brand promotion efforts [2] Production and Export Strategy - The company has established its first overseas production base in Cambodia, expected to produce nearly 300 million pet pads annually, enhancing global operational efficiency [6] - The company exports primarily under the FOB model, with recent tariff changes impacting costs [6][7] Shareholder Engagement - The company emphasizes long-term value creation and has a three-year shareholder return plan to ensure consistent profit distribution [8]

地可考虑强化政策导向、财政投入的示范引导作用，以土地、税费、金融等配套政策降低准入门槛，搭 建跨区域产业协作平台，营造有利于养老产业发展的良好环境。 （作者系黑龙江省中国特色社会主义理论体系研究中心特聘研究员） 人口老龄化是世界人口发展的必然趋势。当前，我国人口老龄化进程加快，深度影响经济社会发展走 向。今年的《政府工作报告》明确提出，积极应对人口老龄化，完善发展养老事业和养老产业政策机 制。需要注意的是，我国人口老龄化在不同地区、不同领域的影响呈现明显的差异性，应对方法也应有 所不同。《中共中央国务院关于加强新时代老龄工作的意见》提出"老龄化风险梯次应对"，意在强调要 根据人口老龄化风险和挑战的大小、范围、缓急程度等因素梯次配置应对策略。那么，为什么要梯次应 对？对欠发达地区而言，该如何更好应对人口老龄化？ 人口老龄化，一般来讲，是指人口结构转变的动态过程，表现为老年人口在总人口中的比例不断上升， 但并不等同于风险和挑战。人口老龄化的风险和挑战，是指在这个过程中扩散出的可能对社会造成的不 确定损失，这种不确定损失，会因应对能力的不同而不同。衡量一个区域、一个领域人口老龄化带来的 风险和挑战，既要看老龄化的影 ...

Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index opened lower but rose throughout the day, with the Shanghai Elderly Industry Index reported at 6726.25 points [1] - The Shanghai Elderly Industry Index has increased by 0.92% over the past month, 8.38% over the past three months, and 0.70% year-to-date [1] - The index consists of 40 listed companies involved in health management, leisure tourism, life insurance, and other elderly industry-related businesses [1] Group 2 - The top ten weighted stocks in the Shanghai Elderly Industry Index include Miaokelan Duo (3.64%), Haoyue Nursing (3.21%), Borui Pharmaceutical (3.02%), and others [1] - The index is fully composed of stocks listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, with a sector breakdown of 37.51% in consumer discretionary, 35.31% in healthcare, 13.83% in consumer staples, 8.99% in financials, and 4.36% in communication services [2] - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the non-bank financial sector, specifically focusing on the elderly care industry [1]. Core Insights - The elderly care industry is characterized by a diverse range of participants, including government entities, real estate companies, insurance firms, and specialized elderly service operators. Insurance companies are identified as the main investors in elderly communities due to their financial, customer, and resource advantages [3][4]. - The operational models in the elderly care sector primarily consist of heavy asset and light asset approaches, with heavy asset models being suitable for financially robust participants like insurance and real estate companies [3][4]. - The profitability of elderly care institutions revolves around rental and sales strategies, with a predominant focus on external leasing for stable income generation [4]. Summary by Sections 1. Current Status of Institutional Elderly Care Services - The development of institutional elderly care services is steadily progressing, supported by policies that encourage a multi-faceted approach to elderly care [15][32]. - The number of registered elderly care institutions and their bed capacity has been increasing, although the overall bed utilization rate has declined, indicating a faster growth in community care services [33]. 2. Diversity of Participants in Elderly Real Estate - The elderly real estate sector features four main types of social capital participants, each with unique strengths, with insurance companies holding a comprehensive advantage [3]. - The operational models are categorized into heavy asset, light asset, and a combination of both, allowing for flexibility in service coverage [3][4]. 3. Profitability Models - Elderly care institutions primarily generate revenue through direct sales, external leasing, or a combination of both, with external leasing being the most common approach for stable income [4].