Economic Data Release - Key economic data for China, including GDP growth rate, total GDP for 2025, December retail sales, and industrial output, will be released on January 19 [1] - The National Bureau of Statistics will hold a press conference on January 19 to discuss the economic performance of 2025 [1] Market Regulations - The minimum margin requirement for financing purchases of securities on the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock exchanges will be increased from 80% to 100%, effective January 19 [1] Upcoming Events - The World Economic Forum will take place from January 19 to 23 in Davos, Switzerland [1] - The third Beijing Commercial Aerospace Industry High-Quality Development Conference will be held from January 23 to 25 [1] Corporate Earnings - Several major U.S. companies, including Netflix, Intel, Johnson & Johnson, and 3M, are set to announce their earnings next week [1] Stock Market Activity - Three new stocks will be issued next week: Zhenstone Co. on the Shanghai main board, Nongda Technology on the Beijing Stock Exchange, and Shiemeng Co. on the Shenzhen main board [1] - A total of 39 companies will have their restricted shares unlocked next week, amounting to 3.447 billion shares with a total market value of 46.499 billion yuan based on the latest closing price [1]

2026年01月16日 国泰君安期货商品研究晨报-黑色系列 观点与策略 | 铁矿石：估值偏高，谨慎追多 | 2 | | --- | --- | | 螺纹钢：震荡反复 | 3 | | 热轧卷板：震荡反复 | 3 | | 硅铁：原料成本松动，宽幅震荡 | 5 | | 锰硅：需求端小幅收紧，宽幅震荡 | 5 | | 焦炭：高位震荡 | 7 | | 焦煤：高位震荡 | 7 | | 动力煤：供需矛盾不突出，短期价格窄幅调整 | 9 | | 原木：震荡反复 | 10 | 国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 所 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 期货研究 商 品 研 究 商 品 研 究 2026 年 1 月 16 日 铁矿石：估值偏高，谨慎追多 张广硕 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0020198 zhangguangshuo@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪】 铁矿石基本面数据 | | | | 昨日收盘价(元/吨) | 涨跌(元/吨) | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货 | I 2605 | | 813.0 | -8.0 昨日持仓(手) | -0. 97% 持仓变动 ...

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China has announced the rates for relending and rediscounting, with specific rates for agricultural and small business support [1][3] - The relending rates for supporting agriculture and small businesses are set at 1.2% for 3 months, 1.4% for 6 months, and 1.5% for 1 year [1][3] - The financial stability relending rate is established at 1.75%, with a deferred period rate of 3.77, and the rediscount rate is also 1.75% [1][3]