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中国人民银行开展11000亿元买断式逆回购操作
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2026-01-08 01:03
从近期实践来看,当前我国银行体系流动性保持充裕,为宏观经济大盘稳定与金融市场健康运行筑 牢了货币金融基础。值得关注的是,近年来,央行在工具创新上力度比较大,比如,将国债买卖纳入货 币政策工具箱,创设两项支持资本市场的货币政策工具等,这些都将进一步提升流动性管理的效果。 从国际经验来看,各国央行都在运用多种工具开展流动性管理,虽然在数量、名称上有些差异,但 在功能分类上总体是一致的,我国流动性工具体系既符合国际通行逻辑,又贴合国内市场实际。 一方面,工具的种类可与国际主流的四大分类相对应。"自动质押融资"为支付系统日内资金错配提 供支持,逆回购、MLF、国债买卖等保障日常的流动性供给,常备借贷便利(SLF)可向有需要的银行 提供临时性的流动性支持,各类再贷款对应结构性的流动性供给。总体来看,我国流动性工具体系已较 为完整,基本覆盖了国际通行的流动性工具范围。 另一方面,工具的管理逻辑也与国际主流做法一致。在对手方选择上,主要以银行类金融机构为 主。在抵押品管理方面,以国债、政策性金融债等高流动性、低风险资产为主。在定价方面,SLF利率 稍高于政策利率,既考虑了市场需求,也注意防范对央行资金形成过度依赖。 中国人 ...
11000亿元!央行公布将开展买断式逆回购操作
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2026-01-07 12:29
1月7日央行公告,为保持银行体系流动性充裕,2026年1月8日,中国人民银行将以固定数量、利率招标、多重价位中标方式开展11000亿元买断式逆回购 操作,期限为3个月(90天)。 数据显示,1月8日将有11000亿元3个月期买断式逆回购到期。由此,央行1月8日开展11000亿元买断式逆回购操作,意味着当月3个月期买断式逆回购等量 续作,也是该政策工具连续第三个月等量续作。 "本月3个月期买断式逆回购未加量续作,或与金融机构资金需求的期限结构等有关,不代表央行降低流动性投放力度。"东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青对 《金融时报》记者分析称。此外,他谈到,1月还有6000亿元6个月期买断式逆回购到期。 从近期实践来看,当前我国银行体系流动性保持充裕,为宏观经济大盘稳定与金融市场健康运行筑牢了货币金融基础。值得关注的是,近期我国在工具创 新上力度比较大,比如将国债买卖纳入货币政策工具箱,创设两项支持资本市场的货币政策工具等,这些都将进一步提升我国流动性管理的效果。 | | | 招联首席研究员董希淼分析称,央行已经建立起了一套流动性管理工具组合拳,可通过各种工具的配合使用,有效应对财政税收、政府债券发行等短期波 动,货币市 ...
保障岁末年初流动性充裕 央行将进行6000亿元买断式逆回购
◎记者 张琼斯 12月12日,央行发布公告,12月15日将以固定数量、利率招标、多重价位中标方式开展6000亿元买断式 逆回购操作,期限为6个月(182天)。 业内专家表示,央行通过各种流动性工具的配合使用,有效应对财政税收、政府债券发行等短期波动, 货币市场运行整体平稳,银行体系流动性保持充裕。这些工具相互配合、各有侧重,已经形成了立体化 的流动性管理工具体系。 保障岁末年初流动性充裕 央行本月加量续作6个月期买断式逆回购,实现净投放2000亿元,继续向市场注入中短期流动性,以更 好地维护市场流动性充裕,保障岁末年初金融市场平稳运行。 王青认为,本次操作主要是考虑到12月政府债券发行规模会处于较高水平,新型政策性金融工具会带动 配套贷款增长,以及12月银行同业存单到期量达3.7万亿元,这些因素会在一定程度上带来资金面收紧 效应。 "着眼于应对潜在的流动性收紧态势,央行继续通过买断式逆回购向银行体系注入流动性,将助力政府 债券发行,引导金融机构加大货币信贷投放力度。"王青表示。 12月还有3000亿元中期借贷便利(MLF)到期。招联首席研究员董希淼预计,央行将在25日前后等量 或加量操作MLF,继续向市场投放 ...
连续7月加量呵护,权威专家详解央行流动性管理“新范式”
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 10:18
我国流动性工具体系已较为完整,基本覆盖了国际通行的流动性工具范围。 12月12日,央行宣布,中国人民银行将于15日以固定数量、利率招标、多重价位中标方式开展6000亿元 买断式逆回购操作,期限为6个月(182天)。 由于12月有4000亿元6个月期买断式逆回购到期,这意味着本月6个月期买断式逆回购实现加量续作,净 操作量为2000亿元。 早前12月5日,央行开展3个月期10000亿元买断式逆回购操作,实现3个月期买断式逆回购等量续作。综 合来看,12月两个期限品种的买断式逆回购合计延续加量续作,连续第7个月向市场注入中期流动性。 "总体看,我国流动性工具体系已较为完整,基本覆盖了国际通行的流动性工具范围。"上述专家介绍。 另一方面,工具的管理逻辑也与国际主流做法一致。比如,在对手方选择上,主要以银行类金融机构为 主。在抵押品管理方面,以国债、政策性金融债等高流动性、低风险资产为主。 据该专家介绍,这些工具大体可分为四个层次:一是日内的流动性支持,通常是免费提供,主要解决金 融机构日内的临时性资金需求,确保支付系统的平稳运行,期限为日内或隔夜。 二是日常的流动性供给,主要是通过常规的公开市场操作调控短期利率,比 ...
业内专家:我国流动性工具体系已较为完整,基本覆盖国际通行范围
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 09:57
近年来,人民银行通过各种工具的配合使用,有效应对财政税收、政府债券发行等短期波动,货币市场 运行整体平稳,短端货币市场利率围绕政策利率中枢小幅波动,银行体系流动性保持充裕。 专家表示,近期我国在工具创新上力度比较大,比如将国债买卖纳入货币政策工具箱,创设两项支持资 本市场的货币政策工具等,这些都将进一步提升我国流动性管理的效果。 我国流动性工具体系与欧美主流框架事实上是一致的。上述专家分析,一方面,工具的种类可与国际主 流的四大分类相对应。比如,"自动质押融资"为支付系统日内资金错配提供支持,逆回购、中期借贷便 利(MLF)、国债买卖等保障日常的流动性供给,常备借贷便利(SLF)可向有需要的银行提供临时的 流动性支持,各类再贷款对应结构性的流动性供给。总体看,我国流动性工具体系已较为完整,基本覆 盖了国际通行的流动性工具范围。 另一方面,工具的管理逻辑也与国际主流做法一致。比如,在对手方选择上,主要以银行类金融机构为 主。在抵押品管理方面,以国债、政策性金融债等高流动性、低风险资产为主。在定价方面,常备借贷 便利(SLF)利率稍高于政策利率,既考虑了市场需求,也注意防范对央行资金形成过度依赖。这些工 具相互配 ...
8000亿元买断式逆回购落地,利率仍现上行,降准降息何时落地
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-11-17 12:07
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is actively managing liquidity through various operations, including reverse repos, to maintain a stable financial environment amid short-term pressures on liquidity [1][3][4]. Group 1: Liquidity Operations - On November 17, the PBOC conducted a fixed-rate reverse repo operation of 2,830 billion yuan for 7 days at a rate of 1.40%, resulting in a net injection of 1,631 billion yuan after accounting for 1,199 billion yuan maturing [1]. - Additionally, the PBOC executed an 8,000 billion yuan 6-month buyout reverse repo operation, which is an increase of 5,000 billion yuan from the previous month, continuing the trend of enhanced liquidity management [1][3]. Group 2: Market Conditions - Since November 13, the Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) has shown an upward trend, with the overnight rate rising from 1.3150% to 1.5080%, an increase of 19.3 basis points [2]. - The short-term liquidity tension is attributed to factors such as government bond issuance, interbank certificate maturity pressures, and tax payments, which have led to a decrease in bank lending [3]. Group 3: Monetary Policy Outlook - The PBOC's recent report indicates a commitment to maintaining a moderately loose monetary policy, aiming to keep social financing conditions relatively relaxed while enhancing the monetary policy framework [4]. - Analysts suggest that a new round of reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts may occur before the end of the year, driven by external economic fluctuations and domestic growth dynamics [4][5]. - The focus for the fourth quarter is expected to be on "quantity-price coordination and structural efforts," utilizing tools like reverse repos and medium-term lending facilities (MLF) to optimize credit structure [5].
LPR连续5个月“按兵不动”:央行稳字当头的背后逻辑与四季度政策前瞻
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-20 02:21
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has maintained the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) unchanged for the fifth consecutive month, signaling a cautious approach to monetary policy amid fluctuating expectations of interest rate cuts and weak domestic real estate sales [1][3][6]. Group 1: Monetary Policy Insights - The stability of the LPR was anticipated following the PBOC's decision to maintain the Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) rate at 2.75% while renewing 500 billion yuan [3]. - The one-year LPR has remained stable since a 10 basis point reduction in June, while the five-year LPR has gradually decreased from 4.3% since August of the previous year, indicating a shift from aggressive monetary easing to more precise support measures [3][6]. - The current banking net interest margin has fallen below 1.7%, prompting banks to lower deposit rates to create space for LPR stability, reflecting a balance sought by the PBOC between bank profitability and financing costs for the real economy [5]. Group 2: Economic Data and Policy Balance - The decision to keep the LPR unchanged is influenced by a balance between inflation and growth, with September's CPI showing zero growth and PPI rising by 0.4%, alongside rising international oil prices and potential import price increases due to currency fluctuations [6]. - Despite a GDP growth of 4.9% in Q3, concerns remain regarding a 9.1% decline in real estate investment and continuous negative export growth, suggesting that maintaining low interest rates supports manufacturing and infrastructure financing while avoiding additional pressure on the currency [6][7]. Group 3: Future Policy Directions - The PBOC's monetary policy committee has indicated that the LPR is likely to remain stable until at least December, with a focus on observing the effects of previous measures [7]. - Should certain conditions arise, such as a conclusion to the Federal Reserve's rate hike cycle or significant changes in domestic inflation or real estate sales, the PBOC may consider emergency measures [7]. - The PBOC is more inclined to use reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts rather than interest rate cuts, with an average RRR of 7.4%, allowing for liquidity release while reducing bank funding costs [7]. Group 4: Structural Policy Tools - The PBOC has emphasized the use of structural tools, with over 6 trillion yuan in re-lending and a focus on targeted infrastructure projects to avoid broad monetary easing while supporting weak sectors [8]. - The deepening of interest rate marketization through deposit rate cuts and adjustments to existing mortgage rates aims to alleviate bank margin pressures and stimulate consumer spending [8]. - The unchanged five-year LPR, coupled with adjustments to real estate credit policies, suggests that certain cities may implement lower interest rate floors to stimulate local markets [8].
央行不只是印钱!降息、当最后贷款人,都是它救经济的招
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-26 06:54
Economic Situation - The local economy is experiencing a significant downturn, with businesses like tea shops seeing a drastic drop in sales and factories operating at reduced capacity [1] - There is a noticeable lack of consumer demand, leading to a halt in production and a rise in unemployment [4][6] Policy Responses - The central bank and finance ministry have opted for Keynesian policies to stimulate demand, emphasizing the need for government intervention to avoid prolonged high unemployment [6] - The central bank has implemented a 50 basis point interest rate cut, which has led to a positive market response, encouraging investments and consumer spending [11] Banking Sector Challenges - There is a concerning trend of increased bank deposits as residents choose to save rather than spend, which could lead to a vicious cycle of reduced consumption and further economic decline [7] - The banking sector is facing operational difficulties due to low loan demand, impacting their ability to generate profits [7] Monetary Tools - The central bank is utilizing various monetary tools, including interest rate cuts and open market operations, to inject liquidity into the economy and stabilize banking operations [12][14] - The reserve requirement ratio is highlighted as a critical tool for managing the money supply, with potential adjustments having significant implications for market liquidity [14] Long-term Strategies - The central bank is cautious about using unconventional tools like quantitative easing, recognizing the potential long-term risks associated with excessive liquidity [17] - It is acknowledged that while monetary policy can address immediate liquidity issues, fiscal policy is essential for directly boosting consumer demand and economic activity [20]
7月经济指标短期波动 结构性工具或挑大梁 | 宏观月报
Group 1: Economic Performance - China's economy achieved a growth rate of 5.3% in the first half of the year, despite challenges from global trade uncertainties and the transition of economic drivers [1] - In July, the total import and export value reached 39,102 billion yuan, with exports growing by 8.0% and imports by 4.8% [5] - The first seven months of 2023 saw a total import and export value of 256,969 billion yuan, with exports increasing by 7.3% [5] Group 2: Financial Data and Trends - In July, the social financing scale increased by 1.16 trillion yuan, with government bond financing being the main contributor [3] - The M2 growth rate reached 8.8% in July, while M1 rebounded to 5.6%, indicating a shift in residents' risk preferences [4] - The July financial data showed a notable divergence, with government bond financing supporting the rise in social financing scale [4] Group 3: Consumption and Investment - In July, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 38,780 billion yuan, growing by 3.7%, marking a decline in growth rate for two consecutive months [6] - Manufacturing investment growth slowed to 6.2% year-on-year for the first seven months, with a decline of 0.3% in July [7] - Real estate investment decreased by 12% year-on-year in the first seven months, indicating ongoing adjustments in supply and demand [7] Group 4: Policy Outlook - The central political bureau emphasized the need for stable and flexible macroeconomic policies to support employment, businesses, and market expectations [8] - The central bank's monetary policy report highlighted the importance of structural monetary policy tools to support key sectors and enhance consumption [9] - The focus on "precise drip irrigation" in monetary policy aims to optimize credit structures and support the real economy effectively [9]
金融“资”援,“贷”回“兴”希望
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2025-08-08 07:59
Core Viewpoint - The financial system in Hunan Province is actively supporting disaster recovery efforts in Zixing following the severe impact of Typhoon "Gemi," which caused significant economic losses and damage to infrastructure [2][3]. Financial Support for Disaster Recovery - Financial institutions in Zixing have issued a total of 1.224 billion yuan in special loans for disaster recovery efforts [2]. - As of February 2025, the total loan balance in Zixing reached 27.162 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17.03%, surpassing the average growth rate of 5.43% for the city [2]. Immediate Financial Actions - The People's Bank of China in Chenzhou quickly coordinated with local financial institutions to enhance support for disaster recovery, including issuing 700 million yuan in re-loans to local banks [3]. - Agricultural Development Bank of China provided 888 million yuan in special loans for infrastructure repair and agricultural recovery projects [5]. Community and Infrastructure Support - Local banks implemented various relief measures, including lowering interest rates and adjusting repayment plans for affected businesses, with a total of 51 market entities receiving 51.0682 million yuan in new loans [4]. - The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank allocated 500 million USD for infrastructure loans to support Zixing's recovery [5]. Insurance and Risk Management - Insurance companies in the region completed claims for over 800 affected households, totaling more than 42.6 million yuan within a month after the disaster [6]. - The rapid claims process by insurance firms significantly aided agricultural recovery, with one insurance company paying out over 6 million yuan in agricultural insurance claims [6]. Long-term Recovery and Development - Financial support is not only focused on immediate relief but also on sustainable development, with initiatives to restore and enhance local industries, such as solar energy projects [8]. - Local banks have provided 230 million yuan in loans to support cultural and tourism sectors, leveraging Zixing's natural attractions [8]. Community Resilience and Business Growth - Local businesses are expanding and adapting post-disaster, with one restaurant owner receiving 1.4 million yuan in loans to enhance his establishment, anticipating increased tourism [9]. - The establishment of concentrated resettlement points has been completed, providing housing for displaced residents [11].