Investment Rating - The investment rating for Great Wall Motors is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company reported a total sales volume of 923,400 vehicles for the first three quarters of 2025, representing an 8% year-on-year increase. Total revenue reached 153.6 billion yuan, also up 8% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 17% to 8.635 billion yuan [4][6] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a total sales volume of 353,600 vehicles, a 20% year-on-year increase and a 13% quarter-on-quarter increase. Revenue for Q3 was 61.2 billion yuan, up 21% year-on-year and 17% quarter-on-quarter, with net profit of 2.298 billion yuan, down 31% year-on-year and 50% quarter-on-quarter [4][6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The projected total revenue for Great Wall Motors is 224.1 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 10.8%. The net profit forecast for 2025 is 12.913 billion yuan, reflecting a slight increase of 1.7% year-on-year [5][8] - The company expects to maintain a revenue forecast of 288 billion yuan in 2026 and 338.1 billion yuan in 2027, with net profits projected at 17.054 billion yuan and 21.094 billion yuan respectively [5][8] Sales and Product Strategy - The company is set to enter a strong new vehicle cycle with the launch of the high-end model, the Great Wall 7, which is expected to convert pre-sale orders into sales. The introduction of new platforms for the Wey brand will further enhance sales [6] - The domestic market is anticipated to see growth driven by the launch of multiple new models and significant upgrades to existing models. The overseas market is also expected to contribute positively, with the new factory in Brazil set to produce key models [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [3][10] Core Views - The company is expected to experience a fundamental turning point with accelerated new product launches, expansion into export markets, and a transition towards intelligent driving technology [8][10] - The company reported a revenue of 153.58 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 8.0%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 8.64 billion yuan, down 17.2% year-on-year [5][10] - The company achieved a Q3 revenue of 61.25 billion yuan, up 20.5% year-on-year and 17.1% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 2.30 billion yuan, down 31.4% year-on-year and 49.9% quarter-on-quarter [7][10] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 2023A, the company is projected to have a revenue of 173.21 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 26% year-on-year. By 2027E, revenue is expected to reach 362.20 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 21% [3][10] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 7.02 billion yuan for 2023A, increasing to 19.36 billion yuan by 2027E, with a growth rate of 16% [3][10] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 0.83 yuan in 2023A to 2.26 yuan in 2027E [3][10] Sales and Market Expansion - The company sold 923,000 vehicles in the first three quarters of 2025, with 334,000 units sold overseas [5][10] - In Q3 2025, the company sold 353,000 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 20.2%, including 118,000 new energy vehicles [7][10] - The company is focusing on new models from its Tank and Wey brands, with significant sales contributions expected from these new launches [6][9] Future Outlook - The company plans to launch multiple new models across its four major brands in Q4 2025, which is anticipated to drive sales growth [9][10] - The expansion into non-Russian markets such as Latin America, the Middle East, and ASEAN is showing positive results, with a 25.4% increase in sales in these regions [9][10] - The company is also advancing its intelligent driving technology, with new models expected to enhance its market position [9][10]

Core Insights - Great Wall Motors reported a revenue of 153.58 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7.96%, with sales exceeding 923,400 units, up 8.15% [2] - However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 16.97% to 8.635 billion yuan, with a significant quarterly profit drop of 31.23% [2][3] - The decline in profit is attributed to strategic investments aimed at future growth, particularly in building direct-to-consumer (DTC) channels and enhancing brand premiumization [3][4] Financial Performance - The net profit for Q3 was 2.298 billion yuan, down 31.23% year-on-year, raising concerns about profitability [3] - Excluding one-time factors such as tax refunds and exchange losses, the net profit decline would be approximately 30% [4] - Gross margin decreased to 18.4%, down 1.6 percentage points, influenced by reduced contributions from the Tank brand and increased dealer rebates for Haval and pickup brands [4] Strategic Investments - Sales expenses surged by 55.52% to 7.948 billion yuan, significantly outpacing revenue and sales growth [2][3] - The DTC model aims to enhance user data control, improve brand experience, and reduce profit dilution from intermediaries, despite short-term profit erosion [3][4] - Long-term benefits include increased repurchase rates, flexible pricing strategies, and rapid product iteration through user data feedback [3] Product and Brand Development - Sales of models priced above 200,000 yuan reached 101,300 units, a 40.83% increase, indicating progress in brand premiumization [4] - The WEY brand saw a remarkable 96.35% increase in sales to 63,600 units, with the high-end MPV model achieving significant monthly sales [4] - The Tank brand established a leading position in the rugged off-road market with models like the Tank 500 [4] Global Expansion - New energy vehicles (NEVs) accounted for 30.16% of total sales, with cumulative sales of 278,500 units, a 31.67% increase [5] - Overseas sales reached 334,200 units, up 3.06%, with Q3 sales of 136,500 units, reflecting strong growth [5][6] - Localized production in Brazil and a growing sales network across over 170 countries enhance competitive advantages [6] Market Positioning - The average profit per vehicle sold was 9,351 yuan, maintaining a strong position among domestic brands despite competitive pricing pressures [7] - The company is navigating a transitional phase in the automotive industry, balancing revenue growth with necessary investments for future competitiveness [7] - Future sales expense reductions are anticipated as the DTC channel's impact becomes evident, alongside continued momentum from high-quality models [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" for both A-shares and H-shares, with target prices set at RMB 33.66 and HKD 23.37 respectively [7][11]. Core Insights - The company reported a Q3 revenue of RMB 61.2 billion, representing a quarter-on-quarter increase of 21% and a year-on-year increase of 17%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 2.3 billion, down 31% quarter-on-quarter and 50% year-on-year, primarily due to deferred tax refunds in CIS countries [1]. - The company achieved a record high sales volume of 350,000 vehicles in Q3, a 10% year-on-year increase, with 120,000 of those being new energy vehicles, marking a 49% quarter-on-quarter increase [2]. - The company is focusing on new vehicle launches, particularly the Wei brand and Tank series, with significant models like the Wei brand Gaoshan 7 and Tank 400 expected to drive sales in Q4 [3]. - The overseas market showed signs of recovery, with Q3 overseas sales reaching 334,000 vehicles, a 3% year-on-year increase, attributed to the opening of a new manufacturing facility in Brazil and strong performance in the CIS market [4]. Summary by Sections Q3 Performance - Revenue for Q3 was RMB 61.2 billion, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 21% and a year-on-year increase of 17%. Net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 2.3 billion, down 31% quarter-on-quarter and 50% year-on-year [1]. - For the first three quarters, total revenue reached RMB 153.6 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8%, while net profit was RMB 8.6 billion, down 17% year-on-year [1]. Sales and Market Trends - The company sold 350,000 vehicles in Q3, a record high for the quarter, with new energy vehicle sales reaching 120,000, a 49% increase quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The new energy vehicle penetration rate increased from 27% in Q3 2024 to 33% in Q3 2025 [2]. New Product Launches - The company is maintaining a strong new vehicle launch schedule in Q4, with the Gaoshan 7 and Tank 400 models expected to contribute significantly to sales [3]. - The Gaoshan 7 was launched at a price of RMB 285,800, featuring advanced technology and spacious design [3]. Overseas Market Performance - Q3 overseas sales reached 334,000 vehicles, a 3% year-on-year increase, with September sales hitting 50,000 vehicles, a 14% increase year-on-year [4]. - The new manufacturing facility in Brazil is expected to enhance production capacity and market reach in Latin America [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for the company remains at RMB 13.1 billion for 2025, with a target price of RMB 33.66 based on a PE ratio of 22x for A-shares and 14x for H-shares [5][11].

Core Insights - Great Wall Motors reported its best-ever revenue performance for the first three quarters of 2025, achieving 153.58 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.96% [3][4] - The third quarter revenue reached 61.25 billion yuan, marking a 20.51% year-on-year increase and a 17.07% quarter-on-quarter growth, also the highest third-quarter revenue in history [5][6] - The company is focusing on long-term strategies, increasing R&D and channel investments, and optimizing product structure to enhance brand positioning [1][2] Revenue and Sales Performance - In the first nine months of 2025, Great Wall Motors sold 923,400 new vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 8.15%, with 278,500 of those being new energy vehicles, up 31.67% [4][10] - The third quarter saw sales of 353,600 new vehicles, a 20.20% year-on-year increase, and 11,800 new energy vehicles sold, reflecting a 49.21% year-on-year growth [5][9] Product and Brand Development - The high-end brand "Wei" saw a significant sales increase of 96.35% in the first three quarters, contributing to the brand's upward trajectory [5][9] - The launch of the new "Tank" models, including the Tank 500 and Tank 400, has successfully transitioned the brand from a trendy image to a luxury off-road vehicle, with strong market acceptance [6][8] International Expansion and Localization - Great Wall Motors achieved overseas sales of 334,200 units in the first three quarters, with September sales alone reaching 50,269 units, a 13.98% year-on-year increase [10][11] - The company has established a strategic foothold in Brazil with the opening of a new factory, aimed at enhancing local production and service capabilities for the Latin American market [14][16] Technological Advancements - The Hi4 intelligent four-wheel drive technology has been a key driver for the company's international competitiveness, with 122 patents granted and significant sales revenue generated [11][13] - The technology's successful adaptation for various global markets has helped reshape perceptions of Chinese automotive capabilities [13][16]

Core Viewpoint - The Dunhuang Rally has officially commenced, with Great Wall Motors participating in a unique model of "leading by top car manufacturers + participation of the leader," significantly enhancing the event's online visibility [1] Group 1: Event Overview - The Dunhuang Rally is recognized as a national A-level event certified by the China Automobile and Motorcycle Sports Federation, known for its long distances, high difficulty, and complex terrains, covering areas such as Gobi, canyons, riverbeds, and deserts, often referred to as "China's Dakar" [2] - The total distance of the rally is approximately 1100-1200 kilometers, with special stages accounting for about 1000 kilometers, and the event is divided into four days of competition [2] Group 2: Participant Details - Wei Jianjun, the 61-year-old chairman of Great Wall Motors, is personally driving the Haval H9 diesel version in the T2 production group, alongside navigator Yan Ke, challenging extreme terrains exceeding 1000 kilometers [1][2] - During the 10-kilometer qualifying race, Wei Jianjun described the qualifying as a warm-up to help participants get into the right state, indicating a smooth overall experience [2] Group 3: Vehicle and Group Classification - The rally features various vehicle classifications, including: - T1 modified group (including T1+/T1.1/T1.2/T1.3) for deep modifications aimed at extreme performance and off-road capability - T2 production group (including T2.1/T2.E/T2.3) allowing limited modifications while retaining key original components - T3-T4 UTV group for lightweight modifications to optimize performance under stable structures - T5 truck group (including T5.1/T5.2) for both modified and production trucks, enhancing load capacity and long-distance endurance [3]

Group 1 - The top 100 private enterprises in Hebei Province for 2025 have a total operating income of 37,709.11 billion yuan, total assets of 26,764.14 billion yuan, and total tax payments of 874.74 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 2.29%, 2.41%, and 2.45% respectively [1] - The number of employees across these enterprises totals 886,300, with 23 companies employing over 10,000 staff [1] - The enterprises span 23 industries, with the steel industry (black metal smelting and rolling processing) having the highest representation at 40 companies [1] Group 2 - Among the top 10 companies, 10 have entered the "billion-yuan revenue club," with the ranking from 4th to 10th being Great Wall Motors (202.195 billion yuan), Xinhua Metallurgy (172.823 billion yuan), Xin'ao Group (156.6 billion yuan), Jinxin Steel (144.578 billion yuan), Puyang Steel (131.547 billion yuan), Xinda Steel (120.629 billion yuan), and Xinhai Holdings (116.026 billion yuan) [3] - Great Wall Motors leads in R&D investment among private enterprises, with an investment of 10.4 billion yuan last year and a workforce of 23,000 engineers [3] - Great Wall Motors achieved a total vehicle sales of 1,233,300 units last year, with 322,000 units being new energy vehicles, marking a year-on-year increase of 22.82% [3] Group 3 - Xin'ao Group is the only non-manufacturing company in the top 10, focusing on urban gas operations and providing energy services to over 31 million households and more than 270,000 enterprises across 21 provinces [6] - Eight companies in the top 100 have total assets exceeding 100 billion yuan, with Xin'ao Group ranking first, followed by Great Wall Motors, Jinan Steel, Delong Steel, and Xinhua Metallurgy [6] Group 4 - The top three steel companies are Jingye Group (368.569 billion yuan), Jinan Steel (241.321 billion yuan), and Delong Steel (210.676 billion yuan), with Jingye Group also ranking first in the 2025 Hebei Province Manufacturing Private Enterprises 100 [8] - Jingye Group has made significant investments in technological innovation, achieving breakthroughs in steel product development and integrating advanced technologies such as 5G and AI into its operations [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in August sales, reaching 115,600 units, a year-on-year increase of 22.33% [4] - The company’s cumulative sales from January to August reached 789,700 units, with a year-on-year increase of 5.94% [4] - The company’s overseas sales in August reached a record high of 45,200 units, a year-on-year increase of 11.65% [6] - The company is accelerating the launch of new products, which is expected to support continuous sales growth [6] - The forecasted net profit for the company from 2025 to 2027 is expected to be 13.31 billion, 16.49 billion, and 18.69 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 4.86%, 23.90%, and 13.37% [7] Summary by Sections Basic Data - Latest closing price: 26.28 yuan - 12-month A-share price range: 20.95-32.03 yuan - Total share capital: 8,558.95 million shares - Circulating market value: 224.116 billion yuan [2] Sales Performance - August sales by brand: Haval brand sold 68,900 units (+22.69% YoY), WEY brand sold 8,000 units (+167.51% YoY), and Tank brand sold 20,000 units (+22.46% YoY) [5] - The cumulative sales for Haval brand from January to August reached 446,600 units (+9.22% YoY) [5] Financial Forecast - Projected revenue for 2025 is 232.499 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 15.0% [9] - Projected earnings per share for 2025 is 1.56 yuan, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.90X [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is expected to enter a strong new car cycle, which will drive future growth [6] - The company reported a total sales volume of 569,800 units in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 2%, with total revenue of 92.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1% [4] - The second quarter of 2025 saw a total sales volume of 313,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 10% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 22% [4] - The company is set to launch multiple new models, which are anticipated to boost sales and gross margins [6] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - The company’s total revenue for 2025 is projected to be 224.1 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 10.8% [5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025 is estimated at 12.9 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 1.7% [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is forecasted to be 1.51 yuan [5] - The gross margin is expected to be 18.7% in 2025 [5] - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 14.5% in 2025 [5] Sales and Market Expansion - The company is expected to achieve significant sales growth both domestically and internationally, driven by new model launches and enhancements in product offerings [6] - The domestic market will benefit from the introduction of multiple new models and significant upgrades, while the overseas market will see contributions from the newly operational factory in Brazil [6]

Group 1 - The overseas market is becoming a significant growth point for domestic automotive brands, with Leap Motor's B10 model set to launch in Europe in September, aiming for rapid sales growth by 2026 [1] - Leap Motor's management anticipates doubling overseas sales this year, with local production in Malaysia and Spain planned to enhance competitiveness and market presence [1] - In the first seven months of this year, Leap Motor exported 24,980 vehicles, with European orders exceeding 4,000 in July, marking a historical high [1] Group 2 - BYD plans to deepen its presence in Malaysia by investing in local assembly and electric mobility promotion, reporting overseas sales of over 470,000 units in the first half of the year, a 130% increase year-on-year [2] - GAC Group is expanding exports while promoting localized production and ecological outreach, implementing a phased development strategy across five global regions [2] - China's overall vehicle exports reached 3.68 million units in the first seven months of this year, a 12.8% increase, with 1.308 million units being electric vehicles, reflecting an 84.6% growth [2] Group 3 - In July, the export volume of new energy vehicles accounted for 39.1% of total vehicle exports, a 4.5 percentage point increase from the previous month, indicating strong growth in the automotive export sector [3] - New energy vehicles are identified as the main driver of export growth, with a notable performance this year [3] - Chinese electric vehicle supply chain companies invested approximately $16 billion overseas last year, surpassing domestic investments for the first time since 2014 [3]