当地时间上周五，美股三大指数表现分化，道指与标普500小幅收跌，纳斯达克指数微涨0.13%。科技 股走势不一，英伟达、微软收涨；部分中概股承压下跌，纳斯达克中国金龙指数显著回落。 美联储结束为期43天的停摆，相关经济数据缺失的局面或将结束，CME预测12月降息概率不足50%，黄 金价格回调，伦敦金现货跌破4100美元/盎司。 市场关注英伟达财报及美联储政策信号，其结果可能影响科技板块情绪。中长期看，AI产业链与中概 股估值修复仍是资金布局主线，但短期需警惕波动风险。 相关ETF： 全球科技龙头：纳斯达克ETF（513300） 美股核心宽基：标普ETF（159655） 跟踪金价表现：黄金ETF（518850） ...

Core Insights - The US stock market is led by technology stocks, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices reaching new closing highs, and the Nasdaq rising by 1.12% [1] - AMD surged over 11% due to positive news, while other major tech stocks like Nvidia and Amazon also recorded gains [1] - Market sentiment is boosted by expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut and optimistic corporate earnings reports [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index increased by 0.87%, but there was significant internal divergence in performance [1] - Autonomous driving and AI concept stocks led the gains, with WeRide rising by 12.04% and Pony.ai by 8.61%, while companies like NIO and NetEase also saw increases [1] - Some e-commerce stocks experienced slight pullbacks, with Alibaba down by 0.12% [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators - Market focus is on the probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in October, currently around 94.1%, and developments regarding the US government shutdown [1] - Analysts believe that if inflation data remains moderate and a rate cut occurs, technology stocks may still have upward potential [1] - Caution is advised regarding tariff policies and the overheating risks in the AI sector, while there is a long-term positive outlook on the AI industry chain and the valuation recovery of Chinese concept stocks [1] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The Nasdaq ETF (513300) tracks the Nasdaq 100 Index, focusing on global technology leaders [1] - Its holdings include well-known tech companies such as AMD, Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, and Amazon, which are expected to benefit during the Federal Reserve's rate cut cycle [1]

Group 1: Market Reactions - The speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has become a market indicator, emphasizing a shift from data-driven decisions to a more deliberative approach [2][4] - Following Powell's remarks, U.S. stock indices experienced significant declines, with the Nasdaq Composite dropping over 4% and the Dow Jones falling more than 1000 points [6] - In contrast, Chinese concept stocks surged, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rising 2.12% to 8110.90 points, marking a 19.93% increase year-to-date [6] Group 2: Factors Influencing Chinese Stocks - The surge in Chinese stocks is attributed to two main factors: a weakening dollar and the Fed's approach signaling a potential interest rate cut, which lowers the discount rate for non-U.S. assets [6][12] - Chinese policies are shifting towards stabilizing expectations, cash flow, and capital returns, encouraging dividends and buybacks, which has improved corporate governance premiums [7][12] Group 3: Company Performance - Leading Chinese tech companies like Tencent, Alibaba, Baidu, and Xiaomi have shown improved performance, reflecting a stronger systemic expectation for the Chinese tech and internet sector [8] - CATL's announcement of mass production of sodium-ion batteries represents a significant technological breakthrough in the energy sector, enhancing safety and performance metrics [9][10] Group 4: Future Market Trends - The global energy storage market is expected to grow beyond expectations, with leading battery manufacturers nearing full production capacity and new orders extending into early 2026 [16] - The transition in China's economic structure, including reduced reliance on real estate and a shift towards self-sufficiency, is anticipated to have profound implications for both domestic and international investments [13][14]