全球经济增长担忧

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DLSM外汇平台:油价缘何再度下跌?关税与OPEC+增产预期双压交织
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-11 09:49
Group 1 - International crude oil prices are under pressure, with WTI trading around $66.90 per barrel, down over 2% from the previous trading day, and Brent crude futures closing at $68.64, down 2.21% [1] - Market sentiment is cautious due to concerns over global economic growth stemming from President Trump's tariff policies and the critical turning point in OPEC+ production policies [1][3] - The upcoming trade measures set to take effect on August 1 have raised investor worries about the potential suppression of global trade activity and economic growth, which could negatively impact oil demand [3] Group 2 - OPEC+ is expected to further ease voluntary production cuts in September, with eight member countries anticipated to gradually restore production capacity, indicating a potential oversupply in the global market [3][4] - The Federal Reserve's high interest rate policy is increasing borrowing and investment costs, indirectly suppressing oil demand by limiting the expansion willingness of energy-intensive industries [3][4] - The combination of high interest rates and impeded global trade growth is creating a "double pressure" scenario on oil prices, leading to a potential short-term downward risk [4]
金属多飘绿 期铜创近一周新低,因美元走强和经济增长担忧【6月19日LME收盘】
Wen Hua Cai Jing· 2025-06-20 00:53
Group 1 - LME copper prices fell to a near one-week low due to a stronger dollar and increasing concerns over global economic growth, with three-month copper down by $40.5 or 0.42% to $9,615 per ton [1][2] - Other base metals also experienced declines, with three-month aluminum down by $25.5 or 1% to $2,521.5 per ton, while zinc saw a slight increase of $4 or 0.15% to $2,640.5 per ton [2] - LME copper has rebounded 19% since hitting a near 19-month low of $8,105 in April [3] Group 2 - Concerns over regional tensions have strengthened the dollar, which typically weakens the prices of dollar-denominated commodities, leading to a cautious stance among funds [4] - A decrease in trading activity was noted as U.S. traders were absent due to the June holiday [4] - LME copper inventories decreased by 4,025 tons to 103,325 tons, marking the lowest level in over a year [7] Group 3 - The U.S. market has seen an influx of copper due to expectations of tariffs on copper imports, resulting in a premium for copper in the U.S. [8] - The aluminum market in the U.S. is experiencing a decline in premiums, with a drop of over 7% in consumer purchases, amid speculation of potential tariff reductions on Canadian aluminum imports [9] - The global lead market is projected to shift to a surplus of 6,900 tons by April 2025, contrasting with a shortage of 11,900 tons in March [9]