Report Summary 1. Market Performance - International precious metal futures generally closed lower, with COMEX gold futures down 0.82% at $3,694.60 per ounce and COMEX silver futures down 2.15% at $41.99 per ounce. The shift in major central banks' monetary policies may weaken the US dollar and support the precious metal market [3][43]. - International oil prices fell slightly, with the US crude oil main contract down 0.85% at $63.97 per barrel and Brent crude oil main contract down 0.82% at $67.91 per barrel. The oil market is influenced by both bullish and bearish factors [3][43]. - Most London base metals declined, while LME nickel rose 0.11% to $15,445 per ton. Loose monetary policy expectations may support base metals priced in US dollars [3][44]. - Domestic futures contracts mostly declined, with short - fiber rising over 1%, and 20 - number rubber falling over 2% [4]. 2. Important News Macro News - Hong Kong will cooperate with exchanges in the Greater Bay Area to develop new businesses such as commodity trading and carbon trading [7]. - As of the end of July, the balance of national housing consumer loans (excluding personal housing loans) was 21.04 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 5.34% [7]. - The EU and Indonesia have completed trade agreement negotiations [8]. - The Fed cut the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.00% - 4.25%, restarting the rate - cut process [9]. Energy and Chemical Futures - The total refined oil inventory at the Port of Fujairah in the UAE decreased to a record low [12]. - The inventory at Port A in China increased, with different trends in East and South China [12]. - US crude oil exports increased, production decreased, and commercial crude oil inventory decreased [12]. Metal Futures - The复产 expectation of a mining company in Guinea is strengthening [14]. - China's domestic polysilicon effective production capacity is expected to decline [14]. - China's lead and zinc production in August showed year - on - year growth [14]. - Deutsche Bank raised its price forecasts for gold and silver in 2026 [16]. - A mining union in Guinea has issued a strike notice [16]. - China's alumina and electrolytic aluminum production data for August were released [16]. - The supply - demand situation of lithium carbonate, refined nickel, zinc, lead, and tin was reported [17]. Black - series Futures - The online auction of coking coal in Lvliang market showed mixed results [19]. - China's steel, pig iron, and steel product production data for August were released [21]. - Tangshan requires steel and coking enterprises to implement emission reduction measures [21]. - The Dalian Commodity Exchange is soliciting opinions on coking coal futures option contracts [22]. - Representatives of the steel industry in Jiangsu discussed measures to address industry challenges [22]. Agricultural Futures - A meeting on regulating pig production capacity was held, aiming to control the number of sows and adjust pig supply [24]. - Malaysia's palm oil export volume from September 1 - 15 decreased compared to the previous month [25][27]. - The 2025/26 sugar - making season in China officially started [26]. - Malaysia's palm oil production from September 1 - 15 decreased compared to the previous month [26]. - Brazil's sugarcane crushing and sugar production in the second half of August showed year - on - year growth [27]. - Brazil's soybean, soybean meal, and corn export volume forecasts for September 14 - 20 were released [27]. 3. Financial Market Finance - A - shares fluctuated upward, with the auto - parts sector leading the rise. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.37%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.16%, and the ChiNext Index rose 1.95% [31]. - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index and related technology indexes reached new highs. Southbound funds had significant net purchases [31]. - The Shanghai Stock Exchange is promoting the expansion of the fifth listing standard [31]. - Mindray Medical is preparing for a Hong Kong IPO [32]. Industry - The government calls on leading enterprises to tackle key technologies in the field of network security [33]. - A meeting on pig production capacity regulation was held to adjust next year's pig supply [35]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is soliciting opinions on intelligent connected vehicle standards [35]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology released a development roadmap for new energy storage technology [35]. - Huawei released a report on future technological trends [35]. - The real estate market in China is showing signs of stabilization [36]. Overseas - US new - home starts and building permits decreased in August [37]. - The US mortgage rate decreased, promoting related activities [39]. - The Bank of Canada cut interest rates for the first time since March [39]. - The Bank of Japan is expected to keep interest rates unchanged [40]. - Japan's exports and imports decreased in August [40]. - The UK's CPI remained high in August, and the central bank may keep interest rates unchanged [40]. International Stock Markets - US stock indexes closed mixed, with the Dow rising 0.57%, the S&P 500 falling 0.1%, and the Nasdaq falling 0.33% [41]. Commodities - Hong Kong plans to take measures to establish an international gold trading market [43]. Bonds - Yields of major Chinese interest - rate bonds generally declined, and the central bank conducted reverse - repurchase operations [45]. - Hong Kong is promoting the development of bond - related business [45]. - The Ministry of Finance and the central bank completed a treasury cash deposit operation [47]. - The floating - rate bond market has expanded rapidly this year [47]. - US Treasury yields rose [47]. Foreign Exchange - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar rose, and the US dollar index also rose [48]. 4. Upcoming Events - There are multiple important events scheduled for September 18, including central bank operations, press conferences, and corporate product launches [51].

"我们预计于2027年底开启L4级试商用，于2030年在部分场景实现L4规模化应用，并最终在2035年达成 大部分场景的L4+级无人驾驶，同时启动L5级的试商用探索。" 9月16日，华为发出了这些预言。 这一天，华为常务董事汪涛代表华为，发布了重磅报告《智能世界2035》（下称2035报告）。 在我们关注的自动驾驶领域，华为预测了上述时间表，并且指出，世界模型技术将支持L3级自动驾驶 的开发，而L4级自动驾驶则依赖AGI（通用人工智能）技术作为基础。 华为还在2035报告中发布了2035年智能世界的十大技术趋势，让我们一起"看见未来"。 01 自动驾驶时间表 在展望未来时，2035报告认为，具身智能将跨越鸿沟，形成多个万亿产业。 而具身智能三大行业领域之一，就是智能驾驶。对此，2035报告更为乐观，称智能驾驶已跨越技术鸿 沟，2035 年将实现L4+ 自动驾驶。 报告回顾说，2022年，基于Transformer 架构、鸟瞰视角（BEV）及占用网络（Occupancy Network）实 现轻地图方案后，智能驾驶行业已成功跨越L2 + 级的技术鸿沟，推动智能驾驶产业进入爆发期。此 后，伴随全球范围内（尤其中国 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for the global economy in the macro and financial sector is (Bullish) [1] 2. Core View of the Report - Overseas funds are continuously flowing into Chinese assets, leading to the rise of popular Chinese concept stocks and new highs in relevant indices. Huawei's report on the future trends of key technologies shows the potential of AGI and AI. The consumption of enterprise - level large - model Tokens in China has increased significantly, and Alibaba has advantages. Ningde Times has high - tech production lines and great potential in the energy storage business. The UK and the US have reached a technology agreement, and the US may set up a mining investment fund. The gold price increase is driven by European and American investors. China's economic policies and international economic trends are also favorable [1] 3. Summary by Related Catalog 3.1 Important Information - Overseas funds are flowing into Chinese assets, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index reaching a new high since February 2022 and the Hang Seng Tech Index hitting a new high since March [1] - Huawei released the Smart World 2035 series of reports, stating that AGI will be the most transformative driving force in the next decade, and the total computing power of the whole society will increase by 100,000 times in 2035 [1] - The daily average Token consumption of Chinese enterprise - level large models reached 10.2 trillion in the first half of 2025, a surge of 363% compared to the second half of 2024. Goldman Sachs believes Alibaba is in an advantageous position [1] - Morgan Stanley thinks Ningde Times' self - developed production line has high - tech features, with a current utilization rate of over 90%, and it is building new capacity with a target of 1TWh next year [1] - The UK and the US reached a "Technology Prosperity Agreement", and US tech giants will invest over £31 billion in AI and other projects [1] - The rise in the gold price is mainly driven by European and American investors, with significant increases in the US trading session and ETF holdings [1] - The US International Development Finance Corporation is in talks to set up a mining investment fund with a scale of about $5 billion [1] 3.2 Global Economic Logic - China is implementing the "Artificial Intelligence +" action, and the energy storage installation scale will double in three years. In August, a net inflow of $39 billion entered Chinese bonds and stocks [1] - The Federal Reserve has entered an interest - rate cut cycle, and the US Court of Appeals ruled that "reciprocal tariffs" are illegal [1] - US capital goods imports in July reached a record high of $95.8 billion, and the manufacturing industry is accelerating. The eurozone's manufacturing PMI in August exceeded the boom - bust line for the first time since June 2022 [1] - Huawei released the Smart World 2035 series of reports, and Yushu Technology open - sourced a world model - motion architecture for multiple types of robots. Global AI giants are starting a model competition [1]

今日关注 1、据央视新闻，当地时间9月17日，美联储最新的联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）货币政策会议纪要显 示，美联储决定将联邦基金利率目标区间下调25个基点，至4.00%-4.25%之间。这是美联储自2024年12 月以来的首次降息。 2、9月18日，香港金管局将基准利率下调25个基点至4.50%。 3、商务部定于9月18日举行新闻发布会，介绍近期商务领域重点工作有关情况。 宏观经济 1、国新办举行新闻发布会，介绍扩大服务消费有关政策措施。下一步，我国将选择50个左右消费新业 态新模式新场景试点城市；出台住宿业高质量发展、铁路与旅游融合发展等一系列政策文件；推动人工 智能在服务消费等领域加快应用；用好结构性货币政策工具，增强消费领域资金供给。 2、财政部公布数据显示，今年前8个月，全国一般公共预算收入14.82万亿元，同比增长0.3%。其中， 全国税收收入12.11万亿元，同比增0.02%，为今年以来累计增速首次转正。1-8月，全国一般公共预算 支出17.93万亿元，同比增长3.1%。 3、国务院国资委介绍，"十四五"以来，中央企业资产总额从不到70万亿元增长到超过90万亿元，利润 总额从1.9万亿元增长到 ...

Group 1 - Li Feifei's company World Labs launched the spatial intelligence model Marble, capable of generating large-scale 3D worlds from a single image or text prompt [1] - Marble offers larger scale, more diverse styles, and cleaner geometric structures compared to previous products, supporting free navigation in browsers [1] - Users can export generated worlds as Gaussian point clouds for efficient operation on desktop, mobile devices, and VR headsets, with whitelist testing now open [1] Group 2 - Google partnered with over 60 institutions, including American Express and PayPal, to introduce the AI Payment Protocol (AP2) aimed at creating a secure standard for AI agent payments [2] - AP2 builds trust through "Mandates," using encrypted digital contracts as proof of user instructions, allowing pre-authorization for AI agents to make purchases under specific conditions [2] - The protocol supports real-time purchases and automated tasks without human involvement, with an encrypted version A2A x402 enabling stablecoin payments, and a GitHub repository is available for developers [2] Group 3 - Anthropic plans to invest $10 billion to create enterprise application clones, while OpenAI expects to spend $8 billion on data-related costs by 2030 [3] - Both companies are training AI models to operate various professional software using a "reinforcement learning environment" that simulates enterprise applications [3] - They may hire domain experts to demonstrate task execution, aiming to develop AI as "virtual colleagues" and open new revenue streams [3] Group 4 - Tencent Cloud announced the global launch of its upgraded Intelligent Agent Development Platform 3.0 (ADP3.0), which has seen nearly 600 features launched in the past three months [4] - The platform upgrade includes enhanced knowledge base management, multi-agent collaboration support, global agent visibility in workflows, and instant command capabilities [4] - Targeted industry agents for smart quality inspection and media content processing have been introduced, with Youtu-Agent framework and Youtu-GraphRAG knowledge graph framework set to be open-sourced [4] Group 5 - Disney, Warner Bros., and Universal Pictures filed a lawsuit against Chinese AI company MiniMax, accusing it of unauthorized use of IPs like Spider-Man for AI training [5] - The companies seek restitution for infringement profits and damages of up to $150,000 per infringement, along with a permanent injunction to prevent MiniMax from using related IPs [5] - MiniMax previously faced similar accusations from iQIYI regarding the drama "Canglan Jue," highlighting significant risks in IP imitation within AIGC [6] Group 6 - The AI tool ima has been updated to support audio file uploads in formats like MP3, M4A, WAV, and AAC, enabling automatic generation of transcripts, summaries, and notes [7] - The update includes a screenshot shortcut feature for desktop users, allowing direct questioning, knowledge base addition, or note-taking after capturing images [7] - Mobile note-taking now supports offline editing and creation, with automatic synchronization once reconnected to the internet [7] Group 7 - YouTube introduced a generative AI tool for Shorts creators, incorporating a customized version of Google's text-to-video model Veo 3, enabling low-latency content generation at 480p resolution [8] - The new version allows for sound addition and dynamic effects application to static images [8] - YouTube also launched a "voice-to-song" remix tool based on Google's Lyria 2 and an "AI editing" feature that automatically organizes highlights, adds music, and transitions [8] Group 8 - Figure, a humanoid robotics company, completed a Series C funding round, raising over $1 billion and achieving a post-money valuation of $39 billion, the highest in the embodied intelligence sector [9] - The funding round was led by Parkway Venture Capital, with participation from Nvidia and Intel Capital, aimed at expanding production capacity and building GPU infrastructure [9] - Figure has rapidly progressed since parting ways with OpenAI, launching the Helix end-to-end "vision-language-action" model, with robots capable of complex tasks like folding clothes and sorting packages [9] Group 9 - Huawei released two research reports, "Intelligent World 2035" and "Global Digital Intelligence Index 2025," forecasting key technological trends and their industry impacts over the next decade [10] - The reports predict ten major trends, including AGI as a transformative force, AI agents evolving from execution tools to decision-making partners, and human-machine collaborative programming becoming mainstream [10] - It is anticipated that by 2035, total computing power will increase by 100,000 times, AI storage capacity demand will grow by 500 times compared to 2025, and renewable energy generation will exceed 50% [10] Group 10 - Shopify shared insights on the evolution of its AI assistant Sidekick, recommending a simple architecture, clear tool boundaries, and a modular design approach [11] - The company suggested replacing "golden datasets" with "benchmark truth sets" that reflect real production environments, aligning large language model evaluations with human assessments [11] - Shopify warned about "reward hacking" issues and advised establishing detection mechanisms in advance, combining programmatic validation with semantic evaluation to create a multi-layer reward system [11]

Have you ever questioned the nature of your reality. That was one of the opening lies in the science fiction series Westworld posed to Dolores, an AI powered robotic and the main female character who later developed human consciousness. So I ask you, have you ever questioned the nature of your reality.That involves having human consciousness, understanding your identity, and asserting your self authority to write your own life story rather than allowing others to program it for you. Today, AI is evolving at ...

RT Tetsuo (@tetsuoai)🚨 Breaking AI: xAI's Grok 4 leading accessible AGI progress! New ARC-AGI SOTA via Grok 4 + open program synthesis.- jerber888 - 79.6% on V1 ($8.42/task), 29.4% on V2 ($30.40/task)- eric_pang - 77.1% on V1 ($2.56/task), 26.0% on V2 ($3.97/task)Both use Grok 4 + DreamCoder-inspired synthesis. ARC-AGI tests fluid intelligence. humans ~=98% on V1, base LLMs <10% on V2. ...

Group 1 - Dow futures fell by 0.06%, S&P 500 futures dropped by 0.14%, and Nasdaq futures decreased by 0.17% [1] - Chinese concept stocks saw pre-market gains, with Alibaba up 2.63%, Pinduoduo up 2.29%, NetEase up 1.00%, Trip.com up 1.78%, JD.com up 1.50%, and Baidu up 9.19% [1] - Morgan Stanley reiterated a "buy" rating for ASML, listing it as a preferred stock in the European tech sector with a target price of €822, suggesting that the company's worst phase may be over [1] - New Fortress Energy surged over 55% in pre-market trading after securing a $4 billion LNG supply agreement with Puerto Rico [1] - Reports indicate that Tesla may collaborate with Intel on custom chip development following a previous agreement with Samsung for custom AI chips [1] Group 2 - GlaxoSmithKline announced a commitment to invest $30 billion in the U.S. over the next five years for R&D and supply chain infrastructure, coinciding with potential import tariffs on the pharmaceutical industry [2] - Elon Musk stated that the Grok 5 model will begin training in a few weeks, with expectations that xAI could achieve AGI through this model [2] - Stifel downgraded Accenture's target price from $355 to $315 while maintaining a "buy" rating [2] Group 3 - New York gold futures briefly fell below $3,700, with a daily decline of 0.5% [3] - The Federal Reserve's FOMC is set to announce interest rate decisions and economic forecasts, with Chairman Jerome Powell scheduled to hold a press conference shortly after [3]

Core Insights - OpenAI has launched GPT-5-Codex, a refined variant of GPT-5 designed specifically for AI-assisted programming tools, which shows improved performance in coding tasks and dynamic thinking time [1][5][36] - The release of GPT-5-Codex marks a significant shift in the "coding agents" landscape, challenging the dominance of competitors like Anthropic [2][5] - OpenAI's focus on integrating research with product development has led to significant advancements in coding capabilities, with GPT-5-Codex achieving a score of 74.5% on SWE-bench, nearly matching GPT-5's score [6][36] Product Development and Features - The Codex team has worked diligently to create a multi-faceted agent capable of functioning as a software engineer, integrating various tools and interfaces such as Codex CLI and IDE extensions [6][7][18] - GPT-5-Codex exhibits enhanced endurance for complex tasks, capable of working continuously for up to seven hours, showcasing its ability to handle intricate code refactoring [8][36][37] - The model's design emphasizes a balance between speed and intelligence, allowing it to respond quickly to simple tasks while maintaining the capability for complex decision-making [36][37] Competitive Landscape - Over the past year, Anthropic has established a strong position in the coding scene, with revenues reaching $5 billion and a market cap of $183 billion, prompting OpenAI to intensify its efforts in the coding domain [5][29] - OpenAI's historical focus on programming, dating back to the original Codex release in 2021, has laid the groundwork for its current advancements and competitive strategies [5][12][14] Future Directions - The future vision for AI in programming includes a multi-agent system where numerous agents operate under human supervision, creating significant economic value [39][40] - OpenAI is committed to addressing safety and alignment issues as it develops more capable coding agents, ensuring that human operators maintain control over AI actions [39][40] - The company anticipates that advancements in AI will not only enhance coding efficiency but also unlock new capabilities in various fields, including medicine and materials science [41][42]

Elon Musk: Grok 5 might hit AGI 🔥Grok 4 just smashed AGI benchmarks, beating even its own previous highs in open program synthesis. No other model is close.Right now, Grok is nearer to AGI than any other AI. Elon says Grok 5 could actually get there. 🤯image via @amXFreeze@xai $TSLAElon Musk (@elonmusk):I now think @xAI has a chance of reaching AGI with @Grok 5. Never thought that before. ...