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京东物流(02618):收入增长强劲,人力投入提升导致毛利率略降
Dongxing Securities· 2025-08-15 11:18
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for JD Logistics [4] Core Views - JD Logistics achieved revenue of 98.532 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 14.1%, and a net profit of 2.959 billion yuan, up 15.27% year-on-year [1] - The revenue growth is attributed to strong internal customer revenue growth, with revenue from JD Group increasing by 22.9% to 32.46 billion yuan, while external customer revenue grew by 10.2% to 66.07 billion yuan [1][2] - The number of external integrated supply chain customers increased by 14.5% to 73,700, with average revenue per customer remaining stable at 239,000 yuan [2] - Gross margin slightly decreased from 9.8% to 9.0% due to increased personnel and outsourcing costs, which grew by 17.1% and 19.2% respectively [2] - The company is focusing on technological innovation and overseas expansion, with its overseas warehouses covering 23 countries and regions, and the launch of its self-operated express brand "JoyExpress" in Saudi Arabia [3] Financial Performance Summary - For H1 2025, JD Logistics reported an adjusted net profit of 3.339 billion yuan, a 7.1% increase year-on-year, with Q2 adjusted net profit at 2.588 billion yuan, up 5.4% year-on-year [1][2] - The company forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be 6.85 billion, 7.91 billion, and 8.95 billion yuan respectively [3][10] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 203.84 billion, 218.63 billion, and 233.81 billion yuan, with growth rates of 11.49%, 7.26%, and 6.95% respectively [10]