低估值价值投资策略
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中庚基金刘晟:坚持低估值价值策略 构建穿越周期的科学组合
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-11-17 00:55
Core Viewpoint - Liu Zheng's investment strategy emphasizes a low valuation value investment approach, which has shown resilience and adaptability in the face of market fluctuations, leading to a year-to-date return exceeding 50% as of November 7, 2023 [1][5]. Investment Strategy - Liu Zheng's investment framework is rooted in a "low valuation value investment strategy," which has been validated through multiple market cycles and is considered scientifically sound and sustainable [2]. - The selection of stocks is deemed the lifeline of the portfolio, focusing on fundamental clues and valuation safety margins to identify undervalued assets with high implied returns and clear risk-reward characteristics [2]. - The strategy is not static; it evolves through practice, incorporating risk management indicators, especially after expanding into Hong Kong stocks, to address higher market volatility [2]. Market Perspective - Liu Zheng maintains a cautious stance towards high-growth sectors like AI, questioning the sustainability of high ROE in such environments and advocating for a return to fundamental business logic [3]. - The investment strategy prioritizes a comprehensive understanding of risk-reward ratios over rigid left-side or right-side positioning, allowing for flexibility in purchasing decisions based on future growth potential [3]. Market Outlook - The current equity market is viewed positively, with expectations of a cyclical recovery in active equity funds as economic conditions improve, providing fertile ground for excess returns [5]. - Liu Zheng identifies structural opportunities in sectors such as domestic demand, resources, midstream manufacturing, and technology, despite existing macroeconomic pressures [5]. - The risk premium levels in the market remain above historical medians, indicating that overall valuations are still within a reasonable range [5]. Hong Kong Market Analysis - The Hong Kong market is characterized by a low equity risk premium, with significant discounts for H-shares compared to A-shares, presenting unique investment opportunities [6]. - Liu Zheng highlights the presence of high-quality assets in the Hong Kong market that are not easily found in the A-share market, reinforcing the case for portfolio diversification [6]. - The analysis suggests that despite short-term uncertainties, there is confidence in the long-term potential of the Hong Kong market, driven by structural factors and relative valuation advantages [6].
坚持低估值价值策略 构建穿越周期的科学组合
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-11-16 20:13
Core Viewpoint - Liu Zheng's investment strategy emphasizes a low-valuation value investment approach, which has shown resilience and adaptability, leading to a year-to-date return exceeding 50% as of November 7, 2023 [1][3] Investment Strategy - The investment framework is rooted in a "low-valuation value investment strategy," which has been validated through multiple market cycles and is considered scientifically sound and sustainable [1] - Stock selection alpha is deemed essential for the portfolio's survival, focusing on fundamentally sound companies with low valuations and high implied returns [1] - The strategy is not static; it evolves through practice, incorporating risk management and liquidity considerations, especially when expanding into Hong Kong stocks [1] Market Perspective - Liu Zheng maintains a cautious stance towards high-growth sectors like AI, questioning the sustainability of high ROE in such environments and advocating for a return to fundamental business logic [2] - The current equity market is viewed positively, with expectations of a cyclical recovery in active equity funds as economic conditions improve [3] - Structural opportunities are identified in domestic demand, resources, midstream manufacturing, and technology sectors, despite existing macroeconomic pressures [3] Market Valuation Insights - The dynamic assessment of market conditions indicates that the risk premium for the CSI 800 index remains above historical medians, suggesting overall valuations are still reasonable [4] - In contrast, the Hong Kong market shows a low risk premium due to high benchmark yields, presenting unique investment opportunities, particularly in H-shares that are undervalued compared to A-shares [4]
中庚基金刘晟: 坚持低估值价值策略 构建穿越周期的科学组合
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-11-16 20:09
Core Viewpoint - Liu Zheng's investment strategy emphasizes a low-valuation value investment approach, which has shown resilience and adaptability, achieving over 50% annual returns as of November 7 this year [1][5]. Investment Strategy - Liu Zheng's investment framework is rooted in a "low-valuation value investment strategy," which has been validated through multiple market cycles and is considered scientifically sound and sustainable [2]. - Stock selection alpha is deemed the lifeline of the portfolio, focusing on fundamental clues and valuation safety margins to identify undervalued stocks with high implied returns and clear risk-reward characteristics [2]. - The strategy is not static; it evolves through practice, incorporating risk management indicators, especially after expanding into Hong Kong stocks [2]. Market Perspective - Liu Zheng maintains a cautious stance towards high-growth sectors like AI, questioning the sustainability of high ROE in such environments and emphasizing a return to fundamental business logic [3]. - The core of the strategy is not about "left-side" or "right-side" buying but ensuring a "low valuation throughout the entire lifecycle" with a favorable risk-reward ratio [3]. Current Market Outlook - Liu Zheng is optimistic about the equity market, believing that active equity funds are experiencing a cyclical return as the economy begins to recover [5]. - He identifies structural opportunities in domestic demand, resources, midstream manufacturing, and technology sectors, despite ongoing macroeconomic pressures [5]. - The investment team uses a dynamic assessment model based on equity risk premium, indicating that the current valuation remains within a reasonable range despite recent market increases [5]. Hong Kong Market Analysis - The Hong Kong market is characterized by a low equity risk premium, with the Hang Seng Index's risk-free rate benchmark remaining high compared to U.S. Treasury yields [6]. - Liu Zheng highlights three considerations for investing in Hong Kong stocks: significant discounts of 30%-50% for H-shares compared to A-shares, unique high-quality assets in the Hong Kong market, and the relative undervaluation of certain stocks due to structural market factors [6].
中庚基金刘晟:坚守价值投资 以选股阿尔法应对波动
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-11-02 14:37
Core Viewpoint - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of stock selection alpha as a key support for navigating market cycles and achieving long-term returns through a low-valuation value investment strategy [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Strategy - The investment strategy is centered around low-valuation value investing, focusing on "valuation + fundamentals" to identify high cost-performance targets [2][3]. - The company maintains a balanced approach in asset and industry allocation, avoiding excessive deviation while leveraging stock selection alpha to convert previous negative excess returns into positive ones [2][3]. - The investment team evaluates valuation levels, implied returns, and risk-reward characteristics of targets, adjusting positions when risk-reward ratios become unbalanced [3]. Group 2: Market Outlook - The company views both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks as part of Chinese equity assets, highlighting the value of scarce assets in Hong Kong and the significant discounts (up to 50%) of certain stocks compared to A-shares [4]. - The focus areas for investment include sectors with strong growth potential such as new energy, AI, and pharmaceuticals, as well as attractive pricing in domestic demand sectors like steel structures and real estate [5]. - The company acknowledges potential short-term market adjustments but maintains a long-term perspective, emphasizing high implied returns and a cautious approach to emerging industries and market opportunities [5].
混合类理财也分红:兴银理财“阿尔法2号”交出一份亮眼成绩单
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-08-06 12:21
Group 1 - The investment enthusiasm in the equity market has been reignited this year, with major indices showing significant gains, including the Hang Seng Index and the Hang Seng Tech Index, which rose by 23.5% and 22.05% respectively [1] - Mixed-asset financial products have seen a notable increase in returns due to the stock market rally, with several companies announcing cash dividends for their mixed-asset products [1] - The "Fuli Xingcheng Alpha One Month Holding Period No. 2" product announced a cash dividend of 0.03 yuan per unit, achieving a cumulative net value increase of 18.92% as of July 30 [1][4] Group 2 - Xingyin Wealth Management has adapted to the complex internal and external environment by innovating products and diversifying investment strategies, leading to initial success in its equity investment business [2] - The company has transitioned from a single strategy to a diversified strategy system, covering absolute and relative returns, self-management and co-management, direct stock investment and FOF investment, among others [2] - The "Fuli Xingcheng Alpha One Month Holding Period No. 2" product has a maximum drawdown of only 3.27% since its inception, indicating effective execution of its absolute return strategy [4][6] Group 3 - The "Fuli Xingcheng Alpha One Month Holding Period No. 2" product employs a low valuation value investment strategy, focusing on stocks with low price-to-book ratios and high return on equity [4] - The product manager's compensation is linked to investor interests, as no management fees are charged when the net value falls below 1, and there are no subscription or redemption fees [6] - The "Alpha 1" product, which also follows a low valuation stock selection strategy, achieved a cumulative net value increase of 22.2% as of July 30, 2025 [4][6]