Investment Rating - The investment rating for Great Wall Motors is "Outperform the Market" [6][4][17] Core Views - The report highlights a 19% year-on-year increase in net profit for the second quarter, driven by improved sales and a favorable product mix [1][8] - The company is expected to benefit from a new product cycle and ongoing advancements in its new energy strategy, which are anticipated to drive sales growth [3][4][17] Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, Great Wall Motors reported revenue of 92.34 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.0%, with a net profit of 6.34 billion yuan, down 10.2% year-on-year [1][8] - In Q2 2025, revenue reached 52.32 billion yuan, up 7.7% year-on-year and 30.7% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 4.59 billion yuan, reflecting a 19.5% year-on-year increase and a 161.9% quarter-on-quarter increase [1][8] - The company sold 312,000 vehicles in Q2, marking a 10.1% year-on-year increase and a 21.9% quarter-on-quarter increase [1][8] Cost Structure and Profitability - In Q2 2025, the sales, management, and R&D expense ratios were 5.2%, 1.8%, and 4.5%, respectively, with the sales expense ratio increasing due to higher marketing costs for new products [2][15] - The average revenue per vehicle was 157,000 yuan, a decrease of 1,400 yuan year-on-year, while the net profit per vehicle was 8,800 yuan, down 500 yuan year-on-year [2][15] Product and Market Strategy - Great Wall Motors is advancing its new energy strategy with significant investments in hybrid, pure electric, and hydrogen technologies, alongside the launch of new models [3][4] - The company is expanding its overseas market presence, introducing new models in regions such as Latin America, ASEAN, and the Middle East [3][4] Earnings Forecast - The forecasted net profits for Great Wall Motors from 2025 to 2027 are 13.84 billion yuan, 16.20 billion yuan, and 18.81 billion yuan, respectively, with EPS projected at 1.62 yuan, 1.89 yuan, and 2.20 yuan [4][19]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The report highlights that the company has achieved record high revenue and profit in 2024, driven by a new product cycle, premium intelligent driving features, and ongoing export expansion [6][9] - The company is expected to see a significant increase in sales and profitability due to the launch of multiple new models and the expansion of its overseas markets [9][10] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 92.34 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.0%, and a net profit of 6.345 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.5% [6] - In Q2 2025, revenue reached 52.32 billion yuan, up 7.7% year-on-year, with a net profit of 4.59 billion yuan, an increase of 19.1% [8] - The company sold 573,000 vehicles in H1 2025, with 198,000 units sold overseas [6] Sales and Market Expansion - In Q2 2025, the company sold 313,000 vehicles, including 107,000 units overseas and 98,000 units of new energy vehicles, representing a year-on-year increase of 33.7% [8] - The report indicates that the company is set to launch several key models in Q3 2025, which are expected to drive further sales growth [7][9] Profitability Metrics - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 18.8%, a decrease of 2.6 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 8.8%, an increase of 0.8 percentage points [8] - The report projects that the company will achieve revenue of 244.7 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 21% [4][10] Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from a robust new product cycle, expansion into non-Russian overseas markets, and advancements in intelligent driving technology [9][10] - The forecast for revenue and net profit for 2025-2027 has been adjusted upwards, with expected revenues of 2,447 billion yuan, 3,204 billion yuan, and 3,881 billion yuan respectively [10]

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 92.335 billion yuan for H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.99%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 10.48% to 6.369 billion yuan [1] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 52.316 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.71% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 30.73%, with net profit reaching a record high of 4.586 billion yuan, up 19.09% year-on-year and 161.87% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The company is focusing on high-end and new energy vehicles, with Q2 average vehicle price rising to 175,400 yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.1% [1] Financial Performance - H1 2025 sales volume increased by 1.8% to 570,000 units, with average revenue per vehicle at 162,000 yuan, a decrease of 0.8% [2] - Q2 2025 sales volume was 313,000 units, up 10.1% year-on-year and 21.9% quarter-on-quarter, with the Tank brand sales at 62,000 units, down 7.8% year-on-year [2] - H1 2025 gross margin was 18.38%, a decrease of 1.56 percentage points year-on-year, while Q2 gross margin improved to 18.80%, up 0.96 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2] Product Development and Innovation - The company is in a strong product cycle, launching several new models including the Gaoshan 8, Gaoshan 9, and the new Tank 500, with strong initial sales [3] - The CoffeePilot Ultra intelligent driving system is being integrated into new models, enhancing product capabilities and market competitiveness [3] Future Outlook - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 243.419 billion yuan, 276.394 billion yuan, and 306.705 billion yuan, with net profits expected to reach 13.977 billion yuan, 16.421 billion yuan, and 19.092 billion yuan respectively [4] - The company maintains a "recommended" rating based on projected earnings per share of 1.63 yuan, 1.92 yuan, and 2.23 yuan for the same period [4]

Core Viewpoint - Great Wall Motors is at a critical juncture as it approaches its 35th anniversary in 2025, facing intense domestic competition and the need for transformation in the fields of new energy and smart technology [1] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, Great Wall Motors achieved a record revenue of 52.348 billion yuan, marking the best second-quarter performance in its history; net profit reached 4.586 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.46% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 161.91%, setting a new high for quarterly net profit [1] - The recovery in profitability is attributed to a strategic optimization of its product mix, leading to significant improvements in average selling price (ASP) and gross margin [1] Brand Strategy - Great Wall Motors operates six brands that effectively target specific market segments, with the Haval brand maintaining a strong presence in the SUV market while the Wey brand focuses on high-end smart electric vehicles [2] - The Tank brand has become a leading player in the high-end off-road vehicle market, with cumulative global sales exceeding 700,000 units, establishing a high-profit niche [2] - The company’s strategy of multi-brand collaboration has allowed it to avoid internal competition and effectively capture value across different consumer segments, contributing to a significant increase in net profit despite industry-wide price wars [2] Supply Chain and Ecosystem - Great Wall Motors has developed a "forest ecosystem" that integrates key components from electric systems to smart driving, providing a robust cost defense and enhancing strategic value [3] - Subsidiaries like Honeycomb Energy and Honeycomb Automotive have achieved stability in core component supply and cost advantages, allowing the company to gain more control in supply chain negotiations [3] - This ecosystem is also generating new profit growth points by supplying parts to external clients, including major brands like BMW [3] Global Expansion - The company’s overseas sales reached 106,800 units in Q2, accounting for over one-third of total sales, indicating a strong growth trajectory in international markets [4] - Great Wall Motors is not merely exporting vehicles but is implementing a comprehensive "ecological export" model that includes R&D, production, and supply chain services [4] - The establishment of full-process production bases in countries like Thailand and Brazil has enabled the successful introduction of high-value models to global markets [5] Strategic Outlook - Analysts, including those from Guohai Securities, express optimism about Great Wall Motors' future performance, citing its solid competitive advantages overseas and high profit certainty [5] - The company’s Q2 report serves as a test of its industrial model amid rapid technological changes and market uncertainties, highlighting a divergence in strategic approaches within the automotive industry [6] - Great Wall Motors is pursuing a heavy asset strategy aimed at achieving full control over core technologies and applications, which requires substantial capital investment and operational efficiency [6] Future Challenges - The potential rewards of this strategy include unparalleled cost control, faster internal collaboration, and the ability to create highly differentiated products [6] - The competition in the automotive industry will increasingly revolve around contrasting organizational models and business philosophies, with Great Wall Motors' approach being a significant gamble that could redefine its future [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 923 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 1.03%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 63.4 billion yuan, down 10.2% year-on-year [1] - The second quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 523.5 billion yuan, an increase of 7.8% year-on-year and 30.8% quarter-on-quarter, driven by new vehicle launches and improved overseas sales [2] - The company is entering a new growth phase with the launch of new models and a focus on direct-to-consumer channels, which is expected to enhance brand value and sales [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 45.9 billion yuan, up 19.1% year-on-year and 161.9% quarter-on-quarter, while the non-recurring net profit was 21.1 billion yuan, down 30.1% year-on-year [3] - The average selling price (ASP) per vehicle in Q2 2025 reached 167,000 yuan, a decrease of 2.1% year-on-year but an increase of 7.3% quarter-on-quarter [2] Market Outlook - The mainstream market for new vehicles is expected to see an upward sales trend, supported by the successful launch of new models and a comprehensive marketing strategy [4] - The company has significant potential in the off-road vehicle market, with the Hi4Z technology expected to enhance product offerings and profitability [4] - The company has a diverse product range and strong technological capabilities, indicating substantial export potential as new models and powertrains are introduced [4] Valuation and Projections - The report forecasts net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 140.3 billion yuan, 174.0 billion yuan, and 209.6 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 13.4, 10.8, and 9.0 times [4][10] - The six-month target price is set at 32.79 yuan per share, reflecting a 20 times price-to-earnings ratio for 2025 [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant increase in vehicle sales for June and the first half of 2025, driven by strong performance in key brands and a focus on new energy vehicles [1][2][3][4]. Group 1: Sales Performance - In June, the company's total vehicle sales reached 111,000 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.9% and a month-on-month increase of 8.3% [1][2]. - For the first half of 2025, total vehicle sales amounted to 570,000 units, showing a year-on-year growth of 1.8% [2]. - The sales breakdown for key brands in H1 2025 includes Haval at 321,000 units (+7.2%), Wey at 34,000 units (+73.6%), Ora at 14,000 units (-56.2%), and Tank at 104,000 units (-10.7%) [2]. Group 2: New Energy Vehicles - The company sold 36,000 new energy vehicles in June, marking a year-on-year increase of 39.4% and a month-on-month increase of 11.5% [3]. - Cumulative sales of new energy vehicles for the first half of 2025 reached 160,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 21.2% [3]. - New energy vehicles accounted for 28.2% of total sales in H1 2025, an increase of 4.5 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Group 3: International Expansion - In June, overseas sales reached 40,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 5.2% and a month-on-month increase of 16.0% [3]. - Cumulative overseas sales for the first half of 2025 were 198,000 units, showing a slight decline of 1.9% year-on-year [3]. - The company plans to launch its Brazilian factory in H2 2025, initially producing three models with a capacity of 50,000 units, which will eventually increase to 100,000 units [3]. Group 4: Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 242.7 billion, 281.2 billion, and 310.7 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 20%, 16%, and 11% [4]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 14.1 billion, 16.4 billion, and 18.4 billion yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 11%, 16%, and 12% [4]. - The projected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is 1.65, 1.92, and 2.15 yuan per share, with a CAGR of 13% [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a 6-month target price of 32.79 CNY per share, while the current share price is 22.46 CNY [4]. Core Views - The company has shown strong performance in May with a wholesale sales volume of 102,000 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 12% and a month-on-month increase of 2% [1]. - The domestic sales reached 68,000 units in May, up 19% year-on-year, primarily driven by the accelerated delivery of models such as Tank 300 and the second-generation Xiaolong MAX [2]. - The company is entering a new growth phase with the launch of new models and a focus on the mainstream market, which is expected to lead to a sales upturn [3]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In May, the company achieved a wholesale sales volume of 102,000 units, with a notable increase in new energy vehicle sales, which reached 33,000 units, up 32% year-on-year and 13% month-on-month [2]. - The Tank series sold 21,000 units, while Haval and Wey brands also reported significant year-on-year growth of 23% and 115%, respectively [2]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the launch of new models and a refined marketing strategy, which could lead to a significant increase in sales in the domestic mainstream new energy market [3]. - The Hi4Z technology is anticipated to enhance the Tank series' appeal, potentially expanding its market share in urban SUVs [3]. - The company has a diverse product lineup and strong technological reserves, indicating substantial export potential as new models and powertrains are introduced [3]. Financial Projections - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 14.03 billion, 17.40 billion, and 20.96 billion CNY, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 13.7, 11.1, and 9.2 times [9][10].

Group 1 - The second-generation Xiaolong MAX achieved 8,000 sales in May with an average daily order of over 200 [1] - The Gaoshan model is expected to sell over 5,000 units in June, while the Lanshan has an average daily order of 150 [1] - The Menglong fuel version has an average daily order of 100 [1] Group 2 - New models include the 2025 Ora Good Cat and the Tank 500 Hi4-Z Intelligent Driving version in June, with Tank 400, 500, 700, and Haval Big Dog/Second Generation Big Dog facelifts expected in the third quarter [1] - Exports turned positive year-on-year in May, with expectations for year-on-year growth in Q3; the Australian market saw around 5,000 units in May, and the Russian market is expected to improve marginally in June [1] Group 3 - The increase in costs due to the construction of direct sales stores is expected to decline, and sales assessments will be strengthened in the future [1] - The company aims to promote the integration of Ora and Haval's new energy vehicles [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][11]. Core Views - The company's Q1 revenue and net profit were 400.2 billion yuan and 17.5 billion yuan, representing year-on-year declines of 6.6% and 45.6% respectively. The decline in profitability is attributed to short-term factors such as a new product gap and direct store construction. However, sales and performance are expected to improve throughout the year as new vehicles are launched [2][3][4]. - The company is accelerating its transition towards smart and new energy vehicles, with new car launches and marketing system reforms aimed at boosting domestic sales. The expansion into overseas markets is also expected to contribute to steady growth in exports, enhancing the sales structure and gradually improving profitability [11][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1, the company's revenue, net profit, and net profit excluding non-recurring items were 400.19 billion yuan, 17.51 billion yuan, and 14.69 billion yuan, showing year-on-year declines of 6.63%, 45.60%, and 27.12% respectively. The revenue decline was primarily due to a new product gap affecting sales, while the average selling price remained stable [2][3]. - The total vehicle sales in Q1 were 257,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 6.7%. Exports and domestic sales were 91,000 units and 166,000 units, reflecting declines of 2.0% and 9.1% respectively [3][4]. Profitability - The gross margin and net margin for Q1 were 17.84% and 4.38%, down 1.53 percentage points and 3.13 percentage points year-on-year. The decline in gross margin was mainly due to a slight drop in sales volume and changes in product mix [4][10]. - The company expects profitability to gradually recover as the domestic new car cycle begins in Q2, with a stabilization of expense ratios anticipated as direct channel investments become more stable [4][9]. Future Outlook - The company plans to launch several key models in Q2, including the second-generation Xiaolong MAX and the all-new Gaoshan, which are expected to drive sales and optimize the product mix. The introduction of new models throughout the year is anticipated to contribute significantly to sales growth [3][10]. - The core logic for the company's performance growth in 2025 is driven by the domestic new car cycle, which is expected to boost domestic sales, alongside steady growth in exports to non-Russian regions [10][11].

Market Overview - The market rebounded with the Hang Seng Index closing up 0.37% following a stabilizing meeting [1] - The Federal Reserve maintained the benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.50%, marking the third consecutive meeting without a change [1] - President Trump announced a significant trade agreement with a respected country, likely the UK, which may positively impact the US stock market [1][2] Trade Agreements - The trade agreement with the UK is not a traditional free trade agreement but rather a specific agreement to lower tariffs on certain goods [2] - The agreement is expected to stimulate the US stock market, despite uncertainties regarding Trump's adherence to future agreements [2] Technology Sector - The Trump administration plans to revoke AI chip restrictions from the Biden era, which faced opposition from tech companies and foreign governments [3] - This policy change is anticipated to benefit companies like NVIDIA, which saw a stock increase of over 3% [3] Geopolitical Tensions - Ongoing India-Pakistan conflict has led to significant market reactions, with the KSE-30 index in Pakistan dropping 7.2% due to economic instability [4] - India's recent trade agreement with the UK may provide some economic buffer, but ongoing military tensions could lead to capital flight [5] Pharmaceutical Sector - Following Trump's executive order to promote domestic drug production, the pharmaceutical sector experienced a significant drop but rebounded as the market adjusted to potential limitations on import tariffs [6] - The US relies heavily on imported raw materials for pharmaceuticals, with over 80% dependence, primarily from China [6] Automotive Sector - Great Wall Motors reported a 7% decline in total revenue for Q1, but April sales showed a recovery with a 5.55% year-on-year increase [9] - The company is focusing on new energy vehicles, with a notable 28.42% increase in sales for April [9][10] - The launch of new models and promotional activities are expected to drive future sales growth [10] Emerging Markets - The Chinese autonomous taxi market is projected to grow significantly, with Goldman Sachs predicting 500,000 Robotaxis by 2030 and a market size of $47 billion by 2035 [8] - Early entrants in this market, such as Pony.ai and WeRide, are expected to benefit from favorable regulatory conditions and consumer acceptance [8]