| 公司名称 | 国家 | 细分领域 | 公司名称 | 国家 | 细分领域 | 公司名称 | 国家 | 细分领域 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 百度 | 中国 | 综合 | 科大讯飞 | 中国 | 智能翻译 | 英伟达 | 美国 | 半导体 | | 阿里巴巴 | 中国 | 综合 | 德赛西威 | 中国 | 电子制造 | Cadence | 美国 | 软件 | | Melexis | 比利时 | 半导体 | 地平线机器 人 | 中国 | 汽车智能解 决方案 | Synopsys | 美国 | 工 软件 | | 意法半导体 | 欧洲 | 未合体 | ARM | 英国 | 软件 | 德州仪器 | 美国 | 未合体 | | 三星电子 | 韩国 | 半导体 | AMD | 美国 | 半导体 | 索尼 | 日本 | 综合 | | 三星电机 | 韩国 | 电子制造 | 安森美 (onsemi) | 美国 | 半导体 | 安霸 (Ambarell a) | 美国 | 半导体 | | ROHN Semiconduc tor | 日本 | ...

大摩闭门会-人形机器人 AlphaWise 调查反馈 20251205 摘要 调研显示，90%的受访企业已应用不同类型机器人，10%测试人形机器 人，62%未来三年内愿尝试。仓储、制造和客服零售被认为是人形机器 人的主要应用场景，分别占比 80%、79%和 70%。 企业对人形机器人的需求侧重于特定场景功能，50%认为有限多项工作 能力即可，仅 32%期望通用能力。未来五年和十年内，机器人可能替代 11%和 28%的工作。 90%的受访者计划未来三年增加机器人支出，但仅 23%对现有产品满 意，25%非常不满意，表明市场对现有产品仍有较高改进需求。 企业选择人形机器人首要考虑可靠性、安全性、功能性、成本及融合性， 定制化服务亦重要，零部件品牌及供应商生态体系相对次要。 92%的受访者认为人形机器人价格需低于 20 万人民币才能广泛应用， 但目前市场价格普遍偏高，多数超 50 万人民币，成本是普及关键制约。 品牌偏好方面，语数（Yusu）最受欢迎（60%），其次是云深处 （28%）、优必选（23%）等，但各品牌仍需提升产品质量以赢得市场。 人形机器人短期内难爆发式增长，明年预测应用量保守，仅 2 万台左右。 长 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article promotes a series of live broadcasts focusing on investment strategies and opportunities in various sectors, particularly in TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) and intelligent driving, highlighting the importance of expert insights in navigating the current market landscape [2][4][7]. Group 1: Live Broadcasts Schedule - The live broadcast titled "Will Intelligent Driving Boards Explode? Investment Logic Analysis" is scheduled for August 11 at 14:30, featuring guests from Beixin Ruifeng Fund [4]. - Another session on "TMT Industry Configuration Value for the Second Half of the Year" will take place on August 11 at 16:00, with participation from Jianxin Fund [7]. - A discussion on "A-shares Reach New Highs, Index Investment Strategy Interpretation" is set for August 13 at 10:00, featuring experts from Huaxia Fund [8]. - The topic "Where is the Bull Market Now?" will be addressed on August 13 at 10:30 by Hongyi Yuanfang Fund [11]. - A session on "Investment Opportunities in Specialized and Innovative Small Giants on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board" is scheduled for August 13 at 14:00, with insights from Dongfang Fund [14]. - The broadcast on "The Configuration Value of Commodity ETFs and QDII Indices" will occur on August 14 at 16:00, featuring Jianxin Fund [19]. - A session titled "Humanoid Robots: Don't Miss the Opportunity" will be held on August 8 at 15:30, with participation from Tongtai Fund [22]. Group 2: Engagement and Incentives - The article encourages audience participation through interactive sessions on the Tian Tian Fund APP, offering prizes such as Huawei headphones and JD gift cards [4]. - The broadcasts cover trending topics, aiming to attract a wide audience interested in investment strategies and market trends [4][7].

Core Insights - The investment landscape for humanoid robots has shifted dramatically from initial hesitation to a growing consensus among investors to avoid projects focused solely on the physical body of robots [1][2][3] - The year 2024 has seen over 50 financing rounds for humanoid robot companies in China, with total funding exceeding 50 billion RMB, indicating a significant interest in the sector [3][5] - Investors are increasingly focusing on the underlying technology and commercial viability of humanoid robots, rather than just the physical aspects, leading to a diversification in investment strategies [6][8] Investment Trends - The trend has evolved from embracing humanoid robots to recognizing their high valuations, leading to a consensus that projects focused solely on the physical body are less attractive [3][5] - In the first quarter of 2025, over 30 financing events were recorded, totaling more than 40 billion RMB, with a significant portion of investments exceeding 1 billion RMB [5] - Investors are now looking at more nuanced aspects of the industry, such as the algorithms and upstream components, rather than just the humanoid robots themselves [6][8] Market Dynamics - The market for core components of humanoid robots is projected to exceed 500 billion RMB by 2030, highlighting the potential for significant financial returns in this area [5][6] - The investment approach is reminiscent of the early days of the electric vehicle industry, where initial focus on complete vehicles shifted towards components and systems [6][8] - Companies are increasingly tying their products to specific applications and scenarios, which is seen as a more pragmatic approach to commercialization [10][11] Future Outlook - The concept of "body+" is emerging, emphasizing the importance of technological breakthroughs alongside the physical robot, which is crucial for attracting investment [8][9] - Investors are prioritizing companies that demonstrate practical commercial applications and have established partnerships with larger enterprises [10][11] - The overall sentiment among investors is one of cautious optimism, balancing the potential for innovation with the risks associated with high-tech investments [11]

Group 1: Core Insights - Humanoid robots can drive smarter automation, reduce costs, and enhance human labor productivity, but improper investment questions can lead to high costs and counterproductive outcomes [1][4] - The rapid development of general-purpose humanoid robots, driven by advancements in generative AI, mechatronics, and simulation technology, may reshape labor dynamics across various industries [3][4] - The cost of manufacturing humanoid robots has decreased by 40% in recent years, with projections indicating a drop from approximately $58,000 to $20,000 per robot by 2032 [4] Group 2: Investment Considerations - Companies must evaluate the specific roles humanoid robots can play in their operations, focusing on areas where they can outperform traditional industrial robots and create greater value [6] - A comprehensive cost-benefit analysis is essential for humanoid robot investments, considering both direct and indirect costs, with Robot as a Service (RaaS) offering a more cost-effective entry point [12] Group 3: Application Areas - Humanoid robots have proven valuable in manufacturing and warehousing, addressing labor shortages and performing hazardous tasks, with 58% of large factory managers believing they will become a cost-effective assembly standard by 2040 [7] - In healthcare, humanoid robots can assist with daily tasks for the elderly and those with special needs, demonstrating positive outcomes in social interaction and communication skills for children with autism [9] - In customer service, humanoid robots are increasingly being adopted in retail and hospitality sectors, particularly for tasks that are monotonous, dangerous, or repetitive [10] Group 4: Integration and Collaboration - Effective integration of humanoid robots into existing processes requires a focus on optimizing broader organizational workflows rather than isolated tasks [13] - Ensuring safe collaboration between personnel and humanoid robots is crucial, necessitating a culture of human-robot collaboration and adherence to safety best practices [14][15] Group 5: Future Outlook - The future of work is evolving with humanoid robots becoming integral to the workforce, offering new growth opportunities, efficiency improvements, and enhanced innovation capabilities [17]