Group 1: Report General Information - Report Title: White Sugar Daily Report [2] - Report Date: November 6, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Liu Qiannan [4] Group 2: Data Analysis Futures Market - SR09: Closing price 5,390, down 3 (-0.06%), volume 4,309 (increase of 1,685), open interest 11,206 (increase of 1,462) [5] - SR01: Closing price 5,448, up 7 (0.13%), volume 155,276 (decrease of 29,200), open interest 372,447 (increase of 4,955) [5] - SR05: Closing price 5,388, down 5 (-0.09%), volume 24,379 (decrease of 6,357), open interest 113,419 (increase of 5,455) [5] Spot Market - Spot prices in different regions: Liuzhou 5,720, Kunming 5,905, Wuhan 6,000, Nanning 0, Bayuquan 6,015, Rizhao 5,820, Xi'an 6,130, all unchanged from the previous day [5] - Basis: Liuzhou 272, Kunming 457, Wuhan 552, Nanning -5448, Bayuquan 567, Rizhao 372, Xi'an 682 [5] Monthly Spread - SR5 - SR01: Spread -60, down 12; SR09 - SR5: Spread 2, up 2; SR09 - SR01: Spread -58, down 10 [5] Import Profit - Brazil: ICE主力 14.12, premium (0.46), freight 42.25, quota - in price 3,893, out - of - quota price 4,941, spread with Liuzhou 779, spread with Rizhao 879, spread with futures 507 [5] - Thailand: ICE主力 14.12, premium 0.89, freight 18.00, quota - in price 3,958, out - of - quota price 5,026, spread with Liuzhou 694, spread with Rizhao 794, spread with futures 422 [5] Group 3: Market Outlook Important Information - In India, protests in Kolhapur, Maharashtra, over sugarcane prices have escalated, disrupting sugarcane harvesting and transportation, and many sugar mills have not started operations [7] - Some sugar groups in China have completed inventory clearance for the 24/25 and 23/24 seasons, and Guangxi is expected to start the 25/26 sugar - making season next week [7] - Processed sugar prices are stable with average trading volume [8] Logical Analysis - Internationally, major sugar - producing regions are increasing production. Brazil's 2025/26 sugar production is expected to reach a historically high level, and India may export nearly 2 million tons of sugar in the 2025/26 season. The fundamental situation of raw sugar is weak, and the long - term trend is downward [9] - Domestically, short - term sugar production is expected to increase, and international sugar prices have fallen significantly. However, due to tightened imports of syrup and premixed powder and relatively high previous pricing costs, there is some support for domestic sugar prices. In the short term, Zhengzhou sugar prices are expected to fluctuate within a range, and in the long term, prices are expected to be weak but with limited downward space [10] Trading Strategies - Unilateral: International sugar prices have resumed their downward trend. Domestic sugar prices are expected to fluctuate, so it is recommended to operate within the range (sell high, buy low) [11] - Arbitrage: Short foreign sugar and long Zhengzhou sugar [11] - Options: Observe [11] Group 4: Related Attachments - Figures include Guangxi and Yunnan monthly inventory, Guangxi and Yunnan sales - to - production ratios, Liuzhou white sugar spot price, Liuzhou - Kunming sugar spot price difference, white sugar basis for different months, and Zhengzhou sugar spreads for different contract months [13][14][18]

1. Report Information - Report Name: Sugar Daily Report - Date: November 6, 2025 - Researcher: Wang Haifeng, Lin Zhenlei, Yu Lanlan, Hong Chenliang, Liu Youran [2][3] 2. Market Review and Trading Suggestions Futures Market - SR601 closed at 5,441 yuan/ton, down 47 yuan or 0.86%, with an open interest of 367,492 contracts, a decrease of 1,330 contracts - SR605 closed at 5,393 yuan/ton, down 41 yuan or 0.75%, with an open interest of 107,964 contracts, an increase of 5,015 contracts - US Sugar 03 closed at 14.21 cents/pound, down 0.44 cents or 3.00%, with an open interest of 478,904 contracts, an increase of 3,720 contracts - US Sugar 05 closed at 13.82 cents/pound, down 0.41 cents or 2.88%, with an open interest of 166,382 contracts, an increase of 1,289 contracts [7] Market Analysis - On Monday, New York raw sugar futures fell sharply. The ICE London white sugar futures' December contract rose 1.8% to $423.30/ton. Overseas financial markets were volatile overnight. The US Senate failed to pass the government's temporary appropriation bill again, leading to a government shutdown, which cast a shadow over the economic outlook. The US dollar index strengthened, and US stocks and commodities generally declined, dragging down raw sugar - The main contract of Zhengzhou sugar fell yesterday. The 01 contract closed at 5,441 yuan/ton, down 47 yuan or 0.86%, with a decrease of 1,330 contracts in positions. Domestic spot sugar prices in production areas declined. Nanning sugar was quoted at 5,730 yuan/ton, and Kunming sugar was quoted at 5,580 yuan/ton. The domestic market fundamentals were stable. Zhengzhou sugar followed the decline of raw sugar, indicating that it was difficult to break through the 5,500 yuan/ton resistance level. From a capital perspective, speculative short - sellers significantly increased their positions [7][8] 3. Industry News Brazil - Conab reported that from 2024 to the first half of 2025, adverse climate conditions such as water shortages, unstable rainfall, and high temperatures in the sugarcane - growing season in central - southern Brazil affected the 2025/26 sugarcane production - In 2025/26, Brazil's sugarcane planting area is expected to be 8.97 million hectares, a 2.4% increase from 2024/25. However, the average yield per hectare is expected to be 74.26 tons, a 3.8% year - on - year decrease. The increase in planting area cannot offset the loss caused by the decline in yield per hectare - The estimated sugarcane production in the current season is 666.4 million tons, a 1.6% decrease from 2024/25 and a 0.4% decrease from the previous forecast of 668.8 million tons. Despite the decrease in sugarcane supply, Conab still expects sugar production to be 45 million tons, a 2% year - on - year increase, which would be the second - highest in history after the 2023/24 season's 45.68 million tons - The total production of Brazilian sugarcane ethanol and corn ethanol in the 2025/26 season is expected to be 36.2 billion liters, a 2.8% year - on - year decrease. The decrease is mainly due to a 9.5% reduction in sugarcane ethanol production (expected to drop to 26.55 billion liters), while corn ethanol production is expected to increase by 22.6% to 9.61 billion liters. Among the total, anhydrous ethanol is expected to be 13.58 billion liters, and hydrous ethanol is expected to be 22.16 billion liters [9] India - On November 4, the Indian Sugar and Bioenergy Manufacturers Association (ISMA) released the first sugar production forecast for the 2025 - 26 season. The total sugar production (before deducting the amount used for ethanol production) is expected to be 34.35 million tons. After deducting the estimated 3.4 million tons used for ethanol production, the net sugar production is expected to reach 30.95 million tons [10] 4. Data Overview - The report includes various data charts such as spot price trends, 2601 contract basis, SR1 - 5 spread, Brazilian raw sugar import profit, Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange warehouse receipts, Brazilian real exchange rate, and the trading and position data of the top 20 seats of the main Zhengzhou sugar contract [11][13][14][23]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The international raw sugar market has a weak fundamental outlook with a downward trend due to high sugar production in Brazil, a lower support level for sugar from ethanol as Brazil cuts oil prices, and potentially higher - than - expected sugar exports from India [10]. - The domestic white sugar market has a weak fundamental situation as well, but considering factors such as sugar mills starting to crush and tightened imports of syrup and premixed powder, the Zhengzhou sugar price is expected to fluctuate within a range in the short term [11]. - Suggested trading strategies include range - bound operations for the domestic market, an arbitrage strategy of shorting foreign sugar and going long on Zhengzhou sugar, and taking a wait - and - see approach for options [12][13]. 3. Summary by Directory First Part: Data Analysis - **Futures Market**: SR09 closed at 5,393 with a decline of 42 points (-0.77%), SR01 at 5,441 with a decline of 40 points (-0.73%), and SR05 at 5,393 with a decline of 38 points (-0.70%). The trading volume and open interest of each contract also changed [6]. - **Spot Market**: The spot prices of white sugar in different regions such as Liuzhou, Kunming, and Wuhan decreased to varying degrees. The basis between spot and futures prices was positive in all regions [6]. - **Monthly Spread**: The SR5 - SR01 spread was - 48 with a change of 2, the SR09 - SR5 spread was 0 with a change of - 4, and the SR09 - SR01 spread was - 48 with a change of - 2 [6]. - **Import Profit**: For Brazilian imports, the quota - in price was 3914, the quota - out price was 4968, and the spreads with Liuzhou, Rizhao, and the futures market were 752, 852, and 473 respectively. For Thai imports, the quota - in price was 3979, the quota - out price was 5053, and the corresponding spreads were 667, 767, and 388 [6]. Second Part: Market Judgment - **Important Information**: India's 2025/26 sugar production is estimated to be 3435 million tons (excluding ethanol use) and 3095 million tons (net production after ethanol use), with potential exports of nearly 2 million tons. Brazil's 2025/26 sugar production is slightly higher than the previous estimate, while the ethanol production shows mixed changes [8]. - **Logical Analysis**: Internationally, the sugar market is bearish due to high production in Brazil and potential high exports from India. Domestically, although the fundamentals are weak, short - term price fluctuations are expected [10][11]. - **Trading Strategies**: - Unilateral: Trade within a range for the domestic market [12]. - Arbitrage: Short foreign sugar and go long on Zhengzhou sugar [13]. - Options: Wait and see [13]. Third Part: Related Attachments - The part includes multiple charts showing data such as monthly inventories in Guangxi and Yunnan, sales - to - production ratios in Guangxi and Yunnan, spot prices in Liuzhou, and various basis and spreads [14][15][16]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core View of the Report - The long - term divergence between domestic and international sugar prices is unsustainable. There is significant pressure above 5500 for the main contract 01 of Zhengzhou sugar. The probability of short - sellers re - entering the market increases, suggesting a short - term volatile and bearish outlook [6][9]. Summary by Directory 1. Previous Day's Review No relevant content provided. 2. Daily Tips - **Fundamentals**: Brazil's central - southern region produced 3601.6 million tons of sugar in the current season as of the first half of October, a year - on - year increase of 0.9%. Different institutions have different forecasts for the 25/26 global sugar supply: Czarnikow raised the surplus forecast to 740 million tons; StoneX predicted a surplus of 277 million tons; ISO expected a supply gap of 23.1 million tons, significantly reduced from the previous forecast. In 2025, China's sugar - related data showed a complex situation: by the end of August 2025, the national cumulative sugar production in the 24/25 season was 1116.21 million tons, and the cumulative sugar sales were 1000 million tons with a sales rate of 89.6%. In September 2025, China imported 55 million tons of sugar, a year - on - year increase of 15 million tons, while the import of syrup and premixed powder decreased by 13.51 million tons to 15.14 million tons. Overall, the fundamental situation is bearish [4][5]. - **Basis**: The spot price in Liuzhou is 5730, with a basis of 249 for the 01 contract, indicating a premium over futures, which is bullish [6]. - **Inventory**: As of the end of August in the 24/25 season, the industrial inventory was 116 million tons, a neutral situation [6]. - **Market Chart**: The 20 - day moving average is upward, and the K - line is above the 20 - day moving average, which is bullish [6]. - **Main Position**: The position is bearish, with the net short position increasing, and the main trend is bearish [6]. - **Likely Factors**: Bullish factors include good domestic consumption, reduced inventory, increased syrup tariffs, and the change of the US cola formula to use sucrose. Bearish factors include increased global sugar production, expected supply surplus in the new season, the foreign sugar price falling below 15 cents per pound, and the opening of the import profit window leading to increased import impact [7]. 3. Today's Focus No relevant content provided. 4. Fundamental Data - **Global Sugar Supply Forecasts**: Different institutions have different predictions for the 25/26 global sugar supply. For example, the ISO in September 2025 predicted a supply gap narrowing to 20 million tons; StoneX in the same month expected a surplus of 277 million tons; Czarnikow in August 2025 forecast a surplus of 620 million tons (also mentioned 750 million tons elsewhere); Datagro in September 2025 predicted a surplus of 153 million tons; Covrig Analytics in August 2025 expected a surplus of 420 million tons; Alvean/Louis Dreyfus in July 2025 forecast a surplus of 40 million tons; Green Pool in July 2025 predicted a surplus of 115 million tons [36]. - **China's Sugar Supply and Demand Balance Sheet**: From 2024/25 to 2025/26, China's sugar - related data such as sugar - cane and beet planting areas, yields, sugar production, imports, consumption, and price ranges are relatively stable. The import volume is expected to be 500 million tons, and the consumption is expected to be 1590 million tons in 2025/26. The international sugar price is predicted to be in the range of 16.5 - 21.5 cents per pound, and the domestic sugar price is expected to be between 5800 - 6500 yuan per ton [38]. - **Imported Raw Sugar Processing Cost**: In late October 2025, the average price of raw sugar was about 14.23 cents per pound, and the cost of out - of - quota imported sugar was about 5086 yuan per ton. Due to the continuous decline of international sugar prices, the import profit was considerable [44]. 5. Position Data No relevant content provided.

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - In early October, the progress of sugarcane crushing and sugar production in Brazil slowed down significantly, indicating a weakening production rhythm in the later stage of crushing [2]. - In the domestic market, the forecasted arrival of out - of - quota raw sugar in October is 174,500 tons, and the import volume is expected to decrease month - on - month. Affected by news such as syrup and premixed powder, there is support at the lower level. However, the loose supply - demand situation still exerts pressure on the sugar market, and sugar prices will mainly operate at a low level in the short term [2]. Summary by Directory Futures Market - The closing price of the main futures contract for sugar is 5,481 yuan/ton, a decrease of 18 yuan; the main contract position is 368,822 lots, a decrease of 3,969 lots [2]. - The number of sugar warehouse receipts is 7,432, a decrease of 30; the net long position of the top 20 futures holders is - 49,848 lots, an increase of 2,894 lots [2]. - The total forecast of valid warehouse receipts for sugar is 1,586, an increase of 1,000 [2]. Spot Market - The estimated import processing price of Brazilian sugar within the quota is 4,057 yuan/ton, an increase of 51 yuan; the estimated import processing price of Thai sugar within the quota is 4,122 yuan/ton, an increase of 51 yuan [2]. - The estimated import price of Brazilian sugar outside the quota (50% tariff) is 5,139 yuan/ton, an increase of 66 yuan; the estimated import price of Thai sugar outside the quota (50% tariff) is 5,225 yuan/ton, an increase of 67 yuan [2]. - The spot price of white sugar in Kunming is 5,680 yuan/ton, a decrease of 15 yuan; in Nanning, it is 5,750 yuan/ton, unchanged; in Liuzhou, it is 5,730 yuan/ton, a decrease of 10 yuan [2]. Upstream Situation - The national sugar - crop planting area is 1,480 thousand hectares, an increase of 60 thousand hectares; the planting area of sugarcane in Guangxi is 835.09 thousand hectares, a decrease of 12.86 thousand hectares [2]. - The cumulative national sugar production is 11.1621 million tons, an increase of 54,900 tons; the cumulative national sugar sales volume is 9.9998 million tons, an increase of 449,800 tons [2]. - The monthly import volume of sugar is 550,000 tons, a decrease of 280,000 tons; the total monthly sugar exports from Brazil are 3.2458 million tons, a decrease of 498,200 tons [2]. Industry Situation - The price difference between imported Brazilian sugar and the current price of Liuzhou sugar within the quota is 1,502 yuan/ton, a decrease of 40 yuan; the price difference between imported Thai sugar and Liuzhou sugar within the quota is 1,437 yuan/ton, a decrease of 40 yuan [2]. - The price difference between imported Brazilian sugar and the current price of Liuzhou sugar outside the quota (50% tariff) is 420 yuan/ton, a decrease of 55 yuan; the price difference between imported Thai sugar and Liuzhou sugar outside the quota (50% tariff) is 334 yuan/ton, a decrease of 56 yuan [2]. Downstream Situation - The monthly output of refined sugar is 539,100 tons, an increase of 85,000 tons; the monthly output of soft drinks is 1.5917 million tons, a decrease of 184,100 tons [2]. Option Market - The implied volatility of at - the - money call options for sugar is 7.52%, an increase of 0.28%; the implied volatility of at - the - money put options for sugar is 7.32%, an increase of 0.08% [2]. - The 20 - day historical volatility of sugar is 7.46%, an increase of 0.05%; the 60 - day historical volatility is 6.83%, a decrease of 0.07% [2]. Industry News - In the 2025/26 sugar - crushing season, a total of 26 sugar mills in Mongolia and Xinjiang have started crushing, with an expected total output of about 1.4 million tons [2]. - The most actively traded March raw sugar futures on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) rose 0.22 cents, or 1.50%, to settle at 14.65 cents per pound. The sugarcane harvest in northern Brazil is progressing slowly, while sugar mills in the central - southern region are still gradually shutting down [2]. - In the first half of October 2025, sugar mills in the central - southern region of Brazil crushed 34.037 million tons of sugarcane, a year - on - year increase of 0.3%; produced 2.484 million tons of sugar, a year - on - year increase of 1.25%; the sugar - making ratio was 48.24%, higher than 47.33% in the same period last year [2]. - As of October 16 in the 2025/26 sugar - crushing season (April 2025 - March 2026), the cumulative sugarcane crushing in the central - southern region of Brazil was 524.9 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 2.78%, and the cumulative sugar production was 36.016 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 0.89% [2].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report 2. Core View of the Report - Globally, the increase in production in major sugar-producing regions is being realized. Brazil's cumulative sugar production is expected to reach a historically high level, and the fundamental outlook for raw sugar is weak, with a potential short - term rebound after over - decline. In the domestic market, the price of Zhengzhou sugar is expected to be slightly stronger in the short term due to factors such as lower - than - expected domestic sugar production increase and the suspension of imports of some enterprises' syrups and premixes [9] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Data Analysis - **Futures Market**: For futures contracts SR09, SR01, and SR05, the closing prices are 5,434, 5,499, and 5,433 respectively, with price increases of 12, 16, and 20, and price increase percentages of 0.22%, 0.29%, and 0.37% respectively. The trading volumes are 1,509, 173,994, and 20,199, and the changes in trading volumes are 817, 6,995, and 6,306. The open interests are 9,065, 372,791, and 97,748, with changes of - 2, 21, and 2,235 [3] - **Spot Prices**: The spot prices of sugar in different regions such as Liuzhou, Dali, Wuhan, Nanning, etc. are reported. For example, the price in Liuzhou is 5,760 with no change, while the price in Dali is 5,905 with a decrease of 15 [3] - **Spread Analysis**: The SR5 - SR01 spread is - 66, the SR09 - SR5 spread is 1, and the SR09 - SR01 spread is - 65, with changes of 0, - 8, and - 4 respectively. The import profit analysis shows that for Brazilian imports, the in - quota price is 3,961 and the out - of - quota price is 5,030, with spreads of 730, 820, and 469 compared to Liuzhou, Rizhao, and the futures market respectively. For Thai imports, the in - quota price is 4,020 and the out - of - quota price is 5,107, with corresponding spreads [3] 3.2 Market Outlook and Strategy - **Important Information**: In the first half of October 2025, in the central - southern region of Brazil, the sugarcane crushing volume was 34.037 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 0.30%. The sugar production was 2.484 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 1.25%. India's Uttar Pradesh government raised the sugarcane purchase price, which is expected to bring an additional income of about 300 billion rupees (about 24.1 billion yuan) to local sugarcane farmers. The sugar production situation in the main domestic producing areas in the 2025/26 season is relatively clear, with an expected national sugar production of 11.56 million tons, an increase of 394,000 tons compared to the previous season [5][7][8] - **Logical Analysis**: Internationally, the increase in Brazilian sugar production is approaching reality, and the support of ethanol for sugar has weakened, so the raw sugar price is expected to be weak in the long - term with a short - term rebound. Domestically, considering the start of sugar mills and the lower - than - expected increase in sugar production, as well as the suspension of some imports, the price of Zhengzhou sugar is expected to be slightly stronger in the short term [9] - **Trading Strategy**: For unilateral trading, it is recommended to wait and see as the international sugar price is expected to be weak in the long - term and may rebound in the short - term, and the domestic sugar price may be slightly stronger in the short - term. For arbitrage and option trading, it is also recommended to wait and see [10] 3.3 Related Attachments - The report provides multiple charts, including those showing the monthly inventory in Guangxi and Yunnan, the sales - to - production ratio in Guangxi and Yunnan, the spot price of Liuzhou sugar, the spot price spread between Liuzhou and Kunming, the basis of different futures contracts, and the spread between different futures contracts, with data sources from Galaxy Futures and WIND [12][13][17]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The short - term external sugar price is weak, while the domestic Zhengzhou sugar price is relatively strong. In the long - term, the divergence between domestic and foreign trends of Zhengzhou sugar's main 01 contract is unsustainable. The pressure around 5500 - 5600 increases, and the probability of short - sellers re - entering the market rises [5][8] - There are both positive and negative factors in the sugar market. Positive factors include good domestic consumption, reduced inventory, increased syrup tariffs, and the long - term positive impact of the change in the US cola formula to use sucrose. Negative factors include the increase in global sugar production and the expected surplus in the new year, the opening of the import profit window due to the drop in external sugar prices, and the intensified import impact [6] 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Previous Day's Review - Not provided in the content 3.2 Daily Tips - **Fundamentals**: Brazil's central - southern region produced 3601.6 million tons of sugar in the current sugar - making season as of the first half of October, a year - on - year increase of 0.9%. Different institutions have different forecasts for the 25/26 global sugar supply situation. Czarnikow raised the 25/26 global sugar surplus forecast to 740 million tons, 120 million tons higher than the August forecast. StoneX predicted a 277 - million - ton surplus, while ISO estimated a 23.1 - million - ton supply gap, significantly reduced from the previous prediction. In 2025, China's sugar production, sales, and import data also showed changes. By the end of August 2025, the cumulative sugar production in the 24/25 season was 1116.21 million tons, the cumulative sales were 1000 million tons, and the sales rate was 89.6%. In September 2025, China imported 55 million tons of sugar, a year - on - year increase of 15 million tons, and the total import of syrup and premixed powder was 15.14 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 13.51 million tons. Overall, the fundamentals are bearish [4] - **Basis**: The spot price in Liuzhou is 5760, and the basis for the 01 contract is 277, with the spot price at a premium to the futures price, which is bullish [5] - **Inventory**: As of the end of August in the 24/25 sugar - making season, the industrial inventory was 116 million tons, which is neutral [5] - **Market Chart**: The 20 - day moving average is upward, and the K - line is above the 20 - day moving average, which is bullish [5] - **Main Position**: The net short position increased, and the main trend is bearish, which is bearish [5] 3.3 Today's Focus - Not provided in the content 3.4 Fundamental Data - **Global Supply Forecast**: Different institutions have different forecasts for the 25/26 global sugar supply. For example, Green Pool predicted a 5.3% increase in global sugar production in the 25/26 season, USDA expected a 4.7% year - on - year increase in global sugar production and a 1.4% increase in consumption, resulting in a surplus. SCA Brasil estimated that the sugar production in Brazil's central - southern region in the 25/26 season would be 3910 million tons, and Conab predicted 4060 million tons [8] - **Domestic Supply and Demand**: The domestic sugar supply - demand balance shows a narrowing gap in the medium - long term. The average domestic sugar spot sales price is around 6000. Since January 2025, the import tariff on syrup has increased, approaching the tariff on out - of - quota imported raw sugar [8] - **Import and Tariff**: In September 2025, China imported 55 million tons of sugar, a year - on - year increase of 15 million tons, and the total import of syrup and premixed powder was 15.14 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 13.51 million tons. From January 1, 2025, the import tariff on syrup and premixed powder was adjusted from 12% to 20% [4][8] 3.5 Position Data - Not provided in the content

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2) Core View of the Report - Near the new crops in the Northern Hemisphere and the listing of domestic cane sugar, Zhengzhou sugar is expected to be mainly in a weak - oscillating pattern. The large current import volume of raw sugar and the gradual release of the pressure of imported sugar arriving at ports, with an import cost of 5300 - 5400, suppress the futures market. The first sugar mills in Yunnan started squeezing two days ago, and sugar mills in Guangxi are expected to start concentrated squeezing in mid - to - late November, which may create new selling pressure. However, as the current futures price is close to the domestic sugar - making cost, the futures market is expected to show a resistant decline before the listing of new domestic sugar [3]. 3) Summary by Relevant Catalog Domestic Spot Price and Futures Price - In the domestic spot market, on October 28, 2025, the price in Nanning Warehouse, Guangxi was 5780 yuan/ton with no change; in Kunming, Yunnan, it was 5720 yuan/ton, down 5 yuan; in Dali, Yunnan, it was 5565 yuan/ton with no change; in Rizhao, Shandong, it was 5850 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan. The basis and its changes are also provided. In the futures market, SR01 was 5483 yuan, up 38 yuan, and SR05 was 5418 yuan, up 19 yuan. The spread between SR01 and SR05 was 19 [3]. International Exchange Rate and Commodity Price - The exchange rate of RMB against the US dollar was 7.124, down 0.0023; the exchange rate of the Brazilian real against the RMB was 1.2818, up 0.0212; the exchange rate of the Indian rupee against the RMB was 0.084, down 0.0004. The price of ICE raw sugar's main contract was 14.47 with no change, the price of London white sugar's main contract was 573, up 3, and the price of Brent crude oil's main contract was 65.04 with no change [3].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that domestic white sugar futures are stabilizing, with prices reflecting a slight decline in the early trading session on October 27 [1] - The main contract for white sugar closed at 5439 yuan/ton, down by 12 yuan, with a decrease of 0.22%, and trading within a range of 5414 to 5451 yuan [1] - As of late October, sugar production in Guangxi is nearing the end of its sales phase, with the new crushing season expected to start in early November [1] Group 2 - In the 2024/25 crushing season, Guangxi is projected to produce 6.465 million tons of sugar, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.59%, with a sugar production rate of 13.30%, up by 1.22 percentage points [1] - Cumulative sugar sales reached 6.0229 million tons by the end of September, an increase of 112,900 tons year-on-year, with a sales-to-production ratio of 93.16%, down by 2.45 percentage points [1] - The industrial inventory at the end of September stood at 442,100 tons, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 17.07%, while the monthly sales for September were 266,600 tons, a decrease of 186,800 tons year-on-year [1]

Core Viewpoint - Domestic white sugar futures are stabilizing, with prices reflecting a slight decline as the new sugar production season approaches in Guangxi [1] Group 1: Market Performance - On October 27, the main 2601 contract closed at 5439 yuan/ton, down 12 yuan, a decrease of 0.22%, with a high of 5451 yuan and a low of 5414 yuan [1] - Current spot prices from sugar enterprises remain around 5700 yuan/ton, while merchant quotes have been adjusted down to between 5620 and 5680 yuan/ton [1] Group 2: Production and Sales Data - For the 2024/25 sugar production season, Guangxi is expected to produce 6.465 million tons of sugar, an increase of 4.59% year-on-year, with a sugar production rate of 13.30%, up by 1.22 percentage points [1] - As of the end of September, cumulative sugar sales reached 6.0229 million tons, an increase of 112,900 tons year-on-year, with a sales-to-production ratio of 93.16%, down by 2.45 percentage points [1] - The industrial inventory at the end of September stood at 442,100 tons, an increase of 17.07% year-on-year, while the monthly sales in September were 266,600 tons, a decrease of 18.68% year-on-year [1]