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每日市场观-20251212
Caida Securities· 2025-12-12 10:36
Market Overview - After the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, market sentiment has turned cautious due to potential rate hikes from the Bank of Japan[1] - Major A-share indices opened high but closed lower: Shanghai Composite Index down 0.70%, Shenzhen Component down 1.27%, and ChiNext down 1.41%[1] - Total trading volume in both markets reached 1.89 trillion yuan, a slight increase from the previous trading day, but over 4,300 stocks declined, indicating weakened buying momentum[1] Sector Performance - Structural opportunities are concentrated in two main lines: - The renewable energy sector, particularly wind and nuclear power, shows sustained investment value due to policy catalysts[1] - Semiconductor equipment-related ETFs have seen net inflows this week, indicating a potential rebound in the oversold tech sector[1] - The real estate, retail, and cultural media sectors led the decline, while hard tech themes like nuclear fusion received increased funding[1] Economic Outlook - The World Bank has raised its 2025 economic growth forecast for China by 0.4 percentage points, citing more proactive fiscal policies and a diversified export market as key factors[7] - The focus on domestic demand is expected to support resilient and sustainable growth in the coming years[7] Fund Dynamics - In the recent Hong Kong stock market adjustment, public funds are accelerating their investments, with several funds announcing early closures for fundraising[13] - A-share assets have seen increased allocations from fund advisors, indicating a strategic positioning for the upcoming year-end market trends[14]