Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Buy-A" for the company, with a 6-month target price of 23.70 CNY [4][7]. Core Views - The company is positioned to benefit from a recovery in the industry, driven by supply-side reforms and favorable policies, indicating a high certainty of a fundamental reversal in the industry [4]. - The company has a diversified business model, with significant capabilities in both aquaculture feed and photovoltaic (PV) sectors, making it a global leader in both areas [1][21]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has a strong production capacity, with over 13 million tons of annual feed production, more than 900,000 tons of high-purity polysilicon, and over 150 GW of solar cell production capacity [1][14]. - The company has a history of strategic expansions, including entering the PV industry in 2006 and acquiring key assets to enhance its market position [14]. Photovoltaic Industry - The global PV market is expected to see significant growth, with a projected increase in global installed capacity from 600 GW in 2025 to 730 GW in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.2% [49]. - The report highlights the declining costs of PV generation, with the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) for ground-mounted PV systems expected to fall below 0.25 CNY per kWh by 2025 [43][44]. Company Business Segments - The company has a leading position in the polysilicon market, achieving a global market share of approximately 30% in the first half of 2025, with a significant reduction in production costs [2][22]. - In the solar cell segment, the company maintained its position as the world's largest producer, with sales of 49.89 GW in the first half of 2025, and a cumulative shipment exceeding 300 GW [2][3]. - The company has invested in a global innovation research center to enhance its technological capabilities across various PV technologies, including TOPCon and HJT [3]. Financial Analysis - The company is expected to experience revenue growth rates of -6.3%, 25.3%, and 14.5% from 2025 to 2027, with net profit growth rates of -23.7%, 160.3%, and 39.8% during the same period [4][6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be -1.19 CNY in 2025, 0.72 CNY in 2026, and 1.00 CNY in 2027, indicating a turnaround in profitability by 2026 [4][6].

Core Viewpoint - The market is showing renewed confidence in the photovoltaic sector, with significant gains in related stocks and a notable performance from major companies like Industrial Fulian and Yamaton [1][5][11]. Group 1: Market Performance - On July 8, the photovoltaic sector led the market, with stocks such as Yamaton experiencing a "limit-up" trading session [5][11]. - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.58%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.27%, and the ChiNext Index surged by 2.26% [3][4]. - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 873 billion yuan, an increase of 101.2 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [3]. Group 2: Photovoltaic Sector Insights - The photovoltaic industry is undergoing a "de-involution" with capacity reduction, supported by significant policy guidance [5]. - Major glass manufacturers, including Yamaton, are expected to reduce production by 30% starting in July to alleviate inventory and price pressures [9]. - The market anticipates that the supply-side overcapacity issues in the photovoltaic industry will be addressed, with potential benefits for the silicon material segment due to expected capacity consolidation and production cuts [9]. Group 3: Industrial Fulian's Performance - Industrial Fulian's stock surged to a limit-up, with a total market capitalization of 523.9 billion yuan [11]. - The company is positioned as the exclusive supplier of AI servers for Apple in Vietnam and is involved in the trial production of key components for foldable screens [11]. - Recent reports indicate a year-on-year increase of 8% in iPhone sales in China, marking Apple's first sales growth in the region since Q2 2023 [11].

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic sector is experiencing a significant rebound, with the leading photovoltaic ETF (516290) surging over 4% in trading volume, indicating a potential bottom reversal in the market [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The photovoltaic leading ETF (516290) saw a price increase of 4.47%, reaching 0.444, with a trading volume of 3,842 million [1] - Major component stocks of the ETF, such as Daqo New Energy, Tongwei Co., and Sungrow Power Supply, reported substantial gains, with Daqo New Energy rising over 14% and Tongwei Co. hitting the daily limit [1] Group 2: Industry Insights - In May, the newly installed capacity for photovoltaic systems reached 93 GW, marking a year-on-year increase of 388%, with a historical high of nearly 100 GW in new installations driven by a rush to install [2] - The photovoltaic industry is addressing supply-side excess, with expectations for specific measures to be implemented, which could benefit segments like silicon materials and BC battery efficiency improvements [3] Group 3: Future Outlook - The photovoltaic sector is anticipated to undergo a fundamental recovery, with positive sentiment expected to shift as new technologies and government initiatives promote market clearing [4] - The photovoltaic leading ETF (516290) is highlighted as a low-fee option in the market, with management and custody fees significantly lower than the industry average [4]

Core Viewpoint - The recent meeting held by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) aims to address the challenges faced by the photovoltaic (PV) industry and promote high-quality development, emphasizing the need to combat low-price disorderly competition and support the exit of outdated production capacity [1][2][5]. Group 1: Meeting Overview - The meeting was chaired by MIIT Minister Li Lecheng and included representatives from 14 major PV companies and industry associations, discussing the current state of the industry and providing policy suggestions [1][2]. - Li Lecheng highlighted the achievements of China's PV industry, noting its transformation from weak to strong, and emphasized the importance of maintaining confidence and implementing comprehensive measures for sustainable development [2][3]. Group 2: Industry Challenges and Responses - The meeting addressed the serious supply-demand imbalance in the PV industry, which has led to intense competition and price wars, urging companies to focus on technological innovation and quality [6][7]. - Several company representatives expressed support for the government's initiatives to regulate low-price competition and optimize production capacity, viewing it as an opportunity for leading firms to gain structural advantages [6][7]. Group 3: Future Expectations - There is a growing anticipation within the industry for substantive measures from the government to address the challenges faced by the PV sector, with expectations of targeted policies to facilitate supply-side reforms [7]. - Following the meeting, stock prices of several A-share PV companies have surged, indicating positive market sentiment regarding potential policy changes [7].