从暴跌超38%到60%的暴力拉升，不到两个月的时间，小鱼盈通（00139）用"暴力式建仓"的手法，让市场看到了一出精彩的资本博弈大戏。截至发 稿，该股报0.024港元，涨幅约14.29%，成交量突破4.5亿。这样的走势背后，反映的是资金精准的市场透析能力。 根据智通财经APP观察，这场从恐慌性抛售到强势反转的资本博弈清晰地分为三个阶段：首先是6月18日至6月30日的暴跌阶段，利用波动完成筹码交 换；其次是7月2日至7月18日的横盘阶段，锁仓筑底，极致控盘，最后是7月21日至8月12日的拉升阶段，60%涨幅阳量主导，量价配合行云流水。 暴跌超38%，置之死地而后生 在6月18日至6月30日的9个交易日里，小鱼盈通呈现单边下跌走势，累计跌幅高达38.46%，"九连阴"的走势背后，实则或许是资金的战略。 盘面数据显示，该阶段阴量累计28.472亿元，阳量竟然为零，显示空头统治显著。通过制造抛售契机，成功将高位筹码（0.026元附近）驱赶至低位 （0.015元区域），完成筹码的重新分布。成交量分析显示，6月25日放量长阴（成交量5.056亿股），随后三日缩量阴跌，形成标准"下跌三法"，在股 价跌破0.02元后，连续出 ...

Group 1: Macro Events and Market Impact - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce confirmed that both sides will continue to promote the extension of the 24% reciprocal tariffs and China's countermeasures, which is beneficial for export-dependent Chinese companies such as Haier and Midea, potentially boosting their valuations [2] - The IMF raised China's GDP growth forecast for 2025 from 4% to 4.8%, primarily due to better-than-expected exports and lower-than-expected actual tariffs, which may attract foreign investment into Chinese assets, particularly in sectors like renewable energy and infrastructure [3] - The conflict at the Thailand-Cambodia border has escalated, impacting the Southeast Asian supply chain and benefiting defense and safe-haven assets while negatively affecting manufacturing sectors like electronics and rubber [4] Group 2: Key Industries and Stock Opportunities - Apple's AI team is experiencing turmoil with the departure of key members, which may hinder its self-developed AI progress and increase reliance on third-party models, benefiting partners like Microsoft and Google [5] - The approval of the "Blue Sky" plan by the U.S. Department of Transportation for JetBlue and United Airlines enhances customer loyalty and may catalyze global airline alliance integration, with a focus on Chinese airlines' international cooperation [7] - Novo Nordisk's stock plummeted by 22% due to weak growth of its weight-loss drug Wegovy, leading to a downward revision of its 2025 sales and profit guidance, which negatively impacts global weight-loss drug stocks while benefiting competitors in the GLP-1 space [8] Group 3: Commodities and Monetary Policy - WTI crude oil prices surged nearly 4% to $69.21 per barrel, driven by easing trade tensions and U.S. pressure on Russian energy exports, benefiting oil service and exploration companies [9] - The Chilean central bank cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.75%, signaling a potential easing of monetary policy in Latin America, which is favorable for copper mining companies [10] Group 4: Investment Strategy Recommendations - The current investment strategy suggests increasing allocations in resource stocks (oil/copper) and AI technology beneficiaries while being cautious of geopolitical conflicts and potential valuation corrections in the pharmaceutical sector [11]