全球定价权重估
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海外市场持续动荡,A股如何应对?十大券商策略来了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-01 11:56
Group 1: Precious Metals and Market Trends - The precious metals sector is showing increasing speculative attributes, warranting caution [2] - The current market is experiencing a style shift from small-cap to large-cap stocks and from themes to quality [2] - The overall trend indicates a potential for profit margin recovery in cyclical sectors, driven by a shift in Chinese policy from expansion to quality improvement [2] Group 2: AI and Technology Opportunities - There is a focus on AI applications and energy storage as key growth areas, with expectations for recovery in lithium battery materials and storage sectors [3] - The AI industry remains a long-term focus, with significant policy support and market optimism surrounding its applications [5] - The technology theme, including AI applications and structural recovery opportunities, is highlighted as a key area for investment [7] Group 3: Spring Market Dynamics - The spring market is expected to continue its upward trend, supported by ample liquidity and positive domestic fundamentals [5] - High elasticity growth themes may still perform well after a phase of profit-taking, with potential for further gains in February [4] - Sector rotation is anticipated to be a dominant theme leading up to the Spring Festival, with a focus on structural opportunities [9] Group 4: Commodity Recommendations - A recommendation has been made to adjust the order of investment focus to include crude oil, copper, aluminum, tin, and lithium, reflecting a shift towards industrial pricing [8] - The emphasis on physical assets is expected to strengthen, with a focus on sectors like chemicals and consumer goods benefiting from domestic recovery [8] Group 5: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The market sentiment remains cautious but optimistic, with expectations for continued support from domestic policies and liquidity [5][6] - The potential for structural recovery in manufacturing and resource sectors is noted, with clear paths for profit recovery [9] - The upcoming credit and inflation data in January may provide additional positive signals for the market [4]
中信证券:判断本轮ETF集中赎回潮基本结束
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-01 07:29
来源:读创财经综合 中信证券研报认为,判断本轮ETF集中赎回潮基本结束,权重股迎来修复窗口;大周期维度下的风格切 换正在发生,从小盘切大盘,从题材切质量;沃什被提名美联储主席代表了"美国版脱虚向实"的政策意 愿,无论是否能成功践行理念,对全球风险资产的风格都会产生巨大影响。站在A股视角,从资源热到 周期热,涨价线索的全面演绎可能贯穿一季度。周期板块的底层共性是利润率修复空间大,背后是中国 的政策从扩大规模逐步向提质增效的转变。配置的底层思路还是应围绕中国具备竞争优势的行业在全球 定价权的重估,化工、有色、电力设备、新能源的底仓配置思路依然成立,但对投机属性越发明显的贵 金属板块要开始保持警惕;消费和地产链的躁动修复理应发生在春季,这与制造、科技并不对立。 ...
中信证券:脱虚向实,重视涨价线索的扩散
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-01 07:11
炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 来源:中信证券研究 文|裘翔 高玉森 陈泽平 张铭楷 陈峰 刘春彤 我们判断本轮ETF集中赎回潮基本结束,权重股迎来修复窗口;大周期维度下的风格切换正在发生,从 小盘切大盘,从题材切质量;沃什被提名美联储主席代表了"美国版脱虚向实"的政策意愿,无论是否能 成功践行理念,对全球风险资产的风格都会产生巨大影响。站在A股视角,从资源热到周期热,涨价线 索的全面演绎可能贯穿一季度。周期板块的底层共性是利润率修复空间大,背后是中国的政策从扩大规 模逐步向提质增效的转变。配置的底层思路还是应围绕中国具备竞争优势的行业在全球定价权的重估, 化工、有色、电力设备、新能源的底仓配置思路依然成立,但对投机属性越发明显的贵金属板块要开始 保持警惕;消费和地产链的躁动修复理应发生在春季,这与制造、科技并不对立。 ETF集中赎回潮基本结束 权重股迎来修复窗口 沪深300ETF本周累计净赎回2443亿元,与前一周净赎回总额2374亿元相当,不过本周五净赎回额仅为 73亿元,为1月15日以来单日净赎回额首次回落至300亿元以下。1月截至29日,全市场宽基类ETF净赎 ...