白糖期货

Search documents
白糖日报-20250519
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-05-19 01:56
行业 白糖日报 日期 2025 年 5 月 19 日 021-60635732 hongchenliang@ccb.ccbfutures .com 期货从业资格号:F3076808 研究员:刘悠然 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 农产品研究团队 研究员:林贞磊 研究员:余兰兰 研究员:洪辰亮 请阅读正文后的声明 研究员:王海峰 021-60635728 wanghaifeng@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F0230741 021-60635740 linzhenlei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3055047 021-60635732 yulanlan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F0301101 #summary# 每日报告 一、行情回顾与操作建议 | 表1:期货行情 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 | 收盘价(元/吨 | | 美分 ...
白糖日报-20250514
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-05-14 02:37
Industry Investment Rating - No information provided on the industry investment rating Core Viewpoints - The New York raw sugar futures declined on Monday, with the main July contract closing down 0.73% at 17.65 cents per pound. The London ICE white sugar futures' main August contract closed down 1% at $495.00 per ton. The raw sugar main contract failed to break through the 18 - cent mark, and although the sugar price stabilized and rebounded, the upward momentum was insufficient [7]. - The Zhengzhou sugar main contract dropped yesterday. The 09 contract closed at 5,853 yuan per ton, down 15 yuan or 0.26%, with an increase of 889 contracts in positions. The decline was due to following the raw sugar trend and market rumors of the issuance of out - of - quota import licenses, which may increase the pressure of imported sugar on the domestic sugar market starting from June. After the market, some speculative long - positions were liquidated, and overall market participation was low [8]. Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Futures Market Conditions**: SR509 closed at 5,853 yuan per ton, down 15 yuan or 0.26%, with a position of 309,043 contracts and an increase of 889 contracts; SR601 closed at 5,718 yuan per ton, down 18 yuan or 0.31%, with a position of 29,022 contracts and an increase of 691 contracts; US sugar 07 closed at 17.65 cents per pound, down 0.13 cents or 0.73%, with a position of 337,900 contracts and a decrease of 8,060 contracts; US sugar 10 closed at 17.83 cents per pound, down 0.09 cents or 0.50%, with a position of 163,719 contracts and an increase of 428 contracts [7]. - **Domestic Spot Market**: Domestic spot prices in production areas remained stable, with Kunming sugar priced at 5,960 yuan and Nanning sugar at 6,130 yuan [8]. 2. Industry News - **Global Sugar Demand**: Global sugar demand has been growing at a rate of 1.1% per sugar - making season over the past 15 years. It is expected to reach 178 million tons (in white sugar equivalent) or 193.6 million tons (in raw sugar equivalent) in the 2024/25 season [9]. - **Yunnan Sugar Mills**: As of a certain date, 43 sugar mills in Yunnan had completed the crushing process, 4 less than the same period last year, with a crushing capacity of 153,400 tons per day, a decrease of 16,800 tons per day compared to the previous year, and 9 sugar mills had not completed the process [9]. - **Brazilian Sugar Exports**: In April, Brazil exported 1,555,777.09 tons of sugar, with an average daily export volume of 77,788.85 tons, a 9% decrease compared to the average daily export volume in April of the previous year [9]. - **Guangxi Sugar Sales**: As of the end of April, the cumulative sugar sales in Guangxi reached 4.1353 million tons, an increase of 554,300 tons compared to the same period last year; the sales - to - production ratio was 63.96%, an increase of 6.03 percentage points. In April, the monthly sugar production was 4,200 tons, a decrease of 72,300 tons compared to the previous year, and the monthly sugar sales were 657,300 tons, a decrease of 8,800 tons compared to the previous year. The industrial inventory was 2.3297 million tons, a decrease of 270,700 tons compared to the previous year [9]. - **Yunnan Sugar Sales**: As of April 30, 2025, the cumulative sugar sales in Yunnan reached 1.3168 million tons (compared to 941,100 tons in the same period last year). The monthly sugar sales were 280,400 tons (compared to 189,500 tons in the same period last year), the sales - to - production ratio was 55.71% (compared to 46.53% in the same period last year), and the industrial inventory was 1.047 million tons (compared to 1.0816 million tons in the same period last year) [9]. 3. Data Overview - **Transaction and Position Data**: The total trading volume of the top 20 members in the Zhengzhou sugar main contract was 217,778 lots, a decrease of 33,078 lots; the total long - position was 229,470 lots, an increase of 2,004 lots; the total short - position was 225,855 lots, a decrease of 859 lots [21].
白糖日报-20250513
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-05-12 23:32
行业 白糖日报 日期 2025 年 5 月 13 日 研究员:王海峰 021-60635728 wanghaifeng@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F0230741 021-60635740 linzhenlei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3055047 021-60635732 yulanlan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F0301101 021-60635732 hongchenliang@ccb.ccbfutures .com 期货从业资格号:F3076808 研究员:刘悠然 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 农产品研究团队 研究员:林贞磊 研究员:余兰兰 研究员:洪辰亮 请阅读正文后的声明 #summary# 昨日,郑糖主力合约反弹。09 合约收盘 5885 元/吨,上涨 45 元或 0.77%,减 仓 8936 张。国内产区现货价报价提升,昆明糖报价 5960 元,南宁糖报价 6130 元。今天郑糖跟随原糖节奏反弹,涨幅相对较小,主 ...
白糖:区间整理为主
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-05-11 07:37
二 〇 二 五 年 度 2025 年 05 月 11 日 白糖:区间整理为主 周小球 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0001891 zhouxiaoqiu@gtht.com 报告导读: (1)本周市场回顾 国际市场方面,美元指数 100.42(前值 100.04),美元兑巴西雷亚尔 5.65(前值 5.64),WTI 原油 价格 61.06 美元/桶(+4.59%),纽约原糖活跃合约价格 17.82 美分/磅(+3.18%)。截至 5 月 6 日,基金 多单减少 3757 手,基金空单增加 19504 手,净多单同比减少 23261 手至 11269 手,净多单大幅减少。 UNICA 数据显示,截至 4 月 16 日,25/26 榨季巴西中南部累计产糖 73 万吨,同比增加 1 万吨。 ISMA/NFCSF 数据显示,截至 4 月 30 日,24/25 榨季印度产糖 2570 万吨,同比减少 577 万吨。OCSB 数 据显示,截至 4 月 9 日,24/25 榨季泰国产糖 1005 万吨,同比增加 131 万吨。 国内市场方面,广西集团现货报价 6150 元/吨,环比上周下跌 40 元/吨;郑糖主力报 5839 元 ...
白糖日报-20250508
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-05-07 23:55
研究员:王海峰 021-60635728 wanghaifeng@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F0230741 021-60635740 linzhenlei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3055047 021-60635732 yulanlan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F0301101 021-60635732 hongchenliang@ccb.ccbfutures .com 期货从业资格号:F3076808 研究员:刘悠然 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 农产品研究团队 研究员:林贞磊 研究员:余兰兰 研究员:洪辰亮 行业 白糖日报 日期 2025 年 5 月 8 日 请阅读正文后的声明 #summary# 每日报告 一、行情回顾与操作建议 | 表1:期货行情 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 | 收盘价(元/吨 | 美分/磅) | 涨跌 | ...
白糖日报-20250507
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-05-07 00:54
Group 1: Report Information - Report Name: Sugar Daily Report [1] - Date: May 7, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Wang Haifeng, Lin Zhenlei, Yu Lanlan, Hong Chenliang, Liu Youran [3] Group 2: Investment Rating - No investment rating information provided Group 3: Core View - New season sugar in Brazil is gradually coming to the market, putting pressure on the market. The 5 - month contract delivery volume is expected to reach about 2 million tons, which may indicate weak spot sales. Uncertain factors mainly lie in the India - Pakistan conflict [7]. - Zhengzhou sugar is expected to face import pressure in the third quarter due to the opening of the profit window for out - of - quota imports. Zhengzhou sugar is regarded as bearish [8]. Group 4: Market Review and Operation Suggestions Futures Market - SR505 closed at 6073 yuan/ton, down 52 yuan or 0.85%, with a position of 13,644 contracts, a decrease of 2,518 contracts. SR509 closed at 5890 yuan/ton, up 1 yuan or 0.02%, with a position of 305,344 contracts, a decrease of 858 contracts. US sugar 05 closed at 17.38 cents/pound, down 0.24 cents or 1.36%, with a position of 30,343 contracts, a decrease of 14,074 contracts. US sugar 07 closed at 17.24 cents/pound, down 0.30 cents or 1.71%, with a position of 348,504 contracts, an increase of 2,994 contracts [7]. Market Analysis - New York raw sugar futures weakened on Friday, with the main July contract down 1.71% to 17.24 cents/pound. London ICE white sugar futures were closed for the UK public holiday. During the May Day holiday, foreign raw sugar maintained a weakening trend. The new season sugar in Brazil is gradually coming to the market, and the 5 - month contract delivery volume is expected to reach about 2 million tons, which may indicate weak spot sales. Uncertain factors mainly lie in the India - Pakistan conflict [7]. - Zhengzhou sugar's main contract showed a weak shock. The 09 contract closed at 5890 yuan/ton, up 1 yuan or 0.02%, with a reduction of 858 contracts. The spot prices in domestic production areas declined. After the rainfall in Guangxi, the market lost the impetus for speculation. The weak foreign raw sugar also dragged down Zhengzhou sugar, and the profit window for out - of - quota imports in China opened, so the import pressure in the third quarter is expected to be large. Zhengzhou sugar is regarded as bearish [8]. Group 5: Industry News - As of April 30, India had produced 25.69 million tons of sugar, and about 19 sugar mills were still in operation. About 10 sugar mills in Uttar Pradesh were still operating, and 8 of them were in western Uttar Pradesh. These sugar mills are expected to continue operating for 7 - 10 days. The increase in sugarcane production has improved the sugarcane supply in Uttar Pradesh, allowing some sugar mills to continue operating. In addition, the increase in sugar recovery rate in the second half of the season has also increased sugar production [9]. - From the Brazilian foreign trade secretariat's export data on April 28, Brazil exported 1,281,866.53 tons of sugar in the first four weeks of April, with an average daily export volume of 75,403.91 tons, a 12% decrease compared to the average daily export volume of 85,875.17 tons in the whole of April last year. The total export volume in April last year was 1,889,253.72 tons [9]. - Ukraine will reduce its sugar beet planting area by 17% this year, resulting in a significant decline in sugar production and a sharp drop in exports, especially to the EU. It is expected that Ukraine's sugar production will drop to 1.5 million tons this year, down from 1.8 million tons last year, and the export volume will be reduced to 180,511 tons, compared with 746,000 tons in 2024 [9]. - According to a survey of 23 analysts by S&P Global Commodity Insights, the sugar production in the central - southern main producing area of Brazil in the first half of April is expected to be 694,000 tons, a 3.8% decrease compared to the same period last year [9]. - According to the latest forecast of the US Department of Agriculture, Brazil's sugarcane production in the 2025/26 season may reach 671 million tons, of which 618 million tons will come from the central - southern region accounting for 91% of the country's production, and 53 million tons will come from the northeast and north regions. Brazil will continue to be the world's largest sugarcane and sugar producer in the next season [9][10]. Group 6: Data Overview - The report provides multiple data charts, including spot price trends, 2509 contract basis, SR5 - 9 spread, Brazilian raw sugar import profit, Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange warehouse receipts, Brazilian real exchange rate, and the trading and holding positions of the top 20 seats in the main contract of Zhengzhou sugar [11][13][16][20].
大越期货白糖早报-20250429
Da Yue Qi Huo· 2025-04-29 01:58
交易咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】1091号 白糖早报——2025年4月29日 大越期货投资咨询部 王明伟 从业资格证号:F0283029 投资咨询证号: Z0010442 联系方式:0575-85226759 重要提示:本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务,其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用,不构成对任何人的投资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户;市场有风险,投资需谨慎。 CONTENTS 目 录 1 前日回顾 2 每日提示 3 4 5 今日关注 基本面数据 持仓数据 白糖: 1、基本面:USDA:巴西25/26年度糖产量预计增长2%,达4470万吨。25年1月1日起,进口糖浆及预 混粉关税从12%调整到20%,调整后的关税接近原糖配额外进口关税。2025年3月底,24/25年度本 期制糖全国累计产糖1074.79万吨;全国累计销糖599.58万吨;销糖率55.79%(去年同期49.46%)。 2025年3月中国进口食糖7万吨,同比增加6万吨,进口糖浆及预混粉等三项合计13.28万吨,同比 减少2.46万吨。中性。 6、预期:外盘在18美分附近震荡,国内基本面多空维持平衡,考虑到本年 ...
白糖日报-20250429
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-04-28 23:31
行业 白糖日报 日期 2025 年 4 月 29 日 研究员:王海峰 021-60635728 wanghaifeng@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F0230741 021-60635740 linzhenlei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3055047 021-60635732 yulanlan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F0301101 021-60635732 hongchenliang@ccb.ccbfutures .com 期货从业资格号:F3076808 研究员:刘悠然 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 农产品研究团队 研究员:林贞磊 研究员:余兰兰 研究员:洪辰亮 请阅读正文后的声明 #summary# 每日报告 一、行情回顾与操作建议 | 表1:期货行情 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 | 收盘价(元/吨 | 美分/磅) | 涨跌 | ...
大越期货白糖早报-20250425
Da Yue Qi Huo· 2025-04-25 01:33
交易咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】1091号 白糖早报——2025年4月25日 大越期货投资咨询部 王明伟 从业资格证号:F0283029 投资咨询证号: Z0010442 联系方式:0575-85226759 重要提示:本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务,其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用,不构成对任何人的投资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户;市场有风险,投资需谨慎。 CONTENTS 目 录 1 前日回顾 2 每日提示 3 4 5 今日关注 基本面数据 持仓数据 白糖: 1、基本面:USDA:泰国25/26年度糖产量预计增长2%,达1030万吨。ISO:24/25年度糖缺口488.1万 吨,之前预估缺口251.3万吨。Green Pool:预计25/26年度全球糖市过剩270万吨,前一年度预计 为短缺370万吨。25年1月1日起,进口糖浆及预混粉关税从12%调整到20%,调整后的关税接近原糖 配额外进口关税。2025年3月底,24/25年度本期制糖全国累计产糖1074.79万吨;全国累计销糖 599.58万吨;销糖率55.79%(去年同期49.46%)。2025年3月中国进口食 ...