养殖产能去化

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多家养殖公司公布5月份销售数据 业界预测龙头企业有望保持盈利
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-06-15 16:10
截至6月15日,多家养殖上市公司发布了5月份的销售数据。 其中,新希望5月份销售生猪133.39万头,环比变动-16.42%,同比变动-2.41%,商品猪销售均价14.59 元/公斤,环比变动-0.75%,同比变动-5.38%;温氏股份(300498)5月份销售生猪315.54万头,环比变 动-0.64%、同比变动32.64%,毛猪销售均价14.68元/公斤,环比变动-1.61%,同比变动-7.26%。 接受《证券日报》记者采访的行业人士表示,虽然销售情况有所下滑,但生猪养殖端已经连续12个月实 现盈利,且从监测数据研判,今年生猪养殖行业价格波动不会太过明显,龙头企业仍将保持盈利。 "随着气温逐渐升高,终端猪肉消费较为疲软,同时,夏季生猪生长速度减慢,导致可出栏生猪数量阶 段减少,供需双双减少,猪价波动不大,生猪养殖端仍有可能在未来一定时间段内处于盈利状态。"卓 创资讯(301299)生猪分析师朱泽坤告诉《证券日报》记者,今年前5个月的数据显示,仔猪销售利润 较为丰厚,养殖端主动减产能的意向不强,生猪产能去化缓慢。目前市场生猪产能及生猪供应仍处于较 为充沛的状态,而养殖环节中的主要投入饲料成本较2023年显著 ...
农业周报:重视粮食安全和养殖产能去化-20250428
Tai Ping Yang Zheng Quan· 2025-04-28 14:13
Investment Rating - The overall industry rating is positive, with expectations for higher returns compared to the CSI 300 index in the next six months [52]. Core Views - The agricultural product prices have shown a divergence recently, with grain prices continuing to rise while livestock prices have stabilized after an initial increase. The importance of domestic food security has been highlighted by tariff countermeasures, and the policy environment for industry development is expected to continue improving, indicating ongoing investment opportunities in the sector [5][18]. - The livestock industry chain is experiencing stagnation in production capacity growth, with the valuation of the sector at a low point, suggesting long-term investment opportunities. The average price of live pigs is currently 14.95 yuan/kg, reflecting a slight decrease from the previous week [5][19]. - The poultry sector is witnessing fluctuations in chicken prices, with the average price for white feather broilers at 3.73 yuan/kg, down 0.02 yuan from last week. The industry is advised to monitor the impacts of avian influenza and tariff countermeasures [21][20]. Summary by Sections Livestock Industry Chain - **Pork**: The production capacity growth has stagnated, and the sector's valuation is at a historical low, indicating potential long-term investment value. The average price of live pigs is 14.95 yuan/kg, down 0.02 yuan from last week [5][19]. - **Poultry**: The average price for white feather broilers is 3.73 yuan/kg, down 0.02 yuan from last week. The industry is advised to monitor the impacts of avian influenza and tariff countermeasures [21][20]. - **Eggs**: The average price for yellow chickens has shown a slight increase, with prices at 10.69 yuan/kg for Lihua yellow chickens, up 0.32 yuan from last month [21]. Planting Industry Chain - **Seed Industry**: The recent announcement of 99 genetically modified corn and soybean varieties pending approval indicates a significant expansion in domestic GM crop varieties, which is expected to enhance agricultural production efficiency [22]. - **Grain Prices**: Recent increases in grain prices, with corn at 2291 yuan/ton and wheat at 2434 yuan/ton, suggest potential investment opportunities in the context of reduced imports and tariff measures against U.S. agricultural products [22][11]. Recommended Companies - The report recommends several companies for investment, including: - Zhongchong Co., Ltd. (Buy) - Muyuan Foods Co., Ltd. (Buy) - Suqian Agricultural Development Co., Ltd. (Buy) [3].