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资产配置日报:股债共创奇迹日-20250916
HUAXI Securities· 2025-09-16 15:17
Core Insights - The equity market demonstrated resilience with a rebound after a brief pullback, particularly in the technology sector, which remains the main battleground [1][3] - The bond market experienced a long-awaited recovery, with 10-year and 30-year government bond yields rising to 1.81% and 2.11% respectively, before showing signs of repair in the afternoon [1][6] Equity Market Performance - The total trading volume in the A-share market reached 2.37 trillion yuan, an increase of 639 billion yuan compared to the previous day [2] - The ChiNext Index and the Science and Technology Innovation 50 Index rose by 1.32% and 0.68% respectively, while the CSI 300 Index fell by 0.21% [2][3] - Small-cap stocks outperformed larger ones, with the CSI 2000 rising by 1.61% and the micro-cap index increasing by 1.49% [2] Technology Sector Focus - The market remains sensitive to positive news in the technology sector, as evidenced by the 1.32% rise in the Science and Technology Innovation 50 Index following news of Nvidia's antitrust investigation [3] - The SW Robotics Index surged by 3.85%, driven by developments related to Tesla's Optimus robot and significant stock purchases by Elon Musk [3] Bond Market Dynamics - Despite a tight funding environment, the bond market saw a recovery, with yields on 10-year and 30-year government bonds declining to 1.78% and 2.08% respectively after initial increases [6][9] - The central bank's net injection of 400 billion yuan was significantly lower than previous months, indicating a tightening liquidity situation [5][9] Commodity Market Trends - The commodity market experienced a broad rally, particularly in the black series, with coking coal and coke prices rising by 5.8% and 4.2% respectively [9][11] - The low inventory levels and rising demand in the steel sector contributed to the upward price movement, with average daily pig iron production increasing by 5.2% week-on-week [11] Capital Flows and Investor Sentiment - There is a dual focus on both defensive and cyclical investments, with significant inflows into gold and black chain indices, reflecting a recovery in market confidence [10] - The recent policy measures aimed at boosting service consumption are expected to positively impact related sectors such as film, gaming, and tourism [4][11]