出口拓展
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长城汽车(601633):Q2量利齐升基本面拐点已至,持续看好新品加速、出口拓展、智驾转型
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-09-03 07:25
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The report highlights that the company has achieved record high revenue and profit in 2024, driven by a new product cycle, premium intelligent driving features, and ongoing export expansion [6][9] - The company is expected to see a significant increase in sales and profitability due to the launch of multiple new models and the expansion of its overseas markets [9][10] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 92.34 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.0%, and a net profit of 6.345 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.5% [6] - In Q2 2025, revenue reached 52.32 billion yuan, up 7.7% year-on-year, with a net profit of 4.59 billion yuan, an increase of 19.1% [8] - The company sold 573,000 vehicles in H1 2025, with 198,000 units sold overseas [6] Sales and Market Expansion - In Q2 2025, the company sold 313,000 vehicles, including 107,000 units overseas and 98,000 units of new energy vehicles, representing a year-on-year increase of 33.7% [8] - The report indicates that the company is set to launch several key models in Q3 2025, which are expected to drive further sales growth [7][9] Profitability Metrics - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 18.8%, a decrease of 2.6 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 8.8%, an increase of 0.8 percentage points [8] - The report projects that the company will achieve revenue of 244.7 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 21% [4][10] Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from a robust new product cycle, expansion into non-Russian overseas markets, and advancements in intelligent driving technology [9][10] - The forecast for revenue and net profit for 2025-2027 has been adjusted upwards, with expected revenues of 2,447 billion yuan, 3,204 billion yuan, and 3,881 billion yuan respectively [10]