Group 1 - The U.S. Senate has proposed a bill to review Kenya's status as a "Major Non-NATO Ally," citing concerns over Kenya's close relationship with China [1][2] - The bill requires a comprehensive report within 180 days, focusing on Kenya's military and security relations with China, Russia, and Iran, including arms deals and joint training exercises [1] - Kenyan President William Ruto's remarks about Kenya and China being "co-creators of a new world order" have raised alarms in the U.S., particularly after his visit to China [1][2] Group 2 - Kenyan officials express regret over the U.S. concerns, framing Ruto's comments as a call for a more equitable global system where Africa can contribute to international governance [2] - Ruto emphasizes that Kenya's deepening ties with China align with national interests, even if it causes discomfort among traditional allies like the U.S. [2] - The potential revocation of Kenya's "Major Non-NATO Ally" status could impact military training cooperation and access to U.S. defense equipment, although some analysts believe the direct effects may be limited [3]

去年年底，国内的情绪普遍对美国制度和经济乐观，对中国悲观时，我根据在北大经院校友会的发言，整理出一篇文章《从历史比较看当前的中国》： 先是分析了两个案例：一个是 80年早期日本，发展阶段和经济调整周期位置与当前中国类似；一个是50年代的美国，相对国力的水平和国人 对自己制度不自信也与当前中国类似。这两个案例都是资产价格的低点，之后都是大的上升周期。 然后提出需要用一套客观科学的指标体系来评估中国的大国相对实力，参考达利欧的大国竞争模型，用8个领域的指标综合的合力来客观度 量后，发现中国的大国相对实力依然处在上升的通道中。 最后得出结论： 存在一种可能，看10年-20年，中国不仅能实现资产价格的重估，还能实现国际博弈格局中大国地位的再上台阶。 当时，这句话对不少人来说还只是天方夜谭。到现在，仅仅过去几个月时间，世界风云突变。中国的科技实力因为一些标志性的事件开始被世界认 可。美国那边，科技创新一家独秀的境况不再。而无论政治还是经济领域，特朗普作出了一大批缺乏大国责任的风范的，完全不专业的，轻浮善变 的举动，搅乱了世界，也加速了美国大国地位的滑落。 大国博弈的格局变化来得如此迅速， 东升西降的可能性开始被越来越多 ...