猪鸡价格冰火两重天，玉米景气继续提升 [Table_Industry] 农业 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 王艳君(分析师) | 021-38674633 | wangyanjun2@gtht.com | S0880520100002 | | 林逸丹(分析师) | 021-38038436 | linyidan@gtht.com | S0880524090001 | | 巩健(分析师) | 021-23185702 | gongjian@gtht.com | S0880525040051 | 本报告导读： 养殖：猪鸡价格年后冰火两重天。种植：看好种植景气度提升。宠物: 汇率因素影响 短期出口表现，看好国内市场增长。 投资要点： [关注原油价格波动对油脂的影响。 Table_Summary] 投资建议：生猪推荐标的：牧原股份、温氏股份；后周期推荐标的：科前生 物、海大集团。农产品产业链推荐标的：晨光生物、诺普信、国投丰乐，相 关标的：康农种业、苏垦农发、北大荒。宠物推荐标的：乖宝宠物、中宠股 份、瑞普生物、佩 ...

2025年度业绩快报公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性依法承担法律责任。 本公告所载2025年度主要财务数据为初步核算数据，未经会计师事务所审计，具体数据以公司2025年年 度报告为准，提请投资者注意投资风险。 一、2025年度主要财务数据和指标 证券代码：688098 证券简称：申联生物公告编号：2026-007 申联生物医药（上海）股份有限公司 单位：人民币 万元 ■ 注：1．本报告期初数同法定披露的上年年末数。 2．每股收益、每股净资产计算时发行在外的总股本以扣减回购专用账户中的股份后的股本数为准。以 上财务数据及指标以合并报表数据填列，但未经审计，最终结果以公司2025年年度报告为准。 3．以上数据若有尾差，为四舍五入所致。 二、经营业绩和财务状况情况说明 （一）报告期的经营情况、财务状况及影响经营业绩的主要因素 1、报告期的经营情况、财务状况 报告期内，公司实现营业收入28,826.65万元，较上年减少4.99%；归属于母公司所有者的净利 润-1,909.07万元，较上年减亏57.33%。 报告期末，总资产为15 ...

李若熙 17611619787，lirx@avicsec.com 行情回顾 （2.07-2.21） 申万农林牧渔行业（-2.10%），申万行业排名（28/31）； 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ （来源：中航证券研究） 如您需要报告全文，可联系研究所销售团队： 陈艺丹 18611188969，chenyd@avicsec.com 李裕淇 18674857775，liyuq@avicsec.com 李友琳 18665808487，liyoul@avicsec.com 交易上，关注产能去化趋势中的板块机会。一是生猪周期轮转不止，配合"反内卷"政策引导，产能有望合理调减，猪价预期和生猪板块走势有望演绎。二 是生猪行业优势企业价值属性增强。长期稳态下生猪养殖产业整体将保持一定的利润水平，而行业具备养殖管理和成本优势的企业望保持较好盈利能力。 行业前期产能扩张的财务压力释放，产业优质企业的自由现金流大幅改善，支撑相关生猪企业估值。三是生猪行业优势企业红利属性增强。优质养殖企业 重视并不断提升股东回报，生猪板块优质标的的长期红利属性和配置价值有望愈加显著。四是生猪头部企业推进全球 ...

Group 1: Market Trends Post-Spring Festival - The Shanghai Composite Index shows a significant upward trend after the Spring Festival, with probabilities of increases over 5, 10, 20, and 30 days being 75%, 70%, 80%, and 60% respectively, and median gains of 1.64%, 1.32%, 9.45%, and 3.88% [1] - Over the past decade, the coal, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and defense industries have performed well in the month following the Spring Festival, with the computer industry leading in the last two years [1] Group 2: Industry Performance Data - Historical data shows varying performance across industries during the Spring Festival period, with coal, environmental protection, and agriculture showing notable gains in specific years, such as coal in 2016 with a maximum gain of 10.34% and agriculture in 2019 with a maximum gain of 19.78% [2] - The report indicates that the coal industry is expected to see a significant increase in production capacity in 2026, with an anticipated rise of 0.7 billion tons, while also highlighting a potential reduction in capacity by 1.5 billion tons due to policy changes [2] Group 3: Agricultural Sector Insights - The agricultural sector is projected to experience a gradual recovery in pig prices by 2026, driven by a reduction in breeding sow capacity, which is expected to improve profitability for leading pig farming companies [3] - The report emphasizes opportunities in the poultry sector, particularly for leading chicken farming companies, and highlights the growth potential in the pet market [3] Group 4: Defense Industry Outlook - The defense industry is poised for growth in 2026, driven by geopolitical factors and advancements in military technology, with a focus on precision-guided munitions, unmanned systems, and networked battlefield capabilities [4] - Key recommendations include investments in missile weaponry, new aviation equipment, unmanned systems, and commercial aerospace sectors, with specific companies highlighted for their strategic positions within these industries [5]

Group 1: Swine Farming - In 2025, pig prices are expected to fluctuate downward, with an average price of 13.73 yuan/kg, a year-on-year decrease of 18.2%, leading to significant declines in the performance of listed companies in the swine sector [1] - Some companies are outperforming the industry with profits of 150-200 yuan per head, while one company has a projected total cost of approximately 11.4 yuan/kg by Q4 2025 [1] - The industry is expected to gradually reduce production capacity in H1 2026, with a potential recovery in pig prices anticipated in H2 2026 and 2027 [1] Group 2: Poultry Farming - The poultry industry has been experiencing low price fluctuations since 2025 due to high production capacity and weak consumer demand, with profits for the year expected to decline [2] - The sales of grandparent and parent stock chicks remain relatively high, which may suppress the price rebound in 2026 [2] - The impact of overseas avian influenza on breeding shortages and consumer recovery will be closely monitored [2] Group 3: Post-Cycle Farming - The feed and animal health industries are experiencing upward trends in 2025 due to recovery in livestock and aquaculture stocks, with many companies achieving high growth [3] - However, growth rates began to slow down from Q3 2025, prompting leading companies to seek breakthroughs through international expansion and new product development [3] - A further slowdown in domestic growth is anticipated in 2026, with recommendations for high-quality feed stocks and leading animal health companies [3] Group 4: Mushroom Industry - The mushroom sector has seen continuous price increases since Q3 2025 due to production capacity exiting the market, with strong performance expected to continue into Q1 2026 [4] - The industry is benefiting from the rising prices of edible mushrooms, particularly under the influence of seasonal demand during the Spring Festival [4] - Recommendations include leading companies that benefit from the rising cycle of enoki mushrooms and those with significant success in developing new product categories [4]

股票近期走势 以上内容基于公开资料整理，不构成投资建议。 财报分析 经济观察网持股5%以上股东美国联合生物医药公司(UBI)完成减持申联生物股份（600201）12,319,240 股(占公司总股本3%)，减持后持股比例从10.52%降至7.52%。减持价格区间为8.80-9.89元/股，总金额约 1.11亿元。本次减持计划自2025年11月13日启动，于2026年2月9日实施完毕，不会导致公司控股股东或 实际控制人变更。公司于2026年1月23日披露业绩预告，预计2025年归母净亏损约2000万元，较2024年 亏损收窄约55%；扣非净亏损约2350万元，收窄约51%。亏损收窄主要得益于降本增效，但动保行业竞 争加剧导致产品单价下降、应收账款减值损失增加及新车间折旧上升。 2025年业绩预亏主要反映主营业务承压：行业价格战导致销售收入和毛利率小幅下滑，同时客户回款延 迟致信用减值损失上升，新疫苗车间转固增加折旧。尽管公司通过优化销售费用及研发聚焦(如多联疫 苗进展)减亏，但自2021年起净利润已连续五年下滑，现金流压力仍存。 近7天(2026年2月5日至11日)，申联生物股价区间涨跌幅为3.63%，最高价9 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that *ST Lvkang has experienced a significant stock price increase due to strategic asset divestitures, a new controlling shareholder, and improved cash flow from land compensation [2] Group 2 - The company has recently sold three loss-making subsidiaries, which has effectively improved the quality of its consolidated financial statements [2] - The organizational restructuring includes divesting non-core photovoltaic film business to focus on the development, production, and sales of animal health products, plant protection products, and food additives, enhancing core competitiveness [2] - The new controlling shareholder, Yonteng Network, holds a 29.99% stake and is expected to bring new resources and development strategies, injecting new momentum into the company's future [2] - The company received 187 million yuan in land compensation, significantly improving its cash flow situation, and has also secured a credit line of 630 million yuan, enhancing financial flexibility [2] - The market has shown interest in ST stocks undergoing transformation and asset optimization, with similar stocks experiencing capital inflows on the same day [2] - Technical analysis suggests monitoring capital flow for signs of major institutional buying, which could indicate strong market support for the stock price increase [2]

Group 1 - The 2026 Central Document emphasizes the modernization of agriculture and rural areas, outlining four key tasks and two major support guarantees in the "three rural" sectors [5][7] - The four key tasks include enhancing agricultural production capacity and quality, implementing regular precise assistance, promoting stable income growth for farmers, and advancing the construction of livable and workable beautiful villages [5][7] - The two major support guarantees focus on strengthening institutional innovation and enhancing the Party's comprehensive leadership over "three rural" work [5][7] Group 2 - As of February 6, 2026, the median price change of consumer service stocks on the North Exchange was -2.93%, with 24% of companies experiencing an increase [27][29] - The median price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of consumer service companies rose from 47.7X to 48.1X, while the total market capitalization decreased from 1129.81 billion to 1102.41 billion [29][30] - The top five companies with the highest price changes included Fangda New Materials (+8.25%), Babi Co. (+3.28%), and Longzhu Technology (+2.54%) [27][35] Group 3 - The median TTM P/E ratio for the broad consumer sector increased by 8.25% to 56.8X, with Fangda New Materials, Babi Co., and Longzhu Technology leading in market performance [36][37] - The median TTM P/E ratio for the food and agriculture sector decreased from 53.0X to 49.9X, with Zhu Laoliu and Knight Dairy showing notable price changes [38][40] - The median TTM P/E ratio for the professional technical services sector fell from 30.1X to 28.5X, with companies like Guangzi International and Qingju Technology experiencing declines [41][43] Group 4 - Kangbiter plans to repurchase A-shares with a budget of 30 million to 50 million yuan, with a maximum repurchase price of 25 yuan per share, aimed at employee stock ownership plans or equity incentives [44][46] - Zhu Laoliu reported an expected revenue of approximately 215.79 million yuan for 2025, a decrease of 9.36% year-on-year, while net profit is expected to increase by 7.43% [44][46]

[Table_Page] 投资策略周报|农林牧渔 证券研究报告 [TAblE_TitlE] 农林牧渔行业 | [TAblE_G rADE] 行业评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 前次评级 | 买入 | | 报告日期 | 2026-02-08 | 本周猪价小幅回落，优选成本领先的龙头猪企 [TAblE_SummAry] 核心观点： [分析师： TAblE_Author 钱浩] SAC 执证号：S0260517080014 SFC CE No. BND274 021-38003634 shqianhao@gf.com.cn 分析师： 郑颖欣 SAC 执证号：S0260520070001 021-38003632 zhengyingxin@gf.com.cn 分析师： 高一岑 SAC 执证号：S0260525100002 021-38003780 gaoyicen@gf.com.cn 分析师： 李雅琦 SAC 执证号：S0260524080006 021-68827265 liyaqi@gf.com.cn -10% -2% 6% 14% 22% 30% 02/25 04/25 07/25 09/2 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry [1][4]. Core Views - The report anticipates a reversal in the livestock cycle, particularly benefiting Hong Kong dairy farming stocks [1]. - The monthly recommended stock portfolio includes leading companies in various segments: Yuran Agriculture, Modern Farming, Muyuan Foods, Dekang Agriculture, and Lihua Co., among others [1][3]. - The report highlights the expected upward trend in domestic beef and milk prices, driven by a recovery in the livestock cycle and improved cash flow for leading companies [1][14]. Summary by Sections Livestock Sector - The livestock sector is expected to experience a significant turnaround, with recommendations for Yuran Agriculture and Modern Farming as key beneficiaries [1][14]. - The report notes that domestic beef production capacity is decreasing, which may lead to price increases through 2028 [14]. - The improvement in raw milk prices is anticipated to benefit dairy farming companies, with a projected profit increase for Yuran Agriculture and Modern Farming [17]. Swine Sector - The swine sector is highlighted for its potential recovery, with leading companies like Huazhong, Dekang Agriculture, and Muyuan Foods recommended for investment [1][14]. - The report indicates that the industry is moving towards a more stable price center, supported by a reduction in production capacity and improved cash flow for leading firms [15][20]. Poultry Sector - The poultry sector is expected to see a recovery in demand, with recommendations for Lihua Co. and Shengnong Development [1][18]. - The report notes that the supply of white feather chickens is increasing, but demand is expected to improve, leading to potential price recovery [22][24]. Pet Sector - The pet food market is identified as a growing segment, with a focus on domestic brands like Guibao Pet [1][16]. - The report emphasizes the long-term growth potential of the pet sector, driven by rising consumer sentiment and market expansion [16]. Feed Sector - The feed sector is expected to benefit from deeper industrialization in livestock farming, with leading companies like Haida Group recommended [1][18]. - The report notes that feed prices are at historical lows, providing a strong support level for future price recovery [18].