Report Summary 1. Core View - The report presents the price changes of various international varieties from February 13th, 15:00 to February 23rd, 18:00 in 2026, including stock indices, commodities, and currency indices [3]. 2. Key Points by Category Stock Indices - The FTSE A50 Index rose from 14,684 to 14,919, a 1.60% increase [3]. - The Hang Seng Index increased from 26,595.15 to 27,081.91, a 1.83% rise [3]. - The Dow Jones Industrial Index went up from 49,451.98 to 49,625.97, a 0.35% increase [3]. - The S&P 500 Index climbed from 6,832.76 to 6,909.51, a 1.12% gain [3]. - The NASDAQ Composite Index advanced from 22,597.15 to 22,886.07, a 1.28% increase [3]. - The Nikkei 225 Index dropped from 56,941.97 to 56,825.7, a 0.20% decline [3]. Commodity Indices - The Baltic Dry Index decreased from 2,083 to 2,043, a 1.92% fall [3]. Energy Commodities - Brent Crude Oil rose from $67.55 to $71.04, a 5.17% increase [3]. - US Crude Oil increased from $62.83 to $66.23, a 5.41% rise [3]. Precious Metals - CMX Gold climbed from $4,986.7 to $5,170.1, a 3.68% gain [3]. - CMX Silver advanced from $77.105 to $86.515, a 12.20% increase [3]. Base Metals - LME Copper rose from $12,894.5 to $12,966, a 0.55% increase [3]. - LME Aluminum increased from $3,062.5 to $3,102.5, a 1.31% rise [3]. - LME Zinc went up from $3,352.5 to $3,377.5, a 0.75% increase [3]. - LME Lead dropped from $1,976.5 to $1,963, a 0.68% decline [3]. - LME Nickel advanced from $17,255 to $17,600, a 2.00% increase [3]. - LME Tin climbed from $46,940 to $47,500, a 1.19% gain [3]. Iron Ore - TSI Iron Ore decreased from $97.15 to $95.85, a 1.34% fall [3]. Agricultural Commodities - CBOT Soybeans rose from $1,134.75 to $1,146.75, a 1.06% increase [3]. - CBOT Soybean Meal increased from $308.6 to $309.7, a 0.36% rise [3]. - CBOT Soybean Oil advanced from $57.26 to $59.67, a 4.21% increase [3]. - CBOT Corn climbed from $430.25 to $438.75, a 1.98% gain [3]. - CBOT Wheat rose from $550.75 to $575.75, a 4.54% increase [3]. - MDE Crude Palm Oil increased from 3,996 to 4,084, a 2.20% rise [3]. - ICE No. 2 Cotton advanced from 64.26 to 65.46, a 1.87% increase [3]. - ICE No. 11 Sugar climbed from 13.53 to 13.9, a 2.73% gain [3]. Currency Indices - The US Dollar Index rose from 97.0775 to 97.6349, a 0.57% increase [3]. Currency Pairs - The US Dollar against Offshore RMB decreased from 6.908 to 6.8852, a 0.33% decline [3].

美联储内部分歧加剧，降息预期生变 在2月23日期货日报全新打造的深度对话直播栏目"期货相对论"第二期中，全球帝纳波利点位交易法专 家、美国黄金率投资咨询有限公司总经理曾星认为，近期美国市场发生的两件大事对美联储未来的货币 政策路径及全球市场构成了潜在的重大影响。第一，美联储公布的1月货币政策会议纪要显示，美联储 官员在利率前景问题上出现明显分歧，降息、暂停降息、加息三种可能性均被提及。第二，美国商务部 经济分析局（BEA）最新公布的数据显示，美联储最青睐的通胀指标——美国2025年12月核心PCE物价 指数同比增长3.0%，环比增长0.4%，均高于预期。目前，市场对美联储降息的预期减弱，甚至有交易 员认为可能会加息。 春节假期期间，全球宏观面不平静，美国关税政策突变、地缘冲突发酵等重大事件接连发生，引发主要 资产价格剧烈波动，这为节后国内市场开盘增添了几分不确定性。 春节假期间国际市场重大事件及外盘品种涨跌如何影响国内市场？哪些品种有补涨的机会？交易者该如 何应对？我们来看看专业人士的观点。 | 令和 | 2.13 | 2.23 | 价格波动 | 价格 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | ...

来源：期货日报 春节假期期间，全球宏观面不平静，美国关税政策突变、地缘冲突发酵等重大事件接连发生，引发主要 资产价格剧烈波动，这为节后国内市场开盘增添了几分不确定性。 春节假期间国际市场重大事件及外盘品种涨跌如何影响国内市场？哪些品种有补涨的机会？交易者该如 何应对？我们来看看专业人士的观点。 | 合约 | 2.13 | 2.23 | 价格波动 | 价格 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 国内收盘 | 18时价格 | | 波动比例 | | CMX银 | 77.135 | 86.505 | 9.37 | 12.15% | | 美原油 | 62.83 | 66.18 | 3.35 | 5.33% | | 布伦特油 | 67.54 | 71.01 | 3.47 | 5.14% | | 美豆油 | 57.26 | 59.72 | 2.46 | 4.30% | | CMX金 | 4987.5 | 5170.8 | 183.3 | 3.68% | | 日胶 | 347.1 | 358.3 | 11.2 | 3.23% | | 美白糖 | 13.53 | 13.89 | 0.36 ...

Core Viewpoint - Domestic oil prices are expected to increase by 115 yuan/ton, translating to a rise of 0.09-0.10 yuan per liter during the Spring Festival holiday [1] Group 1: International Oil Prices - As of the latest update, U.S. crude oil is priced at $62.32 per barrel, showing a slight increase of 0.16% [3] - The previous day saw a decline in international oil prices, with U.S. crude dropping by 2.17% to $62.3 per barrel and Brent crude falling by 1.73% to $67.41 per barrel [3] - The drop in oil prices was influenced by progress in U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations, which eased geopolitical risks and reduced the risk premium on oil [3] - However, ongoing tensions from U.S.-Russia-Ukraine talks have limited the extent of the price decline, contributing to market volatility [3] Group 2: Domestic Oil Prices - The upcoming adjustment for domestic oil prices is scheduled for February 24 at 24:00 [3] - Current prices for 92-octane gasoline and 95-octane gasoline in major cities are as follows: - Beijing: 6.94 and 7.39 yuan per liter - Shanghai: 6.90 and 7.34 yuan per liter - Guangdong: 6.96 and 7.54 yuan per liter - Hainan: 8.05 and 8.55 yuan per liter [4][5][6][7]

Market Overview - Gold prices experienced a decline, with the latest price reported at $4986.47 per ounce, down 0.65% from an opening price of $5019.14 per ounce, reaching a high of $5030.62 and a low of $4954.42 [1] - The U.S. inflation data for January was below expectations, reigniting hopes for a Federal Reserve rate cut this year, overshadowing the strong employment data from the previous week [1] - The S&P 500 index saw a slight increase due to favorable inflation data, while the Nasdaq index declined under pressure from major tech stocks [2] - The market is cautious ahead of the U.S. Presidents' Day holiday, with significant volatility expected as midterm elections approach and potential changes in Federal Reserve leadership loom [2] Gold Market - Gold prices rose over 2% last Friday, closing the week higher at $5022.06 per ounce, with a weekly increase of 1.2% [3] - The easing inflation concerns have alleviated market tensions, leading to a bullish sentiment for gold, with expectations of a cumulative rate cut of 63 basis points this year, the first cut anticipated in July [3] - Demand for gold remains strong in China ahead of the Spring Festival, while the Indian market has shifted to a discount [3] - ANZ has raised its second-quarter gold price forecast to $5800 per ounce, citing increased attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset [3] Oil Market - International oil prices saw a slight increase, with Brent crude futures rising by 0.3% to $67.75 per barrel, and U.S. crude futures up by 0.08% to $62.89 per barrel [4] - Despite the slight rebound, both benchmarks recorded weekly declines, influenced by concerns over OPEC+ potentially resuming production increases [4] - The U.S. inflation data has improved risk appetite, which may positively impact economic growth and energy demand [4] Currency Market - The U.S. dollar remained stable against major currencies, with January inflation data suggesting the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates unchanged [5] - The Japanese yen experienced its strongest weekly gain in about 15 months, supported by political stability following the recent election [6] - The Australian dollar has shown significant performance, becoming the best-performing major currency of 2026 so far, despite a slight decline at the end of the New York session [7]

原油最新行情趋势分析： 原油消息面解析：周五亚盘时段，美原油小幅反弹，交投于63美元/桶附近，重回区间震荡下沿。基本 面上国际能源署（IEA）发布月度报告指出，随着供应扩张与需求放缓同步出现，全球原油市场供需结 构明显恶化。2025年全球原油库存增加4.77亿桶，累库速度为2020年以来最快。OECD国家库存四年来 首次高于五年均值，标志市场重新进入过剩周期。在需求端，IEA将2025年全球石油需求增长下调至日 均76.9万桶，反映经济前景不确定性与高油价对消费形成压制。2026年需求预计增长84.9万桶，总需求 达到1.0487亿桶/日，但仍难以消化供应扩张。 原油技术面分析：原油从日线图级别看，油价结束连续收阳局面，K线收大实体阴线。均线系统仍依托 油价多头排列，中期客观趋势方向看涨不变。MACD指标在零轴上方，多头动能占优势，预计原油中期 走势呈上行节奏。原油短线（1H）走势在区间上沿形成次要震荡节奏，回落力度有限。短线客观趋势 方向呈震荡节奏。关注区间上沿的阻力作用，预计日内原油走势将突破形成上涨的概率较大。综合来 看，原油今日操作思路上建议以回踩低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期关注64.0-65.0 ...

Core Viewpoint - The current expectation is for a price increase of 130 yuan per ton for oil, translating to an increase of 0.09-0.11 yuan per liter, which is significantly above the adjustment threshold, indicating a substantial rise in oil prices [1] Group 1: Oil Price Adjustments - The anticipated increase in domestic oil prices has been reduced by 10 yuan per ton due to a decrease in international oil prices, which is a positive sign despite the overall upward trend [3] - The new round of oil price adjustments is scheduled for February 24 at 24:00 [4] Group 2: International Oil Market Dynamics - International oil prices experienced a significant drop, with West Texas Intermediate (WTI) down by 3.05% to $62.91 per barrel and Brent crude down by 2.97% to $67.55 per barrel [3] - The EIA reported an increase in crude oil inventories by 8.53 million barrels, contrary to market expectations of a decrease, reinforcing concerns about weak oil demand [3] - The IEA has revised its global oil demand growth forecast for 2026 down from 930,000 barrels per day to 850,000 barrels per day, indicating a slowdown in demand growth and ongoing supply surplus [4] Group 3: Regional Fuel Prices - Current fuel prices across various regions in China show a range for 92 octane gasoline from 6.76 to 8.05 yuan per liter, with 95 octane gasoline ranging from 7.23 to 9.54 yuan per liter [5][6]

原油消息面解析：周二（北京时间2月10日）亚市早盘，美原油交投于64.47美元/桶附近，油价周一上 涨超过1%，主要受地缘政治紧张局势推动。油价周一上涨超过1%，主要受地缘政治紧张局势推动。此 前美国交通部发布公告，建议悬挂美国国旗的船只通过霍尔木兹海峡和阿曼湾时尽可能远离伊朗领海， 引发市场对石油供应可能中断的担忧。全球约五分之一的石油消费量经由该海峡运输。投资者也在关注 西方针对俄罗斯石油出口的进一步制裁动向。欧盟委员会已提议全面禁止任何支持俄罗斯海上原油出口 的服务，旨在遏制其用于乌克兰战争的收入来源。分析师指出，近期油价走势将更多取决于与伊朗相关 的风险溢价变化，而非单纯的石油基本面。 原油技术面分析：原油从日线图级别看，油价结束连续收阳局面，K线收大实体阴线。均线系统仍依托 油价多头排列，中期客观趋势方向看涨不变。MACD指标在零轴上方，多头动能占优势，预计原油中期 走势呈上行节奏。原油短线（1H）走势陷入区间震荡节奏，油价上下穿越均线系统，区间波幅在65.50- 62.20之间。MACD指标在零轴位置反复穿越，多空力度互相交替。预计日内原油走势仍将维持在区间 内波动为主，保持区间操作思路。综合来看 ...

北京时间2月5日晚，美股三大指数低开，截至发稿前，道指下跌0.43%，纳指下跌0.52%，标普500指数下跌0.50%。 现货黄金、白银下跌，截至发稿，现货黄金下跌3.18%，现货白银下跌15%。 | | 伦敦金现 00 AUUSDO 责 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 4851.800 | 5020.070 昨收 4783.150 买价 | 5010. 4851.1 | | -159.130 -3.18% 开 | 5011.070 卖价 | 4853.4 | | 同花顺黄金 2 | 银行金价 1089.05 -1.94% | | | 相当 ETE の | TIn L 塩 S ETE - Z 160/ / | | | 布伦特原油主连， | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | BRNOW 外期 延時 | | | | | 68.95 振幅 67.67 | 回应 | 2.51% 量 19.05 | | | 67.21 昨结 | ਜ਼ਿੰ | 69.46 持仓 60.78 | | | -1.79 -2.58% 开 68.52 今结 | | 日増 +85 | | | ...

本报（chinatimes.net.cn）记者何一华 李未来 北京报道 国内成品油价格开启2026年第二轮上涨。 2月3日下午，国家发改委发布公告称，近期国际市场油价波动上升，根据2月3日的前10个工作日平均价 格与上次调价前10个工作日平均价格对比情况，按照现行成品油价格机制，自2月3日24时起，国内汽、 柴油价格每吨分别上涨205元和195元。 本次涨价政策落实之后，用油成本有所上涨。卓创资讯测算，油箱容量在50升的小型私家车加满一箱油 将比之前多花8元左右。以月跑两千公里，百公里油耗在8升的小型私家车为例，到下次调价窗口也就是 2月24日24点之前，消费者用油成本将增加18元。 与此同时，物流行业，以月跑10000公里，百公里油耗在38L的重型卡车为例，在下次调价窗口开启 前，单辆车的燃油成本将增加452元左右。 隆众资讯成品油分析师徐雯雯告诉记者，本轮调价后，全国大多数地区车柴价格6.6—6.8元/升，92号汽 油零售限价在6.9—7.0元/升。 地缘冲突扰动 近期两周左右时间，原油价格持续走高，以美原油为例，最低处于55美元/桶，最高涨到66美元/桶，上 涨幅度超过10美元/桶；布伦特原油期货价格更 ...