Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of HKD 112.25 [1][9]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue growth of 5.7% year-on-year for H1 2025, with a pre-tax profit increase of 5.1% [1]. - The board has approved a second dividend of USD 0.10 per share for 2025 and plans to initiate a share buyback of up to USD 3 billion [1]. - The company is experiencing strong growth in wealth management, with non-interest income increasing by 24.8% year-on-year in H1 2025 [3]. - The company has seen total assets, loans, and deposits grow by 8.0%, 4.5%, and 7.8% year-on-year, respectively, as of June [1]. Financial Performance - The net interest margin for Q2 2025 was 1.56%, down 3 basis points from Q1 2025, primarily due to declining yields in Asia [2]. - The banking net interest income for H1 2025 decreased by 4.0% year-on-year, with a guidance of USD 42 billion for the full year [2]. - Non-interest income from wealth management grew by 22.3% in H1 2025, marking six consecutive quarters of double-digit growth [3]. Asset Quality and Provisions - As of June, the non-performing loan ratio was 2.41%, with a provision coverage ratio of 43% [4]. - The company anticipates credit costs for 2025 to be around 0.40%, reflecting ongoing pressures in the Hong Kong commercial real estate sector [4]. - The company has increased its provisions, with expected credit losses rising to USD 1.1 billion for Q2 2025 [4]. Valuation Metrics - The target price corresponds to a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 1.25 for 2025, with a forecasted earnings per share (EPS) of USD 1.23 for 2025 [9]. - The company's current market capitalization is approximately HKD 1,688,949 million, with a closing price of HKD 96.95 as of July 30 [6].

Core Viewpoint - CICC has raised the revenue forecasts for Hang Seng Bank for 2025E and 2026E by 2.4% and 4.3% to HKD 41 billion and HKD 42.1 billion respectively, while lowering the 2025E net profit forecast by 13.9% to HKD 14.7 billion and raising the 2026E net profit forecast by 4.1% to HKD 17.6 billion [1] Group 1 - 2Q25 revenue met expectations, but profit fell short due to impairment losses related to Hong Kong commercial real estate [2] - Net interest income decreased by 7% in 1H25, with weak loan demand and declining interest margins; the net interest margin was 1.99%, down from 2.29% in 1H24 [3] - Non-interest income grew significantly, with fee income up 23% and other non-interest income up 46%, driven by securities brokerage services and increased foreign exchange trading revenue [4] Group 2 - Impairment losses increased significantly, more than doubling compared to the same period last year, leading to a rise in credit costs to 1.19% [5] - Despite the decline in net profit, the company increased dividends and maintained share buybacks; the core Tier 1 capital ratio was 21.3% at the end of 1H25 [6]

其中，2Q25公司财富管理非息收入同比增长23.1%，基本延续1Q强势表现，主要由于中国香港本地、 中东、印度客户需求持续向好;交易银行与投行业务非息收入分别同比增长6.0%、18.3%，主要由于全球 市场波动背景下外汇对冲需求和股债市场业务需求维持高位。 经调净利息收入同比下降2%、季度环比上升1%，结构性对冲工具的受益以及负债成本下行对冲了资产 收益下行的影响，也受益于汇率计算。经调2Q25净息差1.96%，季度环比下降6bp，主要由于Hibor下 行。账面贷款和存款增长较快主要由于汇率波动，若按固定汇率基准计算，则存贷款规模环比基本持 平，贷款增长来自于英国市场，存款增长来自于中国香港市场。 资产减值损失同比大幅增加，主要来自香港商业地产和低基数 1)2Q25公司针对新增香港商业地产违约敞口增加减值准备，也针对商业地产供给过剩导致租金及价格 下行而增加减值准备。2)2Q24低基数，主要由于当时部分英国资产减值准备拨回、某CIB客户坏账收 回。 智通财经APP获悉，中金发布研报称，考虑汇丰控股(00005)非息业务表现强劲，上调公司2025E/2026E 营业收入预测3.1%、3.6%至681、690亿美 ...

Core Viewpoint - CICC has raised its revenue and net profit forecasts for HSBC Holdings for 2025E and 2026E due to strong non-interest income performance, with revenue estimates increased by 3.1% and 3.6% to $68.1 billion and $69.0 billion respectively, and net profit estimates raised by 1.9% and 8.7% to $21.9 billion and $24.4 billion respectively [1] Group 1 - HSBC's 2Q25 adjusted pre-tax profit was $9.2 billion, a 1% year-on-year increase, exceeding market expectations due to strong growth in non-interest income and resilient net interest income [2] - The reported pre-tax profit decreased by 29% year-on-year to $6.3 billion, primarily due to dilution from the refinancing of a bank and impairment losses totaling $2.1 billion [2] Group 2 - Adjusted non-interest income grew by 20% year-on-year, which was the main reason for the profit exceeding expectations, with wealth management non-interest income increasing by 23.1% [3] - The adjusted net interest income decreased by 2% year-on-year but increased by 1% quarter-on-quarter, benefiting from structural hedging tools and lower funding costs [3] Group 3 - Asset impairment losses significantly increased, mainly due to exposure to commercial real estate in Hong Kong and a low base effect from the previous year [4] - The company increased impairment provisions for new defaults in Hong Kong commercial real estate and due to oversupply leading to declining rents and prices [4] Group 4 - HSBC declared a dividend of $0.10 per share and announced a $3 billion share buyback, which is in line with market expectations [5] - The market is particularly focused on the $1 billion impairment loss related to the bank's stake in another bank, which was not anticipated and contributed to lower-than-expected profits [5]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted net income from continuing operations increased to $137.5 million or $0.73 per share, with adjusted ROA at 1.14% for the quarter [7] - Adjusted efficiency ratio improved by 90 basis points to 56.7% [8] - Organic loan growth reached $1.1 billion for the quarter, representing a 12.6% annualized growth rate [8] - Core customer deposits increased at a 4.4% annualized rate, with significant growth in non-interest bearing deposits [9] - Tangible book value rose to $22.94 per share, with CET1 regulatory capital at 12.2% [9] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Average loans increased by over $800 million, while period-end loans grew by $1.4 billion, including $400 million from the First Chatham acquisition [10] - Non-interest revenue increased by $13 million or 15% compared to the first quarter, driven by strong performance in mortgage originations and wealth management [13] - Adjusted non-interest expense rose by $11.7 million, primarily due to the First Chatham acquisition and business growth [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported strong loan growth across various geographies and verticals, with Texas showing the highest growth [8] - Non-interest bearing deposits as a percentage of total deposits increased to 22.6% [11] - The net interest margin (NIM) declined by six basis points to 3.4%, but loan yields increased to 6.34% [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expanding its presence in Georgia and Central Texas through recent acquisitions [6] - Future loan growth is expected to be between 11-15% for the full year, supported by strong pipelines and acquisitions [18] - The company aims to continue investing in its future while maintaining stable credit and strong EPS performance [18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving growth through both organic means and strategic partnerships [111] - The company anticipates continued strong loan demand and revenue growth in the latter half of the year [18] - Management noted that the current operating environment is favorable, with strong pipelines and borrower activity [50][86] Other Important Information - The company completed the acquisition of Industry Bank shares and First Chatham Bank, enhancing its market position [6] - The company liquidated a significant portion of the municipal portfolio acquired from Industry Bank, reinvesting the proceeds into higher-yielding securities [16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide insights on the NII and margin guidance? - Management indicated that they expect continued improvement in net interest margin as new loans are coming in at higher rates, despite some initial negative impacts from security purchases [21][24] Question: What are the expectations for M&A activity? - Management noted an increase in M&A activity and expressed confidence in executing future transactions within their existing footprint [28][30] Question: Can you elaborate on the revenue guidance increase? - The revenue guidance increase is based on strong loan growth and a healthy pipeline, with expectations for organic revenue growth [34] Question: How is the loan growth trend expected to continue? - Management believes the strong loan growth is sustainable and reflects a real change in demand rather than a temporary rebound [83][86] Question: What is the outlook for deposit growth? - Management is optimistic about continued growth in core deposits, particularly in DDA, and sees potential for further compression in CD costs [63][66] Question: Any changes in credit quality or classified loans? - Management reported that the increase in criticized loans is within normal ranges and attributed some of it to the recent acquisition [67]

Core Viewpoint - KeyCorp reported steady performance in Q2 2025, with earnings per share matching analyst forecasts, but faced challenges with rising credit loss provisions and cost growth [1][5][9] Financial Performance - GAAP earnings per share for Q2 2025 were $0.35, aligning with analyst expectations, while GAAP revenue was $1.80 billion, slightly below consensus [1][2] - Year-over-year net income attributable to shareholders increased by 63%, and return on average tangible common equity rose to 11.09% from 10.39% [5][12] - Net interest income climbed 27.9% year-over-year, reflecting improved loan and deposit dynamics [5][14] Loan and Deposit Trends - Average loans totaled $105.7 billion, a decline of 3.0% from the previous year, with commercial loans increasing by 5.5% and consumer loans decreasing by 7.1% [6][10] - Total deposits reached $146.9 billion, showing less than 1% growth from Q2 2024, with a total deposit cost decreasing to 1.99% [11][12] Noninterest Income and Expenses - Noninterest income grew by 10.0%, driven by a 41.3% increase in investment banking and debt placement fees [7][8] - Total noninterest expense rose 7.0% year-over-year to $1.15 billion, primarily due to higher personnel and technology investments [8][9] Credit Quality - Net loan charge-offs increased to $102 million, up 12.1% year-over-year, while nonperforming loans represented 0.65% of total loans [9][10] - Management added $36 million to reserves as a precautionary measure in response to economic conditions [9] Business Segments - Consumer Bank revenue increased by 20.3% year-over-year, with net income more than doubling, while the Commercial Bank segment saw a 26.8% revenue increase and a 69.4% rise in net income [10][11] Regulatory and Capital Position - Common Equity Tier 1 ratio stood at 11.7%, well above required minimums, with tangible common equity as a share of total assets rising to 7.8% [12][15] - Book value per share increased by 17.0% year-over-year, indicating a solid capital position [12] Strategic Focus - KeyCorp is prioritizing regulatory compliance, competitive positioning, digital banking investments, and personnel growth to enhance client relationships [4][13] - The bank aims to increase front-line bankers by 10% in 2025 to support business growth [13] Outlook - Net interest income is projected to grow by around 20% for 2025, with adjusted fee income expected to increase by 5% or more [14][15] - Share repurchases of up to $1 billion are authorized, contingent on economic conditions [15]

Core Insights - Community Financial System reported a non-GAAP EPS of $1.04 for Q2 2025, exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.01, representing a 3.0% upside surprise [1] - Total GAAP revenue was $199.3 million, slightly below the consensus estimate of $201.3 million, but up 8.4% year-over-year [1][2] - The quarter showcased record net interest income of $124.7 million, a 14.0% increase from the previous year, and a net interest margin of 3.27%, up 0.26 percentage points year-over-year [5][6] Financial Performance - Non-GAAP EPS for Q2 2025 was $1.04, a 9.5% increase from $0.95 in Q2 2024 [2] - GAAP revenue was $199.3 million, compared to $183.8 million in Q2 2024, reflecting an 8.4% year-over-year growth [2] - Net interest income reached $124.7 million, up from $109.4 million in the prior year [2] - Operating expenses rose to $129.1 million, an increase of 8.5% from the prior-year quarter [8] Business Segments and Strategy - Community Financial System operates through four main segments: banking, employee benefits services, insurance services, and wealth management [3][12] - The company aims to maintain a diversified revenue mix and expand its geographic presence through acquisitions [4][13] - Fee-based businesses contributed 37.4% to total revenue, down from 40.5% a year ago, with mixed results across segments [7] Asset Quality and Capital - Loan balances increased to $10.52 billion, a 4.9% rise year-over-year, driven by consumer indirect lending [6] - The ratio of nonperforming loans to total loans was 0.51% as of June 30, 2025, indicating resilient asset quality [10] - Shareholder equity increased by 12.7% to $1.88 billion, with strong regulatory capital ratios supporting growth [11] Future Outlook - The company anticipates slower growth in fee-based businesses due to market pressures, with a focus on loan growth and deposit trends [14][15] - The quarterly dividend was raised by 2.2% to $0.47 per share, marking the 33rd consecutive year of dividend growth [11][15]

Core Insights - Interactive Brokers (IBKR.US) reported Q2 earnings that exceeded Wall Street expectations, driven by a surge in customer trading activity and steady growth in net interest income [1] - Following the earnings release, the company's stock price rose by 4.5% in after-hours trading [1] Financial Performance - Q2 revenue increased by 20.3% to $1.48 billion, surpassing analyst expectations, compared to $1.23 billion in the same period last year [1] - Adjusted earnings per share were $0.51, higher than the anticipated $0.46 [1] - Commission income grew by 27% to $516 million, fueled by increased customer trading volumes [1] - Trading volumes for stocks, options, and futures rose by 31%, 24%, and 18%, respectively [1] - Net interest income rose by 9% to $860 million, benefiting from customer credit balances and securities lending, including a one-time tax credit of $26 million [1] - Other fees and service revenue decreased by 9% to $62 million, primarily due to a $7 million reduction in risk exposure fees, partially offset by a $2 million increase in FDIC clearing fees [1] - Pre-tax profit margin remained stable at 75%, indicating sustained operational efficiency [1] - General and administrative expenses increased by 17%, mainly due to higher advertising expenditures [1] - The company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.08 per share, payable on September 12 [1] Business Metrics - The number of customer accounts grew by 32% to 3.87 million [2] - Customer equity increased by 34% to $664.6 billion [2] - Daily average revenue trades (DARTs) surged by 49% to 3.55 million [2] - Customer credit rose by 34% to $143.7 billion [2] - Customer margin loans increased by 18% to $65.1 billion [2]

Core Insights - KeyCorp (KEY) is expected to report second-quarter 2025 results on July 22, with solid improvements in lending activities noted during the quarter [1] - The demand for commercial and industrial (C&I) loans, which make up about 50% of KeyCorp's average loan balances, was strong, alongside an increase in consumer loan demand [1] Loan Balances and Earnings Estimates - The average loan balance for KeyCorp is projected to be $105.5 billion, reflecting a 3.2% year-over-year decline [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for average earning assets is $171.2 billion, indicating a slight increase from the previous year, while the estimate is $173.5 billion [2] Net Interest Income and Margin - The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates at 4.25%-4.5%, which is expected to support KeyCorp's net interest income (NII) and net interest margin (NIM) through higher yields on interest-earning assets [3] - The consensus estimate for NII on a fully tax-equivalent basis is $1.14 billion, suggesting a year-over-year increase of 26.5% [4] Non-Interest Income Factors - Despite interest rate cuts in 2024, mortgage rates remained stable, leading to decent refinancing and origination volumes, which is expected to improve income from KeyCorp's mortgage banking business [5] - The consensus estimate for commercial mortgage servicing fees is $72.1 million, indicating an 18.2% year-over-year increase, while consumer mortgage income is estimated at $14.7 million, reflecting an 8% decline [6] Trading and Investment Banking - Increased client activity and market volatility are anticipated to positively impact KeyCorp's trading business, with a resurgence in the IPO market and decent bond issuance volumes [7] - The consensus estimate for investment banking and debt placement fees is $167.4 million, indicating a 32.9% surge, while the estimate is $178.4 million [7] Total Non-Interest Income and Expenses - The consensus estimate for total non-interest income is $671.9 million, suggesting a year-over-year increase of 7.2% [9] - Total non-interest expenses are estimated at $1.16 billion, reflecting a 7.9% year-over-year rise due to operational efficiency initiatives and investments in technology [10] Asset Quality and Credit Losses - KeyCorp is expected to build reserves for credit losses, with an estimated provision of $120.2 million, indicating a 20.2% rise year-over-year [11] - The consensus estimate for non-performing assets (NPAs) is $744.9 million, suggesting a 2.5% increase, while non-performing loans (NPLs) are estimated at $738.5 million, reflecting a 4% increase [12] Earnings Predictions - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for KeyCorp's second-quarter earnings is pegged at 34 cents, indicating a 36% jump from the prior year, with sales estimated at $1.80 billion, reflecting an 18.9% rise [15]

Investor Call SECOND QUARTER 2025 JULY 16, 2025 Time: 8:30 AM CT Webcast: www.pnfp.com (investor relations) M. TERRY TURNER, PRESIDENT AND CEO HAROLD R. CARPENTER, EVP AND CFO Safe Harbor Statements Forward Looking Statements All statements, other than statements of historical fact, included in this presentation, are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act o ...